(JACK) Jack In The Box - Ratings and Ratios
Hamburgers, Tacos, Fries, Burritos, Shakes
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.09% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.55% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 10.05% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 31.0% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 67.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 109% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.39% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.96 |
| Alpha | -70.92 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.37 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.521 |
| Beta | 0.984 |
| Beta Downside | 0.768 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 84.83% |
| Mean DD | 41.55% |
| Median DD | 44.17% |
Description: JACK Jack In The Box October 26, 2025
Jack in the Box Inc. (NASDAQ:JACK) is a U.S.–based quick-service restaurant operator that runs and franchises two concepts: the Jack in the Box hamburger chain and the Del Taco Mexican-American brand, with locations across multiple states. The company, originally incorporated as Foodmaker, Inc., rebranded to Jack in the Box in November 1999 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
Key metrics as of FY 2023: revenue of roughly $2.2 billion, with same-store sales (comps) up about 5 % year-over-year, and an operating margin of ~ 13 % driven by a franchise-heavy model (≈ 70 % of restaurants franchised). The QSR sector remains sensitive to discretionary consumer spending and labor-cost inflation, while the rollout of digital ordering platforms continues to boost average ticket size.
If you want a deeper, data-driven view of JACK’s valuation and risk profile, a quick look at the analyst dashboards on ValueRay can help surface the most material assumptions and scenario analyses.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (-80.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 87.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.22pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -14.35% (prev -16.10%; Δ 1.75pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 162.4m > Net Income -80.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.07b) to EBITDA (36.2m) ratio: 84.86 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.51 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (19.2m) change vs 12m ago -1.82% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 28.97% (prev 29.27%; Δ -0.29pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 54.99% (prev 57.44%; Δ -2.45pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -0.28 (EBITDA TTM 36.2m / Interest Expense TTM 80.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.15
| (A) -0.08 = (Total Current Assets 220.4m - Total Current Liabilities 430.6m) / Total Assets 2.59b |
| (B) 0.68 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.77b / Total Assets 2.59b |
| (C) -0.01 = EBIT TTM -22.2m / Avg Total Assets 2.66b |
| (D) 0.49 = Book Value of Equity 1.72b / Total Liabilities 3.53b |
| Total Rating: 2.15 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 34.97
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.89% |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.46% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -3.33 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 84.86 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -5.40)% |
| 7. RoE 8.74% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -19.65% |
| 9. EPS Trend -41.96% |
What is the price of JACK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.89%, over one month by +39.14%, over three months by +13.70% and over the past year by -54.54%.
Is JACK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the JACK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 19.9 | -5.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 19.9 | -5.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 14.9 | -29.4% |
JACK Fundamental Data Overview December 12, 2025
P/E Forward = 5.5866
P/S = 0.2591
P/EG = 0.3743
Beta = 1.15
Revenue TTM = 1.47b USD
EBIT TTM = -22.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 36.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.67b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 188.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.12b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.07b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.45b USD (380.0m + Debt 3.12b - CCE 51.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.28 (Ebit TTM -22.2m / Interest Expense TTM 80.6m)
FCF Yield = 1.89% (FCF TTM 65.3m / Enterprise Value 3.45b)
FCF Margin = 4.46% (FCF TTM 65.3m / Revenue TTM 1.47b)
Net Margin = -5.51% (Net Income TTM -80.7m / Revenue TTM 1.47b)
Gross Margin = 28.97% ((Revenue TTM 1.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.52% (prev 28.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.33 (Enterprise Value 3.45b / Total Assets 2.59b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.59% (Interest Expense 18.6m / Debt 3.12b)
Taxrate = -30.42% (negative due to tax credits) (-1.35m / 4.44m)
NOPAT = -28.9m (EBIT -22.2m * (1 - -30.42%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.51 (Total Current Assets 220.4m / Total Current Liabilities 430.6m)
Debt / Equity = -3.33 (negative equity) (Debt 3.12b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -938.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 84.86 (Net Debt 3.07b / EBITDA 36.2m)
Debt / FCF = 47.03 (Net Debt 3.07b / FCF TTM 65.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -923.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.11% (Net Income -80.7m / Total Assets 2.59b)
RoE = 8.74% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -80.7m / Total Stockholder Equity -923.3m)
RoCE = -2.95% (EBIT -22.2m / Capital Employed (Equity -923.3m + L.T.Debt 1.67b))
RoIC = -3.66% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -28.9m / Invested Capital 790.2m)
WACC = 1.74% (E(380.0m)/V(3.50b) * Re(9.64%) + D(3.12b)/V(3.50b) * Rd(0.59%) * (1-Tc(-0.30)))
Discount Rate = 9.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.26%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.60% ; FCFE base≈65.3m ; Y1≈42.9m ; Y5≈19.6m
Fair Price DCF = 15.98 (DCF Value 301.9m / Shares Outstanding 18.9m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -41.96 | EPS CAGR: -39.46% | SUE: -0.06 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -19.65 | Revenue CAGR: -1.46% | SUE: 1.63 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.87 | Chg30d=-0.229 | Revisions Net=-8 | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=3.98 | Chg30d=-0.685 | Revisions Net=-13 | Growth EPS=-10.3% | Growth Revenue=-22.4%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=4.15 | Chg30d=-0.990 | Revisions Net=-7 | Growth EPS=+4.2% | Growth Revenue=+4.9%
Additional Sources for JACK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle