(HTHT) Huazhu - Ratings and Ratios
Hotels, Leasing, Management, Franchising, China
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 39.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 60.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.25% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.86 |
| Alpha | 24.95 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.517 |
| Beta | 0.684 |
| Beta Downside | 0.818 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 46.05% |
| Mean DD | 24.56% |
| Median DD | 26.38% |
Description: HTHT Huazhu October 31, 2025
H World Group Limited (NASDAQ: HTHT) develops, owns, leases, manages and franchises a diversified portfolio of hotels across China, operating under both its proprietary brands (e.g., HanTing, Ni Hao, Hi Inn) and internationally-recognized Accor brands such as Ibis, Mercure, Novotel and Steigenberger.
Founded in 2005 and headquartered in Shanghai, the company rebranded from Huazhu Group to H World in June 2022 to reflect its expanded, asset-light business model that now emphasizes franchising and management contracts over direct ownership.
Key performance indicators from the most recent FY 2023 filing show a 12% year-over-year increase in revenue to RMB 28.4 billion, an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18.6%, and an average occupancy rate of 71%-well above the Chinese hotel sector average of ~65% amid a post-COVID domestic travel rebound.
Sector drivers that materially affect HTHT’s outlook include China’s GDP growth (projected ~4.5% in 2025), rising disposable income fueling leisure travel, and the government’s “dual circulation” policy that encourages domestic tourism, all of which support higher RevPAR growth for mid-scale and upscale properties.
For a deeper quantitative dive, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst toolkit, which aggregates recent financial metrics and peer comparisons for HTHT.
HTHT Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 12,636m |
| Sub-Industry | Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines |
| IPO / Inception | 2010-03-26 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 16.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.53 of 5 |
HTHT Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.94% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.78% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 16.67% |
| Payout Consistency | 43.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 23.0% |
HTHT Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 12.85% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.28 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.52 |
| Current Volume | 1774.7k |
| Average Volume | 1774.7k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (3.76b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.46b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.72pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -15.29% (prev -1.70%; Δ -13.58pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 7.64b > Net Income 3.76b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (27.62b) to EBITDA (7.48b) ratio: 3.69 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.81 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (323.2m) change vs 12m ago 3.15% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 38.07% (prev 37.05%; Δ 1.02pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 38.18% (prev 36.82%; Δ 1.36pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 19.65 (EBITDA TTM 7.48b / Interest Expense TTM 316.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.48
| (A) -0.06 = (Total Current Assets 15.67b - Total Current Liabilities 19.38b) / Total Assets 64.78b |
| (B) 0.04 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.75b / Total Assets 64.78b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 6.21b / Avg Total Assets 63.62b |
| (D) 0.06 = Book Value of Equity 3.01b / Total Liabilities 52.49b |
| Total Rating: 0.48 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 79.25
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt = 1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.90% = 2.95 |
| 3. FCF Margin 27.97% = 6.99 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 3.11 = -0.93 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.69 = -2.43 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 19.83)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 32.03% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 77.55% = 5.82 |
| 9. EPS Trend 6.99% = 0.35 |
What is the price of HTHT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.04%, over one month by +17.45%, over three months by +39.83% and over the past year by +32.02%.
Is HTHT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HTHT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 46.1 | 2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 46.1 | 2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 52 | 15% |
HTHT Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 24.5928
P/E Forward = 35.3357
P/S = 0.5203
P/B = 7.0388
P/EG = 46.26
Beta = 0.125
Revenue TTM = 24.29b CNY
EBIT TTM = 6.21b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 7.48b CNY
Long Term Debt = 777.0m CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.07b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 37.77b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 27.62b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 115.18b CNY (89.86b + Debt 37.77b - CCE 12.45b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 19.65 (Ebit TTM 6.21b / Interest Expense TTM 316.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.90% (FCF TTM 6.79b / Enterprise Value 115.18b)
FCF Margin = 27.97% (FCF TTM 6.79b / Revenue TTM 24.29b)
Net Margin = 15.48% (Net Income TTM 3.76b / Revenue TTM 24.29b)
Gross Margin = 38.07% ((Revenue TTM 24.29b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.61% (prev 33.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.78 (Enterprise Value 115.18b / Total Assets 64.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.24% (Interest Expense 91.0m / Debt 37.77b)
Taxrate = 26.55% (565.0m / 2.13b)
NOPAT = 4.56b (EBIT 6.21b * (1 - 26.55%))
Current Ratio = 0.81 (Total Current Assets 15.67b / Total Current Liabilities 19.38b)
Debt / Equity = 3.11 (Debt 37.77b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.15b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.69 (Net Debt 27.62b / EBITDA 7.48b)
Debt / FCF = 4.07 (Net Debt 27.62b / FCF TTM 6.79b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.74b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.80% (Net Income 3.76b / Total Assets 64.78b)
RoE = 32.03% (Net Income TTM 3.76b / Total Stockholder Equity 11.74b)
RoCE = 49.61% (EBIT 6.21b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.74b + L.T.Debt 777.0m))
RoIC = 25.89% (NOPAT 4.56b / Invested Capital 17.61b)
WACC = 6.07% (E(89.86b)/V(127.63b) * Re(8.54%) + D(37.77b)/V(127.63b) * Rd(0.24%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.93%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.61% ; FCFE base≈5.77b ; Y1≈7.00b ; Y5≈11.49b
Fair Price DCF = 578.8 (DCF Value 178.07b / Shares Outstanding 307.7m; 5y FCF grow 22.78% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 6.99 | EPS CAGR: 63.84% | SUE: -3.12 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 77.55 | Revenue CAGR: 17.82% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for HTHT Stock
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