(HTHT) Huazhu - Ratings and Ratios
Hotels, Leasing, Franchising, Management, China
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.16% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.27% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 103.89% |
| Payout Consistency | 48.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 14.2% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 35.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 54.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.69% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.60 |
| Alpha | 53.85 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.08 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.564 |
| Beta | 0.706 |
| Beta Downside | 0.768 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 46.05% |
| Mean DD | 24.58% |
| Median DD | 26.38% |
Description: HTHT Huazhu January 03, 2026
H World Group Limited (NASDAQ: HTHT), formerly Huazhu Group, is a Shanghai-based hotel operator founded in 2005. It develops, owns, leases, and franchises a diversified portfolio of properties across China under a mix of home-grown and international brands, ranging from economy concepts such as HanTing and Ibis to upscale labels like Steigenberger and Grand Mercure.
Key operational metrics indicate a strong recovery in China’s hospitality sector: for FY 2023 the company reported an average occupancy of roughly 78% and a year-over-year RevPAR increase of about 12%, driven by rising domestic travel and relaxed COVID-19 restrictions. The pipeline includes more than 200 hotels slated to open through 2026, and the strategic joint venture with Accor gives H World access to a broader upscale brand suite while contributing roughly 15% of its total room inventory.
Macro-level drivers such as the Chinese government’s “dual circulation” policy, which encourages domestic consumption, and the gradual normalization of outbound tourism are expected to sustain demand growth for mid-scale and upscale accommodations in the next 12-18 months.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may want to explore the companys metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 3.96b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.17 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -11.20% < 20% (prev -6.59%; Δ -4.61% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 7.64b > Net Income 3.96b |
| Net Debt (30.06b) to EBITDA (7.94b): 3.79 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.85 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (325.0m) vs 12m ago -0.24% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.31% > 18% (prev 0.37%; Δ 3794 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 39.50% > 50% (prev 37.31%; Δ 2.19% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 20.54 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 7.94b / Interest Expense TTM 325.0m) |
Altman Z'' 0.61
| A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 15.52b - Total Current Liabilities 18.30b) / Total Assets 63.55b |
| B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 2.44b / Total Assets 63.55b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 6.68b / Avg Total Assets 62.80b) |
| D: 0.05 (Book Value of Equity 2.65b / Total Liabilities 51.53b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.61 = B |
Beneish M -3.18
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 1.35b/1.29b, Revenue 24.80b/23.15b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 38.31% / 36.66%) |
| AQI: 0.85 (AQ_t 0.24 / AQ_t-1 0.28) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 24.80b / 23.15b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 3.96b - CFO 7.64b) / TA 63.55b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.18 = AA |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 82.75
| 1. Piotroski: 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 5.35% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 27.42% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 3.13 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 3.79 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 19.63% |
| 7. RoE: 33.88% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 88.06% |
| 9. EPS Trend: 60.82% |
What is the price of HTHT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.53%, over one month by +2.80%, over three months by +29.92% and over the past year by +66.31%.
Is HTHT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HTHT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 51.9 | 3.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 51.9 | 3.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 63.5 | 26.3% |
HTHT Fundamental Data Overview January 17, 2026
P/E Trailing = 28.1404
P/E Forward = 35.3357
P/S = 0.5969
P/B = 8.6917
P/EG = 46.26
Revenue TTM = 24.80b CNY
EBIT TTM = 6.68b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 7.94b CNY
Long Term Debt = 722.0m CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.38b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 37.16b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 30.06b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 127.11b CNY (103.10b + Debt 37.16b - CCE 13.16b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 20.54 (Ebit TTM 6.68b / Interest Expense TTM 325.0m)
EV/FCF = 18.69x (Enterprise Value 127.11b / FCF TTM 6.80b)
FCF Yield = 5.35% (FCF TTM 6.80b / Enterprise Value 127.11b)
FCF Margin = 27.42% (FCF TTM 6.80b / Revenue TTM 24.80b)
Net Margin = 15.95% (Net Income TTM 3.96b / Revenue TTM 24.80b)
Gross Margin = 38.31% ((Revenue TTM 24.80b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.30b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.65% (prev 41.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.00 (Enterprise Value 127.11b / Total Assets 63.55b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.23% (Interest Expense 86.0m / Debt 37.16b)
Taxrate = 30.57% (648.0m / 2.12b)
NOPAT = 4.64b (EBIT 6.68b * (1 - 30.57%))
Current Ratio = 0.85 (Total Current Assets 15.52b / Total Current Liabilities 18.30b)
Debt / Equity = 3.13 (Debt 37.16b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.88b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.79 (Net Debt 30.06b / EBITDA 7.94b)
Debt / FCF = 4.42 (Net Debt 30.06b / FCF TTM 6.80b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.68b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.30% (Net Income 3.96b / Total Assets 63.55b)
RoE = 33.88% (Net Income TTM 3.96b / Total Stockholder Equity 11.68b)
RoCE = 53.85% (EBIT 6.68b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.68b + L.T.Debt 722.0m))
RoIC = 25.93% (NOPAT 4.64b / Invested Capital 17.87b)
WACC = 6.31% (E(103.10b)/V(140.26b) * Re(8.52%) + D(37.16b)/V(140.26b) * Rd(0.23%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 8.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 1.20%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 86.99% ; FCFF base≈5.95b ; Y1≈7.34b ; Y5≈12.50b
Fair Price DCF = 942.0 (EV 319.87b - Net Debt 30.06b = Equity 289.82b / Shares 307.7m; r=6.31% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 60.82 | EPS CAGR: 39.95% | SUE: -1.95 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.06 | Revenue CAGR: 21.53% | SUE: 0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.43 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=16.68 | Chg30d=+0.038 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+15.2% | Growth Revenue=+6.2%
Additional Sources for HTHT Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle