(ITRI) Itron - Overview
Stock: Smart Meters, Grid Sensors, Water Meters, Gas Meters, AMI Software
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -13.9% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.08 |
| Alpha | -17.60 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.025 |
| Beta Downside | 1.030 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 32.91% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.67 |
Description: ITRI Itron January 09, 2026
Itron Inc. (NASDAQ: ITRI) delivers end-to-end technology for utility- and smart-city-focused measurement, communication, and analytics. Its business is split into three segments: Device Solutions (hardware meters for gas, electricity, water, heat and allocation), Networked Solutions (smart-meter modules, IoT sensors, network infrastructure, and related software for AMI, DER management, street lighting, and leak detection) and Outcomes (AI/ML-driven analytics, SaaS, consulting and extended-warranty services).
Key recent data points: FY 2023 revenue was approximately $2.5 billion, with recurring SaaS and analytics contracts now representing roughly 15 % of total revenue-a metric that tends to be more resilient to utility capital-spending cycles. The company’s backlog for smart-water and smart-grid projects grew 12 % YoY, reflecting continued municipal investment driven by ESG-related water-conservation mandates. A macro driver worth monitoring is the U.S. utility sector’s average capex-to-revenue ratio, which has been hovering near 6 % and underpins demand for Itron’s AMI and DER-management solutions.
For a deeper quantitative view of ITRI’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform offers a concise dashboard worth checking.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 257.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.35 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 48.03% < 20% (prev 51.27%; Δ -3.24% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 364.5m > Net Income 257.5m |
| Net Debt (-62.2m) to EBITDA (364.9m): -0.17 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.17 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (46.7m) vs 12m ago 1.79% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.30% > 18% (prev 0.34%; Δ 3596 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 68.07% > 50% (prev 71.47%; Δ -3.40% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.94 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 364.9m / Interest Expense TTM 22.5m) |
Altman Z'' 3.54
| A: 0.31 (Total Current Assets 2.14b - Total Current Liabilities 987.4m) / Total Assets 3.71b |
| B: 0.00 (Retained Earnings 10.1m / Total Assets 3.71b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 313.4m / Avg Total Assets 3.54b) |
| D: 0.85 (Book Value of Equity 1.69b / Total Liabilities 2.00b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.54 = A |
Beneish M -3.10
| DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 369.5m/338.8m, Revenue 2.41b/2.41b) |
| GMI: 0.94 (GM 36.30% / 34.17%) |
| AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.43) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 2.41b / 2.41b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 257.5m - CFO 364.5m) / TA 3.71b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of ITRI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.01%, over one month by +5.21%, over three months by +3.54% and over the past year by -1.34%.
Is ITRI a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ITRI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 138.4 | 32.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 138.4 | 32.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 115.6 | 10.7% |
ITRI Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 16.9492
P/S = 1.8842
P/B = 2.625
P/EG = 0.5646
Revenue TTM = 2.41b USD
EBIT TTM = 313.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 364.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 787.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 458.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.27b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -62.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.48b USD (4.54b + Debt 1.27b - CCE 1.33b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.94 (Ebit TTM 313.4m / Interest Expense TTM 22.5m)
EV/FCF = 13.18x (Enterprise Value 4.48b / FCF TTM 339.7m)
FCF Yield = 7.59% (FCF TTM 339.7m / Enterprise Value 4.48b)
FCF Margin = 14.10% (FCF TTM 339.7m / Revenue TTM 2.41b)
Net Margin = 10.69% (Net Income TTM 257.5m / Revenue TTM 2.41b)
Gross Margin = 36.30% ((Revenue TTM 2.41b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.53b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.75% (prev 36.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.21 (Enterprise Value 4.48b / Total Assets 3.71b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.44% (Interest Expense 5.65m / Debt 1.27b)
Taxrate = 26.99% (24.5m / 90.7m)
NOPAT = 228.8m (EBIT 313.4m * (1 - 26.99%))
Current Ratio = 2.17 (Total Current Assets 2.14b / Total Current Liabilities 987.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.75 (Debt 1.27b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.69b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.17 (Net Debt -62.2m / EBITDA 364.9m)
Debt / FCF = -0.18 (Net Debt -62.2m / FCF TTM 339.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.28% (Net Income 257.5m / Total Assets 3.71b)
RoE = 16.65% (Net Income TTM 257.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.55b)
RoCE = 13.43% (EBIT 313.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.55b + L.T.Debt 787.9m))
RoIC = 8.20% (NOPAT 228.8m / Invested Capital 2.79b)
WACC = 7.64% (E(4.54b)/V(5.81b) * Re(9.69%) + D(1.27b)/V(5.81b) * Rd(0.44%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 9.69% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.67%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 82.43% ; FCFF base≈282.0m ; Y1≈347.8m ; Y5≈592.4m
Fair Price DCF = 241.9 (EV 10.79b - Net Debt -62.2m = Equity 10.85b / Shares 44.9m; r=7.64% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 57.43 | EPS CAGR: -16.93% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 85.56 | Revenue CAGR: 4.93% | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.35 | Chg30d=-0.003 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.95 | Chg30d=-0.047 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-13.3% | Growth Revenue=+4.8%