LKQ Stock Analysis: LKQ | NASDAQ

Body Panels, Mechanical Parts, Specialty Accessories, Recycled Metals

Total Rating 32

Safety 84

Buy Signal -0.49

Auto Parts
Industry Rotation: +7.7

Market Cap: 5.76B
Avg Turnover: 77.5M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility31.8%

VaR 5^th Pctl5.30%

VaR vs Median1.14%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-0.33

Rel. Str. IBD7.1

Rel. Str. Peer Group10.8

Character TTM

Beta0.153

Beta Downside0.221

Hurst Exponent0.386

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD54.58%

CAGR/Max DD-0.37

CAGR/Mean DD-0.78

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -9.62%
EPS Trend: -95.1%

Last SUE: -1.15
Qual. Beats: -1

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -0.21%
Rev. Trend: -8.0%

Last SUE: -0.68
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +0.2% 10

Feb -1.1% 17

Mar -0.1% 5

Apr +2.8% 20

May +0.9% 18

Jun -2.3% 32

Jul +1.1% 5

Aug -0.2% 13

Sep -4.1% 41

Oct +2.4% 14

Nov +0.7% 34

Dec -1.6% 9

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: LKQ LKQ

LKQ Corporation is a U.S.-based distributor of replacement parts, components, and systems used in vehicle repair and maintenance, along with specialty aftermarket products. The company is organized into four operating segments: Wholesale-North America, Europe, Specialty, and Self Service, reflecting its presence across both the collision repair and broader automotive aftermarket supply chains.

Its product portfolio spans collision and mechanical parts (bumpers, body panels, lights, engines, transmissions, brake components, steering and suspension products), refinishing supplies, salvage and recycled components, scrap metals, and specialty accessories such as RV appliances, towing hitches, marine electronics, and wheels and tires. Customers include collision and mechanical repair shops, new and used car dealerships, and retail consumers.

Geographically, LKQ operates across the United States, Canada, and a broad European footprint that includes the U.K., Germany, Belgium, the Netherlands, Luxembourg, Italy, the Czech Republic, Austria, Poland, Slovakia, and France. Incorporated in 1998 and headquartered in Antioch, Tennessee, the company generates revenue through a high-volume distribution model that resells both recycled and new aftermarket parts, positioning it within the consumer discretionary distributors sub-industry alongside other vehicle-aftermarket and industrial parts suppliers.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Collision repair volume trends with US miles driven
European segment faces weak aftermarket demand headwinds
Scrap metal and steel cost volatility pressures margins

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5

Net Income: 461.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.08 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 14.33% < 20% (prev 17.46%; Δ -3.14% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 825.0m > Net Income 461.0m
Net Debt (6.40b) to EBITDA (1.26b): 5.06 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.58 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (254.7m) vs 12m ago -1.62% < -2%
Gross Margin: 37.66% > 18% (prev 39.21%; Δ -1.55% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 88.39% > 50% (prev 88.10%; Δ 0.29% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.22 > 6 (EBIT TTM 873.0m / Interest Expense TTM 207.0m)

Altman Z'' 3.76

A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 5.35b - Total Current Liabilities 3.39b) / Total Assets 15.0b
B: 0.53 (Retained Earnings 8.02b / Total Assets 15.0b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 873.0m / Avg Total Assets 15.5b)
D: 0.75 (Book Value of Equity 6.45b / Total Liabilities 8.58b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.76 = AA

Beneish M -3.02

DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 1.40b/1.44b, Revenue 13.7b/14.0b)
GMI: 1.04 (GM 39.21% / 37.66%)
AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.46 / AQ_t-1 0.47)
SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 13.7b / 14.0b)
TATA: -0.02 (NI 461.0m - CFO 825.0m) / TA 15.0b)
Beneish M = -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

What is the price of LKQ shares?

As of August 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 24.86 with a total of 3,380,994 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +10.73%, over one month by -5.15%, over three months by -12.39% and over the past year by -12.93%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 23.40 (which is 5.9% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is LKQ a buy, sell or hold?

LKQ has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.22. Therefore, it is recommended to buy LKQ.

StrongBuy: 4
Buy: 3
Hold: 2
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LKQ price?

Analysts Target Price	39.5	58.9%

LKQ (LKQ) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 01 August 2026

Market Cap USD = 5.76b (5.76b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 13.2164
P/E Forward = 8.8261
P/S = 0.4175
P/B = 1.0399
P/EG = 1.0576
Revenue TTM = 13.7b USD
EBIT TTM = 873.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.26b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.63b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 800.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.70b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.39b
Net Debt = 6.40b USD (calculated: Debt 6.70b - CCE 301.0m)
Enterprise Value = 12.2b USD (5.76b + Debt 6.70b - CCE 301.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.22 (Ebit TTM 873.0m / Interest Expense TTM 207.0m)
EV/FCF = 19.46x (Enterprise Value 12.2b / FCF TTM 625.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.14% (FCF TTM 625.0m / Enterprise Value 12.2b)
FCF Margin = 4.57% (FCF TTM 625.0m / Revenue TTM 13.7b)
Net Margin = 3.37% (Net Income TTM 461.0m / Revenue TTM 13.7b)
Gross Margin = 37.66% ((Revenue TTM 13.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.53b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.76% (prev 38.37%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.81 (Enterprise Value 12.2b / Total Assets 15.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.09% (Interest Expense 207.0m / Debt 6.70b)
Taxrate = 24.85% (168.0m / 676.0m)
NOPAT = 656.0m (EBIT 873.0m * (1 - 24.85%))
Current Ratio = 1.58 (Total Current Assets 5.35b / Total Current Liabilities 3.39b)
Debt / Equity = 1.04 (Debt 6.70b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.45b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.06 (Net Debt 6.40b / EBITDA 1.26b)
Debt / FCF = 10.24 (Net Debt 6.40b / FCF TTM 625.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.50b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.98% (Net Income 461.0m / Total Assets 15.0b)
RoE = 7.09% (Net Income TTM 461.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.50b)
RoCE = 8.62% (EBIT 873.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.50b + L.T.Debt 3.63b))
RoIC = 5.40% (NOPAT 656.0m / Invested Capital 12.1b)
WACC = 4.26% (E(5.76b)/V(12.5b) * Re(6.52%) + D(6.70b)/V(12.5b) * Rd(3.09%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 6.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.54 | Cagr: -2.19%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.35% ; FCFF base≈645.4m ; Y1≈607.1m ; Y5≈564.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 9.82 (EV 8.90b - Net Debt 6.40b = Equity 2.50b / Shares 254.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -7.54% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -95.08 | EPS CAGR: -9.62% | SUE: -1.15 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -7.98 | Revenue CAGR: -0.21% | SUE: -0.68 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.81 | Chg30d=-4.22% | Revisions=+8% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.89 | Chg30d=-2.76% | Revisions=-67% | GrowthEPS=-4.1% | GrowthRev=+0.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.30 | Chg30d=-0.67% | Revisions=-10% | GrowthEPS=+14.4% | GrowthRev=+3.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -24% (up=8, down=14)