(JRVR) James River Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Insurance, Liability, Property, Fronting
JRVR EPS (Earnings per Share)
JRVR Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 50.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 72.2% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.44 |
| Alpha Jensen | -19.39 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.433 |
| Beta | 0.035 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 85.36% |
| Mean DD | 56.02% |
Description: JRVR James River Holdings October 28, 2025
James River Group Holdings, Ltd. (NASDAQ:JRVR) is a Bermuda-based specialty insurer that operates two segments: Excess & Surplus Lines, which underwrites liability and property policies in the U.S. mainland, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands through wholesale brokers; and Specialty Admitted Insurance, which supplies fronting, program administration and managing general agent solutions to other carriers.
Key metrics as of the latest quarter show a combined ratio of 93.4% in the Excess & Surplus Lines segment, indicating underwriting profitability, while the company’s return on equity (ROE) hovered around 12%, above the industry median of ~9%. JRVR’s earnings are sensitive to U.S. natural-catastrophe exposure and to the broader hardening of the property-casualty market, which has been driven by rising reinsurance costs and higher interest-rate environments that improve investment income.
For a deeper quantitative view, the ValueRay platform offers a granular breakdown of JRVR’s risk metrics and peer comparisons, which can help you assess the stock’s relative value.
JRVR Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 253m |
| Sub-Industry | Property & Casualty Insurance |
| IPO / Inception | 2005-08-09 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 7.57% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.25 of 5 |
JRVR Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.72% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.09% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -39.57% |
| Payout Consistency | 82.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 80.0% |
JRVR Growth Ratios
| CAGR | -37.92% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.44 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.68 |
| Current Volume | 213.9k |
| Average Volume | 179.6k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income (-49.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 38.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.03pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 243.6% (prev 446.7%; Δ -203.1pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO 15.5m > Net Income -49.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 8.45 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (46.5m) change vs 12m ago 22.65% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 36.90% (prev 47.76%; Δ -10.86pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 19.29% (prev 14.07%; Δ 5.22pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -1.30 (EBITDA TTM -30.0m / Interest Expense TTM 23.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.01
| (A) 0.90 = (Total Current Assets 1.79b - Total Current Liabilities 211.3m) / Total Assets 1.75b |
| (B) -0.23 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -394.4m / Total Assets 1.75b |
| (C) -0.01 = EBIT TTM -30.2m / Avg Total Assets 3.35b |
| (D) -0.10 = Book Value of Equity -433.4m / Total Liabilities 4.31b |
| Total Rating: 5.01 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 31.09
| 1. Piotroski 0.0pt = -5.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.97% = -0.48 |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.61% = 0.40 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.61 = 2.32 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 7.95 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -5.72)% = -7.15 |
| 7. RoE -8.44% = -1.41 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -37.27% = -2.79 |
| 9. EPS Trend -45.92% = -2.30 |
What is the price of JRVR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.27%, over one month by +7.29%, over three months by -6.66% and over the past year by +22.52%.
Is James River Holdings a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of JRVR is around 3.88 USD . This means that JRVR is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -30.59%.
Is JRVR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the JRVR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 7.1 | 27.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 7.1 | 27.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 4.1 | -26.1% |
JRVR Fundamental Data Overview November 10, 2025
P/E Forward = 4.8638
P/S = 0.3917
P/B = 0.5174
Beta = 0.035
Revenue TTM = 646.6m USD
EBIT TTM = -30.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = -30.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 304.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 3.15m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 304.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -238.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = -1.07b USD (253.3m + Debt 304.9m - CCE 1.63b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.30 (Ebit TTM -30.2m / Interest Expense TTM 23.3m)
FCF Yield = -0.97% (FCF TTM 10.4m / Enterprise Value -1.07b)
FCF Margin = 1.61% (FCF TTM 10.4m / Revenue TTM 646.6m)
Net Margin = -7.64% (Net Income TTM -49.4m / Revenue TTM 646.6m)
Gross Margin = 36.90% ((Revenue TTM 646.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 408.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 99.95% (prev 25.34%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -0.61 (set to none) (Enterprise Value -1.07b / Total Assets 1.75b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.04% (Interest Expense 6.22m / Debt 304.9m)
Taxrate = 39.93% (1.06m / 2.65m)
NOPAT = -18.1m (EBIT -30.2m * (1 - 39.93%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 8.45 (Total Current Assets 1.79b / Total Current Liabilities 211.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.61 (Debt 304.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 503.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.95 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -238.8m / EBITDA -30.0m)
Debt / FCF = -22.95 (Net Debt -238.8m / FCF TTM 10.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 585.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.83% (Net Income -49.4m / Total Assets 1.75b)
RoE = -8.44% (Net Income TTM -49.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 585.2m)
RoCE = -3.39% (EBIT -30.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 585.2m + L.T.Debt 304.9m))
RoIC = -2.27% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -18.1m / Invested Capital 800.8m)
WACC = 3.46% (E(253.3m)/V(558.1m) * Re(6.14%) + D(304.9m)/V(558.1m) * Rd(2.04%) * (1-Tc(0.40)))
Discount Rate = 6.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 11.08%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈10.4m ; Y1≈6.83m ; Y5≈3.12m
Fair Price DCF = 1.34 (DCF Value 61.4m / Shares Outstanding 46.0m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -45.92 | EPS CAGR: -16.76% | SUE: 0.25 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -37.27 | Revenue CAGR: -9.27% | SUE: -0.02 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for JRVR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle