(KURA) Kura Oncology - Ratings and Ratios
Ziftomenib, Tipifarnib, KO-2806
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 57.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 84.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.97% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.51 |
| Alpha | -0.68 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.20 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.404 |
| Beta | 0.963 |
| Beta Downside | 0.743 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 76.46% |
| Mean DD | 36.82% |
| Median DD | 30.07% |
Description: KURA Kura Oncology December 26, 2025
Kura Oncology Inc. (NASDAQ:KURA) is a clinical-stage biopharma focused on targeted cancer therapies. Its pipeline centers on three investigational agents: ziftomenib, a selective menin-KMT2A inhibitor aimed at genetically defined acute leukemias (AML and ALL); tipifarnib, an oral farnesyl-transferase inhibitor being tested in combination with alpelisib for PIK3CA-driven head-and-neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC); and KO-2806, another farnesyl-transferase inhibitor paired with Mirati’s KRAS G12C blocker adagrasib in non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The company leverages collaborations with Novartis (tipifarnib + alpelisib), Kyowa Kirin (menin inhibitor development and commercialization) and Mirati (KO-2806 + adagrasib). Headquarters are in San Diego, California.
As of the most recent 10-Q (Q2 2025), Kura reported cash and cash equivalents of roughly $150 million, giving it an estimated 12-month runway at current burn (~$12 million per month). R&D expense accelerated to $38 million year-to-date, reflecting the initiation of Phase 2 trials for ziftomenib and the tipifarnib-alpelisib combination. The biotech sector’s funding environment remains supportive, with venture capital raising up ≈ 15 % YoY in 2024, while FDA’s “oncology priority review” pathway has shortened approval timelines for novel mechanisms of action, a macro-driver that could benefit Kura’s menin-targeted approach.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, see the ValueRay page on KURA.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (-216.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 6.24m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 48.14pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 480.0% (prev 33.3k%; Δ -32.8kpp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 87.8m > Net Income -216.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 5.12 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (87.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.80% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 96.50% (prev 32.44%; Δ 64.06pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 18.44% (prev 0.27%; Δ 18.18pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -136.5 (EBITDA TTM -220.8m / Interest Expense TTM 1.57m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -5.81
| (A) 0.77 = (Total Current Assets 620.7m - Total Current Liabilities 121.3m) / Total Assets 649.4m |
| (B) -1.68 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.09b / Total Assets 649.4m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.68 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.38 = EBIT TTM -214.2m / Avg Total Assets 564.1m |
| (D) -2.68 = Book Value of Equity -1.09b / Total Liabilities 406.8m |
| Total Rating: -5.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 56.24
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 33.91% |
| 3. FCF Margin 79.89% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.08 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.34 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -58.88)% |
| 7. RoE -65.42% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 74.28% |
| 9. EPS Trend 5.19% |
What is the price of KURA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.74%, over one month by -14.11%, over three months by -15.32% and over the past year by +14.48%.
Is KURA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the KURA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 32.6 | 284.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 32.6 | 284.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 8 | -5.6% |
KURA Fundamental Data Overview January 17, 2026
P/B = 3.1967
Revenue TTM = 104.0m USD
EBIT TTM = -214.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = -220.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.34m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.77m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -75.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 245.1m USD (775.3m + Debt 19.5m - CCE 549.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -136.5 (Ebit TTM -214.2m / Interest Expense TTM 1.57m)
EV/FCF = 2.95x (Enterprise Value 245.1m / FCF TTM 83.1m)
FCF Yield = 33.91% (FCF TTM 83.1m / Enterprise Value 245.1m)
FCF Margin = 79.89% (FCF TTM 83.1m / Revenue TTM 104.0m)
Net Margin = -208.5% (Net Income TTM -216.9m / Revenue TTM 104.0m)
Gross Margin = 96.50% ((Revenue TTM 104.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.64m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 84.52% (prev 98.53%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.38 (Enterprise Value 245.1m / Total Assets 649.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.02% (Interest Expense 393.0k / Debt 19.5m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -169.2m (EBIT -214.2m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 5.12 (Total Current Assets 620.7m / Total Current Liabilities 121.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 19.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 242.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.34 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -75.8m / EBITDA -220.8m)
Debt / FCF = -0.91 (Net Debt -75.8m / FCF TTM 83.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 331.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -38.45% (Net Income -216.9m / Total Assets 649.4m)
RoE = -65.42% (Net Income TTM -216.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 331.5m)
RoCE = -63.60% (EBIT -214.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 331.5m + L.T.Debt 5.34m))
RoIC = -49.61% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -169.2m / Invested Capital 341.1m)
WACC = 9.27% (E(775.3m)/V(794.8m) * Re(9.46%) + D(19.5m)/V(794.8m) * Rd(2.02%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.46%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.30% ; FCFF base≈83.1m ; Y1≈86.7m ; Y5≈100.0m
Fair Price DCF = 16.92 (EV 1.40b - Net Debt -75.8m = Equity 1.47b / Shares 87.0m; r=9.27% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 4.64% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 5.19 | EPS CAGR: 23.20% | SUE: 1.21 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 74.28 | Revenue CAGR: 52.37% | SUE: -1.39 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.89 | Chg30d=-0.098 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-2.60 | Chg30d=-0.331 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=-4.7% | Growth Revenue=+54.8%
Additional Sources for KURA Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle