(HYMC) Hycroft Mining Holding - Ratings and Ratios
Gold, Silver, Exploration, Development, Mining
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 168% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 237% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.32% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.95 |
| Alpha | 985.54 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.95 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.471 |
| Beta | 0.664 |
| Beta Downside | 0.868 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 74.38% |
| Mean DD | 49.27% |
| Median DD | 53.57% |
Description: HYMC Hycroft Mining Holding November 14, 2025
Hycroft Mining Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: HYMC) is a U.S.-based explorer and developer focused on gold and silver projects in Nevada. Its flagship Hycroft Mine comprises 30 patented claims covering roughly 1,787 acres and an additional 3,247 unpatented claims spanning about 62,298 acres, giving the company a sizable land package in a jurisdiction that accounts for roughly 70 % of U.S. gold output.
Key metrics to watch include the company’s 2024 cash balance of approximately $45 million, which funds ongoing drilling and permitting, and its projected capital expenditure of $30-$35 million to advance the Hycroft project toward a pre-production feasibility study. Sector-wide, Nevada’s gold mining sector benefits from a low-cost operating environment (average cash cost ≈ $850/oz) and a gold price that has risen above $2,000 per ounce, bolstering the economic upside of new deposits.
For a data-rich, model-driven perspective on HYMC’s valuation assumptions, you may find ValueRay’s analysis a useful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income (-45.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 476.8k TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 12.41pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 1734 % (prev -2214 %; Δ 3949 pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO -30.3m > Net Income -45.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 19.04 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (42.5m) change vs 12m ago 76.46% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin -4.97% (prev 494.1%; Δ -499.0pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 4.19% (prev -1.65%; Δ 5.84pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -1.84 (EBITDA TTM -22.3m / Interest Expense TTM 13.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -13.25
| (A) 0.60 = (Total Current Assets 145.4m - Total Current Liabilities 7.64m) / Total Assets 230.6m |
| (B) -3.55 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -818.9m / Total Assets 230.6m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -3.55 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.13 = EBIT TTM -25.4m / Avg Total Assets 189.8m |
| (D) -4.47 = Book Value of Equity -818.9m / Total Liabilities 183.1m |
| Total Rating: -13.25 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 30.19
| 1. Piotroski 0.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -2.50% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.83 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.22 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -24.82)% |
| 7. RoE 399.3% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -59.89% |
| 9. EPS Trend -20.50% |
What is the price of HYMC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +78.29%, over one month by +156.53%, over three months by +307.18% and over the past year by +1123.53%.
Is HYMC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HYMC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 13 | -47.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 13 | -47.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 21.9 | -12.2% |
HYMC Fundamental Data Overview December 20, 2025
P/S = 0.9896
P/B = 26.173
Beta = 2.721
Revenue TTM = 7.95m USD
EBIT TTM = -25.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -22.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 134.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 60.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 134.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -4.86m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.24b USD (1.24b + Debt 134.2m - CCE 139.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.84 (Ebit TTM -25.4m / Interest Expense TTM 13.8m)
FCF Yield = -2.50% (FCF TTM -31.0m / Enterprise Value 1.24b)
FCF Margin = -389.8% (FCF TTM -31.0m / Revenue TTM 7.95m)
Net Margin = -574.0% (Net Income TTM -45.6m / Revenue TTM 7.95m)
Gross Margin = -4.97% ((Revenue TTM 7.95m - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.34m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.37 (Enterprise Value 1.24b / Total Assets 230.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.66% (Interest Expense 3.56m / Debt 134.2m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -20.1m (EBIT -25.4m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 19.04 (Total Current Assets 145.4m / Total Current Liabilities 7.64m)
Debt / Equity = 2.83 (Debt 134.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 47.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.22 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -4.86m / EBITDA -22.3m)
Debt / FCF = 0.16 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -4.86m / FCF TTM -31.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -11.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -19.78% (Net Income -45.6m / Total Assets 230.6m)
RoE = 399.3% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -45.6m / Total Stockholder Equity -11.4m)
RoCE = -20.69% (EBIT -25.4m / Capital Employed (Equity -11.4m + L.T.Debt 134.2m))
RoIC = -16.98% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -20.1m / Invested Capital 118.1m)
WACC = 7.84% (E(1.24b)/V(1.38b) * Re(8.46%) + D(134.2m)/V(1.38b) * Rd(2.66%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 43.08%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -31.0m)
EPS Correlation: -20.50 | EPS CAGR: 7.35% | SUE: -0.06 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -59.89 | Revenue CAGR: -40.19% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.06 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.18 | Chg30d=+0.110 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+78.6% | Growth Revenue=-50.0%
Additional Sources for HYMC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle