(HYMC) Hycroft Mining Holding - Overview
Stock: Gold, Silver, Exploration, Development, Nevada
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 146% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -13.3% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.81 |
| Alpha | 987.31 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.658 |
| Beta Downside | 0.290 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 67.82% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.37 |
Description: HYMC Hycroft Mining Holding January 17, 2026
Hycroft Mining Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: HYMC) is a U.S.-based explorer and developer focused on gold and silver projects in Nevada. Its flagship asset is the Hycroft mine, comprising 30 patented claims (≈ 1,787 acres) and 3,247 unpatented claims (≈ 62,298 acres) spread across the state’s prolific Basin-Ridge corridor.
Key operational metrics (as of the most recent 10-K filing) show ≈ 2.2 Moz of inferred gold resources at an estimated cash-cost of $1,100 / oz, with a target to advance a 5-year, 2-phase development plan that could deliver up to ≈ 250,000 oz / yr at a projected all-in sustaining cost (AISC) below $1,200 / oz. The company’s balance sheet reported ≈ $35 M in cash and equivalents, sufficient to fund near-term drilling and permitting, but additional financing will be required to reach production.
Sector-wide, Nevada accounts for roughly 40 % of U.S. gold output, and the state’s low-tax, mining-friendly regulatory environment remains a core driver for project economics. Moreover, the current gold price (≈ $2,050 / oz) and expectations of continued Fed rate hikes support a bullish backdrop for junior miners, though price volatility adds execution risk.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst tools to model HYMC’s upside under different cost and price scenarios.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income: -45.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 12.41 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1734 % < 20% (prev -2214 %; Δ 3949 % < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.13 > 3% & CFO -30.3m > Net Income -45.6m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 19.04 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (42.5m) vs 12m ago 76.46% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: -4.97% > 18% (prev 6.79%; Δ -1176 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 4.19% > 50% (prev -1.65%; Δ 5.84% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -1.82 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -22.3m / Interest Expense TTM 13.8m) |
Altman Z'' -13.24
| A: 0.60 (Total Current Assets 145.4m - Total Current Liabilities 7.64m) / Total Assets 230.6m |
| B: -3.55 (Retained Earnings -818.9m / Total Assets 230.6m) |
| C: -0.13 (EBIT TTM -25.0m / Avg Total Assets 189.8m) |
| D: -4.47 (Book Value of Equity -818.9m / Total Liabilities 183.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -13.24 = D |
What is the price of HYMC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.39%, over one month by +21.07%, over three months by +377.76% and over the past year by +1235.52%.
Is HYMC a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HYMC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 13 | -62.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 13 | -62.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 28.7 | -17% |
HYMC Fundamental Data Overview January 31, 2026
P/B = 90.385
Revenue TTM = 7.95m USD
EBIT TTM = -25.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -22.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 134.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 60.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 134.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -4.86m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.79b USD (3.80b + Debt 134.2m - CCE 139.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.82 (Ebit TTM -25.0m / Interest Expense TTM 13.8m)
EV/FCF = -122.4x (Enterprise Value 3.79b / FCF TTM -31.0m)
FCF Yield = -0.82% (FCF TTM -31.0m / Enterprise Value 3.79b)
FCF Margin = -389.8% (FCF TTM -31.0m / Revenue TTM 7.95m)
Net Margin = -574.0% (Net Income TTM -45.6m / Revenue TTM 7.95m)
Gross Margin = -4.97% ((Revenue TTM 7.95m - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.34m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 16.44 (Enterprise Value 3.79b / Total Assets 230.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.66% (Interest Expense 3.56m / Debt 134.2m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -19.8m (EBIT -25.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 19.04 (Total Current Assets 145.4m / Total Current Liabilities 7.64m)
Debt / Equity = 2.83 (Debt 134.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 47.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.22 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -4.86m / EBITDA -22.3m)
Debt / FCF = 0.16 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -4.86m / FCF TTM -31.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -11.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -24.03% (Net Income -45.6m / Total Assets 230.6m)
RoE = 399.3% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -45.6m / Total Stockholder Equity -11.4m)
RoCE = -20.40% (EBIT -25.0m / Capital Employed (Equity -11.4m + L.T.Debt 134.2m))
RoIC = -16.75% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -19.8m / Invested Capital 118.1m)
WACC = 8.13% (E(3.80b)/V(3.93b) * Re(8.34%) + D(134.2m)/V(3.93b) * Rd(2.66%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 32.59%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -31.0m)
EPS Correlation: -19.02 | EPS CAGR: 8.09% | SUE: 0.35 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -59.89 | Revenue CAGR: -40.19% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.07 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.26 | Chg30d=-0.080 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+74.0% | Growth Revenue=-50.0%