(KALU) Kaiser Aluminum - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US4830077040

Aluminum Plate, Aluminum Tube, Aluminum Rod, Aluminum Sheet, Aluminum Coil

Stock: Aluminum
Age 34.5y

MCap 2,127m
Avg Vol 158K (19.8M USD)

Beta 1.211
Volatility 39.10%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -19.86%
EPS Trend: 38.2%

Last SUE: -2.46
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 1.21%
Rev. Trend: -34.3%

Last SUE: -0.21
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	4.66%
Yield on Cost 5y	3.79%
Yield CAGR 5y	1.69%
Payout Consistency	98.2%
Payout Ratio	63.6%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	39.1%
Value at Risk 5%th	60.6%
Relative Tail Risk	-5.75%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	1.51
Alpha	70.47
CAGR/Max DD	0.38

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.491
Beta	1.211
Beta Downside	1.116

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	48.85%
Mean DD	20.37%
Median DD	21.92%

Description: KALU Kaiser Aluminum January 19, 2026

Kaiser Aluminum Corp. (KALU) manufactures semi-fabricated specialty aluminum mill products, supplying rolled, extruded and drawn alloys to aerospace & defense, packaging, automotive and general engineering markets. Its product mix includes heat-treated aerospace plates, 3000/5000-series coated coils for beverage cans, and 6000-series extrusions for vehicle structures and crash-management systems.

Key operational metrics (FY 2024): revenue $1.55 bn, adjusted EBITDA margin ~13%, and a diversified customer base with ~55 % of sales in the United States and the remainder split among Canada, Western Europe and Asia-Pacific. The company’s exposure to aluminum spot prices is partially hedged, but a 10 % rise in the LME aluminum price historically lifts gross profit by roughly 3 %.

Sector drivers that materially affect KALU are (1) global aerospace and defense spending, which has been rising ~4 % YoY driven by higher demand for commercial jets and military modernization; (2) the rebound in beverage-can demand as emerging-market consumer incomes grow, supporting the 3000/5000-series coil business; and (3) broader macro-economic trends in aluminum supply, where tightening primary-metal capacity and higher scrap-recycling rates can compress margins for secondary-metal producers.

For a deeper quantitative view, you may find ValueRay’s analyst dashboard useful.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0

Net Income: 91.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.66 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 23.17% < 20% (prev 20.56%; Δ 2.61% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 175.4m > Net Income 91.4m
Net Debt (1.06b) to EBITDA (286.3m): 3.69 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.48 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (16.6m) vs 12m ago 1.70% < -2%
Gross Margin: 10.50% > 18% (prev 0.12%; Δ 1038 % > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 130.9% > 50% (prev 128.9%; Δ 1.96% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.55 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 286.3m / Interest Expense TTM 46.5m)

Altman Z'' 2.58

A: 0.29 (Total Current Assets 1.24b - Total Current Liabilities 500.7m) / Total Assets 2.59b
B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 127.1m / Total Assets 2.59b)
C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 165.1m / Avg Total Assets 2.45b)
D: 0.09 (Book Value of Equity 154.0m / Total Liabilities 1.79b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 2.58 = A

Beneish M -3.13

DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 475.2m/433.1m, Revenue 3.21b/2.98b)
GMI: 1.11 (GM 10.50% / 11.65%)
AQI: 0.59 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.08)
SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 3.21b / 2.98b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 91.4m - CFO 175.4m) / TA 2.59b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.13 = AA

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 48.34

1. Piotroski: 3.0pt
2. FCF Yield: 0.41%
3. FCF Margin: 0.41%
4. Debt/Equity: 1.33
5. Debt/Ebitda: 3.69
6. ROIC - WACC: 0.35%
7. RoE: 12.16%
8. Revenue Trend: -34.34%
9. EPS Trend: 38.18%

What is the price of KALU shares?

As of January 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 127.41 with a total of 140,542 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.06%, over one month by +9.88%, over three months by +38.78% and over the past year by +82.17%.

Is KALU a buy, sell or hold?

Kaiser Aluminum has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67. Therefor, it is recommend to hold KALU.

Strong Buy: 1
Buy: 0
Hold: 2
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the KALU price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	112.5	-11.7%
Analysts Target Price	112.5	-11.7%
ValueRay Target Price	157.5	23.6%

KALU Fundamental Data Overview January 17, 2026

P/E Trailing = 25.4302
P/E Forward = 27.7008
P/S = 0.6626
P/B = 2.6381
P/EG = 2.24
Revenue TTM = 3.21b USD
EBIT TTM = 165.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 286.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.04b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.70m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.07b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.06b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.18b USD (2.13b + Debt 1.07b - CCE 17.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.55 (Ebit TTM 165.1m / Interest Expense TTM 46.5m)
EV/FCF = 244.8x (Enterprise Value 3.18b / FCF TTM 13.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.41% (FCF TTM 13.0m / Enterprise Value 3.18b)
FCF Margin = 0.41% (FCF TTM 13.0m / Revenue TTM 3.21b)
Net Margin = 2.85% (Net Income TTM 91.4m / Revenue TTM 3.21b)
Gross Margin = 10.50% ((Revenue TTM 3.21b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.87b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.80% (prev 8.59%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.23 (Enterprise Value 3.18b / Total Assets 2.59b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.16% (Interest Expense 12.4m / Debt 1.07b)
Taxrate = 17.36% (8.30m / 47.8m)
NOPAT = 136.4m (EBIT 165.1m * (1 - 17.36%))
Current Ratio = 2.48 (Total Current Assets 1.24b / Total Current Liabilities 500.7m)
Debt / Equity = 1.33 (Debt 1.07b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 806.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.69 (Net Debt 1.06b / EBITDA 286.3m)
Debt / FCF = 81.25 (Net Debt 1.06b / FCF TTM 13.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 751.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.73% (Net Income 91.4m / Total Assets 2.59b)
RoE = 12.16% (Net Income TTM 91.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 751.7m)
RoCE = 9.20% (EBIT 165.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 751.7m + L.T.Debt 1.04b))
RoIC = 7.57% (NOPAT 136.4m / Invested Capital 1.80b)
WACC = 7.22% (E(2.13b)/V(3.20b) * Re(10.38%) + D(1.07b)/V(3.20b) * Rd(1.16%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 10.38% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.84%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.94% ; FCFF base≈27.8m ; Y1≈18.2m ; Y5≈8.33m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 189.4m - Net Debt 1.06b = -866.8m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 38.18 | EPS CAGR: -19.86% | SUE: -2.46 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -34.34 | Revenue CAGR: 1.21% | SUE: -0.21 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.77 | Chg30d=+0.150 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.67 | Chg30d=+0.375 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+27.1% | Growth Revenue=+13.0%

Additional Sources for KALU Stock

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