LKQ Stock Analysis: LKQ | NASDAQ
Auto Parts | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 6.405m USD | 12M Return: -32.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 69.6M
EPS Trend: -96.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 41.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
LKQ Corporation is a U.S.-based distributor of replacement parts, components, and systems used in vehicle repair and maintenance, along with specialty aftermarket products. The company is organized into four operating segments: Wholesale-North America, Europe, Specialty, and Self Service, reflecting its presence across both the collision repair and broader automotive aftermarket supply chains.
Its product portfolio spans collision and mechanical parts (bumpers, body panels, lights, engines, transmissions, brake components, steering and suspension products), refinishing supplies, salvage and recycled components, scrap metals, and specialty accessories such as RV appliances, towing hitches, marine electronics, and wheels and tires. Customers include collision and mechanical repair shops, new and used car dealerships, and retail consumers.
Geographically, LKQ operates across the United States, Canada, and a broad European footprint that includes the U.K., Germany, Belgium, the Netherlands, Luxembourg, Italy, the Czech Republic, Austria, Poland, Slovakia, and France. Incorporated in 1998 and headquartered in Antioch, Tennessee, the company generates revenue through a high-volume distribution model that resells both recycled and new aftermarket parts, positioning it within the consumer discretionary distributors sub-industry alongside other vehicle-aftermarket and industrial parts suppliers.
- Collision repair volume trends with US miles driven
- European segment faces weak aftermarket demand headwinds
- Scrap metal and steel cost volatility pressures margins
| Net Income: 517.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.68 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 13.85% < 20% (prev 12.92%; Δ 0.93% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.01b > Net Income 517.0m |
| Net Debt (6.29b) to EBITDA (1.38b): 4.57 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.54 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (255.9m) vs 12m ago -1.43% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 37.68% > 18% (prev 39.22%; Δ -1.54% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 90.97% > 50% (prev 91.25%; Δ -0.28% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.52 > 6 (EBIT TTM 971.0m / Interest Expense TTM 215.0m) |
| A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 5.47b - Total Current Liabilities 3.55b) / Total Assets 15.1b |
| B: 0.53 (Retained Earnings 7.96b / Total Assets 15.1b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 971.0m / Avg Total Assets 15.3b) |
| D: 0.75 (Book Value of Equity 6.47b / Total Liabilities 8.65b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.76 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.05 (Receivables 1.46b/1.41b, Revenue 13.9b/14.1b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 39.22% / 37.68%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.46 / AQ_t-1 0.47) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 13.9b / 14.1b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 517.0m - CFO 1.01b) / TA 15.1b) |
| Beneish M = -2.97 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 25.38 with a total of 1,738,073 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.41%, over one month by -0.35%, over three months by -15.48% and over the past year by -32.56%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 24.10 (which is 5% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
LKQ has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.22. Therefore, it is recommended to buy LKQ.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 40.8 | 60.8% |
P/E Trailing = 13.0938
P/E Forward = 8.6957
P/S = 0.4644
P/B = 1.0249
P/EG = 0.9216
Revenue TTM = 13.9b USD
EBIT TTM = 971.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.38b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.31b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 786.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.63b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.39b
Net Debt = 6.29b USD (calculated: Debt 6.63b - CCE 335.0m)
Enterprise Value = 12.7b USD (6.41b + Debt 6.63b - CCE 335.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.52 (Ebit TTM 971.0m / Interest Expense TTM 215.0m)
EV/FCF = 15.71x (Enterprise Value 12.7b / FCF TTM 808.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.36% (FCF TTM 808.0m / Enterprise Value 12.7b)
FCF Margin = 5.80% (FCF TTM 808.0m / Revenue TTM 13.9b)
Net Margin = 3.71% (Net Income TTM 517.0m / Revenue TTM 13.9b)
Gross Margin = 37.68% ((Revenue TTM 13.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.68b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.37% (prev 35.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.84 (Enterprise Value 12.7b / Total Assets 15.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.24% (Interest Expense 215.0m / Debt 6.63b)
Taxrate = 24.83% (188.0m / 757.0m)
NOPAT = 729.9m (EBIT 971.0m * (1 - 24.83%))
Current Ratio = 1.54 (Total Current Assets 5.47b / Total Current Liabilities 3.55b)
Debt / Equity = 1.02 (Debt 6.63b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.57 (Net Debt 6.29b / EBITDA 1.38b)
Debt / FCF = 7.79 (Net Debt 6.29b / FCF TTM 808.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.52b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.38% (Net Income 517.0m / Total Assets 15.1b)
RoE = 7.93% (Net Income TTM 517.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.52b)
RoCE = 9.88% (EBIT 971.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.52b + L.T.Debt 3.31b))
RoIC = 6.06% (NOPAT 729.9m / Invested Capital 12.0b)
WACC = 4.91% (E(6.41b)/V(13.0b) * Re(7.47%) + D(6.63b)/V(13.0b) * Rd(3.24%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 7.47% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -100.00 | Cagr: -2.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈711.2m ; Y1≈815.3m ; Y5≈1.20b
[DCF] Fair Price = 46.17 (EV 18.1b - Net Debt 6.29b = Equity 11.8b / Shares 254.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -96.45 | EPS CAGR: -8.33% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 41.55 | Revenue CAGR: 1.55% | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.71 | Chg30d=-8.79% | Revisions=-58% | Analysts=9
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.85 | Chg30d=-0.12% | Revisions=+8% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.97 | Chg30d=-1.68% | Revisions=-67% | GrowthEPS=-1.4% | GrowthRev=+1.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.32 | Chg30d=+0.45% | Revisions=-10% | GrowthEPS=+12.0% | GrowthRev=+2.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -38% (up=9, down=22)