LKQ Stock Analysis: LKQ | NASDAQ
Auto Parts | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 4.579m USD | 12M Return: -37.8% | US5018892084 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 91.2M
EPS Trend: -92.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -69.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
LKQ Corporation is a leading distributor of aftermarket replacement parts, components, and systems for vehicle repair and maintenance, operating through four segments: Wholesale-North America, Europe, Specialty, and Self Service.
The company supplies a broad range of products, including body panels and lights, mechanical parts, salvage components such as engines and transmissions, refinishing materials, brake and suspension products, and specialty items like RV appliances, towing hitches, and marine electronics. Customers include collision and mechanical repair shops, new and used car dealerships, and retail buyers.
LKQ serves a wide geographic footprint across the United States, Canada, and multiple European markets including Germany, the United Kingdom, Belgium, the Netherlands, Italy, and France. The aftermarket parts distribution industry benefits from a large installed base of vehicles in operation and typically offers cost-effective alternatives to original equipment manufacturer (OEM) parts, supporting recurring demand from repair and collision customers. Founded in 1998 and headquartered in Antioch, Tennessee, LKQ leverages its scale and logistics network to consolidate fragmented local supply markets.
- Collision repair demand drives North America wholesale segment growth
- European segment margins pressured by FX and labor inflation
- Specialty vehicle aftermarket demand supports pricing power
| Net Income: 255.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.50 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 16.75% < 20% (prev 15.29%; Δ 1.46% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 796.0m > Net Income 255.0m |
| Net Debt (6.14b) to EBITDA (1.07b): 5.75 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.75 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (252.9m) vs 12m ago -1.71% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 37.39% > 18% (prev 39.07%; Δ -1.69% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 88.92% > 50% (prev 89.49%; Δ -0.57% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.15 > 6 (EBIT TTM 656.0m / Interest Expense TTM 208.0m) |
| A: 0.15 (Total Current Assets 5.28b - Total Current Liabilities 3.02b) / Total Assets 14.8b |
| B: 0.54 (Retained Earnings 7.92b / Total Assets 14.8b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 656.0m / Avg Total Assets 15.2b) |
| D: 0.74 (Book Value of Equity 6.29b / Total Liabilities 8.46b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.82 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 1.35b/1.40b, Revenue 13.5b/14.0b) |
| GMI: 1.05 (GM 39.07% / 37.39%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.46 / AQ_t-1 0.46) |
| SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 13.5b / 14.0b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 255.0m - CFO 796.0m) / TA 14.8b) |
| Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 31, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 18.56 with a total of 6,264,592 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.54%, over one month by -19.69%, over three months by -16.91% and over the past year by -37.80%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 17.30 (which is 6.8% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
LKQ has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.22. Therefore, it is recommended to buy LKQ.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 24.9 | 33.9% |
P/E Trailing = 10.0556
P/E Forward = 7.4571
P/S = 0.3346
P/B = 0.675
P/EG = 1.0576
Revenue TTM = 13.5b USD
EBIT TTM = 656.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.07b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.63b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 295.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.46b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.38b
Net Debt = 6.14b USD (calculated: Debt 6.46b - CCE 319.0m)
Enterprise Value = 10.7b USD (4.58b + Debt 6.46b - CCE 319.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.15 (Ebit TTM 656.0m / Interest Expense TTM 208.0m)
EV/FCF = 17.57x (Enterprise Value 10.7b / FCF TTM 610.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.69% (FCF TTM 610.0m / Enterprise Value 10.7b)
FCF Margin = 4.52% (FCF TTM 610.0m / Revenue TTM 13.5b)
Net Margin = 1.89% (Net Income TTM 255.0m / Revenue TTM 13.5b)
Gross Margin = 37.39% ((Revenue TTM 13.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.46b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.24% (prev 38.76%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.73 (Enterprise Value 10.7b / Total Assets 14.8b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.22% (Interest Expense 208.0m / Debt 6.46b)
Taxrate = 33.84% (155.0m / 458.0m)
NOPAT = 434.0m (EBIT 656.0m * (1 - 33.84%))
Current Ratio = 1.75 (Total Current Assets 5.28b / Total Current Liabilities 3.02b)
Debt / Equity = 1.03 (Debt 6.46b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.29b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.75 (Net Debt 6.14b / EBITDA 1.07b)
Debt / FCF = 10.06 (Net Debt 6.14b / FCF TTM 610.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.44b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.68% (Net Income 255.0m / Total Assets 14.8b)
RoE = 3.96% (Net Income TTM 255.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.44b)
RoCE = 6.52% (EBIT 656.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.44b + L.T.Debt 3.63b))
RoIC = 3.70% (NOPAT 434.0m / Invested Capital 11.7b)
WACC = 3.67% (E(4.58b)/V(11.0b) * Re(5.85%) + D(6.46b)/V(11.0b) * Rd(3.22%) * (1-Tc(0.34)))
Discount Rate = 5.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.32 | Cagr: -2.15%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈654.8m ; Y1≈574.2m ; Y5≈463.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 5.17 (EV 7.45b - Net Debt 6.14b = Equity 1.31b / Shares 253.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -92.50 | EPS CAGR: -12.30% | SUE: 0.37 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -69.94 | Revenue CAGR: -1.67% | SUE: -0.21 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=0.61 | Chg30d=-16.61% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.33 | Chg30d=-13.08% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=-22.5% | GrowthRev=-1.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.60 | Chg30d=-15.91% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+11.4% | GrowthRev=+1.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -67% (up=0, down=6)