KALU Stock Analysis: Kaiser Aluminum | NASDAQ
Aluminum | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.901m USD | 12M Return: 14.3% | US4830077040 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 41.5M
EPS Trend: 89.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 84.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (NASDAQ: KALU) is a U.S.-based producer of semi-fabricated specialty aluminum mill products, including flat-rolled plate, sheet, and coil; extruded rod, bar, hollows, and shapes; drawn rod, bar, pipe, tube, and wire; and cast aluminum products. Unlike primary aluminum producers that smelt raw metal, the company operates in the mill products stage of the value chain, converting raw aluminum inputs into engineered intermediate forms sold to industrial customers.
The company serves four primary end markets: aerospace, space, and defense (heat-treated plates, hard alloy extrusions, cold finish rods and bars, and seamless drawn tubes); packaging (3000 and 5000-series alloy coils for beverage and food cans); general engineering (6000-series products used in military armor, semiconductor manufacturing, electronics, power transmission, and machinery); and automotive (extrusions for structural components, crash management systems, anti-lock braking systems, and drive shaft tubes). Kaiser also offers sawing and cutting-to-length fabrication services.
Products are sold directly to aerospace and automotive manufacturers, tier-one suppliers, packaging producers, and metal service centers, with sales personnel based in the United States, Canada, and Western Europe. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Franklin, Tennessee, and is classified within the GICS Materials sectors aluminum sub-industry.
- Aerospace and defense demand drives aero/HS segment revenue growth
- Automotive lightweighting boosts extruded product shipments
- Aluminum price volatility pressures mill product conversion margins
| Net Income: 218.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.77 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 22.19% < 20% (prev 23.17%; Δ -0.97% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 227.5m > Net Income 218.5m |
| Net Debt (970.4m) to EBITDA (462.2m): 2.10 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.63 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (16.9m) vs 12m ago 1.65% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 10.71% > 18% (prev 10.50%; Δ 0.21% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 163.6% > 50% (prev 123.8%; Δ 39.76% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.01 > 6 (EBIT TTM 343.4m / Interest Expense TTM 57.1m) |
| A: 0.34 (Total Current Assets 1.62b - Total Current Liabilities 614.9m) / Total Assets 2.92b |
| B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 293.6m / Total Assets 2.92b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 343.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.76b) |
| D: 0.50 (Book Value of Equity 975.5m / Total Liabilities 1.94b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.94 = AA |
| DSRI: 0.91 (Receivables 605.5m/475.2m, Revenue 4.51b/3.21b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 10.50% / 10.71%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.05) |
| SGI: 1.40 (Revenue 4.51b / 3.21b) |
| TATA: -0.00 (NI 218.5m - CFO 227.5m) / TA 2.92b) |
| Beneish M = -2.83 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of November 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 103.54 with a total of 370,311 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -13.59%, over one month by -33.08%, over three months by -41.46% and over the past year by +14.30%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 94.00 (which is 9.2% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Kaiser Aluminum has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy KALU.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 141 | 36.2% |
P/E Trailing = 8.993
P/E Forward = 27.7008
P/S = 0.4218
P/B = 2.0068
P/EG = 1.168
Revenue TTM = 4.51b USD
EBIT TTM = 343.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 462.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.04b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.10m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.09b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 28.8m
Net Debt = 970.4m USD (calculated: Debt 1.09b - CCE 117.3m)
Enterprise Value = 2.87b USD (1.90b + Debt 1.09b - CCE 117.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.01 (Ebit TTM 343.4m / Interest Expense TTM 57.1m)
EV/FCF = 23.01x (Enterprise Value 2.87b / FCF TTM 124.8m)
FCF Yield = 4.35% (FCF TTM 124.8m / Enterprise Value 2.87b)
FCF Margin = 2.77% (FCF TTM 124.8m / Revenue TTM 4.51b)
Net Margin = 4.85% (Net Income TTM 218.5m / Revenue TTM 4.51b)
Gross Margin = 10.71% ((Revenue TTM 4.51b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.02b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 7.23% (prev 13.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.98 (Enterprise Value 2.87b / Total Assets 2.92b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.25% (Interest Expense 57.1m / Debt 1.09b)
Taxrate = 25.27% (73.9m / 292.4m)
NOPAT = 256.6m (EBIT 343.4m * (1 - 25.27%))
Current Ratio = 2.63 (Total Current Assets 1.62b / Total Current Liabilities 614.9m)
Debt / Equity = 1.12 (Debt 1.09b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 975.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.10 (Net Debt 970.4m / EBITDA 462.2m)
Debt / FCF = 7.78 (Net Debt 970.4m / FCF TTM 124.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 905.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.93% (Net Income 218.5m / Total Assets 2.92b)
RoE = 24.13% (Net Income TTM 218.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 905.7m)
RoCE = 17.66% (EBIT 343.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 905.7m + L.T.Debt 1.04b))
RoIC = 11.70% (NOPAT 256.6m / Invested Capital 2.19b)
WACC = 8.98% (E(1.90b)/V(2.99b) * Re(11.88%) + D(1.09b)/V(2.99b) * Rd(5.25%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 11.88% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 94.47 | Cagr: 1.31%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.94% ; FCFF base≈80.1m ; Y1≈91.8m ; Y5≈135.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 52.52 (EV 1.83b - Net Debt 970.4m = Equity 858.7m / Shares 16.3m; r=8.98% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 89.00 | EPS CAGR: 81.69% | SUE: -0.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 84.78 | Revenue CAGR: 13.96% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=2.62 | Chg30d=-5.42% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.71 | Chg30d=-9.70% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+110.7% | GrowthRev=+39.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.93 | Chg30d=-5.69% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-14.0% | GrowthRev=-1.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +40% (up=2, down=0)