LCID Stock Analysis: Lucid | NASDAQ
Auto Manufacturers | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.182m USD | 12M Return: -82.7% | US5494982029 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 36.0M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 95.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Lucid Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: LCID) is a U.S.-based electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer that designs, develops, and produces luxury EVs, EV powertrains, and battery systems. Its current product lineup includes the Lucid Air sedan and the Lucid Gravity SUV, supported by proprietary in-house software development. The company sells directly to consumers through its own retail network, online channels, and Lucid Financial Services, bypassing traditional franchised dealerships-a direct-to-consumer (DTC) model that has become more common among EV-focused automakers as a way to control pricing, customer experience, and brand positioning.
Lucid has also formed a strategic partnership with Bolt to develop and deploy autonomous mobility services in Europe, reflecting the growing convergence of EV manufacturing and autonomous ride-hailing platforms within the broader mobility-as-a-service (MaaS) sector. Headquartered in Newark, California, Lucid operates as a subsidiary of Ayar Third Investment Company, its majority backer, and is classified within the Consumer Discretionary sector as a small-cap auto manufacturer.
- Lucid Gravity SUV deliveries ramp as production scales
- Cash burn accelerates, raising dilution concerns for shareholders
- Saudi PIF backing provides capital cushion amid mounting losses
| Net Income: -4.08b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.85 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -50.63 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 21.87% < 20% (prev 260.2%; Δ -238.3% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.53 > 3% & CFO -4.09b > Net Income -4.08b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.14 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (382.1m) vs 12m ago 24.96% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: -96.56% > 18% (prev -99.26%; Δ 2.70% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 18.68% > 50% (prev 10.47%; Δ 8.20% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -26.20 > 6 (EBIT TTM -3.89b / Interest Expense TTM 148.4m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 2.78b - Total Current Liabilities 2.44b) / Total Assets 7.70b |
| B: -2.30 (Retained Earnings -17.7b / Total Assets 7.70b) |
| C: -0.47 (EBIT TTM -3.89b / Avg Total Assets 8.28b) |
| D: 0.32 (Book Value of Equity 1.85b / Total Liabilities 5.85b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -10.02 = D |
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 223.1m/125.3m, Revenue 1.55b/929.0m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 0.47 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.13) |
| SGI: 1.67 (Revenue 1.55b / 929.0m) |
| TATA: 0.00 (NI -4.08b - CFO -4.09b) / TA 7.70b) |
| Beneish M = -2.81 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of November 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 2.98 with a total of 19,033,114 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.88%, over one month by -28.54%, over three months by -55.52% and over the past year by -82.71%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 2.60 (which is 12.8% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Lucid has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.82. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LCID.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 7.4 | 148% |
P/S = 0.7641
P/B = 3.1909
Revenue TTM = 1.55b USD
EBIT TTM = -3.89b USD
EBITDA TTM = -3.41b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.55b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 712.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.76b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 403.0m
Net Debt = 3.00b USD (calculated: Debt 3.76b - CCE 761.3m)
Enterprise Value = 4.19b USD (1.18b + Debt 3.76b - CCE 761.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -26.20 (Ebit TTM -3.89b / Interest Expense TTM 148.4m)
EV/FCF = -0.64x (Enterprise Value 4.19b / FCF TTM -6.56b)
FCF Yield = -156.8% (FCF TTM -6.56b / Enterprise Value 4.19b)
FCF Margin = -424.1% (FCF TTM -6.56b / Revenue TTM 1.55b)
Net Margin = -263.7% (Net Income TTM -4.08b / Revenue TTM 1.55b)
Gross Margin = -96.56% ((Revenue TTM 1.55b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -105.3% (prev -110.4%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.54 (Enterprise Value 4.19b / Total Assets 7.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.94% (Interest Expense 148.4m / Debt 3.76b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -3.07b (EBIT -3.89b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 2.78b / Total Current Liabilities 2.44b)
Debt / Equity = 2.04 (Debt 3.76b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.85b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.88 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 3.00b / EBITDA -3.41b)
Debt / FCF = -0.46 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 3.00b / FCF TTM -6.56b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.60b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -49.25% (Net Income -4.08b / Total Assets 7.70b)
RoE = -254.8% (Net Income TTM -4.08b / Total Stockholder Equity 1.60b)
RoCE = -93.73% (EBIT -3.89b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.60b + L.T.Debt 2.55b))
RoIC = -52.09% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -3.07b / Invested Capital 5.90b)
WACC = 5.26% (E(1.18b)/V(4.95b) * Re(12.10%) + D(3.76b)/V(4.95b) * Rd(3.94%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 95.67 | Cagr: 25.26%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -6.56b)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.34 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 95.53 | Revenue CAGR: 42.07% | SUE: -0.06 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-2.21 | Chg30d=+3.32% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-9.49 | Chg30d=+4.42% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+6.0% | GrowthRev=+14.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-5.02 | Chg30d=+2.81% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+47.1% | GrowthRev=+125.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=2, down=2)