(LILA) Liberty Latin America - Ratings and Ratios
Mobile, Broadband, Fixed-Line, Video, Subsea
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 42.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 65.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.38% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.49 |
| Alpha | 7.54 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.00 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.364 |
| Beta | 0.731 |
| Beta Downside | 1.096 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 57.06% |
| Mean DD | 23.72% |
| Median DD | 23.29% |
Description: LILA Liberty Latin America November 13, 2025
Liberty Latin America Ltd. (NASDAQ:LILA) operates a diversified telecom portfolio across the Caribbean and Latin America, delivering fixed-line, mobile, broadband, video, and enterprise services through brands such as C&W Business, Liberty, Flow, and +movil. Its network includes both subsea and terrestrial fiber that interlinks roughly 30 regional markets, supporting residential, business, and government customers with connectivity and managed IT solutions.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023) show revenue of $5.7 billion, an adjusted EBITDA margin of 38 %, and a subscriber base of about 12 million mobile lines, with mobile data usage growing at ~12 % YoY-a trend driven by rising smartphone penetration and the rollout of 5G services in Panama and the Caribbean. Capital expenditures remain focused on expanding fiber capacity (≈$600 million planned for 2024) to capture demand from tourism-linked hospitality sectors and the region’s gradual digital-economy transition.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find the ValueRay platform’s proprietary cash-flow models useful for evaluating LILA’s valuation dynamics.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (-734.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 266.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.95pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 5.93% (prev 2.66%; Δ 3.27pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 726.3m > Net Income -734.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (8.20b) to EBITDA (885.9m) ratio: 9.26 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.14 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (199.9m) change vs 12m ago 1.47% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 72.53% (prev 66.10%; Δ 6.42pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 35.79% (prev 35.12%; Δ 0.67pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -0.02 (EBITDA TTM 885.9m / Interest Expense TTM 644.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.40
| (A) 0.02 = (Total Current Assets 2.08b - Total Current Liabilities 1.81b) / Total Assets 12.05b |
| (B) -0.34 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -4.16b / Total Assets 12.05b |
| (C) -0.00 = EBIT TTM -12.4m / Avg Total Assets 12.39b |
| (D) -0.39 = Book Value of Equity -4.28b / Total Liabilities 10.89b |
| Total Rating: -1.40 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 33.75
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.21% |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.06% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 13.99 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 9.26 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.67)% |
| 7. RoE -86.91% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -80.40% |
| 9. EPS Trend -15.08% |
What is the price of LILA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.27%, over one month by -14.32%, over three months by -9.11% and over the past year by +16.51%.
Is LILA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LILA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 12 | 60% |
| Analysts Target Price | 12 | 60% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 7.6 | 2.1% |
LILA Fundamental Data Overview December 27, 2025
P/E Forward = 15.873
P/S = 0.3463
P/B = 2.4066
P/EG = 3.61
Beta = 1.004
Revenue TTM = 4.43b USD
EBIT TTM = -12.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 885.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 7.83b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 545.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.80b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.20b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.74b USD (1.54b + Debt 8.80b - CCE 596.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.02 (Ebit TTM -12.4m / Interest Expense TTM 644.4m)
FCF Yield = 3.21% (FCF TTM 313.0m / Enterprise Value 9.74b)
FCF Margin = 7.06% (FCF TTM 313.0m / Revenue TTM 4.43b)
Net Margin = -16.57% (Net Income TTM -734.4m / Revenue TTM 4.43b)
Gross Margin = 72.53% ((Revenue TTM 4.43b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.22b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 77.74% (prev 67.93%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.81 (Enterprise Value 9.74b / Total Assets 12.05b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.87% (Interest Expense 164.3m / Debt 8.80b)
Taxrate = 20.50% (4.10m / 20.0m)
NOPAT = -9.86m (EBIT -12.4m * (1 - 20.50%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 2.08b / Total Current Liabilities 1.81b)
Debt / Equity = 13.99 (Debt 8.80b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 628.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.26 (Net Debt 8.20b / EBITDA 885.9m)
Debt / FCF = 26.21 (Net Debt 8.20b / FCF TTM 313.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 845.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -6.10% (Net Income -734.4m / Total Assets 12.05b)
RoE = -86.91% (Net Income TTM -734.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 845.0m)
RoCE = -0.14% (EBIT -12.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 845.0m + L.T.Debt 7.83b))
RoIC = -0.11% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -9.86m / Invested Capital 9.02b)
WACC = 2.56% (E(1.54b)/V(10.34b) * Re(8.71%) + D(8.80b)/V(10.34b) * Rd(1.87%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 8.71% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFE base≈271.7m ; Y1≈312.7m ; Y5≈439.3m
Fair Price DCF = 172.1 (DCF Value 6.69b / Shares Outstanding 38.9m; 5y FCF grow 17.66% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -15.08 | EPS CAGR: 201.7% | SUE: 0.09 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -80.40 | Revenue CAGR: -3.65% | SUE: 1.62 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.03 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.87 | Chg30d=+0.030 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+770.0% | Growth Revenue=-0.4%
Additional Sources for LILA Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle