(JJSF) J & J Snack Foods - Ratings and Ratios
Soft Pretzels, Frozen Novelties, Churros, Bakery Items, Frozen Beverages
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.35% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.27% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.13% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 74.2% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 25.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 39.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.73% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.88 |
| Alpha | -49.25 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.25 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.489 |
| Beta | 0.134 |
| Beta Downside | -0.191 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 53.12% |
| Mean DD | 15.76% |
| Median DD | 8.51% |
Description: JJSF J & J Snack Foods November 10, 2025
J&J Snack Foods Corp. (NASDAQ:JJSF) manufactures, markets, and distributes a diversified portfolio of snack foods and frozen beverages across the United States, Mexico, and Canada. The business is organized into three reporting segments-Food Service, Retail Supermarkets, and Frozen Beverages-each supplying a mix of branded (e.g., SUPERPRETZEL, DIPPIN’DOTS, ICEE) and private-label products.
The company’s product slate spans soft pretzels, frozen novelty treats, churros, bakery items (cookies, muffins, donuts), and specialty frozen drinks, plus a line of concession-equipment sales. Distribution is handled through a hybrid model of food brokers, independent distributors, and a direct sales force that serves venues ranging from quick-serve restaurants and stadiums to warehouse clubs and school cafeterias.
Key operational metrics that analysts typically watch include same-store sales growth in the Food Service channel (historically 3-5% YoY), contribution margin on frozen beverages (averaging ~38% in recent quarters), and capital efficiency measured by free cash flow conversion (≈0.8 × EBITDA). The segment mix is roughly 55% Food Service, 30% Retail Supermarkets, and 15% Frozen Beverages, which buffers the business against sector-specific demand swings.
From a macro perspective, JJSF’s performance is sensitive to discretionary consumer spending, commodity price volatility (especially wheat and dairy), and labor cost trends in the hospitality sector. Recent inflationary pressure has prompted the firm to modestly raise pricing on premium snack lines, while its relatively low-capex equipment business provides a non-cyclical cash-flow tailwind.
For a deeper dive into JJSF’s valuation dynamics, including scenario-based sensitivity to margin compression and channel-mix shifts, you may find the analyst tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (65.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 95.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.33pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 19.12% (prev 17.55%; Δ 1.57pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 165.1m > Net Income 65.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (57.7m) to EBITDA (161.3m) ratio: 0.36 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.72 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (19.5m) change vs 12m ago 0.09% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 29.68% (prev 30.87%; Δ -1.19pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 115.3% (prev 115.4%; Δ -0.07pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 58.89 (EBITDA TTM 161.3m / Interest Expense TTM 1.49m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 6.30
| (A) 0.22 = (Total Current Assets 478.3m - Total Current Liabilities 175.7m) / Total Assets 1.38b |
| (B) 0.61 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 840.2m / Total Assets 1.38b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 87.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.37b |
| (D) 2.33 = Book Value of Equity 966.7m / Total Liabilities 414.8m |
| Total Rating: 6.30 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 67.24
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.43% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.20% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.17 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.36 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.76)% |
| 7. RoE 6.87% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 54.09% |
| 9. EPS Trend 35.23% |
What is the price of JJSF shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.07%, over one month by +14.16%, over three months by -8.98% and over the past year by -42.71%.
Is JJSF a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the JJSF price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 110 | 17.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 110 | 17.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 87.6 | -6.6% |
JJSF Fundamental Data Overview December 05, 2025
P/E Trailing = 27.2743
P/E Forward = 28.9855
P/S = 1.1369
P/B = 1.8803
P/EG = 5.25
Beta = 0.364
Revenue TTM = 1.58b USD
EBIT TTM = 87.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 161.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 163.6m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 22.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 163.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 57.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.86b USD (1.80b + Debt 163.6m - CCE 105.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 58.89 (Ebit TTM 87.9m / Interest Expense TTM 1.49m)
FCF Yield = 4.43% (FCF TTM 82.3m / Enterprise Value 1.86b)
FCF Margin = 5.20% (FCF TTM 82.3m / Revenue TTM 1.58b)
Net Margin = 4.14% (Net Income TTM 65.6m / Revenue TTM 1.58b)
Gross Margin = 29.68% ((Revenue TTM 1.58b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.11b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.75% (prev 33.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.34 (Enterprise Value 1.86b / Total Assets 1.38b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.46% (Interest Expense 755.0k / Debt 163.6m)
Taxrate = 4.84% (579.0k / 12.0m)
NOPAT = 83.7m (EBIT 87.9m * (1 - 4.84%))
Current Ratio = 2.72 (Total Current Assets 478.3m / Total Current Liabilities 175.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.17 (Debt 163.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 966.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.36 (Net Debt 57.7m / EBITDA 161.3m)
Debt / FCF = 0.70 (Net Debt 57.7m / FCF TTM 82.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 954.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.75% (Net Income 65.6m / Total Assets 1.38b)
RoE = 6.87% (Net Income TTM 65.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 954.6m)
RoCE = 7.86% (EBIT 87.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 954.6m + L.T.Debt 163.6m))
RoIC = 8.76% (NOPAT 83.7m / Invested Capital 954.6m)
WACC = 6.00% (E(1.80b)/V(1.96b) * Re(6.51%) + D(163.6m)/V(1.96b) * Rd(0.46%) * (1-Tc(0.05)))
Discount Rate = 6.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.32%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.59% ; FCFE base≈89.2m ; Y1≈58.9m ; Y5≈27.2m
Fair Price DCF = 27.61 (DCF Value 534.1m / Shares Outstanding 19.3m; 5y FCF grow -39.59% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 35.23 | EPS CAGR: 30.64% | SUE: 1.20 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 54.09 | Revenue CAGR: 6.98% | SUE: -0.53 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.47 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=4.52 | Chg30d=+0.030 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+5.9% | Growth Revenue=+2.2%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=4.93 | Chg30d=+0.127 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+9.0% | Growth Revenue=+2.2%
Additional Sources for JJSF Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle