HTHT Stock Analysis: Huazhu | NASDAQ
Lodging | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 13.030m USD | 12M Return: 29% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 94.2M
EPS Trend: 69.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 92.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
Average return per month, with how dependable it is below — did the month move the same way every year (high) or randomly (low). Above 60 is a pattern worth trusting; under 40 is noise.
H World Group Limited, listed on NASDAQ under the ticker HTHT, is a major hotel operator based in Shanghai, China. The company runs a diversified portfolio of leased and owned, manachised, and franchised hotels in the Peoples Republic of China under numerous proprietary and partner brands, including HanTing, JI Hotel, Crystal Orange, Mercure, Novotel, and Steigenberger Hotels & Resorts. Originally founded in 2005 as Huazhu Group Limited, the company rebranded to H World Group Limited in June 2022.
The business model blends asset-heavy operations (leased and owned properties) with asset-light growth through manachise and franchise arrangements, a structure commonly used in the global hospitality sector to scale brand presence while limiting capital expenditure. The company is classified within the Consumer Discretionary sector under Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines.
- China domestic travel recovery lifts RevPAR and occupancy rates
- Mid-scale and luxury brand expansion improves margin mix
- Buyback program and franchise unit growth support capital returns
| Net Income: 4.98b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.97 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -4.91% < 20% (prev -7.48%; Δ 2.57% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 7.94b > Net Income 4.98b |
| Net Debt (49.4b) to EBITDA (8.82b): 5.61 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.93 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (327.1m) vs 12m ago 1.19% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 40.54% > 18% (prev 37.44%; Δ 3.09% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 41.09% > 50% (prev 39.00%; Δ 2.09% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 22.56 > 6 (EBIT TTM 7.61b / Interest Expense TTM 337.4m) |
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 17.7b - Total Current Liabilities 19.0b) / Total Assets 63.9b |
| B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 1.67b / Total Assets 63.9b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 7.61b / Avg Total Assets 62.7b) |
| D: 0.21 (Book Value of Equity 10.9b / Total Liabilities 52.9b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.99 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.81 (Receivables 1.10b/1.26b, Revenue 25.8b/24.0b) |
| GMI: 0.92 (GM 37.44% / 40.54%) |
| AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.23 / AQ_t-1 0.26) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 25.8b / 24.0b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 4.98b - CFO 7.94b) / TA 63.9b) |
| Beneish M = -3.27 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 41.72 with a total of 2,477,474 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.20%, over one month by -5.97%, over three months by -14.87% and over the past year by +28.95%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 39.90 (which is 4.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Huazhu has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.53. Therefore, it is recommended to buy HTHT.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 59.6 | 42.8% |
Market Cap CNY = 88.4b (13.0b USD * 6.7855 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 18.1846
P/E Forward = 35.3357
P/S = 0.5029
P/B = 8.0802
P/EG = 0.2711
Revenue TTM = 25.8b CNY
EBIT TTM = 7.61b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 8.82b CNY
Long Term Debt = 2.44b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.25b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 65.2b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 29.6b
Net Debt = 49.4b CNY (calculated: Debt 65.2b - CCE 15.8b)
Enterprise Value = 138b CNY (88.4b + Debt 65.2b - CCE 15.8b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 22.56 (Ebit TTM 7.61b / Interest Expense TTM 337.4m)
EV/FCF = 19.23x (Enterprise Value 138b / FCF TTM 7.17b)
FCF Yield = 5.20% (FCF TTM 7.17b / Enterprise Value 138b)
FCF Margin = 27.80% (FCF TTM 7.17b / Revenue TTM 25.8b)
Net Margin = 19.32% (Net Income TTM 4.98b / Revenue TTM 25.8b)
Gross Margin = 40.54% ((Revenue TTM 25.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.3b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.76% (prev 39.91%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.16 (Enterprise Value 138b / Total Assets 63.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.52% (Interest Expense 337.4m / Debt 65.2b)
Taxrate = 31.02% (2.25b / 7.27b)
NOPAT = 5.25b (EBIT 7.61b * (1 - 31.02%))
Current Ratio = 0.93 (Total Current Assets 17.7b / Total Current Liabilities 19.0b)
Debt / Equity = 5.98 (Debt 65.2b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.61 (Net Debt 49.4b / EBITDA 8.82b)
Debt / FCF = 6.90 (Net Debt 49.4b / FCF TTM 7.17b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.9b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.94% (Net Income 4.98b / Total Assets 63.9b)
RoE = 41.73% (Net Income TTM 4.98b / Total Stockholder Equity 11.9b)
RoCE = 52.93% (EBIT 7.61b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.9b + L.T.Debt 2.44b))
RoIC = 10.32% (NOPAT 5.25b / Invested Capital 50.9b)
WACC = 4.59% (E(88.4b)/V(154b) * Re(7.71%) + D(65.2b)/V(154b) * Rd(0.52%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 7.71% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -17.98 | Cagr: -1.07%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.77% ; FCFF base≈6.82b ; Y1≈7.73b ; Y5≈11.1b
[DCF] Fair Price = 382.1 (EV 167b - Net Debt 49.4b = Equity 118b / Shares 307.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 13.71% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 69.37 | EPS CAGR: 28.73% | SUE: -0.38 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.92 | Revenue CAGR: 10.74% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=6.11 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=18.69 | Chg30d=+0.88% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+20.2% | GrowthRev=+6.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=21.63 | Chg30d=+0.58% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+15.8% | GrowthRev=+5.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25%