IMKTA Stock Analysis: Ingles Markets | NASDAQ

Grocery Stores | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.615m USD | 12M Return: 22.5% | US4570301048 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Grocery Retail, Pharmacies, Fuel Stations, Dairy Processing
Total Rating 50
Safety 70
Buy Signal -0.90
Grocery Stores
Industry Rotation: +4.2
Market Cap: 1.62B
Avg Turnover: 10.8M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility24.7%
VaR 5th Pctl4.31%
VaR vs Median5.83%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.75
Rel. Str. IBD33.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group58.3
Character TTM
Beta-0.076
Beta Downside-0.111
Hurst Exponent0.494
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD31.97%
CAGR/Max DD0.08
CAGR/Mean DD0.17
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of IMKTA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 3.03, "2021-09": 3.78, "2021-12": 3.37, "2022-03": 2.9, "2022-06": 2.87, "2022-09": 3.7775, "2022-12": 3.65, "2023-03": 2.13, "2023-06": 2.5407, "2023-09": 2.8324, "2023-12": 2.2846, "2024-03": 1.6794, "2024-06": 1.6701, "2024-09": -0.0792, "2024-12": 0.8733, "2025-03": 0.7953, "2025-06": 1.38, "2025-09": 1.3824, "2025-12": 1.38, "2026-03": 1.2776, "2026-06": 1.36,
EPS CAGR: -27.62%
EPS Trend: -67.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of IMKTA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1277.465132, 2021-09: 1335.456593, 2021-12: 1391.52951, 2022-03: 1377.118668, 2022-06: 1458.166802, 2022-09: 1452.020051, 2022-12: 1493.314107, 2023-03: 1380.60414, 2023-06: 1433.868605, 2023-09: 1584.99488, 2023-12: 1481.06183, 2024-03: 1367.479701, 2024-06: 1393.539073, 2024-09: 1397.52883, 2024-12: 1288.114667, 2025-03: 1331.273155, 2025-06: 1346.221519, 2025-09: 1368.423268, 2025-12: 1372.977567, 2026-03: 1307.863099, 2026-06: 1368.324,
Rev. CAGR: -3.92%
Rev. Trend: -88.5%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -2.7% 8
Feb +0.1% 5
Mar +3.3% 22
Apr -0.1% 10
May -0.0% 7
Jun -0.7% 8
Jul +0.8% 8
Aug -1.0% 13
Sep -1.7% 15
Oct -0.8% 0
Nov +6.6% 59
Dec +2.4% 11

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: IMKTA Ingles Markets

Ingles Markets, Incorporated (NASDAQ: IMKTA) is a U.S. supermarket operator headquartered in Asheville, North Carolina, that runs a chain of grocery stores under the Ingles and Sav-Mor brand names. Founded in 1963 and publicly traded since 1990, the company offers a mix of food (grocery, meat, dairy, produce, frozen, and perishables) and non-food products (fuel centers, pharmacies, health and beauty items, and general merchandise), along with private label, organic, and locally sourced selections. The company is vertically integrated through its own milk processing and packaging plant, which supplies organic milk, juices, and bottled water to external retailers, food service distributors, and grocery warehouses in addition to its stores.

As a small-cap stock in the Consumer Staples sector (Food Retail sub-industry), IMKTA competes in a highly competitive segment dominated by larger national chains such as Kroger, Walmart, and Albertsons. Regional supermarket operators like Ingles typically rely on tight cost controls, private label penetration, and adjacent revenue streams (fuel, pharmacy, and food processing) to defend margins in a low-margin industry.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Grocery segment margins pressured by Walmart and Aldi price competition
  • Fuel center profitability swings with retail gasoline prices
  • Owned real estate portfolio anchors balance sheet valuation premium
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 104.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.36 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 13.43% < 20% (prev 12.05%; Δ 1.38% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 249.1m > Net Income 104.0m
Net Debt (97.5m) to EBITDA (276.1m): 0.35 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.21 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (19.0m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2%
Gross Margin: 24.49% > 18% (prev 23.10%; Δ 1.39% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 209.1% > 50% (prev 210.6%; Δ -1.41% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.35 > 6 (EBIT TTM 155.0m / Interest Expense TTM 18.6m)
Altman Z'' 6.16
A: 0.28 (Total Current Assets 1.06b - Total Current Liabilities 329.2m) / Total Assets 2.63b
B: 0.64 (Retained Earnings 1.68b / Total Assets 2.63b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 155.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.59b)
D: 1.78 (Book Value of Equity 1.68b / Total Liabilities 948.7m)
Altman-Z'' = 6.16 = AAA
Beneish M -3.05
DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 102.7m/102.3m, Revenue 5.42b/5.36b)
GMI: 0.94 (GM 23.10% / 24.49%)
AQI: 1.05 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02)
SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 5.42b / 5.36b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 104.0m - CFO 249.1m) / TA 2.63b)
Beneish M = -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of IMKTA shares?

As of August 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 82.26 with a total of 102,936 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.02%, over one month by -6.40%, over three months by -7.52% and over the past year by +22.53%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 78.60 (which is 4.4% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is IMKTA a buy, sell or hold?

Ingles Markets has no consensus analysts rating.

Ingles Markets (IMKTA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 21 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.62b (1.62b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 15.663
P/E Forward = 8.643
P/S = 0.2982
P/B = 0.9667
P/EG = 0.847
Revenue TTM = 5.42b USD
EBIT TTM = 155.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 276.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 483.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 23.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 552.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 26.1m
Net Debt = 97.5m USD (calculated: Debt 552.6m - CCE 455.1m)
Enterprise Value = 1.71b USD (1.62b + Debt 552.6m - CCE 455.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.35 (Ebit TTM 155.0m / Interest Expense TTM 18.6m)
EV/FCF = 11.45x (Enterprise Value 1.71b / FCF TTM 149.6m)
FCF Yield = 8.73% (FCF TTM 149.6m / Enterprise Value 1.71b)
FCF Margin = 2.76% (FCF TTM 149.6m / Revenue TTM 5.42b)
Net Margin = 1.92% (Net Income TTM 104.0m / Revenue TTM 5.42b)
Gross Margin = 24.49% ((Revenue TTM 5.42b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.09b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.30% (prev 24.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.65 (Enterprise Value 1.71b / Total Assets 2.63b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.36% (Interest Expense 18.6m / Debt 552.6m)
Taxrate = 23.77% (32.4m / 136.4m)
NOPAT = 118.1m (EBIT 155.0m * (1 - 23.77%))
Current Ratio = 3.21 (Total Current Assets 1.06b / Total Current Liabilities 329.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.33 (Debt 552.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.68b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.35 (Net Debt 97.5m / EBITDA 276.1m)
Debt / FCF = 0.65 (Net Debt 97.5m / FCF TTM 149.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.01% (Net Income 104.0m / Total Assets 2.63b)
RoE = 6.30% (Net Income TTM 104.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.65b)
RoCE = 7.26% (EBIT 155.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.65b + L.T.Debt 483.0m))
RoIC = 5.75% (NOPAT 118.1m / Invested Capital 2.06b)
WACC = 4.91% (E(1.62b)/V(2.17b) * Re(5.72%) + D(552.6m)/V(2.17b) * Rd(3.36%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 5.72% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 29.95 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈93.0m ; Y1≈106.7m ; Y5≈157.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 155.6 (EV 2.36b - Net Debt 97.5m = Equity 2.26b / Shares 14.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -67.14 | EPS CAGR: -27.62% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -88.50 | Revenue CAGR: -3.92% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0