JD Stock Analysis: JD.com | NASDAQ

Internet Retail | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 36.342m USD | 12M Return: -16.7% | US47215P1066 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Electronics, Apparel, Groceries, Pharmaceuticals
Total Rating 44
Safety 78
Buy Signal -0.62
Internet Retail
Industry Rotation: +18.4
Market Cap: 36.3B
Avg Turnover: 171M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility24.7%
VaR 5th Pctl3.86%
VaR vs Median-5.21%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.61
Rel. Str. IBD21.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group39.5
Character TTM
Beta0.942
Beta Downside1.006
Hurst Exponent0.545
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD44.49%
CAGR/Max DD0.07
CAGR/Mean DD0.14
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of JD over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 3.16, "2021-12": 2.21, "2022-03": 2.53, "2022-06": 4.06, "2022-09": 6.27, "2022-12": 4.81, "2023-03": 4.76, "2023-06": 5.39, "2023-09": 6.7, "2023-12": 5.3, "2024-03": 5.65, "2024-06": 9.36, "2024-09": 8.68, "2024-12": 7.42, "2025-03": 8.41, "2025-06": 4.97, "2025-09": 3.73, "2025-12": 0.57, "2026-03": 5.12, "2026-06": 0.83,
EPS CAGR: -18.14%
EPS Trend: -51.9%
Last SUE: 0.04
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of JD over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 218708, 2021-12: 275907.003, 2022-03: 239655, 2022-06: 267600, 2022-09: 243535, 2022-12: 295446, 2023-03: 242956, 2023-06: 287931, 2023-09: 247698, 2023-12: 306077, 2024-03: 260049, 2024-06: 291397, 2024-09: 260387, 2024-12: 346986, 2025-03: 301082, 2025-06: 356660, 2025-09: 299059, 2025-12: 352284, 2026-03: 313784.658, 2026-06: 345423.125,
Rev. CAGR: 9.38%
Rev. Trend: 96.8%
Last SUE: 0.03
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Choppy
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +6.2% 33
Feb +0.0% 7
Mar +0.3% 7
Apr +1.4% 8
May -2.5% 46
Jun +4.0% 5
Jul +0.1% 7
Aug +0.1% 5
Sep -7.4% 30
Oct -2.6% 42
Nov +0.2% 2
Dec -0.5% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: JD JD.com

JD.com, Inc. is a China-based supply chain technology and services company listed on NASDAQ under the ticker JD, headquartered in Beijing and incorporated in 2006 (formerly 360buy Jingdong Inc., renamed in 2014). It operates through three segments: JD Retail, JD Logistics, and New Businesses, generating revenue from direct online retail, third-party marketplace services, and integrated logistics solutions.

The company sells a broad range of consumer goods directly to customers, including home appliances, mobile handsets and digital products, computers and office equipment, furniture, apparel, cosmetics, pet products, food and fresh produce, pharmaceutical and healthcare products, books and media, and virtual goods like travel and prepaid cards. It also provides installation and maintenance services, omni-channel solutions for offline retailers, and online healthcare services.

Beyond retail, JD.com develops and manages its own logistics facilities and real estate properties, offering warehousing, leasing, asset management, and technology-driven supply chain solutions to third parties. Within the broader sector, JD is classified under GICS as Broadline Retail in Consumer Discretionary, and its hybrid model combining first-party retail with third-party marketplace and owned logistics infrastructure is often compared to Amazons integrated e-commerce and fulfillment approach.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • China consumer spending recovery drives JD Retail revenue growth
  • JD Logistics third-party revenue scales, margins improve
  • Pinduoduo and Douyin intensify low-price e-commerce competition
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 14.7b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.18 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 3.81% < 20% (prev 5.64%; Δ -1.84% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 50.7b > Net Income 14.7b
Net Debt (-94.4b) to EBITDA (28.5b): -3.31 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.14 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.41b) vs 12m ago -5.19% < -2%
Gross Margin: 9.82% > 18% (prev 13.14%; Δ -3.32% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 183.0% > 50% (prev 179.0%; Δ 4.00% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.34 > 6 (EBIT TTM 18.7b / Interest Expense TTM 2.95b)
Altman Z'' 1.53
A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 405b - Total Current Liabilities 355b) / Total Assets 726b
B: 0.12 (Retained Earnings 85.0b / Total Assets 726b)
C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 18.7b / Avg Total Assets 716b)
D: 0.49 (Book Value of Equity 219b / Total Liabilities 443b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.53 = BB
Beneish M -3.01
DSRI: 0.66 (Receivables 29.9b/44.0b, Revenue 1311b/1265b)
GMI: 1.34 (GM 13.14% / 9.82%)
AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.27)
SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 1311b / 1265b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 14.7b - CFO 50.7b) / TA 726b)
Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of JD shares?

As of October 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 26.78 with a total of 8,583,924 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.06%, over one month by -1.76%, over three months by -7.27% and over the past year by -16.65%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 26.10 (which is 2.5% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is JD a buy, sell or hold?

JD.com has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.53. Therefore, it is recommended to buy JD.

  • StrongBuy: 25
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the JD price?
Analysts Target Price 39.6 47.8%
JD.com (JD) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 36.3b (36.3b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
Market Cap CNY = 243b (36.3b USD * 6.6928 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 18.8182
P/E Forward = 6.6934
P/S = 0.0277
P/B = 1.1208
P/EG = 0.4957
Revenue TTM = 1311b CNY
EBIT TTM = 18.7b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 28.5b CNY
Long Term Debt = 52.8b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 27.1b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 141b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 35.4b
Net Debt = -94.4b CNY (calculated: Debt 141b - CCE 235b)
Enterprise Value = 149b CNY (243b + Debt 141b - CCE 235b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.34 (Ebit TTM 18.7b / Interest Expense TTM 2.95b)
EV/FCF = 6.37x (Enterprise Value 149b / FCF TTM 23.4b)
FCF Yield = 15.70% (FCF TTM 23.4b / Enterprise Value 149b)
FCF Margin = 1.78% (FCF TTM 23.4b / Revenue TTM 1311b)
Net Margin = 1.12% (Net Income TTM 14.7b / Revenue TTM 1311b)
Gross Margin = 9.82% ((Revenue TTM 1311b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1182b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.04% (prev 16.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.21 (Enterprise Value 149b / Total Assets 726b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.09% (Interest Expense 2.95b / Debt 141b)
Taxrate = 14.58% (3.35b / 23.0b)
NOPAT = 16.0b (EBIT 18.7b * (1 - 14.58%))
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 405b / Total Current Liabilities 355b)
Debt / Equity = 0.64 (Debt 141b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 219b)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.31 (Net Debt -94.4b / EBITDA 28.5b)
Debt / FCF = -4.04 (Net Debt -94.4b / FCF TTM 23.4b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 223b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.06% (Net Income 14.7b / Total Assets 726b)
RoE = 6.61% (Net Income TTM 14.7b / Total Stockholder Equity 223b)
RoCE = 6.78% (EBIT 18.7b / Capital Employed (Equity 223b + L.T.Debt 52.8b))
RoIC = 4.81% (NOPAT 16.0b / Invested Capital 332b)
WACC = 6.55% (E(243b)/V(384b) * Re(9.30%) + D(141b)/V(384b) * Rd(2.09%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 9.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -26.48 | Cagr: -4.78%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈14.1b ; Y1≈16.2b ; Y5≈23.9b
[DCF] Fair Price = 335.7 (EV 359b - Net Debt -94.4b = Equity 453b / Shares 1.35b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -51.91 | EPS CAGR: -18.14% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.76 | Revenue CAGR: 9.38% | SUE: 0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=6.50 | Chg30d=+0.82% | Revisions=+6% | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=22.41 | Chg30d=-0.82% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+25.8% | GrowthRev=+3.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=28.11 | Chg30d=-0.40% | Revisions=-28% | GrowthEPS=+25.4% | GrowthRev=+5.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=32, down=32)