(LGIH) LGI Homes - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Residential Construction | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 1.151m USD | Total Return: 1.3% in 12m

Single-family Homes, Residential Construction, Real Estate Development
Total Rating 13
Safety 30
Buy Signal 0.06
Residential Construction
Industry Rotation: +16.5
Market Cap: 1.15B
Avg Turnover: 19.6M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility58.6%
VaR 5th Pctl9.37%
VaR vs Median-3.05%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.25
Rel. Str. IBD24.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group62.5
Character TTM
Beta1.380
Beta Downside1.885
Hurst Exponent0.521
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD75.68%
CAGR/Max DD-0.36
CAGR/Mean DD-0.68
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of LGIH over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 4.71, "2021-09": 4.05, "2021-12": 4.53, "2022-03": 3.25, "2022-06": 5.2, "2022-09": 3.85, "2022-12": 1.45, "2023-03": 1.14, "2023-06": 2.25, "2023-09": 2.84, "2023-12": 2.19, "2024-03": 0.72, "2024-06": 2.48, "2024-09": 2.95, "2024-12": 2.15, "2025-03": 0.17, "2025-06": 1.36, "2025-09": 0.85, "2025-12": 0.97, "2026-03": 0.24,
EPS CAGR: -27.70%
EPS Trend: -81.6%
Last SUE: -0.89
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of LGIH over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 791.512, 2021-09: 751.608, 2021-12: 801.076, 2022-03: 546.05, 2022-06: 723.069, 2022-09: 547.074, 2022-12: 488.262, 2023-03: 487.357, 2023-06: 645.27, 2023-09: 617.539, 2023-12: 608.414, 2024-03: 390.851, 2024-06: 602.497, 2024-09: 651.854, 2024-12: 557.396, 2025-03: 351.42, 2025-06: 483.485, 2025-09: 396.632, 2025-12: 473.967, 2026-03: 319.736,
Rev. CAGR: -10.38%
Rev. Trend: -83.2%
Last SUE: -0.23
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt while negative Cash Flow

Choppy

Tailwinds

Idiosyncratic Leader

Description: LGIH LGI Homes

LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) is a residential construction company specializing in the design, marketing, and sale of new homes across 21 states. Its portfolio includes the entry-level LGI Homes brand, the active adult segment, and the luxury-focused Terrata Homes brand. The company utilizes a direct-marketing approach to convert renters into first-time homeowners, a strategy that targets a demographic often underserved by traditional homebuilders.

The business model incorporates a wholesale division that executes bulk sales of single-family homes to institutional investors for rental purposes. This diversification allows the company to maintain inventory turnover during various interest rate cycles. In the homebuilding sector, land acquisition and development are capital-intensive processes that require significant lead times before revenue is recognized from closed sales. For deeper insights into these operational trends, consider reviewing the detailed metrics on ValueRay.

Headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, LGIH maintains a broad geographic footprint spanning from the Sun Belt to the Pacific Northwest and the Mid-Atlantic. The company manages the entire lifecycle of its projects, from land procurement and development to construction and final sale. This vertical integration is designed to control costs and maintain construction schedules in a competitive housing market.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Entry-level home demand remains sensitive to elevated mortgage interest rates
  • Wholesale bulk sales to institutional rental investors diversify revenue streams
  • Inventory turnover speed depends on land acquisition and development cycle efficiency
  • Geographic concentration in Texas and Florida exposes earnings to regional economic shifts
  • Rising construction material and labor costs impact gross profit margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.5
Net Income: 70.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.73 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 215.6% < 20% (prev 161.5%; Δ 54.05% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.02 > 3% & CFO -68.4m > Net Income 70.7m
Net Debt (1.66b) to EBITDA (83.7m): 19.81 < 3
Current Ratio: 94.55 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (23.2m) vs 12m ago -1.05% < -2%
Gross Margin: 20.30% > 18% (prev 23.84%; Δ -3.54% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 42.38% > 50% (prev 55.63%; Δ -13.25% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 8.95
A: 0.90 (Total Current Assets 3.65b - Total Current Liabilities 38.6m) / Total Assets 4.01b
B: 0.54 (Retained Earnings 2.16b / Total Assets 4.01b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 79.0m / Avg Total Assets 3.95b)
D: 1.10 (Book Value of Equity 2.10b / Total Liabilities 1.91b)
Altman-Z'' = 8.95 = AAA
Beneish M -1.51
DSRI: 2.68 (Receivables 45.0m/21.7m, Revenue 1.67b/2.16b)
GMI: 1.17 (GM 23.84% / 20.30%)
AQI: 1.23 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.05)
SGI: 0.77 (Revenue 1.67b / 2.16b)
TATA: 0.03 (NI 70.7m - CFO -68.4m) / TA 4.01b)
Beneish M = -1.51 (Cap -4..+1) = CCC
What is the price of LGIH shares?

As of June 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 50.35 with a total of 339,231 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.31%, over one month by +10.05%, over three months by +7.52% and over the past year by +1.33%.

Is LGIH a buy, sell or hold?

LGI Homes has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LGIH.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LGIH price?
Analysts Target Price 67 33.1%
LGI Homes (LGIH) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 30 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.15b (1.15b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 16.3026
P/E Forward = 17.8253
P/S = 0.6879
P/B = 0.5477
P/EG = 0.69
Revenue TTM = 1.67b USD
EBIT TTM = 79.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 83.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.71b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
 Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Debt = 1.72b USD (corrected: LT Debt 1.71b + ST Debt none) + Leases 5.05m
Net Debt = 1.66b USD (calculated: Debt 1.72b - CCE 60.9m)
Enterprise Value = 2.81b USD (1.15b + Debt 1.72b - CCE 60.9m)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 79.0m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = -40.62x (Enterprise Value 2.81b / FCF TTM -69.2m)
FCF Yield = -2.46% (FCF TTM -69.2m / Enterprise Value 2.81b)
FCF Margin = -4.13% (FCF TTM -69.2m / Revenue TTM 1.67b)
Net Margin = 4.22% (Net Income TTM 70.7m / Revenue TTM 1.67b)
Gross Margin = 20.30% ((Revenue TTM 1.67b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.33b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.74% (prev 17.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.70 (Enterprise Value 2.81b / Total Assets 4.01b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 1.72b)
Taxrate = 27.16% (26.4m / 97.1m)
NOPAT = 57.6m (EBIT 79.0m * (1 - 27.16%))
Current Ratio = 94.55 (Total Current Assets 3.65b / Total Current Liabilities 38.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.82 (Debt 1.72b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.10b)
Debt / EBITDA = 19.81 (Net Debt 1.66b / EBITDA 83.7m)
 Debt / FCF = -23.97 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.66b / FCF TTM -69.2m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 2.08b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.79% (Net Income 70.7m / Total Assets 4.01b)
RoE = 3.39% (Net Income TTM 70.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.08b)
RoCE = 2.08% (EBIT 79.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.08b + L.T.Debt 1.71b))
RoIC = 1.47% (NOPAT 57.6m / Invested Capital 3.91b)
WACC = 4.35% (E(1.15b)/V(2.87b) * Re(10.84%) + D(1.72b)/V(2.87b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 10.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -73.33 | Cagr: -0.81%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -69.2m)
 EPS Correlation: -81.64 | EPS CAGR: -27.70% | SUE: -0.89 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -83.20 | Revenue CAGR: -10.38% | SUE: -0.23 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.01 | Chg30d=+44.29% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.87 | Chg30d=+26.09% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.04 | Chg30d=+26.67% | Revisions=-20% | GrowthEPS=-9.0% | GrowthRev=+3.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.04 | Chg30d=+17.44% | Revisions=-20% | GrowthEPS=+32.9% | GrowthRev=+13.1%