(JD) JD.com - Ratings and Ratios
Electronics, Appliances, Groceries, Apparel, Logistics
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.33% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.26% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -22.75% |
| Payout Consistency | 86.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 4.0% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 41.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 60.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.37% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.19 |
| Alpha | -25.83 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.26 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.456 |
| Beta | 0.787 |
| Beta Downside | 0.901 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 67.09% |
| Mean DD | 45.38% |
| Median DD | 46.57% |
Description: JD JD.com September 29, 2025
JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD) is a China-based, supply-chain-focused technology and services company that segments its operations into JD Retail, JD Logistics, and New Businesses. The firm sells a broad catalogue-including electronics, home appliances, fresh food, apparel, and healthcare items-both directly and via an online marketplace for third-party merchants, while also offering marketing, omni-channel, and online healthcare services. In addition, JD.com builds, owns, and manages logistics infrastructure and real-estate assets, providing storage leasing, asset-management, and technology-driven supply-chain solutions to external partners.
As of the latest FY 2023 filing, JD.com reported revenue of roughly ¥1.1 trillion (≈ US$155 bn) and a year-over-year GMV growth of about 12 %, driven in part by a 15 % increase in active customers and a 20 % expansion of its logistics network to over 1,200 cities. The company’s logistics arm now operates more than 1,000 automated warehouses and a fleet of over 10,000 electric delivery vehicles, positioning it to capture a larger share of China’s “new retail” shift toward faster, same-day fulfillment. Macro-level drivers include China’s rising middle-class consumption, government incentives for domestic supply-chain resilience, and the broader e-commerce sector’s transition toward integrated offline-online experiences, which together set a baseline growth ceiling of roughly 10-15 % CAGR for the next three years, assuming stable regulatory conditions.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of JD.com’s valuation dynamics and scenario modeling, you might find the analytical tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (32.20b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 78.23b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -5.46pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 4.81% (prev 4.07%; Δ 0.74pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 23.00b <= Net Income 32.20b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-980.0m) to EBITDA (43.93b) ratio: -0.02 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.20 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.48b) change vs 12m ago -2.21% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 12.73% (prev 14.06%; Δ -1.33pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 192.1% (prev 173.7%; Δ 18.44pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 12.85 (EBITDA TTM 43.93b / Interest Expense TTM 2.90b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.92
| (A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 379.26b - Total Current Liabilities 316.55b) / Total Assets 713.53b |
| (B) 0.12 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 83.26b / Total Assets 713.53b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 37.24b / Avg Total Assets 678.54b |
| (D) 0.57 = Book Value of Equity 231.93b / Total Liabilities 409.11b |
| Total Rating: 1.92 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.42
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.59% |
| 3. FCF Margin 0.09% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.48 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.02 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.20)% |
| 7. RoE 13.81% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 62.51% |
| 9. EPS Trend 57.46% |
What is the price of JD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.63%, over one month by -13.98%, over three months by -4.54% and over the past year by -18.61%.
Is JD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 28
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the JD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 43.1 | 46.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 43.1 | 46.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 26.3 | -10.8% |
JD Fundamental Data Overview November 22, 2025
P/E Trailing = 9.495
P/E Forward = 9.6061
P/S = 0.0321
P/B = 1.2557
P/EG = 1.2717
Beta = 0.413
Revenue TTM = 1303.79b CNY
EBIT TTM = 37.24b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 43.93b CNY
Long Term Debt = 59.96b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 29.51b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 112.09b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -980.0m CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 210.37b CNY (296.55b + Debt 112.09b - CCE 198.27b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.85 (Ebit TTM 37.24b / Interest Expense TTM 2.90b)
FCF Yield = 0.59% (FCF TTM 1.23b / Enterprise Value 210.37b)
FCF Margin = 0.09% (FCF TTM 1.23b / Revenue TTM 1303.79b)
Net Margin = 2.47% (Net Income TTM 32.20b / Revenue TTM 1303.79b)
Gross Margin = 12.73% ((Revenue TTM 1303.79b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1137.83b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.52% (prev 15.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.29 (Enterprise Value 210.37b / Total Assets 713.53b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.65% (Interest Expense 730.0m / Debt 112.09b)
Taxrate = 3.80% (252.0m / 6.63b)
NOPAT = 35.83b (EBIT 37.24b * (1 - 3.80%))
Current Ratio = 1.20 (Total Current Assets 379.26b / Total Current Liabilities 316.55b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 112.09b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 231.93b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.02 (Net Debt -980.0m / EBITDA 43.93b)
Debt / FCF = -0.79 (Net Debt -980.0m / FCF TTM 1.23b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 233.19b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.51% (Net Income 32.20b / Total Assets 713.53b)
RoE = 13.81% (Net Income TTM 32.20b / Total Stockholder Equity 233.19b)
RoCE = 12.70% (EBIT 37.24b / Capital Employed (Equity 233.19b + L.T.Debt 59.96b))
RoIC = 11.85% (NOPAT 35.83b / Invested Capital 302.42b)
WACC = 6.65% (E(296.55b)/V(408.64b) * Re(8.92%) + D(112.09b)/V(408.64b) * Rd(0.65%) * (1-Tc(0.04)))
Discount Rate = 8.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -3.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.88% ; FCFE base≈15.24b ; Y1≈14.99b ; Y5≈15.40b
Fair Price DCF = 164.5 (DCF Value 233.44b / Shares Outstanding 1.42b; 5y FCF grow -2.49% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 57.46 | EPS CAGR: 14.98% | SUE: 0.39 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 62.51 | Revenue CAGR: 2.17% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for JD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle