(LI) Li Auto - Overview
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: China •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US50202M1027
Stock: Electric Vehicle, Suv, Multi-Purpose Vehicle, Smart Car, Premium Car
Total Rating 29
Risk 92
Buy Signal -1.44
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 42.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.88% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.62 |
| Alpha | -40.93 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.714 |
| Beta Downside | 0.580 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 66.28% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.19 |
Description: LI Li Auto December 17, 2025
Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ: LI) is a Beijing-based Chinese automaker that designs, manufactures, and sells premium smart electric vehicles, primarily multi-purpose and sport-utility models. The firm distributes its cars through both online and offline channels and provides after-sales services, technology development, and manufacturing equipment. Originally incorporated as Leading Ideal Inc., it rebranded to Li Auto in July 2020 after being founded in 2015.
Key recent metrics: Li Auto delivered roughly 95,000 vehicles in 2023, up 30% year-over-year, and posted a Q4 2023 gross margin of about 20%, reflecting improved cost efficiencies in its extended-range EV (EREV) platform. The company benefits from strong Chinese EV subsidies that still favor domestic manufacturers, while facing intense competition from Nio, Xpeng, and BYD. Battery-pack cost declines-averaging a 12% YoY reduction in 2023-are a sector-wide driver that should support Li Auto’s margin expansion if it can maintain its pricing power.
For a deeper dive into Li Auto’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s platform useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: 4.65b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -15.87 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 39.22% < 20% (prev 36.42%; Δ 2.80% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.02 > 3% & CFO -3.45b > Net Income 4.65b |
| Net Debt (-33.22b) to EBITDA (5.62b): -5.92 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.80 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.01b) vs 12m ago -5.02% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 19.42% > 18% (prev 0.21%; Δ 1921 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 83.15% > 50% (prev 91.84%; Δ -8.69% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 31.12 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 5.62b / Interest Expense TTM 170.8m) |
Altman Z'' 3.57
| A: 0.33 (Total Current Assets 112.75b - Total Current Liabilities 62.54b) / Total Assets 153.12b |
| B: 0.07 (Retained Earnings 10.92b / Total Assets 153.12b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 5.31b / Avg Total Assets 153.97b) |
| D: 0.91 (Book Value of Equity 72.69b / Total Liabilities 79.92b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.57 = A |
Beneish M -3.30
| DSRI: 0.51 (Receivables 100.9m/220.4m, Revenue 128.02b/142.18b) |
| GMI: 1.11 (GM 19.42% / 21.47%) |
| AQI: 1.08 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 0.90 (Revenue 128.02b / 142.18b) |
| TATA: 0.05 (NI 4.65b - CFO -3.45b) / TA 153.12b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.30 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of LI shares?
As of February 01, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 16.63 with a total of 3,897,568 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.48%, over one month by -3.71%, over three months by -18.84% and over the past year by -31.02%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.48%, over one month by -3.71%, over three months by -18.84% and over the past year by -31.02%.
Is LI a buy, sell or hold?
Li Auto has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.29.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy LI.
- StrongBuy: 14
- Buy: 8
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 23.9 | 43.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 23.9 | 43.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 15.5 | -7% |
LI Fundamental Data Overview January 27, 2026
Market Cap CNY = 117.69b (16.93b USD * 6.951 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 15.3303
P/E Forward = 19.1939
P/S = 0.1325
P/B = 1.6246
P/EG = 1.9601
Revenue TTM = 128.02b CNY
EBIT TTM = 5.31b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 5.62b CNY
Long Term Debt = 3.14b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.95b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17.89b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -33.22b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 36.91b CNY (117.69b + Debt 17.89b - CCE 98.68b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 31.12 (Ebit TTM 5.31b / Interest Expense TTM 170.8m)
EV/FCF = -4.79x (Enterprise Value 36.91b / FCF TTM -7.71b)
FCF Yield = -20.89% (FCF TTM -7.71b / Enterprise Value 36.91b)
FCF Margin = -6.02% (FCF TTM -7.71b / Revenue TTM 128.02b)
Net Margin = 3.63% (Net Income TTM 4.65b / Revenue TTM 128.02b)
Gross Margin = 19.42% ((Revenue TTM 128.02b - Cost of Revenue TTM 103.15b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.33% (prev 20.06%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.24 (Enterprise Value 36.91b / Total Assets 153.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.18% (Interest Expense 32.7m / Debt 17.89b)
Taxrate = 13.64% (1.27b / 9.32b)
NOPAT = 4.59b (EBIT 5.31b * (1 - 13.64%))
Current Ratio = 1.80 (Total Current Assets 112.75b / Total Current Liabilities 62.54b)
Debt / Equity = 0.25 (Debt 17.89b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 72.69b)
Debt / EBITDA = -5.92 (Net Debt -33.22b / EBITDA 5.62b)
Debt / FCF = 4.31 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -33.22b / FCF TTM -7.71b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 72.13b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.02% (Net Income 4.65b / Total Assets 153.12b)
RoE = 6.44% (Net Income TTM 4.65b / Total Stockholder Equity 72.13b)
RoCE = 7.06% (EBIT 5.31b / Capital Employed (Equity 72.13b + L.T.Debt 3.14b))
RoIC = 5.68% (NOPAT 4.59b / Invested Capital 80.75b)
WACC = 7.44% (E(117.69b)/V(135.59b) * Re(8.55%) + D(17.89b)/V(135.59b) * Rd(0.18%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 8.55% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -2.62%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -7.71b)
EPS Correlation: 24.53 | EPS CAGR: 0.15% | SUE: -0.97 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 78.88 | Revenue CAGR: 28.76% | SUE: 0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.23 | Chg30d=-0.079 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.79 | Chg30d=-0.369 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+179.2% | Growth Revenue=+41.0%
P/E Trailing = 15.3303
P/E Forward = 19.1939
P/S = 0.1325
P/B = 1.6246
P/EG = 1.9601
Revenue TTM = 128.02b CNY
EBIT TTM = 5.31b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 5.62b CNY
Long Term Debt = 3.14b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.95b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17.89b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -33.22b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 36.91b CNY (117.69b + Debt 17.89b - CCE 98.68b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 31.12 (Ebit TTM 5.31b / Interest Expense TTM 170.8m)
EV/FCF = -4.79x (Enterprise Value 36.91b / FCF TTM -7.71b)
FCF Yield = -20.89% (FCF TTM -7.71b / Enterprise Value 36.91b)
FCF Margin = -6.02% (FCF TTM -7.71b / Revenue TTM 128.02b)
Net Margin = 3.63% (Net Income TTM 4.65b / Revenue TTM 128.02b)
Gross Margin = 19.42% ((Revenue TTM 128.02b - Cost of Revenue TTM 103.15b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.33% (prev 20.06%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.24 (Enterprise Value 36.91b / Total Assets 153.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.18% (Interest Expense 32.7m / Debt 17.89b)
Taxrate = 13.64% (1.27b / 9.32b)
NOPAT = 4.59b (EBIT 5.31b * (1 - 13.64%))
Current Ratio = 1.80 (Total Current Assets 112.75b / Total Current Liabilities 62.54b)
Debt / Equity = 0.25 (Debt 17.89b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 72.69b)
Debt / EBITDA = -5.92 (Net Debt -33.22b / EBITDA 5.62b)
Debt / FCF = 4.31 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -33.22b / FCF TTM -7.71b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 72.13b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.02% (Net Income 4.65b / Total Assets 153.12b)
RoE = 6.44% (Net Income TTM 4.65b / Total Stockholder Equity 72.13b)
RoCE = 7.06% (EBIT 5.31b / Capital Employed (Equity 72.13b + L.T.Debt 3.14b))
RoIC = 5.68% (NOPAT 4.59b / Invested Capital 80.75b)
WACC = 7.44% (E(117.69b)/V(135.59b) * Re(8.55%) + D(17.89b)/V(135.59b) * Rd(0.18%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 8.55% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -2.62%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -7.71b)
EPS Correlation: 24.53 | EPS CAGR: 0.15% | SUE: -0.97 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 78.88 | Revenue CAGR: 28.76% | SUE: 0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.23 | Chg30d=-0.079 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.79 | Chg30d=-0.369 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+179.2% | Growth Revenue=+41.0%