(LBTYA) Liberty Global - Ratings and Ratios
Broadband, Video, Telephony, Mobile, Business
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 29.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 46.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.89% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.72 |
| Alpha | -28.81 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.15 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.366 |
| Beta | 0.574 |
| Beta Downside | 0.728 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 35.74% |
| Mean DD | 17.55% |
| Median DD | 18.54% |
Description: LBTYA Liberty Global November 08, 2025
Liberty Global (NASDAQ:LBTYA) is a Bermuda-incorporated telecom operator that delivers broadband internet, video, fixed-line, and mobile services to both residential and business customers across Belgium, Ireland, Slovakia and other European markets.
Beyond core connectivity, the firm monetizes a suite of value-added services-including Wi-Fi management, cybersecurity tools, smart-home integrations, cloud storage, and its Connect Box gateway-while its Horizon platform aggregates linear TV, video-on-demand and multi-screen entertainment under a single cloud-based service.
On the mobile side, Liberty Global offers post-paid and prepaid plans, circuit-switched voice, and ancillary features such as personal call managers and incremental line add-ons; its business portfolio spans voice, data, video, wireless, and cloud solutions for SMEs to large enterprises, plus wholesale capacity for other operators.
Key operational metrics (FY 2023) show ~30 million broadband subscriptions, an EBITDA margin of roughly 38 % and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 3.2×, reflecting the capital-intensive nature of fiber rollouts. The company’s growth is driven by continued European fiber expansion, rising demand for bundled “triple-play” services, and regulatory incentives that favor infrastructure investment.
Macro-level drivers include euro-zone inflation pressures that squeeze consumer discretionary spend, while low-interest-rate environments (where still available) ease financing of its high-capex projects; conversely, rising rates could increase debt servicing costs and pressure margins.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, the ValueRay platform provides a granular breakdown of Liberty Global’s cash-flow sensitivity to fiber rollout pace and euro-dollar exchange risk.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (-1.98b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 234.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.29pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -3.30% (prev 14.09%; Δ -17.38pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.37b > Net Income -1.98b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.96 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (363.2m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 51.80% (prev 66.18%; Δ -14.38pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 11.63% (prev 14.38%; Δ -2.75pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -7.19 (EBITDA TTM -3.28b / Interest Expense TTM 561.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.20
| (A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 2.78b - Total Current Liabilities 2.91b) / Total Assets 25.39b |
| (B) 0.32 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 8.02b / Total Assets 25.39b |
| (C) -0.12 = EBIT TTM -4.04b / Avg Total Assets 33.58b |
| (D) 0.97 = Book Value of Equity 12.02b / Total Liabilities 12.43b |
| Total Rating: 1.20 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 40.56
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 10.61% |
| 3. FCF Margin 30.77% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.72 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -2.30 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -14.77)% |
| 7. RoE -15.58% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -51.85% |
| 9. EPS Trend -25.98% |
What is the price of LBTYA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.69%, over one month by +4.96%, over three months by -1.64% and over the past year by -18.94%.
Is LBTYA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the LBTYA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 15.5 | 35.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 15.5 | 35.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 11.1 | -3.3% |
LBTYA Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Forward = 57.4713
P/S = 0.7897
P/B = 0.2916
P/EG = 1.61
Beta = 0.855
Revenue TTM = 3.90b USD
EBIT TTM = -4.04b USD
EBITDA TTM = -3.28b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.82b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 678.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.23b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.55b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.32b USD (3.77b + Debt 9.23b - CCE 1.67b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -7.19 (Ebit TTM -4.04b / Interest Expense TTM 561.8m)
FCF Yield = 10.61% (FCF TTM 1.20b / Enterprise Value 11.32b)
FCF Margin = 30.77% (FCF TTM 1.20b / Revenue TTM 3.90b)
Net Margin = -50.63% (Net Income TTM -1.98b / Revenue TTM 3.90b)
Gross Margin = 51.80% ((Revenue TTM 3.90b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.88b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.68% (prev 63.34%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.45 (Enterprise Value 11.32b / Total Assets 25.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.34% (Interest Expense 123.3m / Debt 9.23b)
Taxrate = 35.99% (-46.9m / -130.3m)
NOPAT = -2.58b (EBIT -4.04b * (1 - 35.99%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.96 (Total Current Assets 2.78b / Total Current Liabilities 2.91b)
Debt / Equity = 0.72 (Debt 9.23b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.74b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.30 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 7.55b / EBITDA -3.28b)
Debt / FCF = 6.29 (Net Debt 7.55b / FCF TTM 1.20b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.69b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -7.78% (Net Income -1.98b / Total Assets 25.39b)
RoE = -15.58% (Net Income TTM -1.98b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.69b)
RoCE = -19.69% (EBIT -4.04b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.69b + L.T.Debt 7.82b))
RoIC = -11.81% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -2.58b / Invested Capital 21.88b)
WACC = 2.96% (E(3.77b)/V(13.00b) * Re(8.13%) + D(9.23b)/V(13.00b) * Rd(1.34%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 8.13% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -2.57%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.31% ; FCFE base≈1.30b ; Y1≈1.04b ; Y5≈711.8m
Fair Price DCF = 74.58 (DCF Value 13.01b / Shares Outstanding 174.4m; 5y FCF grow -23.60% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -25.98 | EPS CAGR: -4.31% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -51.85 | Revenue CAGR: -11.65% | SUE: -0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-2.22 | Chg30d=-0.235 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+61.2% | Growth Revenue=+1.5%
Additional Sources for LBTYA Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle