(IQ) iQIYI - Ratings and Ratios
Video, Games, Literature, Comics, Membership
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 47.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 68.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -13.55% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.04 |
| Alpha | -29.50 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.36 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.613 |
| Beta | 1.260 |
| Beta Downside | 1.613 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 80.21% |
| Mean DD | 51.70% |
| Median DD | 54.66% |
Description: IQ iQIYI November 11, 2025
iQIYI, Inc. (NASDAQ:IQ) is a Beijing-based subsidiary of Baidu that operates a subscription-based streaming platform in China. Its content library blends licensed professional productions with self-produced series, and the ecosystem also includes online gaming, digital literature, comics, talent-agency services, and IP licensing. Revenue streams are diversified across membership fees, programmatic and direct advertising, and content distribution deals.
As of Q3 2024, iQIYI reported approximately 115 million paid subscribers, a modest increase of 3 % YoY, while average revenue per user (ARPU) fell to ¥48 ($7) amid heightened competition from Tencent Video and Youku. The company’s total revenue grew 5 % YoY to ¥27.3 billion, driven largely by a 12 % rise in advertising spend, but margins remain pressured by ongoing content-production costs and stricter Chinese regulatory caps on online video. A key sector driver is the Chinese government’s push for “cultural self-reliance,” which could both limit foreign content imports and increase demand for domestically produced IP.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of iQIYI’s valuation dynamics, you may find ValueRay’s data-driven analytics platform a useful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (-389.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.63b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.79pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -44.00% (prev -39.21%; Δ -4.79pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO 577.7m > Net Income -389.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (10.79b) to EBITDA (4.58b) ratio: 2.35 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.44 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (963.9m) change vs 12m ago 596.7% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 21.95% (prev 25.81%; Δ -3.86pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 59.83% (prev 67.63%; Δ -7.79pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -1.32 (EBITDA TTM 4.58b / Interest Expense TTM 924.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -6.40
| (A) -0.26 = (Total Current Assets 9.36b - Total Current Liabilities 21.29b) / Total Assets 45.79b |
| (B) -0.96 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -44.01b / Total Assets 45.79b |
| (C) -0.03 = EBIT TTM -1.22b / Avg Total Assets 45.31b |
| (D) -1.31 = Book Value of Equity -42.60b / Total Liabilities 32.45b |
| Total Rating: -6.40 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 34.65
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.97% |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.72% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.11 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.35 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -11.21)% |
| 7. RoE -2.89% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -37.61% |
| 9. EPS Trend 16.15% |
What is the price of IQ shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.53%, over one month by -12.79%, over three months by -27.10% and over the past year by -5.45%.
Is IQ a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the IQ price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 2.4 | 23% |
| Analysts Target Price | 2.4 | 23% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1.6 | -18.3% |
IQ Fundamental Data Overview December 25, 2025
P/E Trailing = 192.0
P/E Forward = 13.1752
P/S = 0.0682
P/B = 0.9657
P/EG = 2.6352
Beta = -0.032
Revenue TTM = 27.11b CNY
EBIT TTM = -1.22b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 4.58b CNY
Long Term Debt = 9.98b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.41b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.74b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 10.79b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 23.63b CNY (12.95b + Debt 14.74b - CCE 4.07b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.32 (Ebit TTM -1.22b / Interest Expense TTM 924.6m)
FCF Yield = 1.97% (FCF TTM 465.5m / Enterprise Value 23.63b)
FCF Margin = 1.72% (FCF TTM 465.5m / Revenue TTM 27.11b)
Net Margin = -1.44% (Net Income TTM -389.9m / Revenue TTM 27.11b)
Gross Margin = 21.95% ((Revenue TTM 27.11b - Cost of Revenue TTM 21.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.19% (prev 20.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.52 (Enterprise Value 23.63b / Total Assets 45.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.50% (Interest Expense 220.6m / Debt 14.74b)
Taxrate = -19.35% (negative due to tax credits) (40.0m / -206.9m)
NOPAT = -1.46b (EBIT -1.22b * (1 - -19.35%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.44 (Total Current Assets 9.36b / Total Current Liabilities 21.29b)
Debt / Equity = 1.11 (Debt 14.74b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.34b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.35 (Net Debt 10.79b / EBITDA 4.58b)
Debt / FCF = 23.17 (Net Debt 10.79b / FCF TTM 465.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 13.47b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.85% (Net Income -389.9m / Total Assets 45.79b)
RoE = -2.89% (Net Income TTM -389.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 13.47b)
RoCE = -5.20% (EBIT -1.22b / Capital Employed (Equity 13.47b + L.T.Debt 9.98b))
RoIC = -5.28% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -1.46b / Invested Capital 27.58b)
WACC = 5.94% (E(12.95b)/V(27.70b) * Re(10.66%) + D(14.74b)/V(27.70b) * Rd(1.50%) * (1-Tc(-0.19)))
Discount Rate = 10.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.64%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 59.65% ; FCFE base≈1.14b ; Y1≈749.2m ; Y5≈342.6m
Fair Price DCF = 8.81 (DCF Value 4.65b / Shares Outstanding 528.5m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 16.15 | EPS CAGR: 187.7% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -37.61 | Revenue CAGR: -2.64% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.01 | Chg30d=+0.055 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.86 | Chg30d=-0.031 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+480.2% | Growth Revenue=+2.8%
Additional Sources for IQ Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle