(KRT) Karat Packaging - Overview
Stock: Containers, Bags, Tableware, Cups, Cutlery
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 6.84% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 12.01% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 11.42% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 145.2% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 37.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.1% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.19 |
| Alpha | -21.62 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.695 |
| Beta Downside | 0.748 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.03% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.79 |
Description: KRT Karat Packaging December 26, 2025
Karat Packaging Inc. (NASDAQ: KRT) manufactures and distributes a broad portfolio of single-use disposable items-including plastic, paper, biopolymer and compostable containers, cutlery, bags, cups and related janitorial supplies-primarily for restaurants and food-service operators. The company also sells specialty beverage ingredients (e.g., syrups, boba tea, coffee drinks) and offers ancillary services such as new-product development, design, printing and logistics under its “Karat Earth” brand, serving national and regional distributors, chain restaurants, retailers and direct-to-consumer channels.
Key market indicators suggest the U.S. sustainable packaging segment is expanding at ~7% CAGR, driven by state-level bans on traditional plastics and rising consumer demand for compostable alternatives. In its most recent quarterly filing (Q3 2024), Karat reported revenue of $112 million, up 9% YoY, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 12.4%, reflecting improved cost-of-goods efficiency after renegotiating polymer contracts. However, the listed GICS sub-industry (“Diversified Metals & Mining”) appears to be a data-entry error; the firm belongs to the “Packaging Materials” sub-industry, which carries a sector-wide average forward P/E of ~22× and is sensitive to raw-material price volatility (e.g., resin and pulp). Macro-level drivers include inflation-linked input costs, supply-chain bottlenecks for biodegradable resins, and regulatory trends that could both constrain traditional plastic use and create growth tailwinds for compostable products.
For a deeper, data-driven look at Karat’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, you might explore the analyst tools on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 30.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -8.69 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 20.07% < 20% (prev 27.75%; Δ -7.68% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 26.7m > Net Income 30.3m |
| Net Debt (68.0m) to EBITDA (63.7m): 1.07 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.14 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (20.2m) vs 12m ago 0.31% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.04% > 18% (prev 0.38%; Δ 3766 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 148.9% > 50% (prev 135.8%; Δ 13.09% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.05 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 63.7m / Interest Expense TTM 4.14m) |
Altman Z'' 4.15
| A: 0.30 (Total Current Assets 170.7m - Total Current Liabilities 79.6m) / Total Assets 302.8m |
| B: 0.21 (Retained Earnings 63.9m / Total Assets 302.8m) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 45.8m / Avg Total Assets 304.8m) |
| D: 0.45 (Book Value of Equity 63.9m / Total Liabilities 141.3m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 4.15 = AA |
Beneish M -2.94
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 37.9m/33.9m, Revenue 453.8m/416.6m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 38.04% / 38.07%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 453.8m / 416.6m) |
| TATA: 0.01 (NI 30.3m - CFO 26.7m) / TA 302.8m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.94 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of KRT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.64%, over one month by +10.52%, over three months by +10.06% and over the past year by -8.69%.
Is KRT a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the KRT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 28.5 | 10.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 28.5 | 10.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 31.4 | 21.6% |
KRT Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 1.0839
P/B = 3.113
Revenue TTM = 453.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 45.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 63.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 47.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 33.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 92.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 68.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 539.9m USD (491.8m + Debt 92.0m - CCE 44.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.05 (Ebit TTM 45.8m / Interest Expense TTM 4.14m)
EV/FCF = 24.34x (Enterprise Value 539.9m / FCF TTM 22.2m)
FCF Yield = 4.11% (FCF TTM 22.2m / Enterprise Value 539.9m)
FCF Margin = 4.89% (FCF TTM 22.2m / Revenue TTM 453.8m)
Net Margin = 6.67% (Net Income TTM 30.3m / Revenue TTM 453.8m)
Gross Margin = 38.04% ((Revenue TTM 453.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 281.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.47% (prev 39.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.78 (Enterprise Value 539.9m / Total Assets 302.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.82% (Interest Expense 2.60m / Debt 92.0m)
Taxrate = 23.26% (2.30m / 9.91m)
NOPAT = 35.2m (EBIT 45.8m * (1 - 23.26%))
Current Ratio = 2.14 (Total Current Assets 170.7m / Total Current Liabilities 79.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.60 (Debt 92.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 154.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.07 (Net Debt 68.0m / EBITDA 63.7m)
Debt / FCF = 3.07 (Net Debt 68.0m / FCF TTM 22.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 154.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.93% (Net Income 30.3m / Total Assets 302.8m)
RoE = 19.56% (Net Income TTM 30.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 154.8m)
RoCE = 22.67% (EBIT 45.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 154.8m + L.T.Debt 47.3m))
RoIC = 17.31% (NOPAT 35.2m / Invested Capital 203.1m)
WACC = 7.48% (E(491.8m)/V(583.9m) * Re(8.48%) + D(92.0m)/V(583.9m) * Rd(2.82%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.44%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.36% ; FCFF base≈33.0m ; Y1≈31.4m ; Y5≈30.3m
Fair Price DCF = 26.33 (EV 597.2m - Net Debt 68.0m = Equity 529.1m / Shares 20.1m; r=7.48% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -6.05% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -21.64 | EPS CAGR: -47.06% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 47.74 | Revenue CAGR: 8.62% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.26 | Chg30d=-0.040 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.67 | Chg30d=-0.120 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+7.7% | Growth Revenue=+12.3%