(KTOS) Kratos Defense & Security - Ratings and Ratios
Drones, Propulsion, Satcom, Hypersonics, C5ISR
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 66.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 99.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.02% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.21 |
| Alpha | 189.72 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.78 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.478 |
| Beta | 1.089 |
| Beta Downside | 0.791 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.31% |
| Mean DD | 7.51% |
| Median DD | 5.18% |
Description: KTOS Kratos Defense & Security November 03, 2025
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (NASDAQ: KTOS) is a U.S.-based technology firm that designs, builds, and services hardware and software for defense, national-security, and commercial markets worldwide. It operates two segments-Kratos Government Solutions and Unmanned Systems-covering satellite ground stations, jet-powered drones, hypersonic and rocket platforms, propulsion for missiles and spacecraft, C4ISR suites, microwave electronics, counter-UAS, directed-energy, and warfighter training via VR/AR.
Key recent metrics show FY 2024 revenue of $1.04 billion, up 12% YoY, driven largely by a 38% increase in unmanned-systems backlog and a 22% rise in government contracts tied to U.S. defense-budget allocations for hypersonic and autonomous platforms. The company’s R&D spend now represents ~13% of revenue, reflecting the sector-wide push toward high-speed, low-observable technologies, while overall U.S. defense spending is projected to grow ~3% annually through 2028, supporting long-term demand for Kratos’ product suite.
For a deeper, data-rich evaluation of Kratos’ valuation dynamics, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful for extending this initial overview.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (20.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 77.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.25pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 73.91% (prev 51.28%; Δ 22.63pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.00 (>3.0%) and CFO -8.60m <= Net Income 20.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-431.6m) to EBITDA (91.6m) ratio: -4.71 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 4.30 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (172.9m) change vs 12m ago 12.20% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 22.91% (prev 25.67%; Δ -2.76pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 59.27% (prev 58.93%; Δ 0.33pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.97 (EBITDA TTM 91.6m / Interest Expense TTM 19.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.28
| (A) 0.39 = (Total Current Assets 1.24b - Total Current Liabilities 287.4m) / Total Assets 2.42b |
| (B) -0.27 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -647.8m / Total Assets 2.42b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 38.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.17b |
| (D) -1.46 = Book Value of Equity -645.5m / Total Liabilities 441.8m |
| Total Rating: 0.28 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.13
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.76% |
| 3. FCF Margin -7.26% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.07 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -4.71 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -8.39)% |
| 7. RoE 1.20% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 95.16% |
| 9. EPS Trend 69.85% |
What is the price of KTOS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.62%, over one month by +7.91%, over three months by -1.49% and over the past year by +199.96%.
Is KTOS a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the KTOS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 99.9 | 25% |
| Analysts Target Price | 99.9 | 25% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 99 | 23.7% |
KTOS Fundamental Data Overview December 21, 2025
P/E Trailing = 579.9231
P/E Forward = 156.25
P/S = 9.9073
P/B = 6.4239
P/EG = 34.1186
Beta = 1.146
Revenue TTM = 1.28b USD
EBIT TTM = 38.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 91.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 174.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 15.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 134.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -431.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.30b USD (12.73b + Debt 134.3m - CCE 565.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.97 (Ebit TTM 38.4m / Interest Expense TTM 19.5m)
FCF Yield = -0.76% (FCF TTM -93.3m / Enterprise Value 12.30b)
FCF Margin = -7.26% (FCF TTM -93.3m / Revenue TTM 1.28b)
Net Margin = 1.56% (Net Income TTM 20.0m / Revenue TTM 1.28b)
Gross Margin = 22.91% ((Revenue TTM 1.28b - Cost of Revenue TTM 990.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.18% (prev 21.00%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.07 (Enterprise Value 12.30b / Total Assets 2.42b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.43% (Interest Expense 4.60m / Debt 134.3m)
Taxrate = 26.89% (3.20m / 11.9m)
NOPAT = 28.1m (EBIT 38.4m * (1 - 26.89%))
Current Ratio = 4.30 (Total Current Assets 1.24b / Total Current Liabilities 287.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.07 (Debt 134.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.98b)
Debt / EBITDA = -4.71 (Net Debt -431.6m / EBITDA 91.6m)
Debt / FCF = 4.63 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -431.6m / FCF TTM -93.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.67b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.83% (Net Income 20.0m / Total Assets 2.42b)
RoE = 1.20% (Net Income TTM 20.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.67b)
RoCE = 2.08% (EBIT 38.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.67b + L.T.Debt 174.6m))
RoIC = 1.56% (NOPAT 28.1m / Invested Capital 1.80b)
WACC = 9.95% (E(12.73b)/V(12.86b) * Re(10.03%) + D(134.3m)/V(12.86b) * Rd(3.43%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 10.03% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 13.42%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -93.3m)
EPS Correlation: 69.85 | EPS CAGR: 6.64% | SUE: 1.30 | # QB: 11
Revenue Correlation: 95.16 | Revenue CAGR: 14.15% | SUE: 1.55 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.15 | Chg30d=-0.006 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=11
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.76 | Chg30d=-0.017 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+43.8% | Growth Revenue=+19.7%
Additional Sources for KTOS Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle