ITRI Stock Analysis: Itron | NASDAQ
Scientific & Technical Instruments | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 3.759m USD | 12M Return: -21.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 45.6M
EPS Trend: 93.6%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 76.5%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Itron, Inc. (NASDAQ: ITRI) is a U.S.-based technology, solutions, and services company headquartered in Liberty Lake, Washington, founded in 1977. It provides end-to-end solutions for managing energy, water, and smart city operations worldwide, serving utilities, municipalities, and smart city customers through a direct sales force, distributors, agents, partners, and meter manufacturer representatives. The company operates through four segments: Device Solutions (measurement and control hardware such as gas, electricity, and water meters); Networked Solutions (smart meters, endpoints, sensors, network infrastructure, and IoT applications for electricity, water, and gas); Outcomes (value-added software, services, AI, machine learning, and analytics); and Resiliency Solutions (software and services supporting grid and operational resiliency). Together, these segments span the full lifecycle from metering hardware and communications networks to data analytics and managed services, positioning Itron across the broader smart infrastructure and industrial IoT markets.
- Utility grid modernization spending drives Networked Solutions segment growth
- Outcomes software shift expands blended gross margins
- Landis+Gyr competition pressures Device Solutions pricing and market share
| Net Income: 289.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.39 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 40.52% < 20% (prev 37.60%; Δ 2.92% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 417.3m > Net Income 289.0m |
| Net Debt (917.5m) to EBITDA (409.4m): 2.24 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.66 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (45.5m) vs 12m ago -1.52% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.82% > 18% (prev 34.82%; Δ 4.01% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 62.74% > 50% (prev 69.78%; Δ -7.04% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.47 > 6 (EBIT TTM 353.4m / Interest Expense TTM 26.2m) |
| A: 0.24 (Total Current Assets 1.52b - Total Current Liabilities 573.6m) / Total Assets 3.98b |
| B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 165.2m / Total Assets 3.98b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 353.4m / Avg Total Assets 3.74b) |
| D: 0.68 (Book Value of Equity 1.61b / Total Liabilities 2.35b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.06 = A |
| DSRI: 1.18 (Receivables 393.2m/346.6m, Revenue 2.35b/2.44b) |
| GMI: 0.90 (GM 34.82% / 38.82%) |
| AQI: 1.38 (AQ_t 0.58 / AQ_t-1 0.42) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 2.35b / 2.44b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 289.0m - CFO 417.3m) / TA 3.98b) |
| Beneish M = -2.77 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 107.02 with a total of 6,379,061 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +27.19%, over one month by +27.83%, over three months by +23.01% and over the past year by -21.48%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 100.00 (which is 6.6% or 2.8 ATR below the current price).
Itron has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.23. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ITRI.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 126.7 | 18.4% |
P/E Trailing = 13.5431
P/E Forward = 14.3062
P/S = 1.6016
P/B = 2.3234
P/EG = 0.7526
Revenue TTM = 2.35b USD
EBIT TTM = 353.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 409.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.57b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 459.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.63b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 28.3m
Net Debt = 917.5m USD (calculated: Debt 1.63b - CCE 712.9m)
Enterprise Value = 4.68b USD (3.76b + Debt 1.63b - CCE 712.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.47 (Ebit TTM 353.4m / Interest Expense TTM 26.2m)
EV/FCF = 11.91x (Enterprise Value 4.68b / FCF TTM 392.5m)
FCF Yield = 8.39% (FCF TTM 392.5m / Enterprise Value 4.68b)
FCF Margin = 16.72% (FCF TTM 392.5m / Revenue TTM 2.35b)
Net Margin = 12.32% (Net Income TTM 289.0m / Revenue TTM 2.35b)
Gross Margin = 38.82% ((Revenue TTM 2.35b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.44b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.26% (prev 40.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.18 (Enterprise Value 4.68b / Total Assets 3.98b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.61% (Interest Expense 26.2m / Debt 1.63b)
Taxrate = 10.88% (35.6m / 327.2m)
NOPAT = 315.0m (EBIT 353.4m * (1 - 10.88%))
Current Ratio = 2.66 (Total Current Assets 1.52b / Total Current Liabilities 573.6m)
Debt / Equity = 1.01 (Debt 1.63b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.61b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.24 (Net Debt 917.5m / EBITDA 409.4m)
Debt / FCF = 2.34 (Net Debt 917.5m / FCF TTM 392.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.66b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.73% (Net Income 289.0m / Total Assets 3.98b)
RoE = 17.44% (Net Income TTM 289.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.66b)
RoCE = 10.94% (EBIT 353.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.66b + L.T.Debt 1.57b))
RoIC = 8.41% (NOPAT 315.0m / Invested Capital 3.75b)
WACC = 6.90% (E(3.76b)/V(5.39b) * Re(9.27%) + D(1.63b)/V(5.39b) * Rd(1.61%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 9.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -24.45 | Cagr: -0.55%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈340.3m ; Y1≈390.1m ; Y5≈574.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 174.2 (EV 8.64b - Net Debt 917.5m = Equity 7.72b / Shares 44.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 93.63 | EPS CAGR: 49.76% | SUE: 1.33 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 76.46 | Revenue CAGR: 6.66% | SUE: 1.57 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.29 | Chg30d=-0.63% | Revisions=-73% | Analysts=11
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.56 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-70% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.97 | Chg30d=+0.04% | Revisions=-18% | GrowthEPS=-16.2% | GrowthRev=+1.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.56 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+9.8% | GrowthRev=+5.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -67% (up=3, down=21)