(KALU) Kaiser Aluminum - Ratings and Ratios
Plate, Sheet, Rod, Tube, Extrusion
KALU EPS (Earnings per Share)
KALU Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 40.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 63.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.54% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.46 |
| Alpha | -1.48 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.491 |
| Beta | 1.174 |
| Beta Downside | 1.110 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 48.85% |
| Mean DD | 20.78% |
| Median DD | 21.92% |
Description: KALU Kaiser Aluminum November 16, 2025
Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) produces semi-fabricated specialty aluminum products-including rolled, extruded and drawn items-for aerospace & defense, packaging, automotive and general engineering markets. Its portfolio spans heat-treated aerospace plates, 3000/5000-series packaging coils, 6000-series engineering shapes, and 6000-series automotive extrusions, with additional fabrication services such as sawing and cutting.
Key operational metrics (FY 2023) show revenue of roughly **$1.3 billion** and an adjusted EBITDA margin of **≈10 %**, reflecting modest profitability in a capital-intensive industry. The business is highly sensitive to **aluminum price volatility** (spot prices have ranged from $2,200 to $2,800 per metric ton in the past 12 months) and to **defense-spending cycles**, which drive demand for high-strength alloys. A notable sector driver is the **U.S. Inflation Reduction Act-linked clean-energy and EV incentives**, which are expected to boost aluminum use in lightweight vehicle structures and battery enclosures, potentially expanding the automotive extrusion segment.
For a deeper quantitative view of Kaiser Aluminum’s valuation dynamics and how its exposure to aerospace, packaging and EV trends compares with peers, you might explore the detailed analyst toolkit on ValueRay.
KALU Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,512m |
| Sub-Industry | Aluminum |
| IPO / Inception | 1991-07-11 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 1.81% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.67 of 5 |
KALU Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.38% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.60% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 3.54% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 63.6% |
KALU Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 5.25% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.11 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.25 |
| Current Volume | 154.5k |
| Average Volume | 159k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (91.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 192.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.79pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 23.17% (prev 20.56%; Δ 2.61pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 175.4m > Net Income 91.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.60m) to EBITDA (286.3m) ratio: 0.02 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.48 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (16.6m) change vs 12m ago 1.70% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 10.50% (prev 7.36%; Δ 3.14pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 130.9% (prev 128.9%; Δ 1.96pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.55 (EBITDA TTM 286.3m / Interest Expense TTM 46.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.58
| (A) 0.29 = (Total Current Assets 1.24b - Total Current Liabilities 500.7m) / Total Assets 2.59b |
| (B) 0.05 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 127.1m / Total Assets 2.59b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 165.1m / Avg Total Assets 2.45b |
| (D) 0.09 = Book Value of Equity 154.0m / Total Liabilities 1.79b |
| Total Rating: 2.58 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.52
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.64% = -0.32 |
| 3. FCF Margin -0.51% = -0.19 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.32 = 1.69 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.02 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.17)% = 1.47 |
| 7. RoE 12.16% = 1.01 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 27.82% = 2.09 |
| 9. EPS Trend 65.47% = 3.27 |
What is the price of KALU shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.50%, over one month by +15.21%, over three months by +21.76% and over the past year by +16.70%.
Is Kaiser Aluminum a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of KALU is around 93.75 USD . This means that KALU is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 2.77%.
Is KALU a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the KALU price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 106.5 | 16.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 106.5 | 16.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 102.6 | 12.5% |
KALU Fundamental Data Overview November 06, 2025
P/E Trailing = 18.0693
P/E Forward = 27.7008
P/S = 0.4712
P/B = 1.6549
P/EG = 2.24
Beta = 1.512
Revenue TTM = 3.21b USD
EBIT TTM = 165.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 286.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.04b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 8.70m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.07b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.60m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.56b USD (1.51b + Debt 1.07b - CCE 17.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.55 (Ebit TTM 165.1m / Interest Expense TTM 46.5m)
FCF Yield = -0.64% (FCF TTM -16.3m / Enterprise Value 2.56b)
FCF Margin = -0.51% (FCF TTM -16.3m / Revenue TTM 3.21b)
Net Margin = 2.85% (Net Income TTM 91.4m / Revenue TTM 3.21b)
Gross Margin = 10.50% ((Revenue TTM 3.21b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.87b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.80% (prev 8.59%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.99 (Enterprise Value 2.56b / Total Assets 2.59b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.16% (Interest Expense 12.4m / Debt 1.07b)
Taxrate = 17.36% (8.30m / 47.8m)
NOPAT = 136.4m (EBIT 165.1m * (1 - 17.36%))
Current Ratio = 2.48 (Total Current Assets 1.24b / Total Current Liabilities 500.7m)
Debt / Equity = 1.32 (Debt 1.07b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 806.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.02 (Net Debt 5.60m / EBITDA 286.3m)
Debt / FCF = -0.34 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 5.60m / FCF TTM -16.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 751.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.53% (Net Income 91.4m / Total Assets 2.59b)
RoE = 12.16% (Net Income TTM 91.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 751.7m)
RoCE = 9.21% (EBIT 165.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 751.7m + L.T.Debt 1.04b))
RoIC = 7.64% (NOPAT 136.4m / Invested Capital 1.79b)
WACC = 6.46% (E(1.51b)/V(2.58b) * Re(10.34%) + D(1.07b)/V(2.58b) * Rd(1.16%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 10.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.84%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -16.3m)
EPS Correlation: 65.47 | EPS CAGR: 275.2% | SUE: 2.06 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 27.82 | Revenue CAGR: 3.08% | SUE: -0.21 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for KALU Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle