LKQ Stock Analysis: LKQ | NASDAQ

Replacement Parts, Refinishing Supplies, Salvage Components, Aftermarket Accessories

Total Rating 34

Safety 80

Buy Signal -1.02

Auto Parts
Industry Rotation: +1.0

Market Cap: 5.78B
Avg Turnover: 74.5M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility29.2%

VaR 5^th Pctl4.89%

VaR vs Median1.96%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-0.72

Rel. Str. IBD11.6

Rel. Str. Peer Group26.8

Character TTM

Beta0.143

Beta Downside0.260

Hurst Exponent0.376

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD54.58%

CAGR/Max DD-0.37

CAGR/Mean DD-0.73

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -9.62%
EPS Trend: -95.1%

Last SUE: -1.15
Qual. Beats: -1

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -0.21%
Rev. Trend: -8.0%

Last SUE: -0.68
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.2% 10

Feb -1.1% 17

Mar -0.1% 5

Apr +2.8% 20

May +0.9% 18

Jun -2.3% 32

Jul +1.1% 5

Aug -0.1% 5

Sep -4.1% 41

Oct +2.4% 14

Nov +0.7% 34

Dec -1.6% 9

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: LKQ LKQ

LKQ Corporation is a leading distributor of aftermarket replacement parts, components, and systems for vehicle repair and maintenance, operating through four segments: Wholesale-North America, Europe, Specialty, and Self Service.

The company supplies a broad range of products, including body panels and lights, mechanical parts, salvage components such as engines and transmissions, refinishing materials, brake and suspension products, and specialty items like RV appliances, towing hitches, and marine electronics. Customers include collision and mechanical repair shops, new and used car dealerships, and retail buyers.

LKQ serves a wide geographic footprint across the United States, Canada, and multiple European markets including Germany, the United Kingdom, Belgium, the Netherlands, Italy, and France. The aftermarket parts distribution industry benefits from a large installed base of vehicles in operation and typically offers cost-effective alternatives to original equipment manufacturer (OEM) parts, supporting recurring demand from repair and collision customers. Founded in 1998 and headquartered in Antioch, Tennessee, LKQ leverages its scale and logistics network to consolidate fragmented local supply markets.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Collision repair demand drives North America wholesale segment growth
European segment margins pressured by FX and labor inflation
Specialty vehicle aftermarket demand supports pricing power

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5

Net Income: 461.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.08 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 14.33% < 20% (prev 17.46%; Δ -3.14% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 825.0m > Net Income 461.0m
Net Debt (6.39b) to EBITDA (1.26b): 5.05 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.58 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (254.7m) vs 12m ago -1.62% < -2%
Gross Margin: 37.66% > 18% (prev 39.21%; Δ -1.55% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 88.39% > 50% (prev 88.10%; Δ 0.29% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.22 > 6 (EBIT TTM 873.0m / Interest Expense TTM 207.0m)

Altman Z'' 3.76

A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 5.35b - Total Current Liabilities 3.39b) / Total Assets 15.0b
B: 0.53 (Retained Earnings 8.02b / Total Assets 15.0b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 873.0m / Avg Total Assets 15.5b)
D: 0.75 (Book Value of Equity 6.45b / Total Liabilities 8.58b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.76 = AA

Beneish M -3.02

DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 1.40b/1.44b, Revenue 13.7b/14.0b)
GMI: 1.04 (GM 39.21% / 37.66%)
AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.46 / AQ_t-1 0.47)
SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 13.7b / 14.0b)
TATA: -0.02 (NI 461.0m - CFO 825.0m) / TA 15.0b)
Beneish M = -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

What is the price of LKQ shares?

As of October 03, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 22.80 with a total of 2,285,881 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.10%, over one month by -7.80%, over three months by -13.12% and over the past year by -23.96%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 21.90 (which is 3.9% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is LKQ a buy, sell or hold?

LKQ has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.22. Therefore, it is recommended to buy LKQ.

StrongBuy: 4
Buy: 3
Hold: 2
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LKQ price?

Analysts Target Price	32.5	42.5%

LKQ (LKQ) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 02 October 2026

Market Cap USD = 5.78b (5.78b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 12.6833
P/E Forward = 7.8616
P/S = 0.422
P/B = 0.9258
P/EG = 1.0576
Revenue TTM = 13.7b USD
EBIT TTM = 873.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.26b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.39b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 800.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.69b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.38b
Net Debt = 6.39b USD (calculated: Debt 6.69b - CCE 301.0m)
Enterprise Value = 12.2b USD (5.78b + Debt 6.69b - CCE 301.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.22 (Ebit TTM 873.0m / Interest Expense TTM 207.0m)
EV/FCF = 19.47x (Enterprise Value 12.2b / FCF TTM 625.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.14% (FCF TTM 625.0m / Enterprise Value 12.2b)
FCF Margin = 4.57% (FCF TTM 625.0m / Revenue TTM 13.7b)
Net Margin = 3.37% (Net Income TTM 461.0m / Revenue TTM 13.7b)
Gross Margin = 37.66% ((Revenue TTM 13.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.53b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.76% (prev 38.37%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.81 (Enterprise Value 12.2b / Total Assets 15.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.09% (Interest Expense 207.0m / Debt 6.69b)
Taxrate = 24.85% (168.0m / 676.0m)
NOPAT = 656.0m (EBIT 873.0m * (1 - 24.85%))
Current Ratio = 1.58 (Total Current Assets 5.35b / Total Current Liabilities 3.39b)
Debt / Equity = 1.04 (Debt 6.69b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.45b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.05 (Net Debt 6.39b / EBITDA 1.26b)
Debt / FCF = 10.23 (Net Debt 6.39b / FCF TTM 625.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.50b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.98% (Net Income 461.0m / Total Assets 15.0b)
RoE = 7.09% (Net Income TTM 461.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.50b)
RoCE = 8.83% (EBIT 873.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.50b + L.T.Debt 3.39b))
RoIC = 5.40% (NOPAT 656.0m / Invested Capital 12.1b)
WACC = 4.25% (E(5.78b)/V(12.5b) * Re(6.49%) + D(6.69b)/V(12.5b) * Rd(3.09%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 6.49% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.54 | Cagr: -2.19%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.35% ; FCFF base≈645.4m ; Y1≈607.1m ; Y5≈564.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 9.93 (EV 8.90b - Net Debt 6.39b = Equity 2.51b / Shares 253.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -7.54% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -95.08 | EPS CAGR: -9.62% | SUE: -1.15 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -7.98 | Revenue CAGR: -0.21% | SUE: -0.68 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.71 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-75% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.68 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-75% | GrowthEPS=-10.8% | GrowthRev=-0.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.09 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-75% | GrowthEPS=+15.2% | GrowthRev=+2.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -90% (up=0, down=27)