(ITRN) Ituran Location Control - Ratings and Ratios
Telematics Services, Telematics Products
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.40% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 15.80% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 59.67% |
| Payout Consistency | 75.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 70.4% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 43.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -13.26% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.18 |
| Alpha | 36.94 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.21 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.542 |
| Beta | 0.879 |
| Beta Downside | 0.907 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 26.82% |
| Mean DD | 8.33% |
| Median DD | 8.27% |
Description: ITRN Ituran Location Control October 22, 2025
Ituran Location and Control Ltd. (NASDAQ: ITRN) is an Israeli-based provider of telematics solutions, operating through two primary segments: Telematics Services and Telematics Products. The company was founded in 1994 and serves markets in Israel, Brazil, and other international locations, targeting insurance carriers, OEMs, dealers, and private end-users.
The Telematics Services segment delivers stolen-vehicle recovery, fleet-management, and locator services, complemented by on-demand navigation, traffic updates, and a connected-car platform that includes back-office software, in-vehicle devices, and mobile apps. Recent filings indicate FY 2023 subscription revenue of roughly $110 million, up ≈12 % year-over-year, with an operating margin near 18 %-suggesting a relatively high-margin, recurring-revenue model.
The Telematics Products segment manufactures the hardware backbone of the service offering: base-site radio receivers, control-center software, vehicle-mounted navigation/tracking units, and the portable SMART transmitter. These products enable real-time data exchange between vehicles and Ituran’s control centers, supporting both commercial fleet customers and law-enforcement integrations.
Key industry drivers include a projected 15 % CAGR for the global telematics market through 2029, accelerated adoption of usage-based insurance (UBI) in Brazil’s expanding fleet (≈5 % annual growth), and regulatory trends in Israel pushing for mandatory vehicle-tracking solutions in commercial fleets. Given these dynamics, a deeper dive into Ituran’s unit economics and competitive positioning on ValueRay could help clarify the stock’s risk-adjusted upside.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (56.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 20.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.17 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.26pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 36.68% (prev 31.33%; Δ 5.35pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 (>3.0%) and CFO 84.4m > Net Income 56.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-88.2m) to EBITDA (93.9m) ratio: -0.94 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.25 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (19.9m) change vs 12m ago -0.03% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 49.51% (prev 47.68%; Δ 1.83pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 100.0% (prev 103.3%; Δ -3.26pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 42.90 (EBITDA TTM 93.9m / Interest Expense TTM 1.75m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 7.16
| (A) 0.34 = (Total Current Assets 230.2m - Total Current Liabilities 102.4m) / Total Assets 376.1m |
| (B) 0.60 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 226.2m / Total Assets 376.1m |
| (C) 0.22 = EBIT TTM 75.2m / Avg Total Assets 348.4m |
| (D) 1.45 = Book Value of Equity 228.2m / Total Liabilities 157.5m |
| Total Rating: 7.16 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 91.66
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.10% |
| 3. FCF Margin 17.81% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.02 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.94 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 20.99)% |
| 7. RoE 28.48% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 94.54% |
| 9. EPS Trend 93.90% |
What is the price of ITRN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.69%, over one month by +16.18%, over three months by +28.34% and over the past year by +51.20%.
Is ITRN a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ITRN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 49.5 | 11.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 49.5 | 11.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 60.4 | 36.5% |
ITRN Fundamental Data Overview December 12, 2025
P/E Trailing = 15.0772
P/S = 2.4535
P/B = 3.9947
Beta = 0.714
Revenue TTM = 348.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 75.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 93.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 4.85m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.50m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 4.85m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -88.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 766.6m USD (854.8m + Debt 4.85m - CCE 93.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 42.90 (Ebit TTM 75.2m / Interest Expense TTM 1.75m)
FCF Yield = 8.10% (FCF TTM 62.1m / Enterprise Value 766.6m)
FCF Margin = 17.81% (FCF TTM 62.1m / Revenue TTM 348.4m)
Net Margin = 16.22% (Net Income TTM 56.5m / Revenue TTM 348.4m)
Gross Margin = 49.51% ((Revenue TTM 348.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 175.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.31% (prev 49.45%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.04 (Enterprise Value 766.6m / Total Assets 376.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.01% (Interest Expense 340.0k / Debt 4.85m)
Taxrate = 20.19% (3.89m / 19.3m)
NOPAT = 60.0m (EBIT 75.2m * (1 - 20.19%))
Current Ratio = 2.25 (Total Current Assets 230.2m / Total Current Liabilities 102.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 4.85m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 212.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.94 (Net Debt -88.2m / EBITDA 93.9m)
Debt / FCF = -1.42 (Net Debt -88.2m / FCF TTM 62.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 198.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.03% (Net Income 56.5m / Total Assets 376.1m)
RoE = 28.48% (Net Income TTM 56.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 198.5m)
RoCE = 36.98% (EBIT 75.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 198.5m + L.T.Debt 4.85m))
RoIC = 30.23% (NOPAT 60.0m / Invested Capital 198.5m)
WACC = 9.24% (E(854.8m)/V(859.7m) * Re(9.26%) + D(4.85m)/V(859.7m) * Rd(7.01%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 9.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.18% ; FCFE base≈61.3m ; Y1≈70.6m ; Y5≈99.4m
Fair Price DCF = 69.33 (DCF Value 1.38b / Shares Outstanding 19.9m; 5y FCF grow 17.81% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 93.90 | EPS CAGR: 13.52% | SUE: 1.50 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 94.54 | Revenue CAGR: 7.50% | SUE: 3.33 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.77 | Chg30d=+0.090 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.24 | Chg30d=+0.280 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+11.7% | Growth Revenue=+8.0%
Additional Sources for ITRN Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle