(HTZ) Hertz Global Holdings - Overview
Stock: Vehicle Rental, Fleet Sales, Value-Added Services
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 66.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.9% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.64 |
| Alpha | 11.24 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.868 |
| Beta Downside | 0.129 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 86.86% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.39 |
Description: HTZ Hertz Global Holdings January 15, 2026
Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:HTZ) is a worldwide vehicle-rental operator that serves customers through its Hertz, Dollar, and Thrifty brands. The business is split into two reporting segments-Americas RAC and International RAC-and delivers rentals via company-owned locations, licensed partners, and franchisees across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, Africa, the Caribbean, and Latin America. In addition to rentals, Hertz generates ancillary revenue by selling used vehicles and offering value-added services such as insurance and maintenance packages. Founded in 1918, the firm is headquartered in Estero, Florida.
Key recent metrics (as of FY 2023): a fleet of roughly 530,000 vehicles, of which ~15 % are electric or plug-in hybrids; total revenue of $7.1 billion; a net loss of $1.5 billion driven largely by debt-service costs, leaving a leverage ratio of about 5.2× EBITDA; and an average fleet utilization rate of 78 %, which is modest relative to the industry median of ~85 %.
Primary economic drivers for Hertz include: (1) macro-level travel demand, which is highly sensitive to consumer confidence, corporate expense policies, and airline capacity; (2) fuel price volatility, which impacts both operating costs and customer rental preferences (e.g., shift toward fuel-efficient or electric models); and (3) the pace of fleet electrification, where government incentives and tightening emissions standards create both cost pressures and new revenue opportunities through EV rentals and related charging services.
For a deeper, data-driven view of Hertz’s valuation dynamics, you might explore the analyst tools on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income: -1.03b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 25.18 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.29% < 20% (prev -25.91%; Δ 30.20% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 1.85b > Net Income -1.03b |
| Net Debt (6.85b) to EBITDA (2.39b): 2.87 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.11 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (364.0m) vs 12m ago 18.57% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 10.89% > 18% (prev 0.02%; Δ 1087 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 37.05% > 50% (prev 40.01%; Δ -2.96% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.07 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.39b / Interest Expense TTM 1.09b) |
Altman Z'' -0.50
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 3.54b - Total Current Liabilities 3.17b) / Total Assets 22.99b |
| B: -0.13 (Retained Earnings -3.06b / Total Assets 22.99b) |
| C: -0.00 (EBIT TTM -81.0m / Avg Total Assets 22.98b) |
| D: -0.14 (Book Value of Equity -3.32b / Total Liabilities 23.31b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.50 = B |
Beneish M -2.55
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 1.21b/1.34b, Revenue 8.52b/9.19b) |
| GMI: 0.16 (GM 10.89% / 1.73%) |
| AQI: 3.44 (AQ_t 0.72 / AQ_t-1 0.21) |
| SGI: 0.93 (Revenue 8.52b / 9.19b) |
| TATA: -0.13 (NI -1.03b - CFO 1.85b) / TA 22.99b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.55 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of HTZ shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.96%, over one month by -6.21%, over three months by -14.47% and over the past year by +23.02%.
Is HTZ a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 4
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HTZ price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 4.9 | -8.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 4.9 | -8.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 4.2 | -20.8% |
HTZ Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/S = 0.1888
P/B = 0.5369
Revenue TTM = 8.52b USD
EBIT TTM = -81.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.39b USD
Long Term Debt = 16.04b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 160.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.94b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 6.85b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.45b USD (1.61b + Debt 7.94b - CCE 1.09b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.07 (Ebit TTM -81.0m / Interest Expense TTM 1.09b)
EV/FCF = 4.29x (Enterprise Value 8.45b / FCF TTM 1.97b)
FCF Yield = 23.29% (FCF TTM 1.97b / Enterprise Value 8.45b)
FCF Margin = 23.12% (FCF TTM 1.97b / Revenue TTM 8.52b)
Net Margin = -12.12% (Net Income TTM -1.03b / Revenue TTM 8.52b)
Gross Margin = 10.89% ((Revenue TTM 8.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.59b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.87% (prev 14.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.37 (Enterprise Value 8.45b / Total Assets 22.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.58% (Interest Expense 284.0m / Debt 7.94b)
Taxrate = 21.37% (50.0m / 234.0m)
NOPAT = -63.7m (EBIT -81.0m * (1 - 21.37%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.11 (Total Current Assets 3.54b / Total Current Liabilities 3.17b)
Debt / Equity = -25.05 (negative equity) (Debt 7.94b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -317.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.87 (Net Debt 6.85b / EBITDA 2.39b)
Debt / FCF = 3.48 (Net Debt 6.85b / FCF TTM 1.97b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -232.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.49% (Net Income -1.03b / Total Assets 22.99b)
RoE = 443.9% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -1.03b / Total Stockholder Equity -232.5m)
RoCE = -0.51% (EBIT -81.0m / Capital Employed (Equity -232.5m + L.T.Debt 16.04b))
RoIC = -0.38% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -63.7m / Invested Capital 16.81b)
WACC = 3.87% (E(1.61b)/V(9.55b) * Re(9.11%) + D(7.94b)/V(9.55b) * Rd(3.58%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 9.07%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 85.05% ; FCFF base≈1.97b ; Y1≈1.75b ; Y5≈1.45b
Fair Price DCF = 119.4 (EV 44.04b - Net Debt 6.85b = Equity 37.19b / Shares 311.6m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -13.91% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -62.21 | EPS CAGR: -11.37% | SUE: 1.55 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 17.52 | Revenue CAGR: 6.61% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.59 | Chg30d=-0.040 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.52 | Chg30d=+0.089 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+72.0% | Growth Revenue=+3.7%