HRMY Stock Analysis: Harmony Biosciences Holdings | NASDAQ

Biotechnology | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 2.133m USD | 12M Return: -4.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Narcolepsy Treatment, Sleep Disorders, Epilepsy Therapy, Rare Neurological
Total Rating 50
Safety 89
Buy Signal -0.08
Biotechnology
Industry Rotation: +3.0
Market Cap: 2.13B
Avg Turnover: 26.6M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility46.0%
VaR 5th Pctl7.36%
VaR vs Median-2.79%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.00
Rel. Str. IBD46.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group47.5
Character TTM
Beta0.480
Beta Downside0.159
Hurst Exponent0.441
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD50.81%
CAGR/Max DD-0.03
CAGR/Mean DD-0.08
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of HRMY over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.24, "2021-09": -0.17, "2021-12": 0.38, "2022-03": 0.51, "2022-06": 0.57, "2022-09": 0.95, "2022-12": 0.79, "2023-03": 0.66, "2023-06": 0.76, "2023-09": 0.97, "2023-12": 0.45, "2024-03": 0.88, "2024-06": 1.05, "2024-09": 1.03, "2024-12": 1.08, "2025-03": 0.7785, "2025-06": 0.92, "2025-09": 1.08, "2025-12": 0.57, "2026-03": 0.79,
EPS CAGR: 7.29%
EPS Trend: 57.6%
Last SUE: -0.38
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of HRMY over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 73.821, 2021-09: 80.732, 2021-12: 91.213, 2022-03: 85.313, 2022-06: 107.028, 2022-09: 117.206, 2022-12: 128.308, 2023-03: 119.126, 2023-06: 134.216, 2023-09: 160.268, 2023-12: 168.412, 2024-03: 154.615, 2024-06: 172.814, 2024-09: 186.038, 2024-12: 201.267, 2025-03: 184.733, 2025-06: 200.489, 2025-09: 239.455, 2025-12: 243.776, 2026-03: 215.387,
Rev. CAGR: 22.86%
Rev. Trend: 99.5%
Last SUE: -0.70
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 5.8 years of data

Jan -3.2% 25
Feb -7.5% 11
Mar -2.7% 10
Apr -9.6% 13
May -1.3% 10
Jun +1.9% 27
Jul +4.6% 23
Aug +2.8% 28
Sep -1.5% 10
Oct +2.2% 10
Nov +6.8% 26
Dec +1.7% 10

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: HRMY Harmony Biosciences Holdings

Harmony Biosciences Holdings (HRMY) is a US-based, commercial-stage pharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing therapies for patients with rare neurological diseases. Its lead and currently approved product is WAKIX (pitolisant), a first-in-class molecule approved to treat excessive daytime sleepiness in adult patients with narcolepsy. Companies operating in the rare-disease pharmaceutical segment typically depend on a small specialty portfolio, often with therapies that command premium pricing and benefit from FDA orphan drug incentives such as extended market exclusivity

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • WAKIX net product revenue growth drives quarterly performance
  • Prader-Willi Syndrome and Fragile X Phase 3 data readouts approach
  • Narcolepsy competition intensifies from Takeda Xywav and emerging therapies
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.5
Net Income: 145.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.27 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.90 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 62.45% < 20% (prev 62.77%; Δ -0.33% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.27 > 3% & CFO 342.0m > Net Income 145.6m
Net Debt (-434.4m) to EBITDA (233.3m): -1.86 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.58 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (58.8m) vs 12m ago 0.43% < -2%
Gross Margin: 76.55% > 18% (prev 78.34%; Δ -1.79% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 77.26% > 50% (prev 70.57%; Δ 6.70% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 14.81 > 6 (EBIT TTM 208.0m / Interest Expense TTM 14.0m)
Altman Z'' 7.24
A: 0.44 (Total Current Assets 778.8m - Total Current Liabilities 217.3m) / Total Assets 1.27b
B: 0.15 (Retained Earnings 193.4m / Total Assets 1.27b)
C: 0.18 (EBIT TTM 208.0m / Avg Total Assets 1.16b)
D: 2.52 (Book Value of Equity 910.3m / Total Liabilities 361.5m)
Altman-Z'' = 7.24 = AAA
Beneish M -3.01
DSRI: 0.85 (Receivables 108.2m/106.0m, Revenue 899.1m/744.9m)
GMI: 1.02 (GM 78.34% / 76.55%)
AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.39)
SGI: 1.21 (Revenue 899.1m / 744.9m)
TATA: -0.15 (NI 145.6m - CFO 342.0m) / TA 1.27b)
Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of HRMY shares?

As of July 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 33.53 with a total of 1,596,648 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -12.25%, over one month by -0.89%, over three months by +13.97% and over the past year by -4.77%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 31.90 (which is 4.9% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is HRMY a buy, sell or hold?

Harmony Biosciences Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy HRMY.

  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the HRMY price?
Analysts Target Price 44.9 33.9%
Harmony Biosciences Holdings (HRMY) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 14 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 2.13b (2.13b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 14.8548
P/E Forward = 11.6822
P/S = 2.3721
P/B = 2.3447
Revenue TTM = 899.1m USD
EBIT TTM = 208.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 233.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 138.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 63.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 206.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -434.4m USD (calculated: Debt 206.5m - CCE 640.9m)
Enterprise Value = 1.70b USD (2.13b + Debt 206.5m - CCE 640.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.81 (Ebit TTM 208.0m / Interest Expense TTM 14.0m)
EV/FCF = 4.97x (Enterprise Value 1.70b / FCF TTM 341.8m)
FCF Yield = 20.12% (FCF TTM 341.8m / Enterprise Value 1.70b)
FCF Margin = 38.01% (FCF TTM 341.8m / Revenue TTM 899.1m)
Net Margin = 16.20% (Net Income TTM 145.6m / Revenue TTM 899.1m)
Gross Margin = 76.55% ((Revenue TTM 899.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 210.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 79.33% (prev 71.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.34 (Enterprise Value 1.70b / Total Assets 1.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.80% (Interest Expense 14.0m / Debt 206.5m)
Taxrate = 26.30% (52.0m / 197.6m)
NOPAT = 153.3m (EBIT 208.0m * (1 - 26.30%))
Current Ratio = 3.58 (Total Current Assets 778.8m / Total Current Liabilities 217.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.23 (Debt 206.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 910.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.86 (Net Debt -434.4m / EBITDA 233.3m)
Debt / FCF = -1.27 (Net Debt -434.4m / FCF TTM 341.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 847.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.51% (Net Income 145.6m / Total Assets 1.27b)
RoE = 17.19% (Net Income TTM 145.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 847.2m)
RoCE = 21.10% (EBIT 208.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 847.2m + L.T.Debt 138.8m))
RoIC = 14.29% (NOPAT 153.3m / Invested Capital 1.07b)
WACC = 7.44% (E(2.13b)/V(2.34b) * Re(7.67%) + D(206.5m)/V(2.34b) * Rd(6.80%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 7.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 54.77 | Cagr: -0.06%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈293.6m ; Y1≈336.6m ; Y5≈495.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 136.3 (EV 7.45b - Net Debt -434.4m = Equity 7.89b / Shares 57.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 57.63 | EPS CAGR: 7.29% | SUE: -0.38 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.50 | Revenue CAGR: 22.86% | SUE: -0.70 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.10 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.22 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.50 | Chg30d=+2.39% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+24.9% | GrowthRev=+16.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.02 | Chg30d=+7.85% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+33.8% | GrowthRev=+14.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -8% (up=4, down=5)