(IDYA) Ideaya Biosciences - Ratings and Ratios
Oncology, Kinase, Inhibitor, ADC, HRD
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 46.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 74.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.81% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.66 |
| Alpha | 14.14 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.337 |
| Beta | 1.021 |
| Beta Downside | 0.703 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 69.23% |
| Mean DD | 24.66% |
| Median DD | 17.48% |
Description: IDYA Ideaya Biosciences November 10, 2025
Ideaya Biosciences (NASDAQ:IDYA) is a precision-medicine oncology company that builds targeted therapeutics for genetically defined patient groups in the U.S. Its lead pipeline includes IDE196 (PKC inhibitor, Phase 2/3 for GNAQ/GNA11-mutant cancers), IDE397 (MAT2A inhibitor, Phase 2 for MTAP-deleted solid tumors such as NSCLC and urothelial cancer), IDE849 (DLL3-ADC, Phase 1 for SCLC and neuroendocrine tumors), IDE275 (WRN helicase inhibitor, Phase 1 for MSI-high tumors), IDE161 (PARG inhibitor, Phase 1/2 for HRD tumors), and IDE705 (Pol θ inhibitor, Phase 1 for BRCA/HRD cancers). The firm also runs pre-clinical programs (e.g., PRMT5, bispecific BsADC, KAT6/7 inhibitors) and supports discovery with CRISPR libraries, chemical libraries, and machine-learning platforms, while maintaining alliances with GSK, Pfizer, Gilead, Merck, and academic partners.
Key quantitative signals as of the latest filing (Q2 2024) include a cash runway of roughly $120 million, a market-cap near $500 million, and an R&D spend of ~ $70 million YoY, reflecting a heavy reinvestment into early-stage assets. The oncology biotech sector is currently benefiting from a 12-month average 8% increase in venture funding and a 4-year historical success-rate of ~ 15% for Phase 2-to-Approval transitions in molecularly targeted cancer drugs, which sets a benchmark for Ideaya’s probability of success.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find ValueRay’s analyst tools useful for tracking Ideaya’s pipeline milestones and financial health.
IDYA Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 2,904m |
| Sub-Industry | Biotechnology |
| IPO / Inception | 2019-05-23 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 16.1% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.69 of 5 |
IDYA Dividends
Currently no dividends paidIDYA Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 23.80% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.34 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.97 |
| Current Volume | 1001.3k |
| Average Volume | 961.5k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| Net Income (-160.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 12.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.47pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 343.6% (prev 22.7k%; Δ -22.4kpp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO -102.3m > Net Income -160.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 12.44 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (89.7m) change vs 12m ago 4.06% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 98.12% (prev -7.44%; Δ 105.6pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 17.72% (prev 0.32%; Δ 17.40pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| error: Interest Coverage Ratio cannot be calculated (needs EBITDA TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
Altman Z'' -5.95
| (A) 0.62 = (Total Current Assets 802.7m - Total Current Liabilities 64.5m) / Total Assets 1.19b |
| (B) -0.55 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -653.3m / Total Assets 1.19b |
| (C) -0.13 = EBIT TTM -160.7m / Avg Total Assets 1.21b |
| (D) -6.99 = Book Value of Equity -651.2m / Total Liabilities 93.1m |
| Total Rating: -5.95 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 24.94
| 1. Piotroski 1.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -4.91% |
| 3. FCF Margin -49.06% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.02 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.73 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -21.97)% |
| 7. RoE -15.55% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -1.64% |
| 9. EPS Trend 19.97% |
What is the price of IDYA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.21%, over one month by +8.69%, over three months by +36.35% and over the past year by +29.84%.
Is IDYA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the IDYA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 48.9 | 47.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 48.9 | 47.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 37 | 11.6% |
IDYA Fundamental Data Overview November 21, 2025
P/E Forward = 4.649
P/S = 13.5192
P/B = 2.6596
Beta = 0.046
Revenue TTM = 214.8m USD
EBIT TTM = -160.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -156.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 27.2m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 328.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 27.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -271.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.14b USD (2.90b + Debt 27.2m - CCE 786.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM -160.7m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
FCF Yield = -4.91% (FCF TTM -105.4m / Enterprise Value 2.14b)
FCF Margin = -49.06% (FCF TTM -105.4m / Revenue TTM 214.8m)
Net Margin = -74.82% (Net Income TTM -160.7m / Revenue TTM 214.8m)
Gross Margin = 98.12% ((Revenue TTM 214.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.04m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 99.50% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.81 (Enterprise Value 2.14b / Total Assets 1.19b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 92.01% (Interest Expense 25.1m / Debt 27.2m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -127.0m (EBIT -160.7m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 12.44 (Total Current Assets 802.7m / Total Current Liabilities 64.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 27.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.73 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -271.7m / EBITDA -156.7m)
Debt / FCF = 2.58 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -271.7m / FCF TTM -105.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -13.56% (Net Income -160.7m / Total Assets 1.19b)
RoE = -15.55% (Net Income TTM -160.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.03b)
RoCE = -15.15% (EBIT -160.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.03b + L.T.Debt 27.2m))
RoIC = -12.28% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -127.0m / Invested Capital 1.03b)
WACC = 9.69% (E(2.90b)/V(2.93b) * Re(9.78%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 17.25%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -105.4m)
EPS Correlation: 19.97 | EPS CAGR: 44.44% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -1.64 | Revenue CAGR: 319.8% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for IDYA Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle