HUBG Stock Analysis: Hub | NASDAQ
Integrated Freight & Logistics | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 2.868m USD | 12M Return: 33.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 32.7M
EPS Trend: -84.0%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -93.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) is a North American supply chain solutions provider that operates through two segments: Intermodal and Transportation Solutions (ITS), and Logistics. The ITS segment offers intermodal, dedicated trucking, and related freight services, while the Logistics segment provides transportation management, freight brokerage, warehousing, fulfillment, and final mile delivery. As of December 31, 2024, the company operated a fleet of approximately 2,300 tractors, 3,200 employee drivers, 500 independent owner-operators, and 4,700 trailers, along with roughly 50,000 dry and 53-foot containers and 900 refrigerated 53-foot containers. Hub Group serves industries such as retail, consumer products, automotive, and durable goods, and was founded in 1971, with its headquarters in Oak Brook, Illinois. Within the Air Freight & Logistics sub-industry, Hub Groups business model combines asset-based intermodal container operations with non-asset brokerage and managed transportation services, a hybrid approach common among large North American 3PL providers.
- Intermodal volumes rebound on recovering import demand
- Diesel fuel volatility pressures operating margin
- Dedicated trucking contract wins expand revenue base
| Net Income: 105.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.70 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.79% < 20% (prev 4.74%; Δ 2.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 160.2m > Net Income 105.0m |
| Net Debt (622.8m) to EBITDA (337.5m): 1.85 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.47 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (60.3m) vs 12m ago -1.03% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 48.68% > 18% (prev 8.46%; Δ 40.22% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 130.1% > 50% (prev 139.7%; Δ -9.64% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.77 > 6 (EBIT TTM 149.6m / Interest Expense TTM 12.7m) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 788.3m - Total Current Liabilities 535.0m) / Total Assets 2.90b |
| B: 0.72 (Retained Earnings 2.08b / Total Assets 2.90b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 149.6m / Avg Total Assets 2.87b) |
| D: 1.49 (Book Value of Equity 1.70b / Total Liabilities 1.15b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.82 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.10 (Receivables 605.8m/582.0m, Revenue 3.73b/3.96b) |
| GMI: 0.17 (GM 8.46% / 48.68%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.37) |
| SGI: 0.94 (Revenue 3.73b / 3.96b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 105.0m - CFO 160.2m) / TA 2.90b) |
| Beneish M = -3.71 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of July 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 46.20 with a total of 449,433 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.80%, over one month by -0.39%, over three months by +18.20% and over the past year by +33.64%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 43.40 (which is 6.1% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).
Hub has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.56. Therefore, it is recommended to hold HUBG.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 41.6 | -9.9% |
P/E Trailing = 26.3483
P/E Forward = 21.978
P/S = 0.7692
P/B = 1.6438
P/EG = 2.268
Revenue TTM = 3.73b USD
EBIT TTM = 149.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 337.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 160.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 141.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 742.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 243.8m
Net Debt = 622.8m USD (calculated: Debt 742.5m - CCE 119.7m)
Enterprise Value = 3.49b USD (2.87b + Debt 742.5m - CCE 119.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.77 (Ebit TTM 149.6m / Interest Expense TTM 12.7m)
EV/FCF = 30.78x (Enterprise Value 3.49b / FCF TTM 113.4m)
FCF Yield = 3.25% (FCF TTM 113.4m / Enterprise Value 3.49b)
FCF Margin = 3.04% (FCF TTM 113.4m / Revenue TTM 3.73b)
Net Margin = 2.82% (Net Income TTM 105.0m / Revenue TTM 3.73b)
Gross Margin = 48.68% ((Revenue TTM 3.73b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.91b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 8.17% (prev 84.18%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.20 (Enterprise Value 3.49b / Total Assets 2.90b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.71% (Interest Expense 12.7m / Debt 742.5m)
Taxrate = 22.90% (31.3m / 136.9m)
NOPAT = 115.3m (EBIT 149.6m * (1 - 22.90%))
Current Ratio = 1.47 (Total Current Assets 788.3m / Total Current Liabilities 535.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.44 (Debt 742.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.70b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.85 (Net Debt 622.8m / EBITDA 337.5m)
Debt / FCF = 5.49 (Net Debt 622.8m / FCF TTM 113.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.67b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.66% (Net Income 105.0m / Total Assets 2.90b)
RoE = 6.30% (Net Income TTM 105.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.67b)
RoCE = 8.18% (EBIT 149.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.67b + L.T.Debt 160.5m))
RoIC = 4.83% (NOPAT 115.3m / Invested Capital 2.39b)
WACC = 8.17% (E(2.87b)/V(3.61b) * Re(9.94%) + D(742.5m)/V(3.61b) * Rd(1.71%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -91.11 | Cagr: -2.99%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈154.3m ; Y1≈135.3m ; Y5≈109.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 18.69 (EV 1.76b - Net Debt 622.8m = Equity 1.13b / Shares 60.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -83.99 | EPS CAGR: -22.64% | SUE: 1.06 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -93.88 | Revenue CAGR: -12.11% | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.01 | Chg30d=+0.28% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+9.8% | GrowthRev=+3.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=0, down=0)