HTHT Stock Analysis: Huazhu | NASDAQ
Lodging | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 13.247m USD | 12M Return: 12% | US44332N1063 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 58.7M
EPS Trend: 67.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 97.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
H World Group Limited (NASDAQ: HTHT), formerly known as Huazhu Group Limited until its rebranding in June 2022, is a Shanghai-based hotel operator founded in 2005 that develops and runs hotels across the Peoples Republic of China. The company manages a large multi-brand portfolio spanning economy to upscale tiers, including HanTing, Hi Inn, JI Hotel, Orange Hotel, Crystal Orange, Manxin, Mercure, Novotel, Steigenberger Hotels & Resorts, and Blossom House, among others.
The company employs a hybrid business model combining leased and owned properties with manachised and franchised arrangements. The manachise structure is a hybrid model widely used by Chinese hotel operators, in which the company manages properties owned by third-party investors under long-term contracts, generating fee-based revenue without bearing real estate risk. This mix allows H World to scale its brand presence while balancing asset-heavy and asset-light exposure across both domestic and select international markets.
- China RevPAR recovery drives revenue and margin expansion
- European acquisitions accelerate international growth diversification
- Mid-scale brand expansion fuels network and unit growth across China
| Net Income: 5.01b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.04 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.56% < 20% (prev -15.29%; Δ 26.85% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 8.66b > Net Income 5.01b |
| Net Debt (48.5b) to EBITDA (8.91b): 5.45 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.21 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (325.3m) vs 12m ago 0.66% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 40.89% > 18% (prev 38.07%; Δ 2.82% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 41.24% > 50% (prev 37.49%; Δ 3.75% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 24.88 > 6 (EBIT TTM 7.70b / Interest Expense TTM 309.4m) |
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 17.8b - Total Current Liabilities 14.7b) / Total Assets 63.6b |
| B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 3.13b / Total Assets 63.6b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 7.70b / Avg Total Assets 64.2b) |
| D: 0.29 (Book Value of Equity 14.1b / Total Liabilities 49.4b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.58 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.78 (Receivables 1.02b/1.20b, Revenue 26.5b/24.3b) |
| GMI: 0.93 (GM 38.07% / 40.89%) |
| AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.25) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 26.5b / 24.3b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 5.01b - CFO 8.66b) / TA 63.6b) |
| Beneish M = -3.29 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 04, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 41.78 with a total of 1,202,201 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.52%, over one month by -8.82%, over three months by +1.14% and over the past year by +12.00%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 39.90 (which is 4.5% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).
Huazhu has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.53. Therefore, it is recommended to buy HTHT.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 60.5 | 44.9% |
Market Cap CNY = 88.8b (13.2b USD * 6.70455 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 30.0
P/E Forward = 35.3357
P/S = 0.498
P/B = 6.4164
P/EG = 0.2711
Revenue TTM = 26.5b CNY
EBIT TTM = 7.70b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 8.91b CNY
Long Term Debt = 3.31b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.54b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 64.3b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 30.0b
Net Debt = 48.5b CNY (calculated: Debt 64.3b - CCE 15.7b)
Enterprise Value = 137b CNY (88.8b + Debt 64.3b - CCE 15.7b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 24.88 (Ebit TTM 7.70b / Interest Expense TTM 309.4m)
EV/FCF = 17.38x (Enterprise Value 137b / FCF TTM 7.90b)
FCF Yield = 5.75% (FCF TTM 7.90b / Enterprise Value 137b)
FCF Margin = 29.85% (FCF TTM 7.90b / Revenue TTM 26.5b)
Net Margin = 18.94% (Net Income TTM 5.01b / Revenue TTM 26.5b)
Gross Margin = 40.89% ((Revenue TTM 26.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.7b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 42.82% (prev 38.76%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.16 (Enterprise Value 137b / Total Assets 63.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.48% (Interest Expense 309.4m / Debt 64.3b)
Taxrate = 32.16% (2.38b / 7.39b)
NOPAT = 5.22b (EBIT 7.70b * (1 - 32.16%))
Current Ratio = 1.21 (Total Current Assets 17.8b / Total Current Liabilities 14.7b)
Debt / Equity = 4.56 (Debt 64.3b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 14.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.45 (Net Debt 48.5b / EBITDA 8.91b)
Debt / FCF = 6.14 (Net Debt 48.5b / FCF TTM 7.90b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.4b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.81% (Net Income 5.01b / Total Assets 63.6b)
RoE = 40.37% (Net Income TTM 5.01b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.4b)
RoCE = 48.92% (EBIT 7.70b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.4b + L.T.Debt 3.31b))
RoIC = 10.01% (NOPAT 5.22b / Invested Capital 52.1b)
WACC = 4.29% (E(88.8b)/V(153b) * Re(7.15%) + D(64.3b)/V(153b) * Rd(0.48%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 7.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 20.86 | Cagr: 1.12%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈7.43b ; Y1≈8.52b ; Y5≈12.5b
[DCF] Fair Price = 444.4 (EV 189b - Net Debt 48.5b = Equity 140b / Shares 315.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 66.98 | EPS CAGR: 10.49% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.83 | Revenue CAGR: 8.51% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=5.76 | Chg30d=-5.74% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=18.52 | Chg30d=-0.27% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+19.2% | GrowthRev=+7.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=21.39 | Chg30d=-0.42% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+15.5% | GrowthRev=+6.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +8% (up=5, down=4)