KHC Stock Analysis: The Kraft Heinz | NASDAQ
Packaged Foods | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 30.025m USD | 12M Return: 10.9% | US5007541064 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 303M
EPS Trend: -89.1%
Qual. Beats: 6
Rev. Trend: -97.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
The Kraft Heinz Company (NASDAQ: KHC) is a global food and beverage manufacturer formed in 2015 through the merger of Kraft Foods and H.J. Heinz, with roots dating back to 1869. Headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, the company produces a broad portfolio of products spanning condiments, sauces, cheese, frozen meals, desserts, beverages, coffee, and processed meats, sold under iconic brands such as Kraft, Heinz, Oscar Mayer, Philadelphia, Lunchables, Velveeta, Maxwell House, Jell-O, and Capri Sun.
The company distributes its products through multiple channels, including its own sales force as well as independent brokers and distributors serving grocery chains, convenience and club stores, pharmacies, mass merchants, foodservice operators, institutional buyers, and e-commerce platforms. Kraft Heinz also maintains a strategic partnership with the National Football League.
Operating within the Consumer Staples sector and the Packaged Foods & Meats sub-industry, Kraft Heinz benefits from the typically defensive characteristics of the packaged foods segment, including steady consumer demand across economic cycles. The company trades as a large-cap stock on NASDAQ following its 2015 listing.
- Grocery spin-off separates condiments from meals business
- Pricing actions and commodity costs pressure margins
- Private label competition erodes North America volume share
| Net Income: -3.47b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.45 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.69% < 20% (prev 4.47%; Δ -3.78% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 4.34b > Net Income -3.47b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.02 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.19b) vs 12m ago 0.51% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 33.53% > 18% (prev 33.71%; Δ -0.18% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 32.20% > 50% (prev 30.80%; Δ 1.39% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -4.80 > 6 (EBIT TTM -3.33b / Interest Expense TTM 693.0m) |
| A: 0.00 (Total Current Assets 8.66b - Total Current Liabilities 8.49b) / Total Assets 72.2b |
| B: -0.12 (Retained Earnings -8.75b / Total Assets 72.2b) |
| C: -0.04 (EBIT TTM -3.33b / Avg Total Assets 77.0b) |
| D: 1.00 (Book Value of Equity 36.0b / Total Liabilities 36.1b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.38 = B |
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 2.21b/2.25b, Revenue 24.8b/25.2b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 33.71% / 33.53%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.78 / AQ_t-1 0.79) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 24.8b / 25.2b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI -3.47b - CFO 4.34b) / TA 72.2b) |
| Beneish M = -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of November 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 24.61 with a total of 16,029,644 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.11%, over one month by +11.71%, over three months by +0.17% and over the past year by +10.85%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 23.60 (which is 4.1% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
The Kraft Heinz has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.95. Therefore, it is recommended to hold KHC.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 4
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 24.7 | 0.3% |
P/E Forward = 11.919
P/S = 1.2118
P/B = 0.8386
P/EG = 0.9936
Revenue TTM = 24.8b USD
EBIT TTM = -3.33b USD
EBITDA TTM = -2.36b USD
Long Term Debt = 19.3b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 918.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.2b USD (corrected: LT Debt 19.3b + ST Debt 918.0m)
Net Debt = 18.3b USD (calculated: Debt 20.2b - CCE 1.90b)
Enterprise Value = 48.4b USD (30.0b + Debt 20.2b - CCE 1.90b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.80 (Ebit TTM -3.33b / Interest Expense TTM 693.0m)
EV/FCF = 13.69x (Enterprise Value 48.4b / FCF TTM 3.53b)
FCF Yield = 7.31% (FCF TTM 3.53b / Enterprise Value 48.4b)
FCF Margin = 14.25% (FCF TTM 3.53b / Revenue TTM 24.8b)
Net Margin = -13.99% (Net Income TTM -3.47b / Revenue TTM 24.8b)
Gross Margin = 33.53% ((Revenue TTM 24.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.5b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.51% (prev 32.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.67 (Enterprise Value 48.4b / Total Assets 72.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.43% (Interest Expense 693.0m / Debt 20.2b)
Taxrate = 23.86% (168.0m / 704.0m)
NOPAT = -2.53b (EBIT -3.33b * (1 - 23.86%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.02 (Total Current Assets 8.66b / Total Current Liabilities 8.49b)
Debt / Equity = 0.56 (Debt 20.2b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 36.0b)
Debt / EBITDA = -7.77 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 18.3b / EBITDA -2.36b)
Debt / FCF = 5.19 (Net Debt 18.3b / FCF TTM 3.53b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 38.9b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.50% (Net Income -3.47b / Total Assets 72.2b)
RoE = -8.91% (Net Income TTM -3.47b / Total Stockholder Equity 38.9b)
RoCE = -5.72% (EBIT -3.33b / Capital Employed (Equity 38.9b + L.T.Debt 19.3b))
RoIC = -3.99% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -2.53b / Invested Capital 63.4b)
WACC = 4.18% (E(30.0b)/V(50.3b) * Re(5.24%) + D(20.2b)/V(50.3b) * Rd(3.43%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 5.24% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -80.86 | Cagr: -0.88%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.06% ; FCFF base≈3.57b ; Y1≈3.50b ; Y5≈3.55b
[DCF] Fair Price = 31.28 (EV 55.4b - Net Debt 18.3b = Equity 37.1b / Shares 1.19b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -2.73% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -89.07 | EPS CAGR: -8.87% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 6
Revenue Correlation: -97.64 | Revenue CAGR: -2.84% | SUE: 0.25 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=0.53 | Chg30d=+0.28% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.05 | Chg30d=-0.07% | Revisions=-44% | GrowthEPS=-21.2% | GrowthRev=-1.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.08 | Chg30d=-0.29% | Revisions=-70% | GrowthEPS=+1.7% | GrowthRev=+0.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -61% (up=2, down=13)