(LI) Li Auto - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Auto Manufacturers | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 19.161m USD | Total Return: -18.5% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +3.7
Avg Turnover: 46.3M USD
Peers RS (IBD): 29.5
EPS Trend: 27.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 61.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
P/E ratio 117.1
High Debt while negative Cash Flow
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Li Auto Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium smart electric vehicles in China. The companys product line includes multi-purpose vehicles and sport utility vehicles. The electric vehicle market in China is the largest globally.
Li Auto provides sales, after-sales management, technology development, and manufacturing equipment services. The company distributes its products through both online and offline channels, a common hybrid approach in the automotive industry.
Founded in 2015, the company was formerly known as Leading Ideal Inc. and rebranded to Li Auto Inc. in July 2020. Consider further research on ValueRay for comprehensive financial insights.
- New model launches boost vehicle deliveries and revenue growth
- Battery raw material costs impact production expenses and profitability
- Chinese government subsidies influence EV sales and market share
- Intensifying domestic EV competition pressures pricing and margins
- Global supply chain disruptions affect vehicle production and delivery timelines
| Net Income: 483.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -16.52 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 45.21% < 20% (prev 40.46%; Δ 4.75% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.05 > 3% & CFO -7.70b > Net Income 483.4m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.81 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.04b) vs 12m ago -2.54% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 18.06% > 18% (prev 0.21%; Δ 1.79k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 72.42% > 50% (prev 89.64%; Δ -17.22% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.56 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -415.1m / Interest Expense TTM 156.5m) |
| A: 0.34 (Total Current Assets 115.36b - Total Current Liabilities 63.59b) / Total Assets 154.39b |
| B: 0.07 (Retained Earnings 11.18b / Total Assets 154.39b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 1.34b / Avg Total Assets 158.12b) |
| D: 0.00 (Book Value of Equity 1.46m / Total Liabilities 81.21b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.49 = A |
| DSRI: 2.22 (Receivables 119.9m/68.5m, Revenue 114.51b/145.08b) |
| GMI: 1.14 (GM 18.06% / 20.51%) |
| AQI: 1.12 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 0.79 (Revenue 114.51b / 145.08b) |
| TATA: 0.05 (NI 483.4m - CFO -7.70b) / TA 154.39b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -1.93 (Cap -4..+1) = B |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.26%, over one month by +1.54%, over three months by +14.39% and over the past year by -18.52%.
- StrongBuy: 14
- Buy: 8
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 21.5 | 16.1% |
P/E Trailing = 117.125
P/E Forward = 67.1141
P/S = 0.1706
P/B = 1.8016
P/EG = 1.0417
Revenue TTM = 114.51b CNY
EBIT TTM = 1.34b CNY
EBITDA TTM = -415.1m CNY
Long Term Debt = 3.30b CNY (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 7.91b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17.83b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -83.48b CNY (recalculated: Debt 17.83b - CCE 101.30b)
Enterprise Value = 47.40b CNY (130.87b + Debt 17.83b - CCE 101.30b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.56 (Ebit TTM 1.34b / Interest Expense TTM 156.5m)
EV/FCF = -2.94x (Enterprise Value 47.40b / FCF TTM -16.11b)
FCF Yield = -34.00% (FCF TTM -16.11b / Enterprise Value 47.40b)
FCF Margin = -14.07% (FCF TTM -16.11b / Revenue TTM 114.51b)
Net Margin = 0.42% (Net Income TTM 483.4m / Revenue TTM 114.51b)
Gross Margin = 18.06% ((Revenue TTM 114.51b - Cost of Revenue TTM 93.83b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.83% (prev 17.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.31 (Enterprise Value 47.40b / Total Assets 154.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.21% (Interest Expense 36.9m / Debt 17.83b)
Taxrate = 12.16% (153.4m / 1.26b)
NOPAT = 1.18b (EBIT 1.34b * (1 - 12.16%))
Current Ratio = 1.81 (Total Current Assets 115.36b / Total Current Liabilities 63.59b)
Debt / Equity = 0.25 (Debt 17.83b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 72.67b)
Debt / EBITDA = 201.1 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -83.48b / EBITDA -415.1m)
Debt / FCF = 5.18 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -83.48b / FCF TTM -16.11b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 72.79b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.31% (Net Income 483.4m / Total Assets 154.39b)
RoE = 0.66% (Net Income TTM 483.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 72.79b)
RoCE = 1.76% (EBIT 1.34b / Capital Employed (Equity 72.79b + L.T.Debt 3.30b))
RoIC = 1.44% (NOPAT 1.18b / Invested Capital 81.88b)
WACC = 6.83% (E(130.87b)/V(148.70b) * Re(7.73%) + D(17.83b)/V(148.70b) * Rd(0.21%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 7.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -1.18%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -16.11b)
EPS Correlation: 27.47 | EPS CAGR: 3.77% | SUE: -0.85 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 61.73 | Revenue CAGR: 36.45% | SUE: 0.42 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.91 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-1.555 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.17 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-4.037 | Revisions Net=-5 | Growth EPS=-48.1% | Growth Revenue=+13.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.04 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-3.116 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+417.2% | Growth Revenue=+22.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 3 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 7.1% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 0.9%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -9.6% (Analyst -2.6% - Implied 7.1%)