HTHT Stock Analysis: Huazhu | NASDAQ
Lodging | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 15.213m USD | 12M Return: 40.4% | US44332N1063 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 69.8M
EPS Trend: 67.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 97.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
H World Group Limited, listed on NASDAQ under the ticker HTHT, is a major hotel operator based in Shanghai, China. The company runs a diversified portfolio of leased and owned, manachised, and franchised hotels in the Peoples Republic of China under numerous proprietary and partner brands, including HanTing, JI Hotel, Crystal Orange, Mercure, Novotel, and Steigenberger Hotels & Resorts. Originally founded in 2005 as Huazhu Group Limited, the company rebranded to H World Group Limited in June 2022.
The business model blends asset-heavy operations (leased and owned properties) with asset-light growth through manachise and franchise arrangements, a structure commonly used in the global hospitality sector to scale brand presence while limiting capital expenditure. The company is classified within the Consumer Discretionary sector under Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines.
- China domestic travel recovery lifts RevPAR and occupancy rates
- Mid-scale and luxury brand expansion improves margin mix
- Buyback program and franchise unit growth support capital returns
| Net Income: 5.01b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.04 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.57% < 20% (prev -15.29%; Δ 26.86% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 8.66b > Net Income 5.01b |
| Net Debt (48.1b) to EBITDA (8.66b): 5.56 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.21 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (325.3m) vs 12m ago 0.66% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 40.96% > 18% (prev 38.07%; Δ 2.89% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 41.20% > 50% (prev 37.49%; Δ 3.71% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 24.09 > 6 (EBIT TTM 7.45b / Interest Expense TTM 309.2m) |
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 17.8b - Total Current Liabilities 14.7b) / Total Assets 63.6b |
| B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 3.13b / Total Assets 63.6b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 7.45b / Avg Total Assets 64.2b) |
| D: 0.29 (Book Value of Equity 14.1b / Total Liabilities 49.4b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.55 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.78 (Receivables 1.02b/1.20b, Revenue 26.5b/24.3b) |
| GMI: 0.93 (GM 38.07% / 40.96%) |
| AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.25) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 26.5b / 24.3b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 5.01b - CFO 8.66b) / TA 63.6b) |
| Beneish M = -3.29 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 47.71 with a total of 1,423,158 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.69%, over one month by +14.06%, over three months by +6.16% and over the past year by +40.35%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 45.80 (which is 4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Huazhu has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.53. Therefore, it is recommended to buy HTHT.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 60.2 | 26.1% |
Market Cap CNY = 102b (15.2b USD * 6.7199 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 35.3357
P/E Forward = 35.3357
P/S = 0.5719
P/B = 7.1406
P/EG = 0.2711
Revenue TTM = 26.5b CNY
EBIT TTM = 7.45b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 8.66b CNY
Long Term Debt = 479.0m CNY (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 4.54b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 63.8b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 29.6b
Net Debt = 48.1b CNY (calculated: Debt 63.8b - CCE 15.7b)
Enterprise Value = 150b CNY (102b + Debt 63.8b - CCE 15.7b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 24.09 (Ebit TTM 7.45b / Interest Expense TTM 309.2m)
EV/FCF = 19.02x (Enterprise Value 150b / FCF TTM 7.90b)
FCF Yield = 5.26% (FCF TTM 7.90b / Enterprise Value 150b)
FCF Margin = 29.88% (FCF TTM 7.90b / Revenue TTM 26.5b)
Net Margin = 18.94% (Net Income TTM 5.01b / Revenue TTM 26.5b)
Gross Margin = 40.96% ((Revenue TTM 26.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.6b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.08% (prev 38.76%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.36 (Enterprise Value 150b / Total Assets 63.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.48% (Interest Expense 309.2m / Debt 63.8b)
Taxrate = 32.06% (2.37b / 7.41b)
NOPAT = 5.06b (EBIT 7.45b * (1 - 32.06%))
Current Ratio = 1.21 (Total Current Assets 17.8b / Total Current Liabilities 14.7b)
Debt / Equity = 4.53 (Debt 63.8b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 14.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.56 (Net Debt 48.1b / EBITDA 8.66b)
Debt / FCF = 6.09 (Net Debt 48.1b / FCF TTM 7.90b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.4b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.80% (Net Income 5.01b / Total Assets 63.6b)
RoE = 40.34% (Net Income TTM 5.01b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.4b)
RoCE = 57.73% (EBIT 7.45b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.4b + L.T.Debt 479.0m))
RoIC = 9.70% (NOPAT 5.06b / Invested Capital 52.1b)
WACC = 4.40% (E(102b)/V(166b) * Re(6.94%) + D(63.8b)/V(166b) * Rd(0.48%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 6.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 20.86 | Cagr: 1.12%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈7.43b ; Y1≈8.52b ; Y5≈12.5b
[DCF] Fair Price = 457.3 (EV 189b - Net Debt 48.1b = Equity 141b / Shares 307.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 66.98 | EPS CAGR: 10.49% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.82 | Revenue CAGR: 8.50% | SUE: 0.17 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=6.11 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=18.52 | Chg30d=-0.91% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+19.2% | GrowthRev=+7.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=21.39 | Chg30d=-1.10% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+15.5% | GrowthRev=+6.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -17% (up=1, down=2)