(LKQ) LKQ - Ratings and Ratios
Vehicle Parts, Salvage Parts, Specialty Accessories, Fluids, Recycled Metals
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.97% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.65% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.20% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 36.4% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 46.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.77% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.61 |
| Alpha | -29.53 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.31 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.458 |
| Beta | 0.551 |
| Beta Downside | 0.156 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 48.61% |
| Mean DD | 22.81% |
| Median DD | 25.17% |
Description: LKQ LKQ November 03, 2025
LKQ Corporation (NASDAQ: LKQ) is a U.S.–based distributor of aftermarket automotive parts and specialty vehicle components, supplying everything from body panels and paint consumables to mechanical parts, salvage engines, and RV accessories to collision shops, dealerships, and retail customers.
The business is organized into four reporting segments: Wholesale-North America, Europe, Specialty (high-margin niche products such as marine electronics and cargo-management systems), and Self-Service (direct-to-consumer channels). This structure lets LKQ capture both volume-driven wholesale margins and higher-margin specialty sales.
Geographically, LKQ operates in the United States, Canada, and a broad set of European markets-including Germany, the United Kingdom, France, Italy, and the Benelux region-providing exposure to diverse regulatory environments and vehicle parc characteristics.
Key performance indicators (as of FY 2023) include approximately $15 billion in revenue, an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 9 %, and a free-cash-flow conversion rate near 4 %. The company’s inventory turnover has improved to about 6 times per year, reflecting tighter supply-chain management after pandemic-induced disruptions.
Sector drivers that materially affect LKQ’s outlook are (1) the aging average vehicle fleet in North America and Europe, which fuels demand for replacement parts; (2) tightening emissions regulations that increase the volume of recyclable components such as catalytic converters; and (3) the gradual shift toward electric-vehicle (EV) platforms, which introduces both a near-term headwind for traditional ICE parts and a long-term opportunity for EV-specific aftermarket components.
If you want a data-rich, scenario-based analysis of LKQ’s valuation assumptions, consider reviewing the detailed financial models and sensitivity tables available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (697.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 837.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.21pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 15.29% (prev 14.86%; Δ 0.42pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 968.0m > Net Income 697.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.22b) to EBITDA (1.58b) ratio: 3.30 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.60 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (257.3m) change vs 12m ago -2.02% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 39.07% (prev 39.21%; Δ -0.14pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 89.88% (prev 93.75%; Δ -3.87pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.77 (EBITDA TTM 1.58b / Interest Expense TTM 246.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.99
| (A) 0.14 = (Total Current Assets 5.71b - Total Current Liabilities 3.58b) / Total Assets 15.60b |
| (B) 0.51 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 7.97b / Total Assets 15.60b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 1.17b / Avg Total Assets 15.53b |
| (D) 0.87 = Book Value of Equity 7.89b / Total Liabilities 9.05b |
| Total Rating: 3.99 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 61.38
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.79% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.17% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.84 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.30 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.93)% |
| 7. RoE 11.04% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 63.85% |
| 9. EPS Trend -49.08% |
What is the price of LKQ shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.93%, over one month by -1.46%, over three months by -4.93% and over the past year by -19.25%.
Is LKQ a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LKQ price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 41.5 | 37.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 41.5 | 37.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 29.1 | -3.5% |
LKQ Fundamental Data Overview December 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 10.4333
P/E Forward = 8.658
P/S = 0.5141
P/B = 1.1275
P/EG = 0.9499
Beta = 0.896
Revenue TTM = 13.96b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.17b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.58b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.62b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 775.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.50b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.22b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.46b USD (7.25b + Debt 5.50b - CCE 289.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.77 (Ebit TTM 1.17b / Interest Expense TTM 246.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.79% (FCF TTM 722.0m / Enterprise Value 12.46b)
FCF Margin = 5.17% (FCF TTM 722.0m / Revenue TTM 13.96b)
Net Margin = 4.99% (Net Income TTM 697.0m / Revenue TTM 13.96b)
Gross Margin = 39.07% ((Revenue TTM 13.96b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.51b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.33% (prev 38.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.80 (Enterprise Value 12.46b / Total Assets 15.60b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.00% (Interest Expense 55.0m / Debt 5.50b)
Taxrate = 20.18% (45.0m / 223.0m)
NOPAT = 937.1m (EBIT 1.17b * (1 - 20.18%))
Current Ratio = 1.60 (Total Current Assets 5.71b / Total Current Liabilities 3.58b)
Debt / Equity = 0.84 (Debt 5.50b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.55b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.30 (Net Debt 5.22b / EBITDA 1.58b)
Debt / FCF = 7.22 (Net Debt 5.22b / FCF TTM 722.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.32b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.47% (Net Income 697.0m / Total Assets 15.60b)
RoE = 11.04% (Net Income TTM 697.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.32b)
RoCE = 11.82% (EBIT 1.17b / Capital Employed (Equity 6.32b + L.T.Debt 3.62b))
RoIC = 8.84% (NOPAT 937.1m / Invested Capital 10.60b)
WACC = 4.91% (E(7.25b)/V(12.75b) * Re(8.04%) + D(5.50b)/V(12.75b) * Rd(1.00%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 8.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.03%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.43% ; FCFE base≈732.4m ; Y1≈692.1m ; Y5≈655.7m
Fair Price DCF = 45.82 (DCF Value 11.73b / Shares Outstanding 256.0m; 5y FCF grow -7.12% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -49.08 | EPS CAGR: -0.93% | SUE: 1.10 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 63.85 | Revenue CAGR: 2.53% | SUE: -0.45 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.79 | Chg30d=-0.015 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.32 | Chg30d=-0.034 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+6.9% | Growth Revenue=+2.0%
Additional Sources for LKQ Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle