(LGIH) LGI Homes - Overview
Stock: Entry-Level, Active-Adult, Luxury, Wholesale, Rental
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 51.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.6% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.52 |
| Alpha | -46.39 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.935 |
| Beta Downside | 0.614 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 71.07% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.29 |
Description: LGIH LGI Homes January 17, 2026
LGI Homes, Inc. (NASDAQ:LGIH) designs, builds, and sells entry-level and active-adult single-family homes under the LGI brand and luxury homes under the Terrata brand, while also wholesaling new homes to institutional investors for single-family rental portfolios. The company operates across 20 U.S. states, primarily in high-growth Sun Belt markets, and has been expanding its footprint since its 2003 founding in The Woodlands, Texas.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached roughly $2.5 billion with an average selling price of about $300 k per home, and the firm reported a backlog of $3.2 billion, indicating strong forward order flow. In Q1 2024, net income rose to $45 million, and inventory turnover accelerated to 1.8×, reflecting improved pricing power amid a tightening housing supply. The homebuilding sector remains highly sensitive to Fed policy-higher mortgage rates compress affordability, while persistent labor shortages constrain construction capacity, both of which directly affect LGI’s margins and growth outlook.
For a deeper, data-driven look at how these dynamics translate into valuation, you might find ValueRay’s analytical tools useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5
| Net Income: 106.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.95 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 203.1% < 20% (prev 150.1%; Δ 53.02% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.04 > 3% & CFO -169.7m > Net Income 106.1m |
| Net Debt (1.70b) to EBITDA (118.4m): 14.32 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 38.79 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (23.1m) vs 12m ago -1.83% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.24% > 18% (prev 0.24%; Δ 2200 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 45.49% > 50% (prev 58.91%; Δ -13.42% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -4.23 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 118.4m / Interest Expense TTM -27.1m) |
Altman Z'' 8.97
| A: 0.90 (Total Current Assets 3.73b - Total Current Liabilities 96.2m) / Total Assets 4.04b |
| B: 0.53 (Retained Earnings 2.14b / Total Assets 4.04b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 114.5m / Avg Total Assets 3.93b) |
| D: 1.09 (Book Value of Equity 2.14b / Total Liabilities 1.96b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 8.97 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.45
| DSRI: 0.55 (Receivables 21.2m/49.0m, Revenue 1.79b/2.25b) |
| GMI: 1.09 (GM 22.24% / 24.33%) |
| AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 0.79 (Revenue 1.79b / 2.25b) |
| TATA: 0.07 (NI 106.1m - CFO -169.7m) / TA 4.04b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.45 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of LGIH shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +15.01%, over one month by +34.77%, over three months by +18.59% and over the past year by -34.57%.
Is LGIH a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LGIH price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 67.5 | 17% |
| Analysts Target Price | 67.5 | 17% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 47.7 | -17.2% |
LGIH Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/E Forward = 11.9332
P/S = 0.6949
P/B = 0.5981
P/EG = 0.69
Revenue TTM = 1.79b USD
EBIT TTM = 114.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 118.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.76b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 506.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.76b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.70b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.94b USD (1.24b + Debt 1.76b - CCE 62.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.23 (Ebit TTM 114.5m / Interest Expense TTM -27.1m)
EV/FCF = -17.15x (Enterprise Value 2.94b / FCF TTM -171.3m)
FCF Yield = -5.83% (FCF TTM -171.3m / Enterprise Value 2.94b)
FCF Margin = -9.57% (FCF TTM -171.3m / Revenue TTM 1.79b)
Net Margin = 5.93% (Net Income TTM 106.1m / Revenue TTM 1.79b)
Gross Margin = 22.24% ((Revenue TTM 1.79b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.39b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.71% (prev 22.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.73 (Enterprise Value 2.94b / Total Assets 4.04b)
Interest Expense / Debt = -1.54% (Interest Expense -27.1m / Debt 1.76b)
Taxrate = 26.21% (7.00m / 26.7m)
NOPAT = 84.5m (EBIT 114.5m * (1 - 26.21%))
Current Ratio = 38.79 (Total Current Assets 3.73b / Total Current Liabilities 96.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.84 (Debt 1.76b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.08b)
Debt / EBITDA = 14.32 (Net Debt 1.70b / EBITDA 118.4m)
Debt / FCF = -9.90 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.70b / FCF TTM -171.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.05b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.70% (Net Income 106.1m / Total Assets 4.04b)
RoE = 5.17% (Net Income TTM 106.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.05b)
RoCE = 3.00% (EBIT 114.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.05b + L.T.Debt 1.76b))
RoIC = 2.27% (NOPAT 84.5m / Invested Capital 3.73b)
WACC = 3.21% (E(1.24b)/V(3.00b) * Re(9.36%) + D(1.76b)/V(3.00b) * Rd(-1.54%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.06%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -171.3m)
EPS Correlation: -68.27 | EPS CAGR: -52.24% | SUE: -3.40 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -56.56 | Revenue CAGR: -17.09% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.77 | Chg30d=+0.400 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.43 | Chg30d=+0.068 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+34.8% | Growth Revenue=+11.2%