(KDP) Keurig Dr Pepper - Ratings and Ratios
Coffee, Pods, Soda, Juice, Water
KDP EPS (Earnings per Share)
KDP Revenue
Description: KDP Keurig Dr Pepper
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (NASDAQ: KDP) is a U.S.–based beverage and single-serve coffee systems company that operates through three reporting segments: U.S. Refreshment Beverages, U.S. Coffee, and International. The firm manufactures and distributes a broad portfolio of branded concentrates, syrups, finished drinks, and K-Cup® pods, serving both its own brands (e.g., Dr Pepper, Snapple, Green Mountain Coffee) and licensed partners such as Starbucks, Dunkin’ and McCafé. Sales channels span supermarkets, mass merchandisers, club stores, e-commerce platforms, food-service accounts, and direct-to-consumer via Keurig.com.
Key performance indicators from the most recent FY 2024 filing show net sales of $13.2 billion, a 5.1 % year-over-year increase driven primarily by a 9 % rise in the U.S. Coffee segment, while the International segment grew 3 % on a constant-currency basis. Adjusted EBITDA margin held at 18.4 %, reflecting stable pricing power despite modest raw-material cost inflation. The company’s free cash flow generation was $1.5 billion, supporting a dividend yield of roughly 2.8 % and a share-repurchase program of $500 million.
Sector-level drivers that materially affect KDP’s outlook include: (1) the ongoing shift toward “better-for-you” beverages, which is boosting demand for low-sugar and functional drinks such as C4 Energy and Core Hydration; (2) the resilience of the single-serve coffee market, where U.S. coffee consumption per capita is projected to grow ~2 % annually through 2027, underpinning the growth of K-Cup sales; and (3) macro-economic pressure on discretionary spending, which can compress volume in the carbonated soft-drink category but is partially offset by price-elastic premium offerings.
Given the blend of brand depth, diversified distribution, and exposure to both traditional and emerging beverage trends, a deeper quantitative model of KDP’s cash-flow sensitivity to raw-material pricing and consumer-taste shifts would be valuable-consider exploring the detailed scenario analysis available on ValueRay for a more granular view.
KDP Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 38,077m |
| Sub-Industry | Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages |
| IPO / Inception | 1993-09-21 |
KDP Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -20.4% |
| Fundamental | 54.1% |
| Dividend Rating | 66.3% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -32.1% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.10 of 5 |
KDP Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 3.28% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.56% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 9.89% |
| Payout Consistency | 91.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 46.0% |
KDP Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -82.2% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -9.3% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 11.8% |
| CAGR 5y | -6.93% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.22 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.52 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.77 |
| Alpha | -31.12 |
| Beta | 0.437 |
| Volatility | 19.57% |
| Current Volume | 23085.3k |
| Average Volume 20d | 17966.9k |
| Stop Loss | 27.1 (-3.3%) |
| Signal | 0.12 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (1.54b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 945.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.97pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -16.59% (prev -24.50%; Δ 7.91pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.12b > Net Income 1.54b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (17.10b) to EBITDA (3.38b) ratio: 5.06 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.64 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.36b) change vs 12m ago 0.12% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 51.91% (prev 53.22%; Δ -1.31pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 29.54% (prev 28.78%; Δ 0.76pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.12 (EBITDA TTM 3.38b / Interest Expense TTM 649.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.52
| (A) -0.05 = (Total Current Assets 4.61b - Total Current Liabilities 7.22b) / Total Assets 54.37b |
| (B) 0.10 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.23b / Total Assets 54.37b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 2.67b / Avg Total Assets 53.36b |
| (D) 0.18 = Book Value of Equity 5.26b / Total Liabilities 29.38b |
| Total Rating: 0.52 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 54.08
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.88% = 1.44 |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.08% = 2.52 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.70 = 2.26 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.06 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.40)% = -0.50 |
| 7. RoE 6.23% = 0.52 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 52.52% = 3.94 |
| 9. EPS Trend -31.96% = -1.60 |
What is the price of KDP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.09%, over one month by +4.33%, over three months by -15.12% and over the past year by -21.79%.
Is Keurig Dr Pepper a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of KDP is around 26.50 USD . This means that KDP is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.46%.
Is KDP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the KDP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 34.1 | 21.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 34.1 | 21.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 28.7 | 2.5% |
Last update: 2025-10-20 03:56
KDP Fundamental Data Overview
P/E Trailing = 24.8053
P/E Forward = 11.7647
P/S = 2.4162
P/B = 1.3995
P/EG = 0.6326
Beta = 0.437
Revenue TTM = 15.76b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.67b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.38b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.92b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.25b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17.61b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 17.10b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 55.18b USD (38.08b + Debt 17.61b - CCE 509.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.12 (Ebit TTM 2.67b / Interest Expense TTM 649.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.88% (FCF TTM 1.59b / Enterprise Value 55.18b)
FCF Margin = 10.08% (FCF TTM 1.59b / Revenue TTM 15.76b)
Net Margin = 9.75% (Net Income TTM 1.54b / Revenue TTM 15.76b)
Gross Margin = 51.91% ((Revenue TTM 15.76b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.58b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.91% (prev 52.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.01 (Enterprise Value 55.18b / Total Assets 54.37b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.03% (Interest Expense 182.0m / Debt 17.61b)
Taxrate = 23.82% (171.0m / 718.0m)
NOPAT = 2.04b (EBIT 2.67b * (1 - 23.82%))
Current Ratio = 0.64 (Total Current Assets 4.61b / Total Current Liabilities 7.22b)
Debt / Equity = 0.70 (Debt 17.61b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 24.98b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.06 (Net Debt 17.10b / EBITDA 3.38b)
Debt / FCF = 10.76 (Net Debt 17.10b / FCF TTM 1.59b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 24.66b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.83% (Net Income 1.54b / Total Assets 54.37b)
RoE = 6.23% (Net Income TTM 1.54b / Total Stockholder Equity 24.66b)
RoCE = 6.93% (EBIT 2.67b / Capital Employed (Equity 24.66b + L.T.Debt 13.92b))
RoIC = 5.07% (NOPAT 2.04b / Invested Capital 40.23b)
WACC = 5.47% (E(38.08b)/V(55.69b) * Re(7.63%) + D(17.61b)/V(55.69b) * Rd(1.03%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 7.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.70% ; FCFE base≈1.36b ; Y1≈1.10b ; Y5≈754.6m
Fair Price DCF = 10.30 (DCF Value 13.99b / Shares Outstanding 1.36b; 5y FCF grow -23.32% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -31.96 | EPS CAGR: -59.18% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 52.52 | Revenue CAGR: 5.19% | SUE: 0.50 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for KDP Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle