INTC Stock Analysis: Intel | NASDAQ

Semiconductors | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 604.879m USD | 12M Return: 435.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Processors, Graphics Chips, Networking, Autonomous Driving
Total Rating 63
Safety 75
Buy Signal 0.68
Semiconductors
Industry Rotation: -48.9
Market Cap: 605B
Avg Turnover: 15.6B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility92.3%
VaR 5th Pctl14.5%
VaR vs Median-3.94%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio2.57
Rel. Str. IBD99.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group97.7
Character TTM
Beta2.527
Beta Downside2.687
Hurst Exponent0.525
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD63.80%
CAGR/Max DD0.90
CAGR/Mean DD1.84
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of INTC over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.28, "2021-09": 1.71, "2021-12": 1.09, "2022-03": 0.87, "2022-06": 0.29, "2022-09": 0.59, "2022-12": 0.1, "2023-03": -0.04, "2023-06": 0.13, "2023-09": 0.41, "2023-12": 0.54, "2024-03": 0.18, "2024-06": 0.02, "2024-09": -0.46, "2024-12": 0.13, "2025-03": 0.13, "2025-06": -0.1, "2025-09": 0.23, "2025-12": 0.15, "2026-03": 0.29,
Last SUE: 1.42
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of INTC over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 19631, 2021-09: 19192, 2021-12: 20528, 2022-03: 18353, 2022-06: 15321, 2022-09: 15338, 2022-12: 14042, 2023-03: 11715, 2023-06: 12949, 2023-09: 14158, 2023-12: 15406, 2024-03: 12724, 2024-06: 12833, 2024-09: 13284, 2024-12: 14260, 2025-03: 12667, 2025-06: 12859, 2025-09: 13653, 2025-12: 13674, 2026-03: 13577,
Rev. CAGR: -0.69%
Rev. Trend: -40.5%
Last SUE: 3.36
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Confidence

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +1.5% 13
Feb -0.8% 13
Mar +0.2% 0
Apr -4.3% 54
May +0.1% 0
Jun -2.7% 36
Jul -1.5% 26
Aug -1.7% 44
Sep -1.5% 0
Oct +0.5% 0
Nov +3.6% 59
Dec -0.1% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: INTC Intel

Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) is a global semiconductor company that designs, manufactures, and sells computing products and services across three main segments: Client Computing Group (CCG), Data Center and AI (DCAI), and Intel Foundry. Its product portfolio spans client and server CPUs, discrete GPUs, edge computing, networking components, and wafer fabrication services, alongside autonomous driving solutions and multi-beam mask writing tools.

The company sells through direct sales organizations, distributors, resellers, retailers, and OEM partners, serving customers including OEMs, ODMs, and cloud service providers. Intel operates as a vertically integrated semiconductor manufacturer, handling both chip design and fabrication in-house, and has been expanding its foundry services to manufacture third-party designs. The company has a strategic collaboration with Infosys to develop a multi-layer AI fabric that unifies infrastructure, models, data, applications, and workflows.

Founded in 1968 and headquartered in Santa Clara, California, Intel is one of the largest companies in the Information Technology sector and a long-standing leader in the global semiconductor industry.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Intel Foundry losses widen as external customer ramp delays
  • Data Center AI revenue trails Nvidia and AMD competition
  • Client Computing Group sales rebound on PC refresh cycle
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: -3.17b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.16 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 65.61% < 20% (prev 18.78%; Δ 46.83% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 9.98b > Net Income -3.17b
Net Debt (12.2b) to EBITDA (11.4b): 1.07 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.31 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (5.08b) vs 12m ago 17.04% < -2%
Gross Margin: 35.43% > 18% (prev 31.67%; Δ 3.76% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 27.05% > 50% (prev 27.59%; Δ -0.55% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.73 > 6 (EBIT TTM -766.0m / Interest Expense TTM 1.06b)
Altman Z'' 3.27
A: 0.17 (Total Current Assets 62.2b - Total Current Liabilities 26.9b) / Total Assets 205b
B: 0.22 (Retained Earnings 45.2b / Total Assets 205b)
C: -0.00 (EBIT TTM -766.0m / Avg Total Assets 199b)
D: 1.39 (Book Value of Equity 111b / Total Liabilities 80.3b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.27 = A
Beneish M -2.92
DSRI: 1.31 (Receivables 4.07b/3.06b, Revenue 53.8b/53.0b)
GMI: 0.89 (GM 31.67% / 35.43%)
AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.19 / AQ_t-1 0.21)
SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 53.8b / 53.0b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI -3.17b - CFO 9.98b) / TA 205b)
Beneish M = -2.92 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of INTC shares?

As of July 04, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 120.35 with a total of 125,021,700 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.42%, over one month by +6.78%, over three months by +137.00% and over the past year by +435.13%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 107.70 (which is 10.5% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is INTC a buy, sell or hold?

Intel has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.38. Therefore, it is recommended to hold INTC.

  • StrongBuy: 11
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 31
  • Sell: 2
  • StrongSell: 2

What are the forecasts/targets for the INTC price?
Analysts Target Price 98.5 -18.2%
Intel (INTC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 605b (605b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 144.9275
P/S = 11.2508
P/B = 5.731
P/EG = 0.5009
Revenue TTM = 53.8b USD
EBIT TTM = -766.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 11.4b USD
Long Term Debt = 43.0b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.00b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 45.0b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 12.2b USD (calculated: Debt 45.0b - CCE 32.8b)
Enterprise Value = 617b USD (605b + Debt 45.0b - CCE 32.8b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.73 (Ebit TTM -766.0m / Interest Expense TTM 1.06b)
EV/FCF = -197.9x (Enterprise Value 617b / FCF TTM -3.12b)
FCF Yield = -0.51% (FCF TTM -3.12b / Enterprise Value 617b)
FCF Margin = -5.80% (FCF TTM -3.12b / Revenue TTM 53.8b)
Net Margin = -5.90% (Net Income TTM -3.17b / Revenue TTM 53.8b)
Gross Margin = 35.43% ((Revenue TTM 53.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 34.7b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.38% (prev 36.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.01 (Enterprise Value 617b / Total Assets 205b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.35% (Interest Expense 1.06b / Debt 45.0b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -605.1m (EBIT -766.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.31 (Total Current Assets 62.2b / Total Current Liabilities 26.9b)
Debt / Equity = 0.40 (Debt 45.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 111b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.07 (Net Debt 12.2b / EBITDA 11.4b)
 Debt / FCF = -3.92 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 12.2b / FCF TTM -3.12b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 107b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.60% (Net Income -3.17b / Total Assets 205b)
RoE = -2.95% (Net Income TTM -3.17b / Total Stockholder Equity 107b)
RoCE = -0.51% (EBIT -766.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 107b + L.T.Debt 43.0b))
 RoIC = -0.34% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -605.1m / Invested Capital 178b)
 WACC = 13.97% (E(605b)/V(650b) * Re(14.87%) + D(45.0b)/V(650b) * Rd(2.35%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 14.87% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 95.56 | Cagr: 8.17%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -3.12b)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 1.42 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -40.49 | Revenue CAGR: -0.69% | SUE: 3.36 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.21 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+91% | Analysts=33
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.27 | Chg30d=+0.45% | Revisions=+72% | Analysts=33
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.09 | Chg30d=+0.27% | Revisions=+92% | GrowthEPS=+159.7% | GrowthRev=+11.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.55 | Chg30d=+0.99% | Revisions=+70% | GrowthEPS=+42.5% | GrowthRev=+11.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +91% (up=99, down=3)