LBTYA Stock Analysis: Liberty Global | NASDAQ

Telecom Services | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 2.742m USD | 12M Return: -27.8% | BMG611881019 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Broadband Internet, Digital Video, Mobile Communications, Fixed-Line Telephony
Total Rating 21
Safety 60
Buy Signal -0.37
Telecom Services
Industry Rotation: -11.5
Market Cap: 2.74B
Avg Turnover: 35.5M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility32.3%
VaR 5th Pctl5.56%
VaR vs Median4.28%
Choppyness52.6%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.93
Rel. Str. IBD6.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group38.9
Character TTM
Beta0.336
Beta Downside0.254
Hurst Exponent0.398
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD44.80%
CAGR/Max DD-0.05
CAGR/Mean DD-0.15
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of LBTYA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.49, "2021-12": 1.32, "2022-03": 1.95, "2022-06": 5.47, "2022-09": 4.87, "2022-12": -5.06, "2023-03": -1.59, "2023-06": -1.13, "2023-09": 1.57, "2023-12": -4.74, "2024-03": -0.44, "2024-06": 0.71, "2024-09": -3.95, "2024-12": 6.11, "2025-03": -0.2326, "2025-06": -8.09, "2025-09": -0.27, "2025-12": -8.6, "2026-03": 0.96, "2026-06": -1.07,
Last SUE: -0.15
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of LBTYA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 1901.4, 2021-12: 1920.8, 2022-03: 1853.3, 2022-06: 1754.2, 2022-09: 1746.3, 2022-12: 1841.9, 2023-03: 1868.4, 2023-06: 1848, 2023-09: 1854.5, 2023-12: 1920.5, 2024-03: 1091.3, 2024-06: 1057.9, 2024-09: 1069.5, 2024-12: -1412.1, 2025-03: 1171.2, 2025-06: 1269.1, 2025-09: 1207.1, 2025-12: 1274.6, 2026-03: 1274.6, 2026-06: 1172,
Rev. CAGR: -22.01%
Rev. Trend: -40.6%
Last SUE: -0.16
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage
High Debt While Negative Cash Flow
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -0.0% 7
Feb -0.6% 17
Mar -0.2% 10
Apr -0.9% 20
May -0.9% 5
Jun +3.4% 9
Jul +5.1% 45
Aug +0.4% 5
Sep -0.2% 2
Oct -6.4% 50
Nov +4.0% 27
Dec -0.3% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: LBTYA Liberty Global

Liberty Global Ltd. is a Bermuda-based telecommunications company that provides broadband internet, video, fixed-line telephony, and mobile communications services to residential and business customers across Europe, with operations in Belgium, Ireland, Slovakia, and other international markets. The company offers a bundled quad-play suite of services, including intelligent WiFi gateways, digital video programming, cloud-based entertainment platforms (such as Horizon 5), on-demand content, and postpaid/prepaid mobile plans. It also serves small businesses and large enterprises with voice, data, video, cloud, and wholesale network services.

Founded in 2004, Liberty Global operates in the GICS Communication Services sector and is classified under the Alternative Carriers sub-industry, reflecting its role as a non-incumbent cable and broadband operator competing with traditional telecom incumbents in European markets.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • UK JV Sunrise merger with Vodafone boosts fixed-mobile convergence revenue
  • European broadband subscriber growth offsets video ARPU decline
  • Sunrise–Vodafone tower and wholesale deal expands B2B margin opportunity
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: -3.03b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.80 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 15.34% < 20% (prev 4.06%; Δ 11.28% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 1.27b > Net Income -3.03b
Net Debt (7.38b) to EBITDA (1.25b): 5.90 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.28 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (333.9m) vs 12m ago -8.05% < -2%
Gross Margin: 51.93% > 18% (prev 62.51%; Δ -10.57% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 20.24% > 50% (prev 7.72%; Δ 12.52% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.39 > 6 (EBIT TTM 182.5m / Interest Expense TTM 466.6m)
Altman Z'' 1.85
A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 3.50b - Total Current Liabilities 2.74b) / Total Assets 21.5b
B: 0.24 (Retained Earnings 5.08b / Total Assets 21.5b)
C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 182.5m / Avg Total Assets 24.3b)
D: 0.76 (Book Value of Equity 9.22b / Total Liabilities 12.1b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.85 = BBB
Beneish M -2.46
DSRI: 0.39 (Receivables 521.2m/570.3m, Revenue 4.93b/2.10b)
GMI: 1.20 (GM 62.51% / 51.93%)
AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.59 / AQ_t-1 0.65)
SGI: 2.35 (Revenue 4.93b / 2.10b)
TATA: -0.20 (NI -3.03b - CFO 1.27b) / TA 21.5b)
Beneish M = -2.46 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of LBTYA shares?

As of October 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 7.80 with a total of 7,725,235 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.93%, over one month by -25.00%, over three months by -27.31% and over the past year by -27.78%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 7.30 (which is 6.4% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is LBTYA a buy, sell or hold?

Liberty Global has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.54. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LBTYA.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 8
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LBTYA price?
Analysts Target Price 14.6 86.9%
Liberty Global (LBTYA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 17 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 2.74b (2.74b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 54.9451
P/S = 0.5614
P/B = 0.3871
P/EG = 0.3438
Revenue TTM = 4.93b USD
EBIT TTM = 182.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.25b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.73b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 620.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.80b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 723.8m
Net Debt = 7.38b USD (calculated: Debt 9.80b - CCE 2.42b)
Enterprise Value = 10.1b USD (2.74b + Debt 9.80b - CCE 2.42b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.39 (Ebit TTM 182.5m / Interest Expense TTM 466.6m)
EV/FCF = -39.72x (Enterprise Value 10.1b / FCF TTM -254.8m)
FCF Yield = -2.52% (FCF TTM -254.8m / Enterprise Value 10.1b)
FCF Margin = -5.17% (FCF TTM -254.8m / Revenue TTM 4.93b)
Net Margin = -61.43% (Net Income TTM -3.03b / Revenue TTM 4.93b)
Gross Margin = 51.93% ((Revenue TTM 4.93b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.37b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.57% (prev 28.50%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.47 (Enterprise Value 10.1b / Total Assets 21.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.76% (Interest Expense 466.6m / Debt 9.80b)
Taxrate = 46.70% (281.1m / 601.9m)
NOPAT = 97.3m (EBIT 182.5m * (1 - 46.70%))
Current Ratio = 1.28 (Total Current Assets 3.50b / Total Current Liabilities 2.74b)
Debt / Equity = 1.06 (Debt 9.80b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.22b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.90 (Net Debt 7.38b / EBITDA 1.25b)
 Debt / FCF = -28.96 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 7.38b / FCF TTM -254.8m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 10.2b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -12.43% (Net Income -3.03b / Total Assets 21.5b)
RoE = -29.55% (Net Income TTM -3.03b / Total Stockholder Equity 10.2b)
RoCE = 1.02% (EBIT 182.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 10.2b + L.T.Debt 7.73b))
RoIC = 0.51% (NOPAT 97.3m / Invested Capital 19.2b)
WACC = 3.55% (E(2.74b)/V(12.5b) * Re(7.17%) + D(9.80b)/V(12.5b) * Rd(4.76%) * (1-Tc(0.47)))
Discount Rate = 7.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -91.46 | Cagr: -6.14%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -254.8m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.15 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -40.64 | Revenue CAGR: -22.01% | SUE: -0.16 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.33 | Chg30d=+30.70% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.18 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+105.7% | GrowthRev=+39.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-1.42 | Chg30d=-6.99% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=-220.4% | GrowthRev=+13.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -29% (up=1, down=3)