(IVVD) Invivyd - Ratings and Ratios
Antibody, Covid-19, Influenza, Prevention, Treatment
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 131% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 163% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -24.42% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.52 |
| Alpha | 532.82 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.12 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.420 |
| Beta | 0.897 |
| Beta Downside | 1.407 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 92.90% |
| Mean DD | 57.52% |
| Median DD | 57.34% |
Description: IVVD Invivyd December 22, 2025
Invivyd, Inc. (NASDAQ:IVVD) is a U.S.-based biopharma focused on antibody-based therapeutics for infectious diseases, primarily COVID-19. Its lead assets are PEMGARDA (pemivibart), a half-life-extended monoclonal antibody in late-stage trials for prophylaxis, and Adintrevimab, currently in Phase 2/3 for both prevention and treatment. The pipeline also includes preclinical candidate VYD2311 and discovery-stage programs targeting seasonal influenza and additional COVID-19 antibodies, developed under a discovery partnership with Adimab, LLC.
Key operational metrics (as of the most recent 10-Q) show cash and cash equivalents of roughly $45 million, providing runway into 2025 assuming current burn rates. The infectious-disease antibody market is projected to grow at a CAGR of ~12% through 2030, driven by continued demand for rapid-deployment biologics and government procurement programs. Recent sector trends-such as the FDA’s accelerated pathways for monoclonal antibodies and heightened payer focus on outpatient-administered therapies-are favorable to Invivyd’s commercial strategy.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you might explore ValueRay’s detailed analyst models for IVVD.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5
| Net Income (-59.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 3.00m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.58 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 60.94pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 130.4% (prev 497.4%; Δ -366.9pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.58 (>3.0%) and CFO -80.3m <= Net Income -59.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 2.47 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (170.2m) change vs 12m ago 42.41% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 93.34% (prev 86.74%; Δ 6.60pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 33.24% (prev 9.01%; Δ 24.23pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -33.91 (EBITDA TTM -58.5m / Interest Expense TTM -1.82m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -43.27
| (A) 0.47 = (Total Current Assets 109.8m - Total Current Liabilities 44.5m) / Total Assets 139.2m |
| (B) -6.78 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -943.4m / Total Assets 139.2m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -6.78 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.41 = EBIT TTM -61.7m / Avg Total Assets 150.5m |
| (D) -20.47 = Book Value of Equity -943.4m / Total Liabilities 46.1m |
| Total Rating: -43.27 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 40.35
| 1. Piotroski 1.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -16.00% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.03 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.41 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -84.86)% |
| 7. RoE -92.97% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 87.36% |
| 9. EPS Trend 73.42% |
What is the price of IVVD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.33%, over one month by +17.12%, over three months by +59.51% and over the past year by +542.45%.
Is IVVD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the IVVD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10 | 284.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 10 | 284.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 2.9 | 12.7% |
IVVD Fundamental Data Overview January 10, 2026
P/S = 11.6936
P/B = 7.6051
Revenue TTM = 50.0m USD
EBIT TTM = -61.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -58.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.68m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.08m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.68m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -82.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 502.8m USD (585.1m + Debt 2.68m - CCE 85.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -33.91 (Ebit TTM -61.7m / Interest Expense TTM -1.82m)
EV/FCF = -6.25x (Enterprise Value 502.8m / FCF TTM -80.4m)
FCF Yield = -16.00% (FCF TTM -80.4m / Enterprise Value 502.8m)
FCF Margin = -160.8% (FCF TTM -80.4m / Revenue TTM 50.0m)
Net Margin = -119.6% (Net Income TTM -59.9m / Revenue TTM 50.0m)
Gross Margin = 93.34% ((Revenue TTM 50.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.33m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 91.71% (prev 94.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.61 (Enterprise Value 502.8m / Total Assets 139.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 140.1% (Interest Expense 3.75m / Debt 2.68m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -48.7m (EBIT -61.7m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.47 (Total Current Assets 109.8m / Total Current Liabilities 44.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 2.68m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 93.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.41 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -82.3m / EBITDA -58.5m)
Debt / FCF = 1.02 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -82.3m / FCF TTM -80.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 64.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -39.76% (Net Income -59.9m / Total Assets 139.2m)
RoE = -92.97% (Net Income TTM -59.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 64.4m)
RoCE = -91.97% (EBIT -61.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 64.4m + L.T.Debt 2.68m))
RoIC = -75.68% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -48.7m / Invested Capital 64.4m)
WACC = 9.18% (E(585.1m)/V(587.8m) * Re(9.22%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 24.46%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -80.4m)
EPS Correlation: 73.42 | EPS CAGR: 49.94% | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 87.36 | Revenue CAGR: 87.20% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.20 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.14 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+68.2% | Growth Revenue=+146.6%
Additional Sources for IVVD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle