(KHC) Kraft Heinz - Overview
Sector: Consumer Defensive | Industry: Packaged Foods | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 27.901m USD | Total Return: -14.9% in 12m
Industry Rotation: -10.7
Avg Turnover: 333M USD
Peers RS (IBD): 47.4
EPS Trend: -47.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -33.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Interest Coverage Ratio -4.7 is critical
Altman Z'' -0.62 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
The Kraft Heinz Company (NASDAQ: KHC) manufactures and markets a broad portfolio of food and beverage products-including condiments, cheeses, frozen meals, coffee, and snack items-under iconic brands such as Kraft, Heinz, Oscar Mayer, and Philadelphia. Its distribution network reaches grocery chains, mass merchants, foodservice operators, pharmacies, and e-commerce platforms across North America and international markets.
In FY 2023 the company generated $27.0 billion in revenue, posted net income of $1.5 billion and reported earnings per share of $2.50, supporting a dividend yield of roughly 4.2% and a trailing P/E near 10.5. Recent performance has been shaped by rising commodity costs, which are partially offset by a 12% YoY increase in e-commerce sales and continued consumer demand for convenient, shelf-stable foods-a key driver for the Packaged Foods & Meats sector.
For deeper valuation insights, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst tools.
- Commodity price volatility impacts input costs and profit margins
- Private label competition erodes market share and pricing power
- Shifting consumer preferences demand innovation in healthier food options
- International expansion drives growth in emerging markets
- Supply chain disruptions increase operational costs
| Net Income: -5.85b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.06 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 5.41% < 20% (prev 1.56%; Δ 3.85% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 4.46b > Net Income -5.85b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.15 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.19b) vs 12m ago -1.66% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 33.31% > 18% (prev 0.35%; Δ 3.30k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 29.33% > 50% (prev 29.27%; Δ 0.06% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -4.75 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -3.53b / Interest Expense TTM 947.0m) |
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 10.13b - Total Current Liabilities 8.78b) / Total Assets 81.79b |
| B: -0.06 (Retained Earnings -4.63b / Total Assets 81.79b) |
| C: -0.05 (EBIT TTM -4.50b / Avg Total Assets 85.04b) |
| D: -0.17 (Book Value of Equity -6.99b / Total Liabilities 40.00b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.62 = B |
| DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 2.25b/2.15b, Revenue 24.94b/25.85b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 33.31% / 34.70%) |
| AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.79 / AQ_t-1 0.83) |
| SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 24.94b / 25.85b) |
| TATA: -0.13 (NI -5.85b - CFO 4.46b) / TA 81.79b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.11%, over one month by -4.79%, over three months by +1.03% and over the past year by -14.93%.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 24.3 | 4.4% |
P/S = 1.1186
P/B = 0.6475
P/EG = 0.9935
Revenue TTM = 24.94b USD
EBIT TTM = -4.50b USD
EBITDA TTM = -3.53b USD
Long Term Debt = 19.31b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.91b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 21.22b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 18.60b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 45.44b USD (27.90b + Debt 21.22b - CCE 3.67b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.75 (Ebit TTM -4.50b / Interest Expense TTM 947.0m)
EV/FCF = 12.41x (Enterprise Value 45.44b / FCF TTM 3.66b)
FCF Yield = 8.06% (FCF TTM 3.66b / Enterprise Value 45.44b)
FCF Margin = 14.68% (FCF TTM 3.66b / Revenue TTM 24.94b)
Net Margin = -23.44% (Net Income TTM -5.85b / Revenue TTM 24.94b)
Gross Margin = 33.31% ((Revenue TTM 24.94b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.63b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.61% (prev 31.91%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.56 (Enterprise Value 45.44b / Total Assets 81.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.12% (Interest Expense 238.0m / Debt 21.22b)
Taxrate = 27.76% (249.0m / 897.0m)
NOPAT = -3.25b (EBIT -4.50b * (1 - 27.76%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.15 (Total Current Assets 10.13b / Total Current Liabilities 8.78b)
Debt / Equity = 0.51 (Debt 21.22b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 41.66b)
Debt / EBITDA = -5.27 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 18.60b / EBITDA -3.53b)
Debt / FCF = 5.08 (Net Debt 18.60b / FCF TTM 3.66b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 43.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -6.87% (Net Income -5.85b / Total Assets 81.79b)
RoE = -13.44% (Net Income TTM -5.85b / Total Stockholder Equity 43.48b)
RoCE = -7.16% (EBIT -4.50b / Capital Employed (Equity 43.48b + L.T.Debt 19.31b))
RoIC = -5.02% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -3.25b / Invested Capital 64.79b)
WACC = 4.14% (E(27.90b)/V(49.12b) * Re(6.67%) + D(21.22b)/V(49.12b) * Rd(1.12%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 6.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.84%
[DCF] Terminal Value 88.07% ; FCFF base≈3.40b ; Y1≈4.03b ; Y5≈6.27b
[DCF] Fair Price = 138.6 (EV 182.64b - Net Debt 18.60b = Equity 164.04b / Shares 1.18b; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 19.70% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -47.06 | EPS CAGR: -47.33% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -33.09 | Revenue CAGR: 1.34% | SUE: -0.14 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.53 | Chg7d=-0.001 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.04 | Chg7d=-0.000 | Chg30d=-0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-21.7% | Growth Revenue=-1.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.14 | Chg7d=-0.005 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+5.2% | Growth Revenue=+0.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)