(HUBG) Hub - Overview
Stock: Intermodal, Logistics, Trucking, Brokerage, Warehousing
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.35% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.75% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 0.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 36.2% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 76.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.3% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.07 |
| Alpha | -18.87 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.031 |
| Beta Downside | 1.044 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 40.84% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.08 |
Description: HUBG Hub January 13, 2026
Hub Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:HUBG) is a North-American supply-chain solutions provider that operates two primary segments: Intermodal & Transportation Solutions (ITS) and Logistics. The ITS segment delivers a range of trucking services-including truckload, LTL, flatbed, temperature-controlled, and dedicated routes-while the Logistics segment offers transportation management, freight brokerage, load optimization, warehousing, cross-docking, and final-mile delivery. The company serves diversified end-markets such as retail, consumer products, automotive, and durable goods, and it maintains a sizable asset base of roughly 2,300 tractors, 4,700 trailers, 50,000 dry containers, and 900 refrigerated containers as of 31 Dec 2024.
Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year (2024) show revenue of approximately $2.1 billion, an EBITDA margin of 6.5% and an operating ratio near 96%, reflecting modest profitability in a capital-intensive industry. Volume trends indicate a 4% YoY increase in intermodal shipments, driven by continued rail capacity constraints and higher e-commerce freight demand. However, trucking rates have been volatile, with spot LTL pricing up 12% year-to-date but showing signs of softening as driver shortages ease and new capacity returns to the market-an uncertainty that could compress margins if rates retreat faster than cost reductions.
For a deeper, data-driven look at HUBG’s valuation and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a concise dashboard that can help you assess the upside and downside risks.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 105.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.70 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.79% < 20% (prev 4.74%; Δ 2.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 160.2m > Net Income 105.0m |
| Net Debt (379.1m) to EBITDA (337.5m): 1.12 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.47 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (60.3m) vs 12m ago -1.03% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 48.68% > 18% (prev 0.08%; Δ 4859 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 130.1% > 50% (prev 139.7%; Δ -9.64% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.18 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 337.5m / Interest Expense TTM 11.3m) |
Altman Z'' 5.17
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 788.3m - Total Current Liabilities 535.0m) / Total Assets 2.90b |
| B: 0.72 (Retained Earnings 2.08b / Total Assets 2.90b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 149.6m / Avg Total Assets 2.87b) |
| D: 1.82 (Book Value of Equity 2.09b / Total Liabilities 1.15b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 5.17 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.75
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 592.2m/582.0m, Revenue 3.73b/3.96b) |
| GMI: 0.17 (GM 48.68% / 8.46%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.37) |
| SGI: 0.94 (Revenue 3.73b / 3.96b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 105.0m - CFO 160.2m) / TA 2.90b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.75 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of HUBG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.81%, over one month by -7.45%, over three months by +21.06% and over the past year by -1.72%.
Is HUBG a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HUBG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 48 | 14.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 48 | 14.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 42 | 0% |
HUBG Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 22.7273
P/S = 0.7812
P/B = 1.7092
P/EG = 2.1225
Revenue TTM = 3.73b USD
EBIT TTM = 149.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 337.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 160.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 141.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 498.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 379.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.29b USD (2.91b + Debt 498.8m - CCE 119.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.18 (Ebit TTM 149.6m / Interest Expense TTM 11.3m)
EV/FCF = 29.02x (Enterprise Value 3.29b / FCF TTM 113.4m)
FCF Yield = 3.45% (FCF TTM 113.4m / Enterprise Value 3.29b)
FCF Margin = 3.04% (FCF TTM 113.4m / Revenue TTM 3.73b)
Net Margin = 2.82% (Net Income TTM 105.0m / Revenue TTM 3.73b)
Gross Margin = 48.68% ((Revenue TTM 3.73b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.91b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 8.17% (prev 84.18%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.13 (Enterprise Value 3.29b / Total Assets 2.90b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.33% (Interest Expense 1.66m / Debt 498.8m)
Taxrate = 24.90% (9.59m / 38.5m)
NOPAT = 112.3m (EBIT 149.6m * (1 - 24.90%))
Current Ratio = 1.47 (Total Current Assets 788.3m / Total Current Liabilities 535.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.29 (Debt 498.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.70b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.12 (Net Debt 379.1m / EBITDA 337.5m)
Debt / FCF = 3.34 (Net Debt 379.1m / FCF TTM 113.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.67b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.66% (Net Income 105.0m / Total Assets 2.90b)
RoE = 6.30% (Net Income TTM 105.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.67b)
RoCE = 8.18% (EBIT 149.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.67b + L.T.Debt 160.5m))
RoIC = 5.86% (NOPAT 112.3m / Invested Capital 1.92b)
WACC = 8.34% (E(2.91b)/V(3.41b) * Re(9.72%) + D(498.8m)/V(3.41b) * Rd(0.33%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.72% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.81%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.93% ; FCFF base≈154.3m ; Y1≈154.9m ; Y5≈165.2m
Fair Price DCF = 38.70 (EV 2.72b - Net Debt 379.1m = Equity 2.34b / Shares 60.6m; r=8.34% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -0.15% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -92.19 | EPS CAGR: -65.15% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -91.79 | Revenue CAGR: -7.59% | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.42 | Chg30d=-0.006 | Revisions Net=-5 | Analysts=12
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.11 | Chg30d=-0.054 | Revisions Net=-5 | Growth EPS=+15.2% | Growth Revenue=+2.8%