IMKTA Stock Analysis: Ingles Markets | NASDAQ

Grocery Stores | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.627m USD | 12M Return: 18.7% | US4570301048 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Groceries, Fuel, Pharmacy, Dairy Processing
Total Rating 59
Safety 74
Buy Signal -0.32
Grocery Stores
Industry Rotation: +9.5
Market Cap: 1.63B
Avg Turnover: 9.07M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility23.0%
VaR 5th Pctl4.01%
VaR vs Median5.65%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.64
Rel. Str. IBD52
Rel. Str. Peer Group75
Character TTM
Beta-0.071
Beta Downside-0.148
Hurst Exponent0.551
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD31.97%
CAGR/Max DD0.10
CAGR/Mean DD0.19
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of IMKTA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 3.78, "2021-12": 3.37, "2022-03": 2.9, "2022-06": 2.87, "2022-09": 3.7775, "2022-12": 3.65, "2023-03": 2.13, "2023-06": 2.5407, "2023-09": 2.8324, "2023-12": 2.2846, "2024-03": 1.6794, "2024-06": 1.6701, "2024-09": -0.0792, "2024-12": 0.8733, "2025-03": 0.7953, "2025-06": 1.38, "2025-09": 1.3824, "2025-12": 1.38, "2026-03": 1.2776, "2026-06": 1.36,
EPS CAGR: -27.62%
EPS Trend: -67.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of IMKTA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 1335.456593, 2021-12: 1391.52951, 2022-03: 1377.118668, 2022-06: 1458.166802, 2022-09: 1452.020051, 2022-12: 1493.314107, 2023-03: 1380.60414, 2023-06: 1433.868605, 2023-09: 1584.99488, 2023-12: 1481.06183, 2024-03: 1367.479701, 2024-06: 1393.539073, 2024-09: 1397.52883, 2024-12: 1288.114667, 2025-03: 1331.273155, 2025-06: 1346.221519, 2025-09: 1368.423268, 2025-12: 1372.977567, 2026-03: 1307.863099, 2026-06: 1368.324,
Rev. CAGR: -3.92%
Rev. Trend: -88.5%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Choppy

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -2.7% 8
Feb +0.1% 5
Mar +3.3% 22
Apr -0.1% 10
May -0.0% 7
Jun -0.7% 8
Jul +0.8% 8
Aug -1.3% 19
Sep -1.7% 15
Oct -0.8% 0
Nov +6.6% 59
Dec +2.4% 11

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: IMKTA Ingles Markets

Ingles Markets, Incorporated operates a chain of supermarkets in the United States, offering a mix of food and non-food products through its Ingles and Sav-Mor banners. The company runs in-store departments including pharmacies, fuel centers, bakeries, delicatessens, and floral sections, and emphasizes private label, organic, and locally sourced items. Beyond its retail operations, Ingles owns a milk processing and packaging plant that produces organic milk, fruit juices, and bottled water, selling to external retailers, food service distributors, and grocery warehouses. The company was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Asheville, North Carolina.

As a player in the Consumer Staples sector, Ingles operates in the Food Retail sub-industry, a category that includes traditional grocery chains competing with both large national supermarkets and discount warehouse clubs. Its combination of vertically integrated manufacturing (via its own milk and beverage plant) and ancillary revenue streams like fuel and pharmacies mirrors a common strategy among regional grocers seeking to drive foot traffic and differentiate from big-box competitors.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Comparable grocery sales track food-at-home inflation trends
  • Fuel center margins swing with wholesale gasoline prices
  • Regional competition from Walmart and Kroger pressures market share
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 104.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.36 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 13.43% < 20% (prev 12.05%; Δ 1.38% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 249.1m > Net Income 104.0m
Net Debt (97.5m) to EBITDA (276.1m): 0.35 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.21 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (19.0m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2%
Gross Margin: 24.49% > 18% (prev 23.10%; Δ 1.39% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 209.1% > 50% (prev 210.6%; Δ -1.41% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.35 > 6 (EBIT TTM 155.0m / Interest Expense TTM 18.6m)
Altman Z'' 6.16
A: 0.28 (Total Current Assets 1.06b - Total Current Liabilities 329.2m) / Total Assets 2.63b
B: 0.64 (Retained Earnings 1.68b / Total Assets 2.63b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 155.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.59b)
D: 1.78 (Book Value of Equity 1.68b / Total Liabilities 948.7m)
Altman-Z'' = 6.16 = AAA
Beneish M -3.05
DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 102.7m/102.3m, Revenue 5.42b/5.36b)
GMI: 0.94 (GM 23.10% / 24.49%)
AQI: 1.05 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02)
SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 5.42b / 5.36b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 104.0m - CFO 249.1m) / TA 2.63b)
Beneish M = -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of IMKTA shares?

As of October 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 85.33 with a total of 84,496 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.11%, over one month by +2.77%, over three months by -5.75% and over the past year by +18.71%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 82.10 (which is 3.8% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).

Is IMKTA a buy, sell or hold?

Ingles Markets has no consensus analysts rating.

Ingles Markets (IMKTA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 13 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.63b (1.63b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 15.66
P/E Forward = 8.643
P/S = 0.3003
P/B = 0.9452
P/EG = 0.847
Revenue TTM = 5.42b USD
EBIT TTM = 155.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 276.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 483.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 23.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 552.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 26.1m
Net Debt = 97.5m USD (calculated: Debt 552.6m - CCE 455.1m)
Enterprise Value = 1.72b USD (1.63b + Debt 552.6m - CCE 455.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.35 (Ebit TTM 155.0m / Interest Expense TTM 18.6m)
EV/FCF = 11.53x (Enterprise Value 1.72b / FCF TTM 149.6m)
FCF Yield = 8.67% (FCF TTM 149.6m / Enterprise Value 1.72b)
FCF Margin = 2.76% (FCF TTM 149.6m / Revenue TTM 5.42b)
Net Margin = 1.92% (Net Income TTM 104.0m / Revenue TTM 5.42b)
Gross Margin = 24.49% ((Revenue TTM 5.42b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.09b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.30% (prev 24.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.65 (Enterprise Value 1.72b / Total Assets 2.63b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.36% (Interest Expense 18.6m / Debt 552.6m)
Taxrate = 23.77% (32.4m / 136.4m)
NOPAT = 118.1m (EBIT 155.0m * (1 - 23.77%))
Current Ratio = 3.21 (Total Current Assets 1.06b / Total Current Liabilities 329.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.33 (Debt 552.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.68b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.35 (Net Debt 97.5m / EBITDA 276.1m)
Debt / FCF = 0.65 (Net Debt 97.5m / FCF TTM 149.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.01% (Net Income 104.0m / Total Assets 2.63b)
RoE = 6.30% (Net Income TTM 104.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.65b)
RoCE = 7.26% (EBIT 155.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.65b + L.T.Debt 483.0m))
RoIC = 5.75% (NOPAT 118.1m / Invested Capital 2.06b)
WACC = 4.93% (E(1.63b)/V(2.18b) * Re(5.73%) + D(552.6m)/V(2.18b) * Rd(3.36%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 5.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 29.95 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈93.0m ; Y1≈106.7m ; Y5≈157.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 155.6 (EV 2.36b - Net Debt 97.5m = Equity 2.26b / Shares 14.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -67.14 | EPS CAGR: -27.62% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -88.50 | Revenue CAGR: -3.92% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0