(LCID) Lucid - Overview
Stock: Electric Vehicles, Battery Systems, Powertrains, Software
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 94.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.3% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.91 |
| Alpha | -82.31 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.345 |
| Beta Downside | 0.882 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 91.34% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.58 |
Description: LCID Lucid January 07, 2026
Lucid Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: LCID) designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells premium electric vehicles (EVs), along with its own EV powertrains, battery systems, and in-house vehicle software. Sales are conducted directly to consumers via a physical retail network, an online platform, and Lucid Financial Services, with corporate headquarters in Newark, California. The firm operates as a subsidiary of Ayar Third Investment Company.
Key recent metrics: • Q4 2023 deliveries rose to ~4,200 units, a 28 % YoY increase, reflecting progress at the Arizona “Dream” plant, which is slated to reach a 300,000-vehicle annual capacity by 2026. • The company’s gross margin on vehicle sales improved to 13.5 % in the latest quarter, driven by higher mix of higher-priced Air models and cost-down initiatives in battery pack integration. • Sector drivers include tightening U.S. emissions standards and a projected 15 % CAGR in U.S. EV sales through 2030, which could expand the addressable market for luxury EV brands.
For a deeper, data-centric view of Lucid’s valuation dynamics, you might explore the analytics on ValueRay to see how its forward-looking metrics compare to peers.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.5
| Net Income: -2.28b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.39 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.25 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 159.1% < 20% (prev 424.5%; Δ -265.4% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.29 > 3% & CFO -2.57b > Net Income -2.28b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.81 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (312.2m) vs 12m ago 34.32% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: -97.91% > 18% (prev -1.32%; Δ -9659 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 12.31% > 50% (prev 8.61%; Δ 3.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -39.27 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -1.81b / Interest Expense TTM 56.7m) |
Altman Z'' -8.98
| A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 3.80b - Total Current Liabilities 2.10b) / Total Assets 8.82b |
| B: -1.68 (Retained Earnings -14.80b / Total Assets 8.82b) |
| C: -0.26 (EBIT TTM -2.23b / Avg Total Assets 8.66b) |
| D: -2.90 (Book Value of Equity -14.78b / Total Liabilities 5.10b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -8.98 = D |
Beneish M -2.55
| DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 137.6m/98.2m, Revenue 1.07b/730.5m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 1.26 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 1.46 (Revenue 1.07b / 730.5m) |
| TATA: 0.03 (NI -2.28b - CFO -2.57b) / TA 8.82b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.55 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of LCID shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.90%, over one month by -6.38%, over three months by -39.53% and over the past year by -62.42%.
Is LCID a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the LCID price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 17.1 | 57.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 17.1 | 57.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5.4 | -50.4% |
LCID Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/B = 1.8906
Revenue TTM = 1.07b USD
EBIT TTM = -2.23b USD
EBITDA TTM = -1.81b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.04b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 450.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.81b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.18b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.88b USD (3.40b + Debt 2.81b - CCE 2.34b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -39.27 (Ebit TTM -2.23b / Interest Expense TTM 56.7m)
EV/FCF = -1.14x (Enterprise Value 3.88b / FCF TTM -3.40b)
FCF Yield = -87.64% (FCF TTM -3.40b / Enterprise Value 3.88b)
FCF Margin = -319.1% (FCF TTM -3.40b / Revenue TTM 1.07b)
Net Margin = -214.1% (Net Income TTM -2.28b / Revenue TTM 1.07b)
Gross Margin = -97.91% ((Revenue TTM 1.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.11b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -99.12% (prev -105.0%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.44 (Enterprise Value 3.88b / Total Assets 8.82b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.38% (Interest Expense 10.8m / Debt 2.81b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -1.76b (EBIT -2.23b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.81 (Total Current Assets 3.80b / Total Current Liabilities 2.10b)
Debt / Equity = 0.76 (Debt 2.81b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.72b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.65 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 1.18b / EBITDA -1.81b)
Debt / FCF = -0.35 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.18b / FCF TTM -3.40b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.30b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -26.35% (Net Income -2.28b / Total Assets 8.82b)
RoE = -69.21% (Net Income TTM -2.28b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.30b)
RoCE = -41.75% (EBIT -2.23b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.30b + L.T.Debt 2.04b))
RoIC = -34.83% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -1.76b / Invested Capital 5.05b)
WACC = 6.09% (E(3.40b)/V(6.22b) * Re(10.87%) + D(2.81b)/V(6.22b) * Rd(0.38%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.87% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 16.70%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -3.40b)
EPS Correlation: -52.84 | EPS CAGR: -51.00% | SUE: -2.63 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 74.12 | Revenue CAGR: 97.17% | SUE: -1.36 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-2.14 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-6.79 | Chg30d=-0.330 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+29.6% | Growth Revenue=+84.9%