KHC Stock Analysis: Kraft Heinz | NASDAQ
Packaged Foods | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 29.656m USD | 12M Return: 3.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 332M
EPS Trend: -76.3%
Qual. Beats: 4
Rev. Trend: -98.8%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
The Kraft Heinz Company (NASDAQ: KHC) is a global food and beverage manufacturer headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, and founded in 1869. The company operates across North America and international markets, producing a broad portfolio of products spanning condiments, sauces, cheeses, frozen meals, beverages, coffee, cold cuts, and desserts. It is classified within the Consumer Staples sector under the Packaged Foods & Meats sub-industry, a defensive segment typically characterized by stable, recurring demand through economic cycles.
KHC sells its products under a large portfolio of well-established brands, including Kraft, Heinz, Oscar Mayer, Philadelphia, Lunchables, Velveeta, Ore-Ida, Capri Sun, Maxwell House, Kool-Aid, Jell-O, Watties, and Cool Whip, among others. The company distributes through a mix of its own sales organization and third-party brokers, agents, and distributors, reaching grocery chains, club and convenience stores, pharmacies, mass merchants, foodservice operators, institutional buyers (such as hotels, hospitals, and government agencies), and various e-commerce platforms. It also maintains a strategic partnership with the National Football League, leveraging sports marketing as part of its brand-building strategy.
The company was originally formed as H.J. Heinz Holding Corporation and adopted its current name, The Kraft Heinz Company, in July 2015, following the merger of Kraft Foods and H.J. Heinz. Its diversified brand portfolio, multi-channel distribution, and exposure to the resilient consumer staples category are central to its business model, which is built on volume-driven sales of branded, shelf-stable, and refrigerated grocery products.
- North America retail volumes decline on pricing elasticity
- Foodservice segment margins recover with restaurant traffic
- International emerging markets drive revenue growth
| Net Income: -5.76b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.46 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.97% < 20% (prev 8.74%; Δ -1.77% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 4.75b > Net Income -5.76b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.20 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.19b) vs 12m ago -0.50% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 33.33% > 18% (prev 34.56%; Δ -1.23% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 29.00% > 50% (prev 28.17%; Δ 0.83% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -4.64 > 6 (EBIT TTM -4.49b / Interest Expense TTM 966.0m) |
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 10.7b - Total Current Liabilities 8.94b) / Total Assets 82.0b |
| B: -0.05 (Retained Earnings -3.83b / Total Assets 82.0b) |
| C: -0.05 (EBIT TTM -4.49b / Avg Total Assets 86.2b) |
| D: 1.05 (Book Value of Equity 41.9b / Total Liabilities 40.0b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.74 = B |
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 2.31b/2.26b, Revenue 25.0b/25.4b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 34.56% / 33.33%) |
| AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.78 / AQ_t-1 0.82) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 25.0b / 25.4b) |
| TATA: -0.13 (NI -5.76b - CFO 4.75b) / TA 82.0b) |
| Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 25.37 with a total of 14,467,200 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.10%, over one month by +12.36%, over three months by +9.59% and over the past year by +3.80%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 24.10 (which is 5% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).
Kraft Heinz has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold KHC.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 23.7 | -6.4% |
P/E Forward = 12.2549
P/S = 1.1867
P/B = 0.7074
P/EG = 0.9935
Revenue TTM = 25.0b USD
EBIT TTM = -4.49b USD
EBITDA TTM = -3.50b USD
Long Term Debt = 19.2b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.91b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 21.1b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 16.9b USD (calculated: Debt 21.1b - CCE 4.26b)
Enterprise Value = 46.5b USD (29.7b + Debt 21.1b - CCE 4.26b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.64 (Ebit TTM -4.49b / Interest Expense TTM 966.0m)
EV/FCF = 11.80x (Enterprise Value 46.5b / FCF TTM 3.94b)
FCF Yield = 8.48% (FCF TTM 3.94b / Enterprise Value 46.5b)
FCF Margin = 15.79% (FCF TTM 3.94b / Revenue TTM 25.0b)
Net Margin = -23.05% (Net Income TTM -5.76b / Revenue TTM 25.0b)
Gross Margin = 33.33% ((Revenue TTM 25.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.7b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.45% (prev 32.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.57 (Enterprise Value 46.5b / Total Assets 82.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.57% (Interest Expense 966.0m / Debt 21.1b)
Taxrate = 20.89% (211.0m / 1.01b)
NOPAT = -3.55b (EBIT -4.49b * (1 - 20.89%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.20 (Total Current Assets 10.7b / Total Current Liabilities 8.94b)
Debt / Equity = 0.50 (Debt 21.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 41.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = -4.82 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 16.9b / EBITDA -3.50b)
Debt / FCF = 4.28 (Net Debt 16.9b / FCF TTM 3.94b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 41.6b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -6.69% (Net Income -5.76b / Total Assets 82.0b)
RoE = -13.85% (Net Income TTM -5.76b / Total Stockholder Equity 41.6b)
RoCE = -7.38% (EBIT -4.49b / Capital Employed (Equity 41.6b + L.T.Debt 19.2b))
RoIC = -4.81% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -3.55b / Invested Capital 73.8b)
WACC = 5.18% (E(29.7b)/V(50.8b) * Re(6.29%) + D(21.1b)/V(50.8b) * Rd(4.57%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -86.67 | Cagr: -1.60%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈3.58b ; Y1≈4.10b ; Y5≈6.03b
[DCF] Fair Price = 62.35 (EV 90.8b - Net Debt 16.9b = Equity 73.9b / Shares 1.19b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -76.33 | EPS CAGR: -4.87% | SUE: 2.63 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: -98.82 | Revenue CAGR: -3.32% | SUE: 1.01 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.53 | Chg30d=-0.17% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=15
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.47 | Chg30d=-0.47% | Revisions=-67% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.06 | Chg30d=-0.20% | Revisions=+72% | GrowthEPS=-21.0% | GrowthRev=-2.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.09 | Chg30d=-0.38% | Revisions=+6% | GrowthEPS=+1.8% | GrowthRev=+0.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -4% (up=26, down=28)