JACK Stock Analysis: Jack in the Box | NASDAQ
Restaurants | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 275m USD | 12M Return: -31.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 13.8M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -95.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Jack in the Box Inc. (JACK) operates and franchises quick-service restaurants in the United States through two segments: the Jack in the Box hamburger chain and the Del Taco Mexican-American QSR chain. Founded in 1951 and headquartered in San Diego, California, the company has been publicly traded since 1987 and was previously known as Foodmaker, Inc. before adopting its current name in November 1999.
The U.S. quick-service restaurant (QSR) industry is highly competitive and fragmented, with operators typically combining company-owned and franchised locations to drive growth. The franchise model is central to this sector, as it allows operators to generate recurring royalty and fee revenue while limiting direct capital expenditure on new unit openings. With a micro-cap market capitalization of approximately $237 million, Jack in the Box is a comparatively small publicly listed operator within the broader consumer discretionary restaurants segment.
- Del Taco same-store sales decline drives segment impairment charges
- Jack in the Box commodity and labor inflation pressures restaurant level margins
- Refranchising strategy and dividend execution support capital returns amid QSR competition
| Net Income: 35.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.18 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -9.67% < 20% (prev -14.73%; Δ 5.07% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 96.9m > Net Income 35.6m |
| Net Debt (3.56b) to EBITDA (195.6m): 18.22 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.65 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (19.3m) vs 12m ago 1.28% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 27.85% > 18% (prev 29.01%; Δ -1.16% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 55.09% > 50% (prev 59.10%; Δ -4.01% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.82 > 6 (EBIT TTM 143.1m / Interest Expense TTM 78.5m) |
| A: -0.06 (Total Current Assets 226.6m - Total Current Liabilities 348.7m) / Total Assets 2.01b |
| B: 0.89 (Retained Earnings 1.78b / Total Assets 2.01b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 143.1m / Avg Total Assets 2.29b) |
| D: -0.31 (Book Value of Equity -922.1m / Total Liabilities 2.93b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.58 = A |
| DSRI: 1.27 (Receivables 120.2m/114.7m, Revenue 1.26b/1.52b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 29.01% / 27.85%) |
| AQI: 1.08 (AQ_t 0.23 / AQ_t-1 0.21) |
| SGI: 0.83 (Revenue 1.26b / 1.52b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 35.6m - CFO 96.9m) / TA 2.01b) |
| Beneish M = -2.85 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 15.17 with a total of 892,245 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -12.87%, over one month by +26.84%, over three months by +26.21% and over the past year by -31.39%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 12.90 (which is 15% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Jack in the Box has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50. Therefore, it is recommended to hold JACK.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 16.1 | 6.3% |
P/E Forward = 5.2411
P/S = 0.192
P/B = 168.7894
P/EG = 0.8931
Revenue TTM = 1.26b USD
EBIT TTM = 143.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 195.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.56b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 163.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.63b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.02b
Net Debt = 3.56b USD (calculated: Debt 3.63b - CCE 69.4m)
Enterprise Value = 3.84b USD (275.0m + Debt 3.63b - CCE 69.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.82 (Ebit TTM 143.1m / Interest Expense TTM 78.5m)
EV/FCF = 175.4x (Enterprise Value 3.84b / FCF TTM 21.9m)
FCF Yield = 0.57% (FCF TTM 21.9m / Enterprise Value 3.84b)
FCF Margin = 1.73% (FCF TTM 21.9m / Revenue TTM 1.26b)
Net Margin = 2.82% (Net Income TTM 35.6m / Revenue TTM 1.26b)
Gross Margin = 27.85% ((Revenue TTM 1.26b - Cost of Revenue TTM 911.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.57% (prev 30.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.91 (Enterprise Value 3.84b / Total Assets 2.01b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.16% (Interest Expense 78.5m / Debt 3.63b)
Taxrate = 15.20% (9.82m / 64.6m)
NOPAT = 121.3m (EBIT 143.1m * (1 - 15.20%))
Current Ratio = 0.65 (Total Current Assets 226.6m / Total Current Liabilities 348.7m)
Debt / Equity = -3.94 (negative equity) (Debt 3.63b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -922.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 18.22 (Net Debt 3.56b / EBITDA 195.6m)
Debt / FCF = 162.9 (Net Debt 3.56b / FCF TTM 21.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -937.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.55% (Net Income 35.6m / Total Assets 2.01b)
RoE = -3.80% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 35.6m / Total Stockholder Equity -937.0m)
RoCE = 23.03% (EBIT 143.1m / Capital Employed (Equity -937.0m + L.T.Debt 1.56b))
RoIC = 6.91% (NOPAT 121.3m / Invested Capital 1.76b)
WACC = 2.56% (E(275.0m)/V(3.91b) * Re(12.12%) + D(3.63b)/V(3.91b) * Rd(2.16%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 12.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -46.67 | Cagr: -1.71%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈26.2m ; Y1≈23.0m ; Y5≈18.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 298.2m - Net Debt 3.56b = -3.27b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -95.06 | Revenue CAGR: -9.20% | SUE: -0.48 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.90 | Chg30d=-1.13% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=3.39 | Chg30d=-0.90% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=-23.6% | GrowthRev=-23.2%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=3.66 | Chg30d=-0.77% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=+7.8% | GrowthRev=+0.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -64% (up=1, down=10)