LCID Stock Analysis: Lucid | NASDAQ
Auto Manufacturers | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 2.587m USD | 12M Return: -74.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 79.9M
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 87.8%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 5.8 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Lucid Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: LCID) is a US-based technology company that designs, develops, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles (EVs), EV powertrains, and battery systems. Its current product lineup includes the Lucid Air sedan and the Lucid Gravity SUV. The company is classified within the GICS Consumer Discretionary sector under the Automobile Manufacturers sub-industry, competing in the premium electric vehicle market against established EV makers and traditional luxury automakers expanding into electrification.
The company operates a direct-to-consumer sales model, distributing vehicles through its own retail stores, online channels, and Lucid Financial Services, rather than through independent franchised dealerships-a relatively uncommon approach in the automotive industry. It also develops its vehicle software in-house, allowing tighter integration between hardware and firmware. Lucid is headquartered in Newark, California, and is a subsidiary of Ayar Third Investment Company, an investment vehicle linked to Saudi Arabias Public Investment Fund.
- Quarterly vehicle deliveries miss amid weak EV demand
- Cash burn forces additional PIF capital injection
- Lucid Gravity SUV launch targets higher-volume segment
| Net Income: -3.36b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.62 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -32.35 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.45% < 20% (prev 355.3%; Δ -350.9% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.50 > 3% & CFO -3.72b > Net Income -3.36b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.02 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (328.3m) vs 12m ago 8.12% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: -95.60% > 18% (prev -105.7%; Δ 10.08% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 16.78% > 50% (prev 9.44%; Δ 7.34% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -26.04 > 6 (EBIT TTM -3.24b / Interest Expense TTM 124.3m) |
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 2.76b - Total Current Liabilities 2.69b) / Total Assets 7.48b |
| B: -2.22 (Retained Earnings -16.6b / Total Assets 7.48b) |
| C: -0.39 (EBIT TTM -3.24b / Avg Total Assets 8.35b) |
| D: 0.37 (Book Value of Equity 2.04b / Total Liabilities 5.45b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -9.41 = D |
| DSRI: 0.90 (Receivables 131.2m/90.3m, Revenue 1.40b/870.1m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 0.39 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.13) |
| SGI: 1.61 (Revenue 1.40b / 870.1m) |
| TATA: 0.05 (NI -3.36b - CFO -3.72b) / TA 7.48b) |
| Beneish M = -3.03 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 5.82 with a total of 7,997,791 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -13.00%, over one month by +14.23%, over three months by -34.01% and over the past year by -74.70%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 5.10 (which is 12.4% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Lucid has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.87. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LCID.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 8.4 | 44.3% |
P/S = 1.8466
P/B = 3.1909
Revenue TTM = 1.40b USD
EBIT TTM = -3.24b USD
EBITDA TTM = -2.77b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.05b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 782.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.58b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 412.9m
Net Debt = 2.84b USD (calculated: Debt 3.58b - CCE 738.9m)
Enterprise Value = 5.43b USD (2.59b + Debt 3.58b - CCE 738.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -26.04 (Ebit TTM -3.24b / Interest Expense TTM 124.3m)
EV/FCF = -1.16x (Enterprise Value 5.43b / FCF TTM -4.68b)
FCF Yield = -86.13% (FCF TTM -4.68b / Enterprise Value 5.43b)
FCF Margin = -333.7% (FCF TTM -4.68b / Revenue TTM 1.40b)
Net Margin = -239.8% (Net Income TTM -3.36b / Revenue TTM 1.40b)
Gross Margin = -95.60% ((Revenue TTM 1.40b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.74b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -110.4% (prev -80.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.73 (Enterprise Value 5.43b / Total Assets 7.48b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.47% (Interest Expense 124.3m / Debt 3.58b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -2.56b (EBIT -3.24b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.02 (Total Current Assets 2.76b / Total Current Liabilities 2.69b)
Debt / Equity = 1.76 (Debt 3.58b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.04b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.03 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 2.84b / EBITDA -2.77b)
Debt / FCF = -0.61 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 2.84b / FCF TTM -4.68b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.74b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -40.24% (Net Income -3.36b / Total Assets 7.48b)
RoE = -193.0% (Net Income TTM -3.36b / Total Stockholder Equity 1.74b)
RoCE = -85.43% (EBIT -3.24b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.74b + L.T.Debt 2.05b))
RoIC = -46.48% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -2.56b / Invested Capital 5.50b)
WACC = 7.80% (E(2.59b)/V(6.17b) * Re(14.79%) + D(3.58b)/V(6.17b) * Rd(3.47%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 14.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 100.00 | Cagr: 17.31%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -4.68b)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.99 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 87.81 | Revenue CAGR: 31.94% | SUE: -2.58 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-2.38 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-2.12 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-8.11 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+19.6% | GrowthRev=+46.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-4.67 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+42.4% | GrowthRev=+114.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +8% (up=5, down=4)