KYIV Stock Analysis: Kyivstar Common Shares | NASDAQ

Telecom Services | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 3.620m USD | 12M Return: 42% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Wireless, Broadband, Digital TV, Cybersecurity
Total Rating 66
Safety 88
Buy Signal 0.89
Telecom Services
Industry Rotation: -2.6
Market Cap: 3.62B
Avg Turnover: 9.98M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility40.4%
VaR 5th Pctl6.18%
VaR vs Median-6.78%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.81
Rel. Str. IBD83.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group85.3
Character TTM
Beta0.690
Beta Downside0.033
Hurst Exponent0.500
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD38.50%
CAGR/Max DD0.82
CAGR/Mean DD2.57

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 1.6 years of data

Jan -13.1% -
Feb +3.5% -
Mar -14.4% -
Apr +17.4% -
May +18.5% -
Jun +1.5% -
Jul - -
Aug - -
Sep - -
Oct - -
Nov - -
Dec -10.0% -

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: KYIV Kyivstar Common Shares

Kyivstar Group Ltd. is a Ukrainian telecommunications operator offering mobile and fixed-line voice, data, messaging, broadband, and digital TV services to both consumer and enterprise customers. Its service portfolio extends beyond traditional connectivity to include ride-hailing, e-health, cloud, Big Data, and cybersecurity solutions, delivered in part through FTTB infrastructure. Founded in 1994, the company is headquartered in Dubai, UAE, and operates as a subsidiary of Vimpelcom Amsterdam B.V. (part of the VEON group).

Listed on NASDAQ under the ticker KYIV, the company is classified within the Communication Services sector and the Wireless Telecommunication Services sub-industry. Its business model reflects the digital operator trend common in emerging-market telecoms, bundling core connectivity with adjacent digital and enterprise services to diversify revenue beyond traditional mobile subscriptions. Kyivstar holds a leading position in the Ukrainian market, a sector that has continued to demonstrate operational resilience amid ongoing regional conflict.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Ukraine war disrupts network infrastructure and pressures mobile subscriber base
  • Hryvnia devaluation pressures USD-reported revenue and operating margins
  • Competition from Vodafone Ukraine and lifecell caps pricing power
  • Mobile data ARPU growth driven by 4G and digital services expansion
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 168.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.34 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 6.61% < 20% (prev 35.53%; Δ -28.91% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.21 > 3% & CFO 453.4m > Net Income 168.0m
Net Debt (173.0m) to EBITDA (551.0m): 0.31 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.16 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (230.9m) vs 12m ago 0.00% < -2%
Gross Margin: 60.90% > 18% (prev 66.70%; Δ -5.80% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 54.06% > 50% (prev 42.01%; Δ 12.05% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.43 > 6 (EBIT TTM 319.0m / Interest Expense TTM 72.0m)
Altman Z'' 4.44
A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 582.0m - Total Current Liabilities 501.0m) / Total Assets 2.18b
B: 0.48 (Retained Earnings 1.05b / Total Assets 2.18b)
C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 319.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.27b)
D: 1.60 (Book Value of Equity 1.34b / Total Liabilities 839.0m)
Altman-Z'' = 4.44 = AA
Beneish M -2.81
DSRI: 0.13 (Receivables 73.0m/439.0m, Revenue 1.23b/988.0m)
GMI: 1.10 (GM 66.70% / 60.90%)
AQI: 2.15 (AQ_t 0.33 / AQ_t-1 0.15)
SGI: 1.24 (Revenue 1.23b / 988.0m)
TATA: -0.13 (NI 168.0m - CFO 453.4m) / TA 2.18b)
Beneish M = -2.81 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of KYIV shares?

As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 15.36 with a total of 301,757 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.46%, over one month by +12.86%, over three months by +40.92% and over the past year by +41.96%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 14.30 (which is 6.9% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).

Is KYIV a buy, sell or hold?

Kyivstar Common Shares has no consensus analysts rating.

Kyivstar Common Shares (KYIV) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.62b (3.62b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 21.7778
P/E Forward = 11.1359
P/S = 2.9551
P/B = 2.7408
P/EG = 1.5904
Revenue TTM = 1.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 319.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 551.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 298.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 228.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 526.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 173.0m USD (calculated: Debt 526.0m - CCE 353.0m)
Enterprise Value = 3.79b USD (3.62b + Debt 526.0m - CCE 353.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.43 (Ebit TTM 319.0m / Interest Expense TTM 72.0m)
EV/FCF = 22.00x (Enterprise Value 3.79b / FCF TTM 172.4m)
FCF Yield = 4.55% (FCF TTM 172.4m / Enterprise Value 3.79b)
FCF Margin = 14.08% (FCF TTM 172.4m / Revenue TTM 1.23b)
Net Margin = 13.71% (Net Income TTM 168.0m / Revenue TTM 1.23b)
Gross Margin = 60.90% ((Revenue TTM 1.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 479.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 71.83% (prev -3.12%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.74 (Enterprise Value 3.79b / Total Assets 2.18b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 13.69% (Interest Expense 72.0m / Debt 526.0m)
Taxrate = 31.98% (79.0m / 247.0m)
NOPAT = 217.0m (EBIT 319.0m * (1 - 31.98%))
Current Ratio = 1.16 (Total Current Assets 582.0m / Total Current Liabilities 501.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.39 (Debt 526.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.34b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.31 (Net Debt 173.0m / EBITDA 551.0m)
Debt / FCF = 1.00 (Net Debt 173.0m / FCF TTM 172.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.05b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.41% (Net Income 168.0m / Total Assets 2.18b)
RoE = 15.95% (Net Income TTM 168.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.05b)
RoCE = 23.60% (EBIT 319.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.05b + L.T.Debt 298.0m))
RoIC = 11.76% (NOPAT 217.0m / Invested Capital 1.85b)
WACC = 8.52% (E(3.62b)/V(4.15b) * Re(8.41%) + D(526.0m)/V(4.15b) * Rd(13.69%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 8.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 25.46 | Cagr: 0.00%
[DCF] Terminal Value 72.45% ; FCFF base≈209.3m ; Y1≈183.6m ; Y5≈148.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 9.27 (EV 2.31b - Net Debt 173.0m = Equity 2.14b / Shares 230.9m; r=8.52% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 87.40 | Revenue CAGR: 12.45% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=15.46 | Chg30d=+1.95% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=15.61 | Chg30d=+1.45% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=63.50 | Chg30d=+0.31% | Revisions=+12% | GrowthEPS=+8.9% | GrowthRev=+13.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=76.34 | Chg30d=+0.61% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+20.2% | GrowthRev=+7.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +40% (up=9, down=3)