(KDK) Kodiak AI, Common Stock - NASDAQ

Sector: Technology | Industry: Software - Infrastructure | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 1.186m USD | Total Return: -48.3% in 12m

Autonomous Software, Sensor Hardware, Freight Services, Logistics Tools
Total Rating 10
Safety 35
Buy Signal -0.76
Software - Infrastructure
Industry Rotation: -4.2
Market Cap: 1.19B
Avg Turnover: 6.95M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility55.3%
VaR 5th Pctl8.24%
VaR vs Median-11.5%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.47
Rel. Str. IBD1.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group1.6
Character TTM
Beta0.814
Beta Downside0.692
Hurst Exponent0.555
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD51.73%
CAGR/Max DD-0.31
CAGR/Mean DD-2.15

Warnings

Negative Equity with losses - insolvent profile

Share dilution 19.3% YoY

Interest Coverage Ratio -114.6 is critical

Altman Z'' -15.00 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Description: KDK Kodiak AI, Common Stock

Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK) is a Mountain View-based technology company specializing in autonomous driving systems for the long-haul trucking, industrial, and defense sectors. Its core product, the Kodiak Driver, utilizes a vehicle-agnostic hardware and software stack to convert traditional trucks into autonomous units. The company operates through a Driver-as-a-Service model and manages freight operations via its own autonomous fleet, supported by the Kodiak OnTime integration suite.

The autonomous trucking industry focuses on middle-mile logistics, where long highway stretches are more conducive to automated systems than complex urban environments. By utilizing a modular hardware approach, Kodiak reduces maintenance downtime by allowing sensors and compute units to be swapped quickly without specialized tools. Investors may find more granular data on these operational efficiencies by exploring ValueRay.

Operating within the Automotive Parts & Equipment GICS sub-industry, Kodiak competes in a capital-intensive sector driven by advancements in sensor fusion and machine learning. Its business model addresses critical logistics challenges, including driver shortages and fuel efficiency optimization through consistent high-speed driving patterns.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Expansion of autonomous freight routes drives recurring high-margin service revenue
  • Defense contract procurement cycles impact long-term government software revenue growth
  • Regulatory shifts in autonomous vehicle safety standards dictate commercial deployment speed
  • Hardware-agnostic integration reduces capital expenditure and accelerates fleet adoption rates
  • Rising diesel prices and driver shortages increase demand for autonomous trucking solutions
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.5
Net Income: -430.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -3.32 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.20 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 1.67k% < 20% (prev -122.5%; Δ 1.79k% < -1%)
CFO/TA -1.09 > 3% & CFO -142.2m > Net Income -430.9m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 3.69 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (216.2m) vs 12m ago 19.29% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 4.95% > 50% (prev 42.95%; Δ -38.00% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -114.6 > 6 (EBIT TTM -427.1m / Interest Expense TTM 3.73m)
Altman Z'' -15.00
A: 0.53 (Total Current Assets 95.3m - Total Current Liabilities 25.9m) / Total Assets 130.8m
B: -6.32 (Retained Earnings -827.2m / Total Assets 130.8m)
C: -5.08 (EBIT TTM -427.1m / Avg Total Assets 84.0m)
D: -0.15 (Book Value of Equity -22.7m / Total Liabilities 153.6m)
Altman-Z'' = -51.45 = D
Beneish M -4.00
DSRI: 0.76 (Receivables 500k/2.54m, Revenue 4.16m/16.0m)
GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins)
AQI: 0.17 (AQ_t 0.01 / AQ_t-1 0.04)
SGI: 0.26 (Revenue 4.16m / 16.0m)
TATA: -2.21 (NI -430.9m - CFO -142.2m) / TA 130.8m)
Beneish M = -4.49 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of KDK shares?

As of June 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 6.03 with a total of 3,204,573 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.04%, over one month by -30.11%, over three months by -32.37% and over the past year by -48.28%.

Is KDK a buy, sell or hold?

Kodiak AI, Common Stock has no consensus analysts rating.

Kodiak AI, Common Stock (KDK) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 16 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.19b (1.19b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 285.3573
Revenue TTM = 4.16m USD
EBIT TTM = -427.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = -423.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 29.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 14.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 52.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 4.99m
Net Debt = 27.7m USD (calculated: Debt 52.0m - CCE 24.3m)
Enterprise Value = 1.21b USD (1.19b + Debt 52.0m - CCE 24.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -114.6 (Ebit TTM -427.1m / Interest Expense TTM 3.73m)
EV/FCF = -2.80x (Enterprise Value 1.21b / FCF TTM -434.0m)
FCF Yield = -35.76% (FCF TTM -434.0m / Enterprise Value 1.21b)
 FCF Margin = -10.4k% (FCF TTM -434.0m / Revenue TTM 4.16m)
 Net Margin = -10.4k% (Net Income TTM -430.9m / Revenue TTM 4.16m)
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 4.16m - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.8m) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 9.28 (Enterprise Value 1.21b / Total Assets 130.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.17% (Interest Expense 3.73m / Debt 52.0m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -337.4m (EBIT -427.1m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.54 (Total Current Assets 95.3m / Total Current Liabilities 26.9m)
 Debt / Equity = -2.29 (negative equity) (Debt 52.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -22.7m)
 Debt / EBITDA = -0.07 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 27.7m / EBITDA -423.0m)
 Debt / FCF = -0.06 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 27.7m / FCF TTM -434.0m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = -141.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
 RoA = -512.8% (out of range, set to none)
 RoE = 304.6% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -430.9m / Total Stockholder Equity -141.5m)
 RoCE = 382.4% (negative capital employed) (EBIT -427.1m / Capital Employed (Equity -141.5m + L.T.Debt 29.8m))
 RoIC = -284.1% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -337.4m / Invested Capital 118.8m)
 WACC = 8.70% (E(1.19b)/V(1.24b) * Re(8.83%) + D(52.0m)/V(1.24b) * Rd(7.17%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 24.18 | Cagr: 73.59%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -434.0m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -90.16 | Revenue CAGR: -52.66% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.16 | Chg30d=+8.75% | Revisions=+33% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.17 | Chg30d=+3.74% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.68 | Chg30d=+5.29% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+47.7% | GrowthRev=+162.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.63 | Chg30d=-5.05% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=+7.4% | GrowthRev=+315.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +33%