ICLR Stock Analysis: ICON | NASDAQ

Diagnostics & Research | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 12.692m USD | 12M Return: -12.5% | IE0005711209 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Clinical Trials, Laboratory Testing, Consulting Advisory, Commercialization
Total Rating 32
Safety 74
Buy Signal -0.82
Diagnostics & Research
Industry Rotation: +7.2
Market Cap: 12.7B
Avg Turnover: 175M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility46.3%
VaR 5th Pctl6.89%
VaR vs Median-7.06%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.11
Rel. Str. IBD54.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group8.6
Character TTM
Beta0.676
Beta Downside0.937
Hurst Exponent0.494
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD76.87%
CAGR/Max DD-0.17
CAGR/Mean DD-0.35
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ICLR over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 2.55, "2021-12": 2.63, "2022-03": 2.76, "2022-06": 2.86, "2022-09": 3, "2022-12": 3.13, "2023-03": 2.9, "2023-06": 3.11, "2023-09": 3.3, "2023-12": 3.46, "2024-03": 3.47, "2024-06": 3.75, "2024-09": 3.35, "2024-12": 3.43, "2025-03": 3.19, "2025-06": 3.26, "2025-09": 3.31, "2025-12": 2.52, "2026-03": 2.22, "2026-06": 2.35,
EPS CAGR: -5.61%
EPS Trend: -56.4%
Last SUE: 0.27
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of ICLR over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 1866.352, 2021-12: 1885.121, 2022-03: 1901.764, 2022-06: 1935.193, 2022-09: 1942.427, 2022-12: 1962.002, 2023-03: 1978.578, 2023-06: 2020.251, 2023-09: 2055.099, 2023-12: 2066.248, 2024-03: 2090.386, 2024-06: 2120.159, 2024-09: 2030.03, 2024-12: 2041.101, 2025-03: 2001.332, 2025-06: 2017.357, 2025-09: 2042.812, 2025-12: 2189.839, 2026-03: 2033.999, 2026-06: 2063.485999,
Rev. CAGR: 0.55%
Rev. Trend: 37.9%
Last SUE: 0.62
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

P/E Ratio 173.2
Fakeout
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -2.1% 8
Feb -0.6% 35
Mar -0.6% 8
Apr -4.0% 21
May +4.4% 42
Jun +0.1% 7
Jul +5.0% 44
Aug +1.0% 18
Sep -2.5% 41
Oct -0.3% 11
Nov +3.9% 15
Dec +0.0% 5

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ICLR ICON

ICON Public Limited Company is a Dublin-based clinical research organization (CRO) that provides outsourced drug development and commercialization services to pharmaceutical, biotechnology, medical device, and government clients worldwide. Its offerings span the full clinical lifecycle-from compound selection through Phase I-IV trials-and include clinical trial management, data solutions, site and patient access, bioanalytical and central laboratory testing, and post-market commercialization support. The company also delivers specialized capabilities such as decentralized and hybrid trials, adaptive trial design, cardiac safety, medical imaging, and real-world evidence, with therapeutic expertise across cardiovascular, central nervous system, oncology, infectious diseases, immunology, hepatology, and endocrine/metabolic disorders.

ICON operates within the contract research organization sector, which provides pharmaceutical and biotech sponsors with outsourced clinical development infrastructure, and the company is recognized among the worlds largest CROs. The business model is structured around both full-service and functional service partnerships, allowing clients to outsource either end-to-end trial execution or targeted operational components such as data management, biostatistics, or laboratory services.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Biotech R&D spending sustains demand for clinical trials
  • Decentralized trial capabilities capture post-pandemic market share
  • PRA Health acquisition drives margin expansion and cross-selling
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.5
Net Income: 69.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.57 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -2.23% < 20% (prev 9.30%; Δ -11.53% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.09b > Net Income 69.5m
Net Debt (2.67b) to EBITDA (759.6m): 3.51 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.95 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (77.4m) vs 12m ago -2.73% < -2%
Gross Margin: 21.89% > 18% (prev 28.57%; Δ -6.68% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 50.48% > 50% (prev 48.73%; Δ 1.75% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.08 > 6 (EBIT TTM 389.2m / Interest Expense TTM 187.1m)
Altman Z'' 1.94
A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 3.75b - Total Current Liabilities 3.93b) / Total Assets 16.4b
B: 0.14 (Retained Earnings 2.30b / Total Assets 16.4b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 389.2m / Avg Total Assets 16.5b)
D: 1.34 (Book Value of Equity 9.38b / Total Liabilities 7.02b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.94 = BBB
Beneish M -2.80
DSRI: 0.95 (Receivables 2.71b/2.78b, Revenue 8.33b/8.09b)
GMI: 1.31 (GM 28.57% / 21.89%)
AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.74 / AQ_t-1 0.77)
SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 8.33b / 8.09b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 69.5m - CFO 1.09b) / TA 16.4b)
Beneish M = -2.80 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of ICLR shares?

As of October 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 164.17 with a total of 712,871 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.31%, over one month by +2.92%, over three months by -2.73% and over the past year by -12.54%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 155.10 (which is 5.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is ICLR a buy, sell or hold?

ICON has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ICLR.

  • StrongBuy: 9
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 7
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ICLR price?
Analysts Target Price 184.4 12.3%
ICON (ICLR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 12.7b (12.7b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 173.1579
P/E Forward = 14.7493
P/S = 1.5302
P/B = 1.3484
P/EG = 0.4979
Revenue TTM = 8.33b USD
EBIT TTM = 389.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 759.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.11b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.28b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.60b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 102.8m
Net Debt = 2.67b USD (calculated: Debt 3.60b - CCE 928.4m)
Enterprise Value = 15.4b USD (12.7b + Debt 3.60b - CCE 928.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.08 (Ebit TTM 389.2m / Interest Expense TTM 187.1m)
EV/FCF = 17.10x (Enterprise Value 15.4b / FCF TTM 898.3m)
FCF Yield = 5.85% (FCF TTM 898.3m / Enterprise Value 15.4b)
FCF Margin = 10.78% (FCF TTM 898.3m / Revenue TTM 8.33b)
Net Margin = 0.83% (Net Income TTM 69.5m / Revenue TTM 8.33b)
Gross Margin = 21.89% ((Revenue TTM 8.33b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.51b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.83% (prev 23.50%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.94 (Enterprise Value 15.4b / Total Assets 16.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.20% (Interest Expense 187.1m / Debt 3.60b)
Taxrate = 49.37% (67.8m / 137.4m)
NOPAT = 197.0m (EBIT 389.2m * (1 - 49.37%))
Current Ratio = 0.95 (Total Current Assets 3.75b / Total Current Liabilities 3.93b)
Debt / Equity = 0.38 (Debt 3.60b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.38b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.51 (Net Debt 2.67b / EBITDA 759.6m)
Debt / FCF = 2.97 (Net Debt 2.67b / FCF TTM 898.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.30b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.42% (Net Income 69.5m / Total Assets 16.4b)
RoE = 0.75% (Net Income TTM 69.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 9.30b)
RoCE = 3.41% (EBIT 389.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 9.30b + L.T.Debt 2.11b))
RoIC = 1.48% (NOPAT 197.0m / Invested Capital 13.3b)
WACC = 7.10% (E(12.7b)/V(16.3b) * Re(8.36%) + D(3.60b)/V(16.3b) * Rd(5.20%) * (1-Tc(0.49)))
Discount Rate = 8.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -93.72 | Cagr: -3.20%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.89% ; FCFF base≈940.3m ; Y1≈861.1m ; Y5≈758.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 121.6 (EV 12.0b - Net Debt 2.67b = Equity 9.38b / Shares 77.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -10.46% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -56.44 | EPS CAGR: -5.61% | SUE: 0.27 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 37.93 | Revenue CAGR: 0.55% | SUE: 0.62 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.65 | Chg30d=-0.56% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.58 | Chg30d=-0.05% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=-15.6% | GrowthRev=-1.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=11.82 | Chg30d=-0.48% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+11.7% | GrowthRev=+3.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -75% (up=0, down=9)