(ITRI) Itron - Ratings and Ratios
Smart Meters, Grid Sensors, Water Meters, Gas Meters, AMI Software
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 48.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.10% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.09 |
| Alpha | -28.48 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.59 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.343 |
| Beta | 0.997 |
| Beta Downside | 1.003 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 32.91% |
| Mean DD | 10.07% |
| Median DD | 8.93% |
Description: ITRI Itron January 09, 2026
Itron Inc. (NASDAQ: ITRI) delivers end-to-end technology for utility- and smart-city-focused measurement, communication, and analytics. Its business is split into three segments: Device Solutions (hardware meters for gas, electricity, water, heat and allocation), Networked Solutions (smart-meter modules, IoT sensors, network infrastructure, and related software for AMI, DER management, street lighting, and leak detection) and Outcomes (AI/ML-driven analytics, SaaS, consulting and extended-warranty services).
Key recent data points: FY 2023 revenue was approximately $2.5 billion, with recurring SaaS and analytics contracts now representing roughly 15 % of total revenue-a metric that tends to be more resilient to utility capital-spending cycles. The company’s backlog for smart-water and smart-grid projects grew 12 % YoY, reflecting continued municipal investment driven by ESG-related water-conservation mandates. A macro driver worth monitoring is the U.S. utility sector’s average capex-to-revenue ratio, which has been hovering near 6 % and underpins demand for Itron’s AMI and DER-management solutions.
For a deeper quantitative view of ITRI’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform offers a concise dashboard worth checking.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (257.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 144.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.35pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 48.03% (prev 51.27%; Δ -3.24pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 364.5m > Net Income 257.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-62.2m) to EBITDA (364.9m) ratio: -0.17 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.17 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (46.7m) change vs 12m ago 1.79% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 36.30% (prev 34.17%; Δ 2.13pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 68.07% (prev 71.47%; Δ -3.40pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 13.94 (EBITDA TTM 364.9m / Interest Expense TTM 22.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.54
| (A) 0.31 = (Total Current Assets 2.14b - Total Current Liabilities 987.4m) / Total Assets 3.71b |
| (B) 0.00 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 10.1m / Total Assets 3.71b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 313.4m / Avg Total Assets 3.54b |
| (D) 0.85 = Book Value of Equity 1.69b / Total Liabilities 2.00b |
| Total Rating: 3.54 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 75.80
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.97% |
| 3. FCF Margin 14.10% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.75 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.17 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.71)% |
| 7. RoE 16.65% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 85.56% |
| 9. EPS Trend 57.43% |
What is the price of ITRI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.67%, over one month by +1.06%, over three months by -22.58% and over the past year by -3.92%.
Is ITRI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ITRI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 140.2 | 41.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 140.2 | 41.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 99.2 | -0.1% |
ITRI Fundamental Data Overview January 05, 2026
P/E Forward = 15.4083
P/S = 1.7966
P/B = 2.5028
P/EG = 0.5133
Beta = 1.524
Revenue TTM = 2.41b USD
EBIT TTM = 313.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 364.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 787.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 458.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.27b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -62.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.26b USD (4.33b + Debt 1.27b - CCE 1.33b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.94 (Ebit TTM 313.4m / Interest Expense TTM 22.5m)
EV/FCF = 12.55x (Enterprise Value 4.26b / FCF TTM 339.7m)
FCF Yield = 7.97% (FCF TTM 339.7m / Enterprise Value 4.26b)
FCF Margin = 14.10% (FCF TTM 339.7m / Revenue TTM 2.41b)
Net Margin = 10.69% (Net Income TTM 257.5m / Revenue TTM 2.41b)
Gross Margin = 36.30% ((Revenue TTM 2.41b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.53b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.75% (prev 36.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.15 (Enterprise Value 4.26b / Total Assets 3.71b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.44% (Interest Expense 5.65m / Debt 1.27b)
Taxrate = 26.99% (24.5m / 90.7m)
NOPAT = 228.8m (EBIT 313.4m * (1 - 26.99%))
Current Ratio = 2.17 (Total Current Assets 2.14b / Total Current Liabilities 987.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.75 (Debt 1.27b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.69b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.17 (Net Debt -62.2m / EBITDA 364.9m)
Debt / FCF = -0.18 (Net Debt -62.2m / FCF TTM 339.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.28% (Net Income 257.5m / Total Assets 3.71b)
RoE = 16.65% (Net Income TTM 257.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.55b)
RoCE = 13.43% (EBIT 313.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.55b + L.T.Debt 787.9m))
RoIC = 8.20% (NOPAT 228.8m / Invested Capital 2.79b)
WACC = 7.49% (E(4.33b)/V(5.60b) * Re(9.59%) + D(1.27b)/V(5.60b) * Rd(0.44%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 9.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.67%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 82.94% ; FCFF base≈282.0m ; Y1≈347.8m ; Y5≈592.4m
Fair Price DCF = 250.2 (EV 11.16b - Net Debt -62.2m = Equity 11.23b / Shares 44.9m; r=7.49% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 57.43 | EPS CAGR: -16.93% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 85.56 | Revenue CAGR: 4.93% | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.35 | Chg30d=-0.131 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.00 | Chg30d=-0.311 | Revisions Net=-9 | Growth EPS=-12.6% | Growth Revenue=+3.7%
Additional Sources for ITRI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle