(HTLD) Heartland Express - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Trucking | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 1.112m USD | Total Return: 67.7% in 12m

Dry Van, Truckload, Freight, Temperature Controlled, Logistics
Total Rating 53
Safety 74
Buy Signal 0.68
Trucking
Industry Rotation: +0.2
Market Cap: 1.11B
Avg Turnover: 7.31M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility31.0%
VaR 5th Pctl5.30%
VaR vs Median3.81%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.38
Rel. Str. IBD90
Rel. Str. Peer Group78.1
Character TTM
Beta0.935
Beta Downside1.225
Hurst Exponent0.536
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD57.64%
CAGR/Max DD-0.03
CAGR/Mean DD-0.05
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of HTLD over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.17, "2021-06": 0.26, "2021-09": 0.31, "2021-12": 0.26, "2022-03": 0.21, "2022-06": 0.3, "2022-09": 0.33, "2022-12": 0.2, "2023-03": 0.16, "2023-06": 0.1, "2023-09": -0.14, "2023-12": 0.06, "2024-03": -0.19, "2024-06": -0.04, "2024-09": -0.12, "2024-12": -0.02, "2025-03": -0.18, "2025-06": -0.14, "2025-09": -0.11, "2025-12": -0.06, "2026-03": -0.06,
Last SUE: 1.30
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of HTLD over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 152.402, 2021-06: 154.128, 2021-09: 152.612, 2021-12: 148.142, 2022-03: 151.275, 2022-06: 187.821, 2022-09: 273.976, 2022-12: 354.923, 2023-03: 330.916, 2023-06: 306.169, 2023-09: 295.026, 2023-12: 275.347, 2024-03: 270.32, 2024-06: 274.754, 2024-09: 259.861, 2024-12: 242.576, 2025-03: 219.42, 2025-06: 210.387, 2025-09: 196.547, 2025-12: 179.355, 2026-03: 176.256,
Rev. CAGR: -17.21%
Rev. Trend: -98.5%
Last SUE: 0.09
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio -4.2 is critical

Tailwinds

Supp Ema20, Rs Leader, Tailwind, Confidence

Description: HTLD Heartland Express

Heartland Express (HTLD) is an Iowa-based asset-based transportation company providing dry van and temperature-controlled truckload services across North America. Operating through brands including Millis Transfer, Smith Transport, and CFI, the company serves a diversified client base spanning the retail, manufacturing, and automotive sectors. As an asset-based carrier, Heartland owns and maintains its fleet of tractors and trailers, a model that allows for greater control over capacity and service quality compared to non-asset brokerage firms.

The cargo ground transportation sector is highly cyclical and sensitive to changes in fuel costs and national freight volumes. Heartland focuses on short-to-long-haul routes, positioning itself within a fragmented industry where scale and driver retention are primary competitive advantages. Investors can utilize ValueRay to examine the companys historical margin performance and debt levels.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Freight rate fluctuations impact core operating margins across North American truckload segments
  • Integration of CFI and Smith Transport acquisitions dictates long-term earnings growth
  • Diesel fuel price volatility directly affects net income and surcharge recovery efficiency
  • Driver recruitment and retention costs influence fleet utilization and operating ratios
  • Consumer spending trends in retail and manufacturing drive overall shipment volume demand
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: -43.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.22 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 4.02% < 20% (prev -1.51%; Δ 5.53% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 86.6m > Net Income -43.4m
Net Debt (111.9m) to EBITDA (107.8m): 1.04 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.27 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (77.5m) vs 12m ago -1.47% < -2%
Gross Margin: 9.10% > 18% (prev 0.10%; Δ 899.9% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 60.38% > 50% (prev 74.11%; Δ -13.73% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -4.24 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 107.8m / Interest Expense TTM 10.6m)
Altman Z'' 4.91
A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 143.2m - Total Current Liabilities 112.6m) / Total Assets 1.18b
B: 0.81 (Retained Earnings 959.0m / Total Assets 1.18b)
C: -0.04 (EBIT TTM -45.0m / Avg Total Assets 1.26b)
D: 2.22 (Book Value of Equity 959.9m / Total Liabilities 431.9m)
Altman-Z'' = 4.91 = AAA
Beneish M -3.10
DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 77.8m/95.0m, Revenue 762.5m/996.6m)
GMI: 1.12 (GM 9.10% / 10.19%)
AQI: 1.08 (AQ_t 0.34 / AQ_t-1 0.32)
SGI: 0.77 (Revenue 762.5m / 996.6m)
TATA: -0.11 (NI -43.4m - CFO 86.6m) / TA 1.18b)
Beneish M = -3.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of HTLD shares?

As of May 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 14.99 with a total of 284,916 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.97%, over one month by +13.13%, over three months by +36.18% and over the past year by +67.67%.

Is HTLD a buy, sell or hold?

Heartland Express has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.60. Therefore, it is recommended to hold HTLD.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 2
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the HTLD price?
Analysts Target Price 12.4 -17.3%
Heartland Express (HTLD) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 26 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.11b (1.11b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 21.0526
P/S = 1.4582
P/B = 1.4846
P/EG = 1.6765
Revenue TTM = 762.5m USD
EBIT TTM = -45.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 107.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 149.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.86m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 156.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.27m
Net Debt = 111.9m USD (calculated: Debt 156.4m - CCE 44.5m)
Enterprise Value = 1.22b USD (1.11b + Debt 156.4m - CCE 44.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.24 (Ebit TTM -45.0m / Interest Expense TTM 10.6m)
EV/FCF = -19.12x (Enterprise Value 1.22b / FCF TTM -64.0m)
FCF Yield = -5.23% (FCF TTM -64.0m / Enterprise Value 1.22b)
FCF Margin = -8.39% (FCF TTM -64.0m / Revenue TTM 762.5m)
Net Margin = -5.69% (Net Income TTM -43.4m / Revenue TTM 762.5m)
Gross Margin = 9.10% ((Revenue TTM 762.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 693.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.61% (prev 9.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.04 (Enterprise Value 1.22b / Total Assets 1.18b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.77% (Interest Expense 10.6m / Debt 156.4m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -35.5m (EBIT -45.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.27 (Total Current Assets 143.2m / Total Current Liabilities 112.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.21 (Debt 156.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 749.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.04 (Net Debt 111.9m / EBITDA 107.8m)
 Debt / FCF = -1.75 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 111.9m / FCF TTM -64.0m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 766.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.44% (Net Income -43.4m / Total Assets 1.18b)
RoE = -5.66% (Net Income TTM -43.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 766.7m)
RoCE = -4.90% (EBIT -45.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 766.7m + L.T.Debt 149.9m))
 RoIC = -3.46% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -35.5m / Invested Capital 1.03b)
 WACC = 8.79% (E(1.11b)/V(1.27b) * Re(9.27%) + D(156.4m)/V(1.27b) * Rd(6.77%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -82.22 | Cagr: -0.93%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -64.0m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 1.30 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -98.47 | Revenue CAGR: -17.21% | SUE: 0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=+103.44% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.03 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.02 | Chg30d=+109.32% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+104.7% | GrowthRev=-7.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.51 | Chg30d=+26.89% | Revisions=+43% | GrowthEPS=+2138.0% | GrowthRev=+7.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +43%