(HTHT) Huazhu - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Lodging | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 16.063m USD | Total Return: 70.2% in 12m

Hotels, Lodging, Hospitality
Total Rating 69
Safety 66
Buy Signal 0.35
Lodging
Industry Rotation: +3.4
Market Cap: 16.1B
Avg Turnover: 78.2M USD
ATR: 3.26%
Peers RS (IBD): 84.5
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility36.5%
Rel. Tail Risk-7.13%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.24
Alpha34.99
Character TTM
Beta0.657
Beta Downside1.707
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD43.50%
CAGR/Max DD0.11
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of HTHT over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": -1.45, "2021-06": 1.43, "2021-09": -0.15, "2021-12": -0.7, "2022-03": -2.12, "2022-06": -2.7, "2022-09": -1.21, "2022-12": -0.82, "2023-03": 3.2, "2023-06": 3.27, "2023-09": 4.23, "2023-12": 2.04, "2024-03": 2.43, "2024-06": 3.88, "2024-09": 4.29, "2024-12": 1.03, "2025-03": 2.48, "2025-06": 4.24, "2025-09": 4.76, "2025-12": 4.06,
EPS CAGR: 74.47%
EPS Trend: 76.0%
Last SUE: 0.88
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of HTHT over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 2327, 2021-06: 3587, 2021-09: 3523, 2021-12: 3350, 2022-03: 2681, 2022-06: 3382, 2022-09: 4093, 2022-12: 4093, 2023-03: 4480, 2023-06: 5530, 2023-09: 6288, 2023-12: 5278, 2024-03: 5278, 2024-06: 6148, 2024-09: 6442, 2024-12: 6023, 2025-03: 5395, 2025-06: 6426, 2025-09: 6961, 2025-12: 6434.941478,
Rev. CAGR: 26.30%
Rev. Trend: 85.4%
Last SUE: -0.09
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings

Share dilution 942.8% YoY - potential capital distress

Altman Z'' 0.87 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: HTHT Huazhu

H World Group Limited (HTHT) operates hotels in China through leased, owned, manachised, and franchised models. The company manages a portfolio of brands, including HanTing Hotel, JI Hotel, and Novotel Hotel.

The hotel industry in China is characterized by a mix of domestic and international brands competing for market share. Franchising and manachising allow for rapid expansion with reduced capital expenditure for the parent company.

For further financial and operational insights, ValueRay offers detailed analysis.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Chinas domestic travel recovery boosts hotel occupancy
  • Expansion of hotel brands drives revenue growth
  • Increased operating costs impact profit margins
  • Regulatory changes in hospitality sector pose risks
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 7.5
Net Income: 5.06b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.00 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -6.71% < 20% (prev -0.44%; Δ -6.27% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 8.29b > Net Income 5.06b
Net Debt (25.55b) to EBITDA (8.67b): 2.95 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.91 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (325.7m) vs 12m ago 942.8% < -2%
Gross Margin: 39.39% > 18% (prev 0.37%; Δ 3.90k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 39.60% > 50% (prev 38.19%; Δ 1.40% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 22.13 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 8.67b / Interest Expense TTM 335.8m)
Altman Z'' 0.87
A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 17.45b - Total Current Liabilities 19.14b) / Total Assets 64.82b
B: 0.06 (Retained Earnings 3.62b / Total Assets 64.82b)
C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 7.43b / Avg Total Assets 63.68b)
D: 0.07 (Book Value of Equity 3.82b / Total Liabilities 51.85b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 0.87 = B
Beneish M -2.95
DSRI: 1.26 (Receivables 1.08b/817.0m, Revenue 25.22b/23.89b)
GMI: 0.95 (GM 39.39% / 37.30%)
AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.23 / AQ_t-1 0.26)
SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 25.22b / 23.89b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 5.06b - CFO 8.29b) / TA 64.82b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.95 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of HTHT shares? As of April 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 52.21 with a total of 1,137,200 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.83%, over one month by +1.18%, over three months by +7.52% and over the past year by +70.19%.
Is HTHT a buy, sell or hold? Huazhu has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.53. Therefore, it is recommended to buy HTHT.
  • StrongBuy: 10
  • Buy: 6
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HTHT price?
Analysts Target Price 59.7 14.3%
Huazhu (HTHT) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 22.5043
P/E Forward = 35.3357
P/S = 0.6347
P/B = 8.5703
P/EG = 0.2711
Revenue TTM = 25.22b USD
EBIT TTM = 7.43b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.67b USD
Long Term Debt = 722.0m USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 8.88b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 36.09b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 25.55b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 36.72b USD (16.06b + Debt 36.09b - CCE 15.44b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 22.13 (Ebit TTM 7.43b / Interest Expense TTM 335.8m)
EV/FCF = 4.92x (Enterprise Value 36.72b / FCF TTM 7.46b)
FCF Yield = 20.31% (FCF TTM 7.46b / Enterprise Value 36.72b)
FCF Margin = 29.57% (FCF TTM 7.46b / Revenue TTM 25.22b)
Net Margin = 20.08% (Net Income TTM 5.06b / Revenue TTM 25.22b)
Gross Margin = 39.39% ((Revenue TTM 25.22b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.28b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.91% (prev 41.65%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.57 (Enterprise Value 36.72b / Total Assets 64.82b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.23% (Interest Expense 84.8m / Debt 36.09b)
Taxrate = 32.52% (563.1m / 1.73b)
NOPAT = 5.01b (EBIT 7.43b * (1 - 32.52%))
Current Ratio = 0.91 (Total Current Assets 17.45b / Total Current Liabilities 19.14b)
Debt / Equity = 2.82 (Debt 36.09b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.81b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.95 (Net Debt 25.55b / EBITDA 8.67b)
Debt / FCF = 3.43 (Net Debt 25.55b / FCF TTM 7.46b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.84b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.95% (Net Income 5.06b / Total Assets 64.82b)
RoE = 42.79% (Net Income TTM 5.06b / Total Stockholder Equity 11.84b)
RoCE = 59.18% (EBIT 7.43b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.84b + L.T.Debt 722.0m))
RoIC = 27.91% (NOPAT 5.01b / Invested Capital 17.96b)
WACC = 2.66% (E(16.06b)/V(52.16b) * Re(8.29%) + D(36.09b)/V(52.16b) * Rd(0.23%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 8.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 1.32%
[DCF] Terminal Value 88.44% ; FCFF base≈7.10b ; Y1≈8.76b ; Y5≈14.95b
[DCF] Fair Price = 1.33k (EV 433.61b - Net Debt 25.55b = Equity 408.05b / Shares 307.7m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 76.01 | EPS CAGR: 74.47% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 85.39 | Revenue CAGR: 26.30% | SUE: -0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=4.80 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.378 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=17.97 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+1.289 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+15.7% | Growth Revenue=+5.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=21.23 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+2.230 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+18.1% | Growth Revenue=+6.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.00 (1 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 3.8% (Discount Rate 8.3% - Earnings Yield 4.4%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -0.0% (Analyst 3.8% - Implied 3.8%)
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