(LCID) Lucid - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Auto Manufacturers | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 3.264m USD | Total Return: -65.6% in 12m

Electric Vehicles, Battery Systems, Software, Financial Services
Total Rating 16
Safety 32
Buy Signal -1.32
Auto Manufacturers
Industry Rotation: +1.3
Market Cap: 3.26B
Avg Turnover: 53.6M USD
ATR: 6.96%
Peers RS (IBD): 2.3
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility73.2%
Rel. Tail Risk-8.55%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.98
Alpha-145.78
Character TTM
Beta2.409
Beta Downside2.873
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD89.37%
CAGR/Max DD-0.59
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of LCID over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": -33.3, "2021-06": -8.15, "2021-09": -2.1, "2021-12": -2.1, "2022-03": -3.7, "2022-06": -3.3, "2022-09": -2.4, "2022-12": -4.3, "2023-03": -3.9, "2023-06": -4.2, "2023-09": -3.1, "2023-12": -3, "2024-03": -3, "2024-06": -2.9, "2024-09": -2.8, "2024-12": -2.2, "2025-03": -2, "2025-06": -2.8, "2025-09": -2.65, "2025-12": -3.08,
EPS CAGR: 15.00%
EPS Trend: 55.3%
Last SUE: -0.94
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of LCID over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 0.313, 2021-06: 0.174, 2021-09: 0.232, 2021-12: 26.392, 2022-03: 57.675, 2022-06: 97.336, 2022-09: 195.457, 2022-12: 257.713, 2023-03: 149.432, 2023-06: 150.874, 2023-09: 137.814, 2023-12: 157.151, 2024-03: 172.74, 2024-06: 200.581, 2024-09: 200.038, 2024-12: 234.473, 2025-03: 235.048, 2025-06: 259.432, 2025-09: 336.58, 2025-12: 522.73,
Rev. CAGR: 80.00%
Rev. Trend: 79.3%
Last SUE: 3.37
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Share dilution 27.8% YoY - potential capital distress

Interest Coverage Ratio -38.4 is critical

Altman Z'' -9.65 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Volatile

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: LCID Lucid

Lucid Group Inc. is a technology company specializing in electric vehicles (EVs). It designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells EVs, EV powertrains, and battery systems. The company also develops proprietary software for its vehicles.

Lucid operates a direct-to-consumer sales model through its retail network and online platform, which is common in the EV sector to maintain brand control and customer experience. Additionally, it offers Lucid Financial Services to facilitate vehicle purchases.

Lucid is headquartered in Newark, California, and is a subsidiary of Ayar Third Investment Company. Further details on Lucids performance and market position are available on ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Lucid Air production volume impacts revenue growth
  • Saudi Arabias PIF investment underpins liquidity
  • EV market competition pressures pricing and margins
  • Global supply chain disruptions affect manufacturing costs
  • Luxury EV demand sensitive to economic downturns
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 0.5
Net Income: -2.70b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.46 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -15.54 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 49.01% < 20% (prev 459.1%; Δ -410.1% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.35 > 3% & CFO -2.96b > Net Income -2.70b
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.25 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (327.4m) vs 12m ago 15.24% < -2%
Gross Margin: -92.81% > 18% (prev -1.14%; Δ -9.17k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 15.01% > 50% (prev 8.37%; Δ 6.64% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -38.44 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -2.30b / Interest Expense TTM 68.5m)
Altman Z'' -9.65
A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 3.30b - Total Current Liabilities 2.64b) / Total Assets 8.39b
B: -1.86 (Retained Earnings -15.61b / Total Assets 8.39b)
C: -0.29 (EBIT TTM -2.63b / Avg Total Assets 9.02b)
D: -2.03 (Book Value of Equity -15.60b / Total Liabilities 7.67b)
Altman-Z'' Score: -9.65 = D
Beneish M -2.69
DSRI: 0.94 (Receivables 177.2m/112.0m, Revenue 1.35b/807.8m)
GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins)
AQI: 0.77 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.13)
SGI: 1.68 (Revenue 1.35b / 807.8m)
TATA: 0.03 (NI -2.70b - CFO -2.96b) / TA 8.39b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.69 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of LCID shares? As of April 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 8.77 with a total of 5,563,375 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.95%, over one month by -15.67%, over three months by -22.59% and over the past year by -65.61%.
Is LCID a buy, sell or hold? Lucid has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.87. Therefor, it is recommend to hold LCID.
  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 11
  • Sell: 2
  • StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the LCID price?
Analysts Target Price 14.2 62.3%
Lucid (LCID) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 05 April 2026
P/S = 2.4108
P/B = 4.3674
Revenue TTM = 1.35b USD
EBIT TTM = -2.63b USD
EBITDA TTM = -2.30b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.05b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 756.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.80b USD (corrected: LT Debt 2.05b + ST Debt 756.0m)
Net Debt = 1.80b USD (recalculated: Debt 2.80b - CCE 997.8m)
Enterprise Value = 5.07b USD (3.26b + Debt 2.80b - CCE 997.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -38.44 (Ebit TTM -2.63b / Interest Expense TTM 68.5m)
EV/FCF = -1.32x (Enterprise Value 5.07b / FCF TTM -3.83b)
FCF Yield = -75.51% (FCF TTM -3.83b / Enterprise Value 5.07b)
 FCF Margin = -282.7% (FCF TTM -3.83b / Revenue TTM 1.35b)
 Net Margin = -199.3% (Net Income TTM -2.70b / Revenue TTM 1.35b)
Gross Margin = -92.81% ((Revenue TTM 1.35b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.61b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -80.71% (prev -99.12%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.60 (Enterprise Value 5.07b / Total Assets 8.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.79% (Interest Expense 22.0m / Debt 2.80b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -2.08b (EBIT -2.63b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.25 (Total Current Assets 3.30b / Total Current Liabilities 2.64b)
Debt / Equity = 3.91 (Debt 2.80b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 717.3m)
 Debt / EBITDA = -0.78 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 1.80b / EBITDA -2.30b)
 Debt / FCF = -0.47 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.80b / FCF TTM -3.83b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 2.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -29.92% (Net Income -2.70b / Total Assets 8.39b)
RoE = -133.1% (Net Income TTM -2.70b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.03b)
RoCE = -64.61% (EBIT -2.63b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.03b + L.T.Debt 2.05b))
 RoIC = -47.12% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -2.08b / Invested Capital 4.41b)
 WACC = 8.07% (E(3.26b)/V(6.07b) * Re(14.46%) + D(2.80b)/V(6.07b) * Rd(0.79%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 14.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 22.67%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -3.83b)
 EPS Correlation: 55.30 | EPS CAGR: 15.00% | SUE: -0.94 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 79.29 | Revenue CAGR: 80.00% | SUE: 3.37 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-1.76 | Chg7d=+0.007 | Chg30d=+0.190 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-7.35 | Chg7d=-0.022 | Chg30d=-0.466 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+27.2% | Growth Revenue=+68.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-4.41 | Chg7d=+0.012 | Chg30d=+0.026 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+40.0% | Growth Revenue=+99.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (1 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
External Resources
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