(HTHT) Huazhu - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: China •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US44332N1063
Hotels, Leasing, Management, Franchising, China
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.81% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.88% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 16.67% |
| Payout Consistency | 39.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 14.2% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 39.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 59.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.40% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.27 |
| Alpha | 37.30 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.16 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.427 |
| Beta | 0.698 |
| Beta Downside | 0.823 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 46.05% |
| Mean DD | 24.59% |
| Median DD | 26.38% |
Description: HTHT Huazhu October 31, 2025
H World Group Limited (NASDAQ: HTHT) develops, owns, leases, manages and franchises a diversified portfolio of hotels across China, operating under both its proprietary brands (e.g., HanTing, Ni Hao, Hi Inn) and internationally-recognized Accor brands such as Ibis, Mercure, Novotel and Steigenberger.
Founded in 2005 and headquartered in Shanghai, the company rebranded from Huazhu Group to H World in June 2022 to reflect its expanded, asset-light business model that now emphasizes franchising and management contracts over direct ownership.
Key performance indicators from the most recent FY 2023 filing show a 12% year-over-year increase in revenue to RMB 28.4 billion, an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18.6%, and an average occupancy rate of 71%-well above the Chinese hotel sector average of ~65% amid a post-COVID domestic travel rebound.
Sector drivers that materially affect HTHT’s outlook include China’s GDP growth (projected ~4.5% in 2025), rising disposable income fueling leisure travel, and the government’s “dual circulation” policy that encourages domestic tourism, all of which support higher RevPAR growth for mid-scale and upscale properties.
For a deeper quantitative dive, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst toolkit, which aggregates recent financial metrics and peer comparisons for HTHT.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (3.96b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.49b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.09pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -11.20% (prev -6.59%; Δ -4.61pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 7.64b > Net Income 3.96b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (30.06b) to EBITDA (7.94b) ratio: 3.79 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.85 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (325.0m) change vs 12m ago -0.24% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 38.31% (prev 36.66%; Δ 1.64pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 39.50% (prev 37.31%; Δ 2.19pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 20.54 (EBITDA TTM 7.94b / Interest Expense TTM 325.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.61
| (A) -0.04 = (Total Current Assets 15.52b - Total Current Liabilities 18.30b) / Total Assets 63.55b |
| (B) 0.04 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.44b / Total Assets 63.55b |
| (C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 6.68b / Avg Total Assets 62.80b |
| (D) 0.05 = Book Value of Equity 2.65b / Total Liabilities 51.53b |
| Total Rating: 0.61 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 83.69
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.43% |
| 3. FCF Margin 27.42% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 3.13 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.79 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 19.61)% |
| 7. RoE 33.88% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 88.34% |
| 9. EPS Trend 78.34% |
What is the price of HTHT shares?
As of December 02, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 46.69 with a total of 1,240,928 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.85%, over one month by +17.89%, over three months by +29.68% and over the past year by +49.32%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.85%, over one month by +17.89%, over three months by +29.68% and over the past year by +49.32%.
Is HTHT a buy, sell or hold?
Huazhu has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.53.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy HTHT.
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HTHT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 49.6 | 6.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 49.6 | 6.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 55.5 | 18.9% |
HTHT Fundamental Data Overview November 29, 2025
Market Cap CNY = 101.30b (14.33b USD * 7.0718 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 27.7143
P/E Forward = 35.3357
P/S = 0.5775
P/B = 8.5663
P/EG = 46.26
Beta = 0.125
Revenue TTM = 24.80b CNY
EBIT TTM = 6.68b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 7.94b CNY
Long Term Debt = 722.0m CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.38b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 37.16b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 30.06b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 125.31b CNY (101.30b + Debt 37.16b - CCE 13.16b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 20.54 (Ebit TTM 6.68b / Interest Expense TTM 325.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.43% (FCF TTM 6.80b / Enterprise Value 125.31b)
FCF Margin = 27.42% (FCF TTM 6.80b / Revenue TTM 24.80b)
Net Margin = 15.95% (Net Income TTM 3.96b / Revenue TTM 24.80b)
Gross Margin = 38.31% ((Revenue TTM 24.80b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.30b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.65% (prev 41.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.97 (Enterprise Value 125.31b / Total Assets 63.55b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.23% (Interest Expense 86.0m / Debt 37.16b)
Taxrate = 30.57% (648.0m / 2.12b)
NOPAT = 4.64b (EBIT 6.68b * (1 - 30.57%))
Current Ratio = 0.85 (Total Current Assets 15.52b / Total Current Liabilities 18.30b)
Debt / Equity = 3.13 (Debt 37.16b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.88b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.79 (Net Debt 30.06b / EBITDA 7.94b)
Debt / FCF = 4.42 (Net Debt 30.06b / FCF TTM 6.80b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.68b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.22% (Net Income 3.96b / Total Assets 63.55b)
RoE = 33.88% (Net Income TTM 3.96b / Total Stockholder Equity 11.68b)
RoCE = 53.85% (EBIT 6.68b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.68b + L.T.Debt 722.0m))
RoIC = 25.93% (NOPAT 4.64b / Invested Capital 17.87b)
WACC = 6.33% (E(101.30b)/V(138.46b) * Re(8.59%) + D(37.16b)/V(138.46b) * Rd(0.23%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 8.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 1.20%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.69% ; FCFE base≈5.97b ; Y1≈7.37b ; Y5≈12.57b
Fair Price DCF = 625.6 (DCF Value 192.48b / Shares Outstanding 307.7m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 78.34 | EPS CAGR: 38.77% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.34 | Revenue CAGR: 21.53% | SUE: 0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.34 | Chg30d=+0.030 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=16.48 | Chg30d=+0.312 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+14.2% | Growth Revenue=+6.2%
P/E Trailing = 27.7143
P/E Forward = 35.3357
P/S = 0.5775
P/B = 8.5663
P/EG = 46.26
Beta = 0.125
Revenue TTM = 24.80b CNY
EBIT TTM = 6.68b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 7.94b CNY
Long Term Debt = 722.0m CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.38b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 37.16b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 30.06b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 125.31b CNY (101.30b + Debt 37.16b - CCE 13.16b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 20.54 (Ebit TTM 6.68b / Interest Expense TTM 325.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.43% (FCF TTM 6.80b / Enterprise Value 125.31b)
FCF Margin = 27.42% (FCF TTM 6.80b / Revenue TTM 24.80b)
Net Margin = 15.95% (Net Income TTM 3.96b / Revenue TTM 24.80b)
Gross Margin = 38.31% ((Revenue TTM 24.80b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.30b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.65% (prev 41.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.97 (Enterprise Value 125.31b / Total Assets 63.55b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.23% (Interest Expense 86.0m / Debt 37.16b)
Taxrate = 30.57% (648.0m / 2.12b)
NOPAT = 4.64b (EBIT 6.68b * (1 - 30.57%))
Current Ratio = 0.85 (Total Current Assets 15.52b / Total Current Liabilities 18.30b)
Debt / Equity = 3.13 (Debt 37.16b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.88b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.79 (Net Debt 30.06b / EBITDA 7.94b)
Debt / FCF = 4.42 (Net Debt 30.06b / FCF TTM 6.80b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.68b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.22% (Net Income 3.96b / Total Assets 63.55b)
RoE = 33.88% (Net Income TTM 3.96b / Total Stockholder Equity 11.68b)
RoCE = 53.85% (EBIT 6.68b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.68b + L.T.Debt 722.0m))
RoIC = 25.93% (NOPAT 4.64b / Invested Capital 17.87b)
WACC = 6.33% (E(101.30b)/V(138.46b) * Re(8.59%) + D(37.16b)/V(138.46b) * Rd(0.23%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 8.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 1.20%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.69% ; FCFE base≈5.97b ; Y1≈7.37b ; Y5≈12.57b
Fair Price DCF = 625.6 (DCF Value 192.48b / Shares Outstanding 307.7m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 78.34 | EPS CAGR: 38.77% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.34 | Revenue CAGR: 21.53% | SUE: 0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.34 | Chg30d=+0.030 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=16.48 | Chg30d=+0.312 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+14.2% | Growth Revenue=+6.2%
Additional Sources for HTHT Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle