INTC Stock Analysis: Intel | NASDAQ
Semiconductors | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 630.791m USD | 12M Return: 177% | US4581401001 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 12.1B
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 12.3%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Intel Corporation is a U.S.-based global semiconductor company that designs, manufactures, and sells computing products and related services across three main segments: Client Computing Group (CCG), Data Center and AI (DCAI), and Intel Foundry. Its product portfolio spans client and server CPUs, discrete GPUs, networking components, and edge/connectivity products, alongside chip fabrication services and specialized tools such as multi-beam mask writing equipment. Intel distributes its products through direct sales, resellers, distributors, retailers, and OEM partners, serving customers that include OEMs, ODMs, and cloud service providers.
Beyond its core chip business, Intel provides driving assistance and autonomous driving solutions and is pursuing new revenue streams through strategic partnerships, including a collaboration with Infosys to develop an integrated AI fabric. Founded in 1968 and headquartered in Santa Clara, California, Intel is one of the largest and most established players in the global semiconductor industry, a sector that supplies the core processing and memory components powering virtually all modern electronics, from personal computers to data centers and embedded systems.
- Data Center revenue pressured by AMD and Nvidia AI chip competition
- Intel Foundry losses widen as capex soars on new fabs
- Client Computing margins compress amid AMD market share gains
| Net Income: -11.3b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.08 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 37.77% < 20% (prev 15.85%; Δ 21.93% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 14.9b > Net Income -11.3b |
| Net Debt (20.8b) to EBITDA (3.67b): 5.67 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.60 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (5.10b) vs 12m ago 16.82% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.93% > 18% (prev 29.76%; Δ 9.17% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 28.88% > 50% (prev 27.57%; Δ 1.31% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -7.57 > 6 (EBIT TTM -8.71b / Interest Expense TTM 1.15b) |
| A: 0.11 (Total Current Assets 57.2b - Total Current Liabilities 35.7b) / Total Assets 202b |
| B: 0.17 (Retained Earnings 33.8b / Total Assets 202b) |
| C: -0.04 (EBIT TTM -8.71b / Avg Total Assets 197b) |
| D: 0.88 (Book Value of Equity 87.5b / Total Liabilities 99.3b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.87 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.59 (Receivables 4.03b/2.36b, Revenue 57.0b/53.1b) |
| GMI: 0.76 (GM 29.76% / 38.93%) |
| AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.20 / AQ_t-1 0.21) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 57.0b / 53.1b) |
| TATA: -0.13 (NI -11.3b - CFO 14.9b) / TA 202b) |
| Beneish M = -2.75 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 104.70 with a total of 74,577,145 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -12.26%, over one month by -1.45%, over three months by -6.97% and over the past year by +176.98%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 97.60 (which is 6.8% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Intel has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.53. Therefore, it is recommended to hold INTC.
- StrongBuy: 14
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 32
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 116.4 | 11.1% |
P/E Forward = 63.2911
P/S = 11.0603
P/B = 7.403
P/EG = 0.5009
Revenue TTM = 57.0b USD
EBIT TTM = -8.71b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.67b USD
Long Term Debt = 48.5b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.99b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 50.5b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 20.8b USD (calculated: Debt 50.5b - CCE 29.7b)
Enterprise Value = 652b USD (631b + Debt 50.5b - CCE 29.7b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -7.57 (Ebit TTM -8.71b / Interest Expense TTM 1.15b)
EV/FCF = 230.2x (Enterprise Value 652b / FCF TTM 2.83b)
FCF Yield = 0.43% (FCF TTM 2.83b / Enterprise Value 652b)
FCF Margin = 4.96% (FCF TTM 2.83b / Revenue TTM 57.0b)
Net Margin = -19.79% (Net Income TTM -11.3b / Revenue TTM 57.0b)
Gross Margin = 38.93% ((Revenue TTM 57.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 34.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.51% (prev 39.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.22 (Enterprise Value 652b / Total Assets 202b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.28% (Interest Expense 1.15b / Debt 50.5b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -6.88b (EBIT -8.71b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.60 (Total Current Assets 57.2b / Total Current Liabilities 35.7b)
Debt / Equity = 0.58 (Debt 50.5b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 87.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.67 (Net Debt 20.8b / EBITDA 3.67b)
Debt / FCF = 7.35 (Net Debt 20.8b / FCF TTM 2.83b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 105b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -5.72% (Net Income -11.3b / Total Assets 202b)
RoE = -10.76% (Net Income TTM -11.3b / Total Stockholder Equity 105b)
RoCE = -5.67% (EBIT -8.71b / Capital Employed (Equity 105b + L.T.Debt 48.5b))
RoIC = -4.15% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -6.88b / Invested Capital 166b)
WACC = 13.63% (E(631b)/V(681b) * Re(14.58%) + D(50.5b)/V(681b) * Rd(2.28%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 14.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 90.87 | Cagr: 8.57%
[DCF] Terminal Value 59.27% ; FCFF base≈2.83b ; Y1≈2.84b ; Y5≈3.01b
[DCF] Fair Price = 0.73 (EV 24.7b - Net Debt 20.8b = Equity 3.88b / Shares 5.29b; r=13.63% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 12.33 | Revenue CAGR: 0.32% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.39 | Chg30d=+0.46% | Revisions=+91% | Analysts=35
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.52 | Chg30d=+0.51% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+262.0% | GrowthRev=+19.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.06 | Chg30d=+1.05% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+35.6% | GrowthRev=+14.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +78% (up=35, down=3)