HTHT Stock Analysis: Huazhu | NASDAQ
Lodging | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 15.035m USD | 12M Return: 29.1% | US44332N1063 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 74.9M
EPS Trend: 67.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 97.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
H World Group Limited (NASDAQ: HTHT), formerly known as Huazhu Group Limited until its rebranding in June 2022, is a Shanghai-based hotel operator founded in 2005 that develops and runs hotels across the Peoples Republic of China. The company manages a large multi-brand portfolio spanning economy to upscale tiers, including HanTing, Hi Inn, JI Hotel, Orange Hotel, Crystal Orange, Manxin, Mercure, Novotel, Steigenberger Hotels & Resorts, and Blossom House, among others.
The company employs a hybrid business model combining leased and owned properties with manachised and franchised arrangements. The manachise structure is a hybrid model widely used by Chinese hotel operators, in which the company manages properties owned by third-party investors under long-term contracts, generating fee-based revenue without bearing real estate risk. This mix allows H World to scale its brand presence while balancing asset-heavy and asset-light exposure across both domestic and select international markets.
- China RevPAR recovery drives revenue and margin expansion
- European acquisitions accelerate international growth diversification
- Mid-scale brand expansion fuels network and unit growth across China
| Net Income: 5.01b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.04 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.56% < 20% (prev -15.29%; Δ 26.85% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 8.66b > Net Income 5.01b |
| Net Debt (48.5b) to EBITDA (8.91b): 5.45 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.21 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (325.3m) vs 12m ago 0.66% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 40.89% > 18% (prev 38.07%; Δ 2.82% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 41.24% > 50% (prev 37.49%; Δ 3.75% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 24.88 > 6 (EBIT TTM 7.70b / Interest Expense TTM 309.4m) |
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 17.8b - Total Current Liabilities 14.7b) / Total Assets 63.6b |
| B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 3.13b / Total Assets 63.6b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 7.70b / Avg Total Assets 64.2b) |
| D: 0.29 (Book Value of Equity 14.1b / Total Liabilities 49.4b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.58 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.78 (Receivables 1.02b/1.20b, Revenue 26.5b/24.3b) |
| GMI: 0.93 (GM 38.07% / 40.89%) |
| AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.25) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 26.5b / 24.3b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 5.01b - CFO 8.66b) / TA 63.6b) |
| Beneish M = -3.29 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of November 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 50.22 with a total of 1,718,491 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.10%, over one month by +20.23%, over three months by +20.99% and over the past year by +29.07%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 48.10 (which is 4.2% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).
Huazhu has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.83. Therefore, it is recommended to buy HTHT.
- StrongBuy: 15
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 61 | 21.4% |
Market Cap CNY = 100b (15.0b USD * 6.6704 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 35.5746
P/E Forward = 35.3357
P/S = 0.5652
P/B = 7.1214
P/EG = 0.2711
Revenue TTM = 26.5b CNY
EBIT TTM = 7.70b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 8.91b CNY
Long Term Debt = 3.31b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.54b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 64.3b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 30.0b
Net Debt = 48.5b CNY (calculated: Debt 64.3b - CCE 15.7b)
Enterprise Value = 149b CNY (100b + Debt 64.3b - CCE 15.7b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 24.88 (Ebit TTM 7.70b / Interest Expense TTM 309.4m)
EV/FCF = 18.83x (Enterprise Value 149b / FCF TTM 7.90b)
FCF Yield = 5.31% (FCF TTM 7.90b / Enterprise Value 149b)
FCF Margin = 29.85% (FCF TTM 7.90b / Revenue TTM 26.5b)
Net Margin = 18.94% (Net Income TTM 5.01b / Revenue TTM 26.5b)
Gross Margin = 40.89% ((Revenue TTM 26.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.7b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 42.82% (prev 38.76%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.34 (Enterprise Value 149b / Total Assets 63.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.48% (Interest Expense 309.4m / Debt 64.3b)
Taxrate = 32.16% (2.38b / 7.39b)
NOPAT = 5.22b (EBIT 7.70b * (1 - 32.16%))
Current Ratio = 1.21 (Total Current Assets 17.8b / Total Current Liabilities 14.7b)
Debt / Equity = 4.56 (Debt 64.3b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 14.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.45 (Net Debt 48.5b / EBITDA 8.91b)
Debt / FCF = 6.14 (Net Debt 48.5b / FCF TTM 7.90b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.4b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.81% (Net Income 5.01b / Total Assets 63.6b)
RoE = 40.37% (Net Income TTM 5.01b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.4b)
RoCE = 48.92% (EBIT 7.70b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.4b + L.T.Debt 3.31b))
RoIC = 10.01% (NOPAT 5.22b / Invested Capital 52.1b)
WACC = 4.16% (E(100b)/V(165b) * Re(6.62%) + D(64.3b)/V(165b) * Rd(0.48%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 6.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 20.86 | Cagr: 1.12%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈7.43b ; Y1≈8.52b ; Y5≈12.5b
[DCF] Fair Price = 444.4 (EV 189b - Net Debt 48.5b = Equity 140b / Shares 315.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 66.98 | EPS CAGR: 10.49% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.83 | Revenue CAGR: 8.51% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=5.60 | Chg30d=-2.88% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=18.46 | Chg30d=-0.33% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+18.8% | GrowthRev=+7.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=21.26 | Chg30d=-0.64% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+15.2% | GrowthRev=+6.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +8% (up=5, down=4)