(KNSA) Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals - Ratings and Ratios
ARCALYST, Vixarelimab, KPL-387
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 43.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 64.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.23% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.70 |
| Alpha | 84.64 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.450 |
| Beta | 0.510 |
| Beta Downside | 0.827 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.77% |
| Mean DD | 13.51% |
| Median DD | 12.39% |
Description: KNSA Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals November 10, 2025
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International plc (NASDAQ: KNSA) is a London-based biopharma focused on novel therapies for unmet cardiovascular needs. Its lead product, ARCALYST (dual IL-1α/β inhibitor), targets recurrent pericarditis, while its pipeline includes Vixarelimab for prurigo nodularis and KPL-387, a monthly sub-Q IL-1R1 antibody designed to simplify treatment of advanced recurrent pericarditis. The company also maintains a pre-clinical Fc-engineered antibody, KPL-116, and rebranded from Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Ltd in June 2024.
As of the most recent 10-Q (Q2 2024), KNSA reported ~ $78 million of cash and equivalents, giving it roughly 12 months of runway at its current burn rate of $6–7 million per quarter. The firm’s partnership with Roche for ARCALYST’s U.S. commercialization provides a non-dilutive revenue stream and validates the IL-1 pathway’s therapeutic relevance. In the broader biotech sector, global spending on cardiovascular drug R&D is projected to grow at a CAGR of ~ 7 % through 2028, driven by an aging population and increasing prevalence of inflammatory cardiac disorders.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of KNSA’s risk-adjusted upside, the ValueRay platform offers a transparent, data-first model worth a look.
KNSA Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 3,129m |
| Sub-Industry | Biotechnology |
| IPO / Inception | 2018-05-24 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 74.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.67 of 5 |
KNSA Dividends
Currently no dividends paidKNSA Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 38.50% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.99 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 2.85 |
| Current Volume | 455.6k |
| Average Volume | 402.1k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (35.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 35.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 12.28pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 58.86% (prev 56.07%; Δ 2.79pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 102.9m > Net Income 35.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-165.1m) to EBITDA (45.1m) ratio: -3.66 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.85 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (78.0m) change vs 12m ago 8.78% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 52.77% (prev 60.90%; Δ -8.14pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 94.34% (prev 69.17%; Δ 25.18pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -8.70 (EBITDA TTM 45.1m / Interest Expense TTM -5.01m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.30
| (A) 0.49 = (Total Current Assets 475.5m - Total Current Liabilities 123.6m) / Total Assets 712.3m |
| (B) -0.67 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -476.3m / Total Assets 712.3m |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 43.6m / Avg Total Assets 633.8m |
| (D) -2.69 = Book Value of Equity -476.5m / Total Liabilities 176.9m |
| Total Rating: -1.30 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 68.46
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.65% |
| 3. FCF Margin 17.01% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.02 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -3.66 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.77)% |
| 7. RoE 7.46% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 97.11% |
| 9. EPS Trend 23.64% |
What is the price of KNSA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.98%, over one month by +6.41%, over three months by +24.93% and over the past year by +95.62%.
Is KNSA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the KNSA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 54 | 30.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 54 | 30.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 57.6 | 38.8% |
KNSA Fundamental Data Overview November 20, 2025
P/E Trailing = 91.7333
P/E Forward = 30.6748
P/S = 5.2324
P/B = 5.8611
Beta = 0.025
Revenue TTM = 598.0m USD
EBIT TTM = 43.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 45.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 9.72m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.70m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.72m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -165.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.79b USD (3.13b + Debt 9.72m - CCE 352.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -8.70 (Ebit TTM 43.6m / Interest Expense TTM -5.01m)
FCF Yield = 3.65% (FCF TTM 101.7m / Enterprise Value 2.79b)
FCF Margin = 17.01% (FCF TTM 101.7m / Revenue TTM 598.0m)
Net Margin = 6.01% (Net Income TTM 35.9m / Revenue TTM 598.0m)
Gross Margin = 52.77% ((Revenue TTM 598.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 282.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.78% (prev 54.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.91 (Enterprise Value 2.79b / Total Assets 712.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 18.85% (Interest Expense 1.83m / Debt 9.72m)
Taxrate = 32.12% (8.72m / 27.2m)
NOPAT = 29.6m (EBIT 43.6m * (1 - 32.12%))
Current Ratio = 3.85 (Total Current Assets 475.5m / Total Current Liabilities 123.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 9.72m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 535.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.66 (Net Debt -165.1m / EBITDA 45.1m)
Debt / FCF = -1.62 (Net Debt -165.1m / FCF TTM 101.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 481.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.04% (Net Income 35.9m / Total Assets 712.3m)
RoE = 7.46% (Net Income TTM 35.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 481.6m)
RoCE = 8.88% (EBIT 43.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 481.6m + L.T.Debt 9.72m))
RoIC = 6.15% (NOPAT 29.6m / Invested Capital 481.6m)
WACC = 7.92% (E(3.13b)/V(3.14b) * Re(7.90%) + D(9.72m)/V(3.14b) * Rd(18.85%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 7.90% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 3.63%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.01% ; FCFE base≈65.5m ; Y1≈68.9m ; Y5≈80.9m
Fair Price DCF = 31.40 (DCF Value 1.42b / Shares Outstanding 45.2m; 5y FCF grow 5.66% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 23.64 | EPS CAGR: 63.01% | SUE: -0.38 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.11 | Revenue CAGR: 47.69% | SUE: 2.09 | # QB: 2
Additional Sources for KNSA Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle