(JD) JD.com - Ratings and Ratios
Electronics, Appliances, Groceries, Apparel, Logistics
JD EPS (Earnings per Share)
JD Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 45.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 64.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.23% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.10 |
| Alpha | -25.74 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.384 |
| Beta | 0.777 |
| Beta Downside | 0.861 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 67.09% |
| Mean DD | 44.90% |
| Median DD | 46.38% |
Description: JD JD.com September 29, 2025
JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD) is a China-based, supply-chain-focused technology and services company that segments its operations into JD Retail, JD Logistics, and New Businesses. The firm sells a broad catalogue-including electronics, home appliances, fresh food, apparel, and healthcare items-both directly and via an online marketplace for third-party merchants, while also offering marketing, omni-channel, and online healthcare services. In addition, JD.com builds, owns, and manages logistics infrastructure and real-estate assets, providing storage leasing, asset-management, and technology-driven supply-chain solutions to external partners.
As of the latest FY 2023 filing, JD.com reported revenue of roughly ¥1.1 trillion (≈ US$155 bn) and a year-over-year GMV growth of about 12 %, driven in part by a 15 % increase in active customers and a 20 % expansion of its logistics network to over 1,200 cities. The company’s logistics arm now operates more than 1,000 automated warehouses and a fleet of over 10,000 electric delivery vehicles, positioning it to capture a larger share of China’s “new retail” shift toward faster, same-day fulfillment. Macro-level drivers include China’s rising middle-class consumption, government incentives for domestic supply-chain resilience, and the broader e-commerce sector’s transition toward integrated offline-online experiences, which together set a baseline growth ceiling of roughly 10-15 % CAGR for the next three years, assuming stable regulatory conditions.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of JD.com’s valuation dynamics and scenario modeling, you might find the analytical tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
JD Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 46,425m |
| Sub-Industry | Broadline Retail |
| IPO / Inception | 2014-05-22 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -24.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.66 of 5 |
JD Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.32% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.25% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -22.75% |
| Payout Consistency | 86.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 4.0% |
JD Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | -15.62% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.23 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.35 |
| Current Volume | 16368.8k |
| Average Volume | 10591.3k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (32.20b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 78.23b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -5.46pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 4.81% (prev 4.07%; Δ 0.74pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 23.00b <= Net Income 32.20b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-980.0m) to EBITDA (36.08b) ratio: -0.03 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.20 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.48b) change vs 12m ago -2.21% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 12.73% (prev 14.02%; Δ -1.29pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 192.1% (prev 173.7%; Δ 18.44pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 13.55 (EBITDA TTM 36.08b / Interest Expense TTM 2.17b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.84
| (A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 379.26b - Total Current Liabilities 316.55b) / Total Assets 713.53b |
| (B) 0.12 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 83.26b / Total Assets 713.53b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 29.39b / Avg Total Assets 678.54b |
| (D) 0.57 = Book Value of Equity 231.93b / Total Liabilities 409.11b |
| Total Rating: 1.84 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 63.47
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.51% = 0.25 |
| 3. FCF Margin 0.09% = 0.02 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.48 = 2.39 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.03 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.69)% = 3.36 |
| 7. RoE 13.81% = 1.15 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 54.47% = 4.09 |
| 9. EPS Trend 14.11% = 0.71 |
What is the price of JD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.95%, over one month by -10.67%, over three months by -7.02% and over the past year by -13.97%.
Is JD.com a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of JD is around 24.52 USD . This means that JD is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -16.99%.
Is JD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 28
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the JD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 44.6 | 50.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 44.6 | 50.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 26.9 | -8.9% |
JD Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025
P/E Trailing = 8.5543
P/E Forward = 9.0416
P/S = 0.0367
P/B = 1.3889
P/EG = 1.2717
Beta = 0.413
Revenue TTM = 1303.79b CNY
EBIT TTM = 29.39b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 36.08b CNY
Long Term Debt = 56.48b CNY (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 29.51b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 112.09b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -980.0m CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 243.40b CNY (329.58b + Debt 112.09b - CCE 198.27b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.55 (Ebit TTM 29.39b / Interest Expense TTM 2.17b)
FCF Yield = 0.51% (FCF TTM 1.23b / Enterprise Value 243.40b)
FCF Margin = 0.09% (FCF TTM 1.23b / Revenue TTM 1303.79b)
Net Margin = 2.47% (Net Income TTM 32.20b / Revenue TTM 1303.79b)
Gross Margin = 12.73% ((Revenue TTM 1303.79b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1137.83b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.52% (prev 15.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.34 (Enterprise Value 243.40b / Total Assets 713.53b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.57% (Interest Expense 643.0m / Debt 112.09b)
Taxrate = 3.80% (252.0m / 6.63b)
NOPAT = 28.28b (EBIT 29.39b * (1 - 3.80%))
Current Ratio = 1.20 (Total Current Assets 379.26b / Total Current Liabilities 316.55b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 112.09b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 231.93b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.03 (Net Debt -980.0m / EBITDA 36.08b)
Debt / FCF = -0.79 (Net Debt -980.0m / FCF TTM 1.23b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 233.19b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.51% (Net Income 32.20b / Total Assets 713.53b)
RoE = 13.81% (Net Income TTM 32.20b / Total Stockholder Equity 233.19b)
RoCE = 10.15% (EBIT 29.39b / Capital Employed (Equity 233.19b + L.T.Debt 56.48b))
RoIC = 9.46% (NOPAT 28.28b / Invested Capital 299.06b)
WACC = 6.77% (E(329.58b)/V(441.67b) * Re(8.88%) + D(112.09b)/V(441.67b) * Rd(0.57%) * (1-Tc(0.04)))
Discount Rate = 8.88% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -3.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.62% ; FCFE base≈15.24b ; Y1≈15.55b ; Y5≈17.18b
Fair Price DCF = 183.4 (DCF Value 260.12b / Shares Outstanding 1.42b; 5y FCF grow 1.87% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 14.11 | EPS CAGR: -8.83% | SUE: 0.39 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 54.47 | Revenue CAGR: 0.44% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for JD Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle