ILPT Stock Analysis: Industrial Logistics | NASDAQ

REIT - Industrial | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 405m USD | 12M Return: 12.4% | US4562371066 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Industrial Warehouses, Logistics Facilities, Distribution Centers, Land Leases
Total Rating 16
Safety 28
Buy Signal -0.86
Industrial REITs
Sub-Industry Rotation: +0.4
Market Cap: 405M
Avg Turnover: 3.48M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility44.1%
VaR 5th Pctl7.29%
VaR vs Median0.29%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.39
Rel. Str. IBD18.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group10 pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.846
Beta Downside1.205
Hurst Exponent0.541
Choppyness54.7%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD51.10%
CAGR/Max DD0.65
CAGR/Mean DD2.16
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ILPT over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.28, "2021-12": 0.97, "2022-03": -0.1, "2022-06": -2.2, "2022-09": -0.7, "2022-12": -0.48, "2023-03": -0.38, "2023-06": -0.4, "2023-09": -0.4, "2023-12": -0.48, "2024-03": -0.357, "2024-06": -0.3531, "2024-09": -0.38, "2024-12": -0.3663, "2025-03": -0.3271, "2025-06": -0.32, "2025-09": -0.23, "2025-12": 0.29, "2026-03": -0.14, "2026-06": 0.31, "2026-09": 0.32,
Last SUE: -1.01
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of ILPT over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 54.981, 2021-12: 56.496, 2022-03: 71.375, 2022-06: 107.222, 2022-09: 103.215, 2022-12: 106.339, 2023-03: 110.258, 2023-06: 108.043, 2023-09: 110.142, 2023-12: 108.895, 2024-03: 112.235, 2024-06: 110.621, 2024-09: 108.945, 2024-12: 110.521, 2025-03: 111.905, 2025-06: 112.097, 2025-09: 110.936, 2025-12: 113.91, 2026-03: 116.419, 2026-06: 114.123, 2026-09: 116.805,
Rev. CAGR: 1.70%
Rev. Trend: 93.6%
Last SUE: -0.42
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 8.8 years of data, until 10/2026

Jan +0.5% 0
Feb -0.8% 10
Mar -1.6% 10
Apr +0.4% 0
May +1.9% 0
Jun ★ +6.5% 80
Jul +3.0% 25
Aug -0.7% 0
Sep ★ -7.6% 80
Oct -3.6% 25
Nov +2.6% 18
Dec -0.3% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.

Description: ILPT Industrial Logistics

Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (NASDAQ: ILPT) is a U.S. industrial REIT that owns and leases logistics and industrial properties. As of June 30, 2026, its portfolio included 409 properties with approximately 59.6 million rentable square feet across 39 states; about 79% of annualized rental revenue came from investment-grade tenants, their subsidiaries, or Hawaii land leases.

Industrial properties commonly support warehousing, distribution, and manufacturing. ILPT is managed by The RMR Group and is headquartered in Newton, Massachusetts.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Industrial leasing demand and rent resets drive rental revenue growth
  • Investment-grade tenants and Hawaii land leases support rent collections
  • High interest rates and refinancing costs pressure cash flow and distributions
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.5
Net Income: -55.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.39 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 49.82% < 20% (prev 54.50%; Δ -4.68% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 59.0m > Net Income -55.9m
Net Debt (4.03b) to EBITDA (322.7m): 12.47 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.41 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (66.3m) vs 12m ago 0.38% < -2%
Gross Margin: 11.90% > 18% (prev 86.25%; Δ -74.36% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 8.95% > 50% (prev 8.54%; Δ 0.42% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.64 > 6 (EBIT TTM 161.1m / Interest Expense TTM 250.0m)
Altman Z'' 0.48
A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 325.1m - Total Current Liabilities 95.3m) / Total Assets 5.09b
B: -0.04 (Retained Earnings -206.8m / Total Assets 5.09b)
C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 161.1m / Avg Total Assets 5.15b)
D: 0.10 (Book Value of Equity 424.9m / Total Liabilities 4.29b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.48 = B
Beneish M 1.00
DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 145.6m/130.1m, Revenue 461.3m/445.5m)
GMI: 7.25 (GM 86.25% / 11.90%)
AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.91 / AQ_t-1 0.90)
SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 461.3m / 445.5m)
TATA: -0.02 (NI -55.9m - CFO 59.0m) / TA 5.09b)
Beneish M = 2.73 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of ILPT shares?

As of November 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 6.06 with a total of 393,218 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.50%, over one month by -12.27%, over three months by -32.19% and over the past year by +12.37%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 5.50 (which is 9.2% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).

Is ILPT a buy, sell or hold?

Industrial Logistics has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ILPT.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ILPT price?
Analysts Target Price 9.7 59.6%
Industrial Logistics (ILPT) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 12 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 405.2m (405.2m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 17.4216
P/S = 0.8786
P/B = 0.927
Revenue TTM = 461.3m USD
EBIT TTM = 161.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 322.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 4.19b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.42b USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 4.21b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 9.67m
Net Debt = 4.03b USD (calculated: Debt 4.21b - CCE 179.5m)
Enterprise Value = 4.43b USD (405.2m + Debt 4.21b - CCE 179.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.64 (Ebit TTM 161.1m / Interest Expense TTM 250.0m)
EV/FCF = 100.6x (Enterprise Value 4.43b / FCF TTM 44.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.99% (FCF TTM 44.0m / Enterprise Value 4.43b)
FCF Margin = 9.55% (FCF TTM 44.0m / Revenue TTM 461.3m)
Net Margin = -12.12% (Net Income TTM -55.9m / Revenue TTM 461.3m)
Gross Margin = 11.90% ((Revenue TTM 461.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 406.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 86.08% (prev 85.18%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.87 (Enterprise Value 4.43b / Total Assets 5.09b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.95% (Interest Expense 250.0m / Debt 4.21b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 127.3m (EBIT 161.1m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 3.41 (Total Current Assets 325.1m / Total Current Liabilities 95.3m)
Debt / Equity = 9.90 (Debt 4.21b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 424.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 12.47 (Net Debt 4.03b / EBITDA 322.7m)
Debt / FCF = 91.41 (Net Debt 4.03b / FCF TTM 44.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 464.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.08% (Net Income -55.9m / Total Assets 5.09b)
RoE = -12.04% (Net Income TTM -55.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 464.0m)
RoCE = 3.46% (EBIT 161.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 464.0m + L.T.Debt 4.19b))
RoIC = 1.99% (NOPAT 127.3m / Invested Capital 6.39b)
WACC = 5.03% (E(405.2m)/V(4.61b) * Re(8.49%) + D(4.21b)/V(4.61b) * Rd(5.95%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.49% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 98.50 | Cagr: 0.48%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈36.3m ; Y1≈41.7m ; Y5≈61.3m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 922.7m - Net Debt 4.03b = -3.10b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -1.01 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 93.56 | Revenue CAGR: 1.70% | SUE: -0.42 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=-0.27 | Chg30d=-152.38% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-1.09 | Chg30d=-71.65% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-9.0% | GrowthRev=+3.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-1.10 | Chg30d=-142.86% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-1.4% | GrowthRev=+2.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=3, down=0)