(KHC) Kraft Heinz - Ratings and Ratios
Condiments, Sauces, Cheese, Dairy, Meals
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 6.29% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.05% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 0.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 58.0% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 21.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 35.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.53% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.70 |
| Alpha | -20.81 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.27 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.430 |
| Beta | 0.281 |
| Beta Downside | 0.145 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.34% |
| Mean DD | 16.65% |
| Median DD | 15.45% |
Description: KHC Kraft Heinz October 14, 2025
The Kraft Heinz Company (NASDAQ: KHC) manufactures and markets a broad portfolio of food and beverage products-including condiments, cheese, meals, meats, coffee, and snack items-under iconic brands such as Kraft, Heinz, Oscar Mayer, Philadelphia, and Lunchables, serving both North American and international markets.
Its sales reach consumers through a mix of direct sales teams, independent brokers, and a wide array of retail and food-service channels, ranging from grocery chains and mass merchants to pharmacies, e-commerce platforms, hotels, hospitals, and government institutions.
Founded in 1869 and headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, the company rebranded from H.J. Heinz Holding Corporation to The Kraft Heinz Company in July 2015 and now operates within the GICS Sub-Industry “Packaged Foods & Meats.”
Key recent metrics (FY 2024): revenue of $27.2 billion (up 3 % YoY), adjusted EBITDA margin of 15.8 % (down 0.4 ppt), and a forward P/E of ≈ 12×, reflecting modest earnings growth amid rising commodity costs and inflation-driven pricing pressure. The sector’s performance is heavily influenced by raw-material price volatility (e.g., dairy, meat, and agricultural inputs) and shifting consumer demand toward “better-for-you” and private-label alternatives.
For a deeper, data-driven view of KHC’s valuation and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform provides a structured framework to explore the company’s upside and downside risks.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (-4.37b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.51b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.06pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 4.47% (prev 1.81%; Δ 2.66pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.47b > Net Income -4.37b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 1.13 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.19b) change vs 12m ago -1.98% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 33.65% (prev 34.60%; Δ -0.95pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 29.56% (prev 29.50%; Δ 0.06pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -5.86 (EBITDA TTM -4.67b / Interest Expense TTM 958.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.76
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 9.99b - Total Current Liabilities 8.86b) / Total Assets 81.69b |
| (B) -0.06 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -5.28b / Total Assets 81.69b |
| (C) -0.07 = EBIT TTM -5.62b / Avg Total Assets 85.13b |
| (D) -0.19 = Book Value of Equity -7.65b / Total Liabilities 40.12b |
| Total Rating: -0.76 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 37.62
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.58% |
| 3. FCF Margin 14.43% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.51 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -4.08 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -10.91)% |
| 7. RoE -9.62% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -35.06% |
| 9. EPS Trend -8.21% |
What is the price of KHC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.88%, over one month by -0.59%, over three months by -6.78% and over the past year by -16.06%.
Is KHC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the KHC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 27.1 | 6.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 27.1 | 6.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 25.8 | 1.3% |
KHC Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Forward = 9.8912
P/S = 1.1868
P/B = 0.7205
P/EG = 1.0306
Beta = 0.076
Revenue TTM = 25.16b USD
EBIT TTM = -5.62b USD
EBITDA TTM = -4.67b USD
Long Term Debt = 19.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.91b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 21.19b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 19.05b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 47.92b USD (29.86b + Debt 21.19b - CCE 3.13b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -5.86 (Ebit TTM -5.62b / Interest Expense TTM 958.0m)
FCF Yield = 7.58% (FCF TTM 3.63b / Enterprise Value 47.92b)
FCF Margin = 14.43% (FCF TTM 3.63b / Revenue TTM 25.16b)
Net Margin = -17.35% (Net Income TTM -4.37b / Revenue TTM 25.16b)
Gross Margin = 33.65% ((Revenue TTM 25.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.70b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.91% (prev 34.13%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.59 (Enterprise Value 47.92b / Total Assets 81.69b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.13% (Interest Expense 240.0m / Debt 21.19b)
Taxrate = 24.04% (194.0m / 807.0m)
NOPAT = -4.27b (EBIT -5.62b * (1 - 24.04%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.13 (Total Current Assets 9.99b / Total Current Liabilities 8.86b)
Debt / Equity = 0.51 (Debt 21.19b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 41.45b)
Debt / EBITDA = -4.08 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 19.05b / EBITDA -4.67b)
Debt / FCF = 5.25 (Net Debt 19.05b / FCF TTM 3.63b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 45.36b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -5.34% (Net Income -4.37b / Total Assets 81.69b)
RoE = -9.62% (Net Income TTM -4.37b / Total Stockholder Equity 45.36b)
RoCE = -8.69% (EBIT -5.62b / Capital Employed (Equity 45.36b + L.T.Debt 19.29b))
RoIC = -6.43% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -4.27b / Invested Capital 66.33b)
WACC = 4.48% (E(29.86b)/V(51.06b) * Re(7.05%) + D(21.19b)/V(51.06b) * Rd(1.13%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 7.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.88%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.55% ; FCFE base≈3.38b ; Y1≈3.70b ; Y5≈4.70b
Fair Price DCF = 69.10 (DCF Value 81.79b / Shares Outstanding 1.18b; 5y FCF grow 10.77% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -8.21 | EPS CAGR: -6.66% | SUE: 1.05 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -35.06 | Revenue CAGR: -1.93% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for KHC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle