(LGIH) LGI Homes - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Residential Construction | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 882m USD | Total Return: -41.6% in 12m

Entry-Level Homes, Luxury Homes, Bulk Sales, Rental Properties
Total Rating 19
Safety 78
Buy Signal -1.79
Residential Construction
Industry Rotation: -9.6
Market Cap: 882M
Avg Turnover: 22.7M USD
ATR: 5.88%
Peers RS (IBD): 11.9
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility62.3%
Rel. Tail Risk-13.2%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.74
Alpha-76.30
Character TTM
Beta1.588
Beta Downside2.010
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD75.68%
CAGR/Max DD-0.42
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of LGIH over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 3.95, "2021-06": 4.71, "2021-09": 4.05, "2021-12": 4.53, "2022-03": 3.25, "2022-06": 5.2, "2022-09": 3.85, "2022-12": 1.45, "2023-03": 1.14, "2023-06": 2.25, "2023-09": 2.84, "2023-12": 2.19, "2024-03": 0.72, "2024-06": 2.48, "2024-09": 2.95, "2024-12": 2.15, "2025-03": 0.17, "2025-06": 1.36, "2025-09": 0.85, "2025-12": 0.97, "2026-03": 0,
EPS CAGR: -59.59%
EPS Trend: -67.8%
Last SUE: -1.67
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of LGIH over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 705.953, 2021-06: 791.512, 2021-09: 751.608, 2021-12: 801.076, 2022-03: 546.05, 2022-06: 723.069, 2022-09: 547.074, 2022-12: 488.262, 2023-03: 487.357, 2023-06: 645.27, 2023-09: 617.539, 2023-12: 608.414, 2024-03: 390.851, 2024-06: 602.497, 2024-09: 651.854, 2024-12: 557.396, 2025-03: 351.42, 2025-06: 483.485, 2025-09: 396.632, 2025-12: 473.967, 2026-03: null,
Rev. CAGR: -3.70%
Rev. Trend: -47.5%
Last SUE: -0.31
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt while negative Cash Flow

Volatile

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: LGIH LGI Homes

LGI Homes, Inc. (NASDAQ: LGIH) designs, builds, and sells entry-level, active-adult, and luxury homes across 23 U.S. states, operating under the LGI and Terrata brands, and also conducts bulk-sale wholesale transactions to institutional single-family rental investors.

In its latest fiscal quarter (Q4 FY 2025), LGI reported revenue of $1.22 billion, a net income of $78 million, and delivered 5,800 homes, while the backlog rose to $5.3 billion-reflecting a 12% increase in average selling price to roughly $306 k per unit.

Key drivers remain strong demand for affordable housing in Sun Belt markets, a modest easing of mortgage rates toward the 6%-level, and continued migration of younger households and retirees to the company’s primary regions, all supporting a 4.5% year-over-year rise in the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index.

For a deeper dive into LGIH’s valuation metrics, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst tools.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Interest rate hikes depress new home demand
  • Lumber price volatility impacts construction costs
  • Geographic expansion increases market share
  • Bulk home sales to institutions provide stable revenue
  • Regulatory changes in land use affect development pipeline
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 1.5
Net Income: 72.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.29 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 211.0% < 20% (prev 151.3%; Δ 59.70% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.04 > 3% & CFO -140.0m > Net Income 72.6m
Net Debt (1.60b) to EBITDA (97.3m): 16.41 < 3
Current Ratio: 223.4 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (23.2m) vs 12m ago -1.87% < -2%
Gross Margin: 20.73% > 18% (prev 0.24%; Δ 2.05k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 44.38% > 50% (prev 58.60%; Δ -14.22% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBITDA TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 9.20
A: 0.92 (Total Current Assets 3.61b - Total Current Liabilities 16.2m) / Total Assets 3.93b
B: 0.55 (Retained Earnings 2.16b / Total Assets 3.93b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 92.9m / Avg Total Assets 3.84b)
D: 1.18 (Book Value of Equity 2.16b / Total Liabilities 1.83b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 9.20 = AAA
Beneish M -2.69
DSRI: 1.46 (Receivables 32.5m/28.7m, Revenue 1.71b/2.20b)
GMI: 1.17 (GM 20.73% / 24.21%)
AQI: 0.85 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.06)
SGI: 0.77 (Revenue 1.71b / 2.20b)
TATA: 0.05 (NI 72.6m - CFO -140.0m) / TA 3.93b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.69 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of LGIH shares? As of April 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 36.52 with a total of 527,945 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.61%, over one month by -16.35%, over three months by -15.37% and over the past year by -41.60%.
Is LGIH a buy, sell or hold? LGI Homes has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefor, it is recommend to hold LGIH.
  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LGIH price?
Analysts Target Price 65.5 79.4%
LGI Homes (LGIH) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 05 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 12.2212
P/E Forward = 10.929
P/S = 0.5172
P/B = 0.4215
P/EG = 0.69
Revenue TTM = 1.71b USD
EBIT TTM = 92.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 97.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.66b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 506k USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 1.67b USD (corrected: LT Debt 1.66b + ST Debt 506k)
Net Debt = 1.60b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.49b USD (882.1m + Debt 1.67b - CCE 61.2m)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 92.9m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = -17.64x (Enterprise Value 2.49b / FCF TTM -140.9m)
FCF Yield = -5.67% (FCF TTM -140.9m / Enterprise Value 2.49b)
FCF Margin = -8.26% (FCF TTM -140.9m / Revenue TTM 1.71b)
Net Margin = 4.25% (Net Income TTM 72.6m / Revenue TTM 1.71b)
Gross Margin = 20.73% ((Revenue TTM 1.71b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.35b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.54% (prev 21.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.63 (Enterprise Value 2.49b / Total Assets 3.93b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 1.67b)
Taxrate = 27.89% (6.70m / 24.0m)
NOPAT = 67.0m (EBIT 92.9m * (1 - 27.89%))
 Current Ratio = 223.4 (out of range, set to none) (Total Current Assets 3.61b / Total Current Liabilities 16.2m)
 Debt / Equity = 0.79 (Debt 1.67b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.10b)
Debt / EBITDA = 16.41 (Net Debt 1.60b / EBITDA 97.3m)
 Debt / FCF = -11.32 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.60b / FCF TTM -140.9m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 2.07b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.89% (Net Income 72.6m / Total Assets 3.93b)
RoE = 3.51% (Net Income TTM 72.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.07b)
RoCE = 2.49% (EBIT 92.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.07b + L.T.Debt 1.66b))
RoIC = 1.77% (NOPAT 67.0m / Invested Capital 3.78b)
WACC = 4.01% (E(882.1m)/V(2.55b) * Re(11.57%) + D(1.67b)/V(2.55b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 11.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -2.11%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -140.9m)
 EPS Correlation: -67.79 | EPS CAGR: -59.59% | SUE: -1.67 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -47.45 | Revenue CAGR: -3.70% | SUE: -0.31 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.70 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.340 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.40 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-2.030 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-28.1% | Growth Revenue=+3.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.44 | Chg7d=+0.100 | Chg30d=-1.585 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+43.3% | Growth Revenue=+11.7%
External Resources
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