(KURA) Kura Oncology - Ratings and Ratios
Menin Inhibitor, Farnesyl Transferase Inhibitor, Tipifarnib
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 56.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 84.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.69% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.21 |
| Alpha | -44.90 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.462 |
| Beta | 0.940 |
| Beta Downside | 0.970 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 76.46% |
| Mean DD | 36.81% |
| Median DD | 31.25% |
Description: KURA Kura Oncology October 23, 2025
Kura Oncology Inc. (NASDAQ:KURA) is a clinical-stage biopharma focused on targeted cancer therapies. Its lead assets are ziftomenib, a selective menin-KMT2A inhibitor for genetically defined acute leukemias, tipifarnib (combined with alpelisib) for PIK3CA-driven head-and-neck squamous cell carcinoma, and KO-2806, a novel farnesyl-transferase inhibitor for solid tumors. The company has partnered with Novartis (tipifarnib + alpelisib), Kyowa Kirin (oral menin inhibitor development and commercialization) and Mirati Therapeutics (KO-2806 + adagrasib in KRAS-G12C NSCLC). Headquarters are in San Diego, California.
Key recent metrics: as of the latest 10-Q, Kura reported cash and cash equivalents of roughly $150 million, giving it an estimated 12-month runway at its current burn rate of $12-$15 million per quarter. The AML market is projected to exceed $7 billion by 2028, providing a sizable addressable base for ziftomenib. Additionally, the biotech sector’s R&D tax credit and strong venture financing environment have been supporting cash-flow-positive pipelines for companies at Kura’s stage.
If you want a deeper, data-driven look at Kura’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a transparent model you can explore at your own pace.
KURA Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 975m |
| Sub-Industry | Biotechnology |
| IPO / Inception | 2015-09-22 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -39.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.53 of 5 |
KURA Dividends
Currently no dividends paidKURA Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -10.37% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.14 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.28 |
| Current Volume | 1744.1k |
| Average Volume | 1670k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (-216.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 6.24m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 48.14pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 480.0% (prev 33.3k%; Δ -32.8kpp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 87.8m > Net Income -216.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 5.12 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (87.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.80% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 96.50% (prev 32.44%; Δ 64.06pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 18.44% (prev 0.27%; Δ 18.18pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -136.5 (EBITDA TTM -220.8m / Interest Expense TTM 1.57m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -5.81
| (A) 0.77 = (Total Current Assets 620.7m - Total Current Liabilities 121.3m) / Total Assets 649.4m |
| (B) -1.68 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.09b / Total Assets 649.4m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.68 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.38 = EBIT TTM -214.2m / Avg Total Assets 564.1m |
| (D) -2.68 = Book Value of Equity -1.09b / Total Liabilities 406.8m |
| Total Rating: -5.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 54.03
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 18.68% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 79.89% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.08 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.34 = 2.41 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -72.14)% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE -65.42% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 78.44% = 5.88 |
| 9. EPS Trend -45.16% = -2.26 |
What is the price of KURA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.65%, over one month by +10.91%, over three months by +48.13% and over the past year by -30.92%.
Is KURA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the KURA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 31.6 | 185.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 31.6 | 185.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 11.7 | 6% |
KURA Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025
P/S = 9.3727
P/B = 4.0201
Beta = 0.229
Revenue TTM = 104.0m USD
EBIT TTM = -214.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = -220.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.34m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.77m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -75.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 444.8m USD (975.0m + Debt 19.5m - CCE 549.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -136.5 (Ebit TTM -214.2m / Interest Expense TTM 1.57m)
FCF Yield = 18.68% (FCF TTM 83.1m / Enterprise Value 444.8m)
FCF Margin = 79.89% (FCF TTM 83.1m / Revenue TTM 104.0m)
Net Margin = -208.5% (Net Income TTM -216.9m / Revenue TTM 104.0m)
Gross Margin = 96.50% ((Revenue TTM 104.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.64m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 84.52% (prev 98.53%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.69 (Enterprise Value 444.8m / Total Assets 649.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.02% (Interest Expense 393.0k / Debt 19.5m)
Taxrate = -0.0% (0.0 / -74.1m)
NOPAT = -214.2m (EBIT -214.2m * (1 - -0.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 5.12 (Total Current Assets 620.7m / Total Current Liabilities 121.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 19.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 242.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.34 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -75.8m / EBITDA -220.8m)
Debt / FCF = -0.91 (Net Debt -75.8m / FCF TTM 83.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 331.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -33.40% (Net Income -216.9m / Total Assets 649.4m)
RoE = -65.42% (Net Income TTM -216.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 331.5m)
RoCE = -63.60% (EBIT -214.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 331.5m + L.T.Debt 5.34m))
RoIC = -62.80% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -214.2m / Invested Capital 341.1m)
WACC = 9.33% (E(975.0m)/V(994.5m) * Re(9.48%) + D(19.5m)/V(994.5m) * Rd(2.02%) * (1-Tc(-0.0)))
Discount Rate = 9.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.46%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.93% ; FCFE base≈83.1m ; Y1≈86.7m ; Y5≈100.2m
Fair Price DCF = 15.75 (DCF Value 1.37b / Shares Outstanding 87.0m; 5y FCF grow 4.64% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -45.16 | EPS CAGR: -51.50% | SUE: -0.48 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 78.44 | Revenue CAGR: 77.58% | SUE: -1.39 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for KURA Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle