HUBG Stock Analysis: Hub | NASDAQ
Integrated Freight & Logistics | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.616m USD | 12M Return: -25.6% | US4433201062 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 43.0M
EPS Trend: -79.1%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: -93.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) is a North American supply chain solutions provider that operates through two segments: Intermodal and Transportation Solutions (ITS), which offers intermodal and dedicated trucking services across multiple freight modes (dry van, refrigerated, flatbed, LTL, expedited), and Logistics, which provides asset-light services such as transportation management, freight brokerage, warehousing, cross-docking, and final mile delivery. As of December 31, 2024, the company operated a fleet of approximately 2,300 tractors and 4,700 trailers, supported around 3,200 employee drivers and 500 independent owner-operators, and owned roughly 50,000 dry and 900 refrigerated 53-foot containers. Its customer base spans retail, consumer products, automotive, and durable goods industries.
Founded in 1971 and headquartered in Oak Brook, Illinois, Hub Group has been publicly traded on NASDAQ since its 1996 IPO. The company sits within the GICS Industrials sector, specifically the Air Freight & Logistics sub-industry, and is generally regarded as one of the larger intermodal marketing companies in North America, connecting rail and truck capacity for shippers.
Hub Groups business model combines asset-based operations (owned containers, tractors, trailers, and employee drivers) with asset-light brokerage and logistics services, giving it flexibility to scale capacity up or down with freight demand. This hybrid approach allows the firm to capture margins from both owned equipment utilization and third-party carrier management.
- Intermodal volumes recover as import demand strengthens
- Dedicated trucking margins pressured by elevated driver wages
- Logistics segment growth driven by brokerage and e-commerce demand
- Capital allocation focuses on fleet expansion and share repurchases
| Net Income: 105.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.70 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.79% < 20% (prev 4.74%; Δ 2.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 160.2m > Net Income 105.0m |
| Net Debt (622.8m) to EBITDA (337.5m): 1.85 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.47 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (60.3m) vs 12m ago -1.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 47.69% > 18% (prev 8.46%; Δ 39.23% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 130.1% > 50% (prev 139.7%; Δ -9.64% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.77 > 6 (EBIT TTM 149.6m / Interest Expense TTM 12.7m) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 788.3m - Total Current Liabilities 535.0m) / Total Assets 2.90b |
| B: 0.72 (Retained Earnings 2.08b / Total Assets 2.90b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 149.6m / Avg Total Assets 2.87b) |
| D: 1.49 (Book Value of Equity 1.70b / Total Liabilities 1.15b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.82 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.10 (Receivables 605.8m/582.0m, Revenue 3.73b/3.96b) |
| GMI: 0.18 (GM 8.46% / 47.69%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.37) |
| SGI: 0.94 (Revenue 3.73b / 3.96b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 105.0m - CFO 160.2m) / TA 2.90b) |
| Beneish M = -3.71 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of October 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 25.76 with a total of 1,218,892 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -13.47%, over one month by -26.83%, over three months by -44.86% and over the past year by -25.62%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 23.90 (which is 7.2% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Hub has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.69. Therefore, it is recommended to hold HUBG.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 37.7 | 46.2% |
P/E Trailing = 15.1897
P/E Forward = 15.1976
P/S = 0.4335
P/B = 1.1243
P/EG = 1.9233
Revenue TTM = 3.73b USD
EBIT TTM = 149.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 337.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 160.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 141.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 742.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 243.8m
Net Debt = 622.8m USD (calculated: Debt 742.5m - CCE 119.7m)
Enterprise Value = 2.24b USD (1.62b + Debt 742.5m - CCE 119.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.77 (Ebit TTM 149.6m / Interest Expense TTM 12.7m)
EV/FCF = 19.74x (Enterprise Value 2.24b / FCF TTM 113.4m)
FCF Yield = 5.07% (FCF TTM 113.4m / Enterprise Value 2.24b)
FCF Margin = 3.04% (FCF TTM 113.4m / Revenue TTM 3.73b)
Net Margin = 2.82% (Net Income TTM 105.0m / Revenue TTM 3.73b)
Gross Margin = 47.69% ((Revenue TTM 3.73b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 4.22% (prev 84.18%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.77 (Enterprise Value 2.24b / Total Assets 2.90b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.71% (Interest Expense 12.7m / Debt 742.5m)
Taxrate = 22.90% (31.3m / 136.9m)
NOPAT = 115.3m (EBIT 149.6m * (1 - 22.90%))
Current Ratio = 1.47 (Total Current Assets 788.3m / Total Current Liabilities 535.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.44 (Debt 742.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.70b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.85 (Net Debt 622.8m / EBITDA 337.5m)
Debt / FCF = 5.49 (Net Debt 622.8m / FCF TTM 113.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.67b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.66% (Net Income 105.0m / Total Assets 2.90b)
RoE = 6.30% (Net Income TTM 105.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.67b)
RoCE = 8.18% (EBIT 149.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.67b + L.T.Debt 160.5m))
RoIC = 4.83% (NOPAT 115.3m / Invested Capital 2.39b)
WACC = 7.03% (E(1.62b)/V(2.36b) * Re(9.65%) + D(742.5m)/V(2.36b) * Rd(1.71%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -91.95 | Cagr: -2.98%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈154.3m ; Y1≈135.3m ; Y5≈109.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 18.69 (EV 1.76b - Net Debt 622.8m = Equity 1.13b / Shares 60.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -79.09 | EPS CAGR: -15.32% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -93.88 | Revenue CAGR: -12.11% | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.16 | Chg30d=+1.81% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+19.1% | GrowthRev=+1.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -25% (up=0, down=1)