INTC Stock Analysis: Intel | NASDAQ

Semiconductors | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 503.756m USD | 12M Return: 308% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Processors, Graphics Chips, Networking, Autonomous Driving
Total Rating 61
Safety 66
Buy Signal 0.75
Semiconductors
Industry Rotation: -51.7
Market Cap: 504B
Avg Turnover: 11.9B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility88.0%
VaR 5th Pctl13.8%
VaR vs Median-4.32%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio2.13
Rel. Str. IBD98.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group93.1
Character TTM
Beta2.552
Beta Downside2.719
Hurst Exponent0.574
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD63.80%
CAGR/Max DD0.58
CAGR/Mean DD1.17
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of INTC over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.28, "2021-09": 1.71, "2021-12": 1.09, "2022-03": 0.87, "2022-06": 0.29, "2022-09": 0.59, "2022-12": 0.1, "2023-03": -0.04, "2023-06": 0.13, "2023-09": 0.41, "2023-12": 0.54, "2024-03": 0.18, "2024-06": 0.02, "2024-09": -0.46, "2024-12": 0.13, "2025-03": 0.13, "2025-06": -0.1, "2025-09": 0.23, "2025-12": 0.15, "2026-03": 0.29, "2026-06": 0.3,
Last SUE: 0.90
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of INTC over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 19631, 2021-09: 19192, 2021-12: 20528, 2022-03: 18353, 2022-06: 15321, 2022-09: 15338, 2022-12: 14042, 2023-03: 11715, 2023-06: 12949, 2023-09: 14158, 2023-12: 15406, 2024-03: 12724, 2024-06: 12833, 2024-09: 13284, 2024-12: 14260, 2025-03: 12667, 2025-06: 12859, 2025-09: 13653, 2025-12: 13674, 2026-03: 13577, 2026-06: 16128,
Rev. CAGR: 0.32%
Rev. Trend: 12.3%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 2

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Pead
Confidence

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +1.5% 11
Feb -0.8% 16
Mar +0.2% 2
Apr -4.3% 39
May +0.1% 5
Jun -2.7% 24
Jul -1.5% 22
Aug -1.7% 33
Sep -1.5% 9
Oct +0.5% 8
Nov +3.6% 51
Dec -0.1% 8

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: INTC Intel

Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) is a global semiconductor company that designs, manufactures, and sells computing products and services across three main segments: Client Computing Group (CCG), Data Center and AI (DCAI), and Intel Foundry. Its product portfolio spans client and server CPUs, discrete GPUs, edge computing, networking components, and wafer fabrication services, alongside autonomous driving solutions and multi-beam mask writing tools.

The company sells through direct sales organizations, distributors, resellers, retailers, and OEM partners, serving customers including OEMs, ODMs, and cloud service providers. Intel operates as a vertically integrated semiconductor manufacturer, handling both chip design and fabrication in-house, and has been expanding its foundry services to manufacture third-party designs. The company has a strategic collaboration with Infosys to develop a multi-layer AI fabric that unifies infrastructure, models, data, applications, and workflows.

Founded in 1968 and headquartered in Santa Clara, California, Intel is one of the largest companies in the Information Technology sector and a long-standing leader in the global semiconductor industry.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Intel Foundry losses widen as external customer ramp delays
  • Data Center AI revenue trails Nvidia and AMD competition
  • Client Computing Group sales rebound on PC refresh cycle
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: -11.3b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.08 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 37.77% < 20% (prev 15.85%; Δ 21.93% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 14.9b > Net Income -11.3b
Net Debt (20.8b) to EBITDA (12.7b): 1.64 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.60 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (5.10b) vs 12m ago 16.82% < -2%
Gross Margin: 38.60% > 18% (prev 29.76%; Δ 8.84% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 28.88% > 50% (prev 27.57%; Δ 1.31% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.30 > 6 (EBIT TTM 348.0m / Interest Expense TTM 1.15b)
Altman Z'' 2.18
A: 0.11 (Total Current Assets 57.2b - Total Current Liabilities 35.7b) / Total Assets 202b
B: 0.17 (Retained Earnings 33.8b / Total Assets 202b)
C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 348.0m / Avg Total Assets 197b)
D: 0.88 (Book Value of Equity 87.5b / Total Liabilities 99.3b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.18 = BBB
Beneish M -2.74
DSRI: 1.59 (Receivables 4.03b/2.36b, Revenue 57.0b/53.1b)
GMI: 0.77 (GM 29.76% / 38.60%)
AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.20 / AQ_t-1 0.21)
SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 57.0b / 53.1b)
TATA: -0.13 (NI -11.3b - CFO 14.9b) / TA 202b)
Beneish M = -2.74 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of INTC shares?

As of July 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 92.32 with a total of 179,108,323 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.86%, over one month by -29.87%, over three months by +11.85% and over the past year by +307.95%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 82.10 (which is 11.1% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is INTC a buy, sell or hold?

Intel has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.38. Therefore, it is recommended to hold INTC.

  • StrongBuy: 11
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 31
  • Sell: 2
  • StrongSell: 2

What are the forecasts/targets for the INTC price?
Analysts Target Price 108.6 17.7%
Intel (INTC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 25 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 504b (504b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 116.2791
P/S = 9.3699
P/B = 4.6301
P/EG = 0.5009
Revenue TTM = 57.0b USD
EBIT TTM = 348.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.7b USD
Long Term Debt = 44.1b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.99b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 50.5b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 20.8b USD (calculated: Debt 50.5b - CCE 29.7b)
Enterprise Value = 525b USD (504b + Debt 50.5b - CCE 29.7b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.30 (Ebit TTM 348.0m / Interest Expense TTM 1.15b)
EV/FCF = 185.3x (Enterprise Value 525b / FCF TTM 2.83b)
FCF Yield = 0.54% (FCF TTM 2.83b / Enterprise Value 525b)
FCF Margin = 4.96% (FCF TTM 2.83b / Revenue TTM 57.0b)
Net Margin = -19.79% (Net Income TTM -11.3b / Revenue TTM 57.0b)
Gross Margin = 38.60% ((Revenue TTM 57.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 35.0b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.36% (prev 39.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.59 (Enterprise Value 525b / Total Assets 202b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.28% (Interest Expense 1.15b / Debt 50.5b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 274.9m (EBIT 348.0m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.60 (Total Current Assets 57.2b / Total Current Liabilities 35.7b)
Debt / Equity = 0.58 (Debt 50.5b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 87.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.64 (Net Debt 20.8b / EBITDA 12.7b)
Debt / FCF = 7.35 (Net Debt 20.8b / FCF TTM 2.83b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 105b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -5.72% (Net Income -11.3b / Total Assets 202b)
RoE = -10.76% (Net Income TTM -11.3b / Total Stockholder Equity 105b)
RoCE = 0.23% (EBIT 348.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 105b + L.T.Debt 44.1b))
RoIC = 0.17% (NOPAT 274.9m / Invested Capital 166b)
WACC = 13.76% (E(504b)/V(554b) * Re(14.96%) + D(50.5b)/V(554b) * Rd(2.28%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 14.96% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 90.87 | Cagr: 8.57%
[DCF] Terminal Value 58.93% ; FCFF base≈2.83b ; Y1≈2.84b ; Y5≈3.01b
[DCF] Fair Price = 0.72 (EV 24.4b - Net Debt 20.8b = Equity 3.60b / Shares 5.03b; r=13.76% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 12.33 | Revenue CAGR: 0.32% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.28 | Chg30d=+2.80% | Revisions=+57% | Analysts=32
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.12 | Chg30d=+2.54% | Revisions=+44% | GrowthEPS=+166.5% | GrowthRev=+11.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.62 | Chg30d=+5.08% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+45.2% | GrowthRev=+12.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +74% (up=15, down=1)