Overview Dividends

(KDP) Keurig Dr Pepper - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US49271V1008

Beverages, Coffee, Pods, Concentrates, Brewers

Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages
Market Cap in USD: 37,021m

IPO / Inception: 1993-09-21
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -22.7%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -43.04%
EPS Trend: -9.6%

Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 6.58%
Rev. Trend: 76.4%

Last SUE: 3.40
Qual. Beats: 1

Dividends

Dividend Yield	3.33%
Yield on Cost 5y	3.32%
Yield CAGR 5y	8.01%
Payout Consistency	88.6%
Payout Ratio	45.3%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	19.8%
Value at Risk 5%th	31.3%
Relative Tail Risk	-3.86%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.31
Alpha	-15.09
CAGR/Max DD	-0.18

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.509
Beta	0.194
Beta Downside	0.219

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	30.99%
Mean DD	10.48%
Median DD	9.84%

Description: KDP Keurig Dr Pepper December 03, 2025

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (NASDAQ:KDP) manufactures, markets, and distributes a broad portfolio of beverages and single-serve brewing systems across the United States and select international markets.

The business is organized into three reporting segments-U.S. Refreshment Beverages, U.S. Coffee, and International-covering everything from carbonated soft drinks (Dr Pepper, 7UP, Sunkist) to ready-to-drink coffee and tea (Green Mountain, Starbucks, Dunkin’), as well as K-Cup pods and specialty coffee products.

Its distribution network reaches supermarkets, mass merchandisers, club stores, pure-play e-commerce platforms, restaurant and hotel chains, as well as direct-to-consumer sales through Keurig.com, allowing the company to capture demand across both traditional and digital channels.

Key recent metrics: FY 2023 net sales were approximately $13.2 billion, with adjusted earnings per share of $3.65; the U.S. Coffee segment grew 9% YoY, driven by strong demand for ready-to-drink coffee and premium pod sales, while the Refreshment Beverages segment faced modest volume pressure from shifting consumer preferences toward lower-sugar drinks. Primary economic drivers include inflation-sensitive input costs, evolving health trends that favor non-carbonated and functional beverages, and the continued expansion of e-commerce as a sales channel.

For a deeper quantitative dive, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst toolkit.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0

Net Income (1.58b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 970.4m TTM)

FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.93pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -17.47% (prev -23.75%; Δ 6.27pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.13b > Net Income 1.58b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (17.03b) to EBITDA (3.58b) ratio: 4.76 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.62 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.36b) change vs 12m ago 0.07% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 54.76% (prev 55.69%; Δ -0.93pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 30.14% (prev 28.73%; Δ 1.41pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 4.29 (EBITDA TTM 3.58b / Interest Expense TTM 662.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 0.55

(A) -0.05 = (Total Current Assets 4.70b - Total Current Liabilities 7.53b) / Total Assets 54.60b

(B) 0.10 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.58b / Total Assets 54.60b

(D) 0.19 = Book Value of Equity 5.57b / Total Liabilities 29.28b

Total Rating: 0.55 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 58.30

1. Piotroski 3.0pt

2. FCF Yield 2.98%

3. FCF Margin 9.97%

4. Debt/Equity 0.69

5. Debt/Ebitda 4.76

6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.61)%

7. RoE 6.39%

8. Rev. Trend 76.43%

9. EPS Trend -9.55%

What is the price of KDP shares?

As of January 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 27.61 with a total of 7,377,201 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.43%, over one month by -4.00%, over three months by +8.83% and over the past year by -8.49%.

Is KDP a buy, sell or hold?

Keurig Dr Pepper has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.10. Therefore, it is recommended to buy KDP.

Strong Buy: 9
Buy: 5
Hold: 7
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the KDP price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	34.4	24.7%
Analysts Target Price	34.4	24.7%
ValueRay Target Price	28.2	2.1%

KDP Fundamental Data Overview January 09, 2026

P/E Trailing = 23.4914
P/E Forward = 12.5
P/S = 2.2889
P/B = 1.4667
P/EG = 0.672
Beta = 0.349
Revenue TTM = 16.17b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.84b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.58b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.53b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.57b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17.55b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 17.03b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 54.06b USD (37.02b + Debt 17.55b - CCE 516.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.29 (Ebit TTM 2.84b / Interest Expense TTM 662.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.98% (FCF TTM 1.61b / Enterprise Value 54.06b)
FCF Margin = 9.97% (FCF TTM 1.61b / Revenue TTM 16.17b)
Net Margin = 9.78% (Net Income TTM 1.58b / Revenue TTM 16.17b)
Gross Margin = 54.76% ((Revenue TTM 16.17b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.32b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 54.34% (prev 54.17%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.99 (Enterprise Value 54.06b / Total Assets 54.60b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.07% (Interest Expense 188.0m / Debt 17.55b)
Taxrate = 22.30% (190.0m / 852.0m)
NOPAT = 2.21b (EBIT 2.84b * (1 - 22.30%))
Current Ratio = 0.62 (Total Current Assets 4.70b / Total Current Liabilities 7.53b)
Debt / Equity = 0.69 (Debt 17.55b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 25.32b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.76 (Net Debt 17.03b / EBITDA 3.58b)
Debt / FCF = 10.56 (Net Debt 17.03b / FCF TTM 1.61b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 24.75b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.95% (Net Income 1.58b / Total Assets 54.60b)
RoE = 6.39% (Net Income TTM 1.58b / Total Stockholder Equity 24.75b)
RoCE = 7.42% (EBIT 2.84b / Capital Employed (Equity 24.75b + L.T.Debt 13.53b))
RoIC = 5.44% (NOPAT 2.21b / Invested Capital 40.55b)
WACC = 4.83% (E(37.02b)/V(54.57b) * Re(6.73%) + D(17.55b)/V(54.57b) * Rd(1.07%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 6.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 83.86% ; FCFF base≈1.39b ; Y1≈1.12b ; Y5≈772.6m
Fair Price DCF = 4.86 (EV 23.63b - Net Debt 17.03b = Equity 6.60b / Shares 1.36b; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -23.32% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -9.55 | EPS CAGR: -43.04% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 76.43 | Revenue CAGR: 6.58% | SUE: 3.40 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.43 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=11
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.17 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+6.4% | Growth Revenue=+4.7%

Additional Sources for KDP Stock

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