(HRTX) Heron Therapeuti - Ratings and Ratios
Chemotherapy-Nausea Drug, Post-Surgery-Nausea Drug, Extended-Release-Gel
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 85.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 113% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -19.46% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.09 |
| Alpha | -31.10 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.24 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.487 |
| Beta | 0.916 |
| Beta Downside | 0.604 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 83.38% |
| Mean DD | 45.43% |
| Median DD | 50.15% |
Description: HRTX Heron Therapeuti December 31, 2025
Heron Therapeutics (NASDAQ:HRTX) is a commercial-stage biotech that leverages its proprietary Biochronomer delivery platform to extend the exposure of short-acting drugs, enabling single-dose regimens that last from days to weeks. Its current marketed products include SUSTOL (granisetron) for chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting (CINV) in moderate-risk regimens and CINVANTI (IV aprepitant) for high- and moderate-risk CINV, while its pipeline features ZYNRELEF (bupivacaine/meloxicam) for postoperative pain and APONVIE (IV NK-1 antagonist) for postoperative nausea and vomiting.
Key quantitative signals as of Q3 2024: market capitalization ≈ $210 M; cash and equivalents $95 M, giving roughly 12-month runway at current burn (~$8 M / quarter). The CINV market is projected to grow > 6% CAGR through 2028, driven by increasing oncology therapy utilization and stronger reimbursement for antiemetic combos. Heron’s recent FDA approval of CINVANTI’s expanded indication (2023) lifted its revenue run-rate to $12 M (FY 2023) and the company expects ZYNRELEF to add $15-$20 M in annual sales if it secures a 2025 launch.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst dashboard.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5
| Net Income (-13.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 9.31m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -8.16pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 90.07% (prev 79.60%; Δ 10.46pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO -30.2m <= Net Income -13.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 2.56 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (170.3m) change vs 12m ago 11.46% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 71.68% (prev 72.19%; Δ -0.51pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 66.04% (prev 62.39%; Δ 3.65pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -0.59 (EBITDA TTM -2.57m / Interest Expense TTM 8.33m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -30.50
| (A) 0.56 = (Total Current Assets 229.4m - Total Current Liabilities 89.7m) / Total Assets 248.9m |
| (B) -7.78 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.94b / Total Assets 248.9m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -7.78 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.02 = EBIT TTM -4.92m / Avg Total Assets 234.9m |
| (D) -8.27 = Book Value of Equity -1.94b / Total Liabilities 234.1m |
| Total Rating: -30.50 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 31.57
| 1. Piotroski 1.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -9.74% |
| 3. FCF Margin -20.08% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 9.44 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -37.93 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -9.16)% |
| 7. RoE 72.92% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 91.78% |
| 9. EPS Trend 90.19% |
What is the price of HRTX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.56%, over one month by +13.04%, over three months by +3.17% and over the past year by -15.03%.
Is HRTX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HRTX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 4.5 | 246.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 4.5 | 246.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1.2 | -10.8% |
HRTX Fundamental Data Overview December 27, 2025
P/S = 1.5133
P/B = 33.4193
P/EG = -0.18
Beta = 1.343
Revenue TTM = 155.1m USD
EBIT TTM = -4.92m USD
EBITDA TTM = -2.57m USD
Long Term Debt = 139.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 780.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 140.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 97.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 319.7m USD (234.7m + Debt 140.4m - CCE 55.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.59 (Ebit TTM -4.92m / Interest Expense TTM 8.33m)
FCF Yield = -9.74% (FCF TTM -31.1m / Enterprise Value 319.7m)
FCF Margin = -20.08% (FCF TTM -31.1m / Revenue TTM 155.1m)
Net Margin = -8.75% (Net Income TTM -13.6m / Revenue TTM 155.1m)
Gross Margin = 71.68% ((Revenue TTM 155.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 43.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 59.74% (prev 73.50%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.28 (Enterprise Value 319.7m / Total Assets 248.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.06% (Interest Expense 2.90m / Debt 140.4m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -3.89m (EBIT -4.92m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.56 (Total Current Assets 229.4m / Total Current Liabilities 89.7m)
Debt / Equity = 9.44 (Debt 140.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 14.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = -37.93 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 97.4m / EBITDA -2.57m)
Debt / FCF = -3.13 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 97.4m / FCF TTM -31.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -18.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -5.45% (Net Income -13.6m / Total Assets 248.9m)
RoE = 72.92% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -13.6m / Total Stockholder Equity -18.6m)
RoCE = -4.07% (EBIT -4.92m / Capital Employed (Equity -18.6m + L.T.Debt 139.7m))
RoIC = -2.67% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -3.89m / Invested Capital 145.6m)
WACC = 6.49% (E(234.7m)/V(375.1m) * Re(9.39%) + D(140.4m)/V(375.1m) * Rd(2.06%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.47%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -31.1m)
EPS Correlation: 90.19 | EPS CAGR: 60.82% | SUE: -0.52 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.78 | Revenue CAGR: 17.83% | SUE: -0.32 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.05 | Chg30d=-0.075 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+0.0% | Growth Revenue=+11.6%
Additional Sources for HRTX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle