JD Stock Analysis: JD.com | NASDAQ

Internet Retail | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 43.108m USD | 12M Return: -7.5% | US47215P1066 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Electronics, Apparel, Home Goods, Healthcare
Total Rating 40
Safety 75
Buy Signal -0.56
Internet Retail
Industry Rotation: -15.8
Market Cap: 43.1B
Avg Turnover: 217M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility34.1%
VaR 5th Pctl5.22%
VaR vs Median-6.98%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.16
Rel. Str. IBD23.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group44.7
Character TTM
Beta0.951
Beta Downside0.940
Hurst Exponent0.533
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD44.49%
CAGR/Max DD-0.08
CAGR/Mean DD-0.14
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of JD over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 3.16, "2021-12": 2.21, "2022-03": 2.53, "2022-06": 4.06, "2022-09": 6.27, "2022-12": 4.81, "2023-03": 4.76, "2023-06": 5.39, "2023-09": 6.7, "2023-12": 5.3, "2024-03": 5.65, "2024-06": 9.36, "2024-09": 8.68, "2024-12": 7.42, "2025-03": 8.41, "2025-06": 4.97, "2025-09": 3.73, "2025-12": 0.57, "2026-03": 5.12, "2026-06": 0.83,
EPS CAGR: -18.14%
EPS Trend: -51.9%
Last SUE: 0.04
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of JD over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 218708, 2021-12: 275907.003, 2022-03: 239655, 2022-06: 267600, 2022-09: 243535, 2022-12: 295446, 2023-03: 242956, 2023-06: 287931, 2023-09: 247698, 2023-12: 306077, 2024-03: 260049, 2024-06: 291397, 2024-09: 260387, 2024-12: 346986, 2025-03: 301082, 2025-06: 356660, 2025-09: 299059, 2025-12: 352284, 2026-03: 313784.658, 2026-06: 345423.125,
Rev. CAGR: 9.38%
Rev. Trend: 96.8%
Last SUE: 0.03
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +6.2% 33
Feb +0.0% 7
Mar +0.3% 7
Apr +1.4% 8
May -2.5% 46
Jun +4.0% 5
Jul +0.1% 7
Aug +1.2% 13
Sep -7.4% 30
Oct -2.6% 42
Nov +0.2% 2
Dec -0.5% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: JD JD.com

JD.com is a supply chain-based technology and service provider headquartered in Beijing, operating primarily in China with a presence in Europe. The company is structured around three segments: JD Retail (its core e-commerce operations), JD Logistics, and New Businesses. It sells a broad range of goods, including electronics, home appliances, apparel, cosmetics, food and fresh produce, pharmaceuticals, books and media, virtual goods, and industrial products. Beyond direct retail, JD runs a third-party online marketplace, offers marketing and omni-channel services, operates its own logistics and real estate infrastructure, and provides technology-driven supply chain and healthcare services. The company was incorporated in 2006, originally as 360buy Jingdong Inc., and adopted the JD.com name in January 2014.

As a large-cap stock in the Consumer Discretionary sector (GICS Broadline Retail), JD.com runs a hybrid retail model that combines first-party direct sales with a third-party merchant marketplace, a structure comparable to Amazon. A key differentiator is its vertically integrated logistics network, which the company owns and operates to support both its own retail operations and external clients.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • JD Retail revenue growth accelerates on China consumption recovery
  • Third-party marketplace expansion lifts JD take rate and margins
  • JD Logistics narrows losses on higher fulfillment revenue
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 14.7b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.18 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 3.81% < 20% (prev 5.64%; Δ -1.84% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 50.7b > Net Income 14.7b
Net Debt (-96.2b) to EBITDA (28.5b): -3.37 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.14 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.41b) vs 12m ago -5.19% < -2%
Gross Margin: 9.82% > 18% (prev 13.14%; Δ -3.32% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 183.0% > 50% (prev 179.0%; Δ 4.00% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.34 > 6 (EBIT TTM 18.7b / Interest Expense TTM 2.95b)
Altman Z'' 1.53
A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 405b - Total Current Liabilities 355b) / Total Assets 726b
B: 0.12 (Retained Earnings 85.0b / Total Assets 726b)
C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 18.7b / Avg Total Assets 716b)
D: 0.49 (Book Value of Equity 219b / Total Liabilities 443b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.53 = BB
Beneish M -3.01
DSRI: 0.66 (Receivables 29.9b/44.0b, Revenue 1311b/1265b)
GMI: 1.34 (GM 13.14% / 9.82%)
AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.27)
SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 1311b / 1265b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 14.7b - CFO 50.7b) / TA 726b)
Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of JD shares?

As of September 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 28.24 with a total of 7,307,087 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.29%, over one month by -14.45%, over three months by -2.92% and over the past year by -7.45%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 26.50 (which is 6.2% or 2.6 ATR below the current price).

Is JD a buy, sell or hold?

JD.com has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.66. Therefore, it is recommended to buy JD.

  • StrongBuy: 28
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the JD price?
Analysts Target Price 39.7 40.5%
JD.com (JD) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 29 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 43.1b (43.1b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
Market Cap CNY = 290b (43.1b USD * 6.7267 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 19.25
P/E Forward = 8.9928
P/S = 0.0293
P/B = 1.192
P/EG = 0.6663
Revenue TTM = 1311b CNY
EBIT TTM = 18.7b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 28.5b CNY
Long Term Debt = 62.5b CNY (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 27.1b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 139b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 33.6b
Net Debt = -96.2b CNY (calculated: Debt 139b - CCE 235b)
Enterprise Value = 194b CNY (290b + Debt 139b - CCE 235b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.34 (Ebit TTM 18.7b / Interest Expense TTM 2.95b)
EV/FCF = 8.29x (Enterprise Value 194b / FCF TTM 23.4b)
FCF Yield = 12.06% (FCF TTM 23.4b / Enterprise Value 194b)
FCF Margin = 1.78% (FCF TTM 23.4b / Revenue TTM 1311b)
Net Margin = 1.12% (Net Income TTM 14.7b / Revenue TTM 1311b)
Gross Margin = 9.82% ((Revenue TTM 1311b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1182b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.04% (prev 16.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.27 (Enterprise Value 194b / Total Assets 726b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.12% (Interest Expense 2.95b / Debt 139b)
Taxrate = 14.58% (3.35b / 23.0b)
NOPAT = 16.0b (EBIT 18.7b * (1 - 14.58%))
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 405b / Total Current Liabilities 355b)
Debt / Equity = 0.63 (Debt 139b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 219b)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.37 (Net Debt -96.2b / EBITDA 28.5b)
Debt / FCF = -4.11 (Net Debt -96.2b / FCF TTM 23.4b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 223b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.06% (Net Income 14.7b / Total Assets 726b)
RoE = 6.61% (Net Income TTM 14.7b / Total Stockholder Equity 223b)
RoCE = 6.55% (EBIT 18.7b / Capital Employed (Equity 223b + L.T.Debt 62.5b))
RoIC = 4.81% (NOPAT 16.0b / Invested Capital 332b)
WACC = 6.89% (E(290b)/V(429b) * Re(9.33%) + D(139b)/V(429b) * Rd(2.12%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 9.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -26.48 | Cagr: -4.78%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈14.1b ; Y1≈16.2b ; Y5≈23.9b
[DCF] Fair Price = 337.0 (EV 359b - Net Debt -96.2b = Equity 455b / Shares 1.35b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -51.91 | EPS CAGR: -18.14% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.76 | Revenue CAGR: 9.38% | SUE: 0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=6.51 | Chg30d=+0.51% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=19
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=22.76 | Chg30d=+3.28% | Revisions=-8% | GrowthEPS=+27.7% | GrowthRev=+3.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=28.45 | Chg30d=-1.10% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+25.0% | GrowthRev=+5.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -4% (up=25, down=27)