(LLYVA) Liberty Media Series - Ratings and Ratios
Live Promotions, Ticketing, Advertising, Sponsorships, Investments
Description: LLYVA Liberty Media Series November 03, 2025
Liberty Live Group (NASDAQ: LLYVA) is a U.S.–based live-entertainment firm that promotes concerts, sells tickets both directly and for third-party venues, and monetizes its platform through advertising and sponsorship relationships. The company also maintains a diversified portfolio of public and private equity investments.
Key industry signals that shape Liberty Live’s outlook include: (1) a rebound in discretionary consumer spending, with the National Association of Theatre Owners reporting a 9% YoY increase in ticket revenue for live music in 2023; (2) average ticket prices rising to roughly $85, driven by premium seating and dynamic pricing models; and (3) sponsorship spend in the entertainment sector climbing 6% annually as brands seek experiential activation, which directly benefits Liberty Live’s advertising arm. Internally, Liberty Live disclosed 12 million tickets sold in 2023, an 8% increase from the prior year, and a 15% contribution margin from its ticketing operations.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown of Liberty Live’s valuation metrics, you might find the ValueRay platform’s analyst toolkit useful.
LLYVA Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 8,272m |
| Sub-Industry | Movies & Entertainment |
| IPO / Inception | 2023-08-04 |
LLYVA Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 93.5% |
| Fundamental | 38.9% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 18.8% |
| Analyst Rating | 5.0 of 5 |
LLYVA Dividends
Currently no dividends paidLLYVA Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -43.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 84.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 95.4% |
| CAGR 5y | 43.20% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 1.94 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 6.53 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.00 |
| Alpha | 15.02 |
| Beta | 1.380 |
| Volatility | 30.28% |
| Current Volume | 145k |
| Average Volume 20d | 104.3k |
| Stop Loss | 77.4 (-3.3%) |
| Signal | 1.35 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (-287.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.50b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.25 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 26.04pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| error: NWC/Revenue cannot be calculated (needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev) |
| CFO/TA 0.27 (>3.0%) and CFO 364.0m > Net Income -287.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.17 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (91.8m) change vs 12m ago -0.17% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| error: Gross Margin (current vs previous) cannot be calculated (needs Total Revenue and Cost Of Revenue) |
| Asset Turnover 1970 % (prev 0.0%; Δ 1970 pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -10.70 (EBITDA TTM -251.0m / Interest Expense TTM 30.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 38.94
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.46% = 1.73 |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.35% = 0.34 |
| 4. Debt/Equity -3.46 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -5.82 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -29.78)% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE 79.17% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 78.35% = 5.88 |
| 9. EPS Trend -50.12% = -2.51 |
What is the price of LLYVA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.66%, over one month by -8.30%, over three months by -3.87% and over the past year by +41.31%.
Is Liberty Media Series a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of LLYVA is around 84.10 USD . This means that LLYVA is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 5.07%.
Is LLYVA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LLYVA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 116 | 44.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 116 | 44.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 94.4 | 17.9% |
LLYVA Fundamental Data Overview November 04, 2025
P/E Forward = 48.5437
P/B = 0.3351
Beta = 1.38
Revenue TTM = 24.94b USD
EBIT TTM = -321.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -251.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.56b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.77b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.77b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.46b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.73b USD (8.27b + Debt 1.77b - CCE 308.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -10.70 (Ebit TTM -321.0m / Interest Expense TTM 30.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.46% (FCF TTM 337.0m / Enterprise Value 9.73b)
FCF Margin = 1.35% (FCF TTM 337.0m / Revenue TTM 24.94b)
Net Margin = -1.15% (Net Income TTM -287.0m / Revenue TTM 24.94b)
Gross Margin = 95.73% ((Revenue TTM 24.94b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.06b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.91% (prev 36.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.10 (Enterprise Value 9.73b / Total Assets 1.37b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.45% (Interest Expense 8.00m / Debt 1.77b)
Taxrate = 21.59% (-49.0m / -227.0m)
NOPAT = -251.7m (EBIT -321.0m * (1 - 21.59%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.17 (Total Current Assets 309.0m / Total Current Liabilities 1.77b)
Debt / Equity = -3.46 (negative equity) (Debt 1.77b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -511.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = -5.82 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 1.46b / EBITDA -251.0m)
Debt / FCF = 4.34 (Net Debt 1.46b / FCF TTM 337.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -362.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -20.93% (Net Income -287.0m / Total Assets 1.37b)
RoE = 79.17% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -287.0m / Total Stockholder Equity -362.5m)
RoCE = -26.90% (EBIT -321.0m / Capital Employed (Equity -362.5m + L.T.Debt 1.56b))
RoIC = -20.57% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -251.7m / Invested Capital 1.22b)
WACC = 9.21% (E(8.27b)/V(10.04b) * Re(11.10%) + D(1.77b)/V(10.04b) * Rd(0.45%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 11.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.02% ; FCFE base≈337.0m ; Y1≈338.7m ; Y5≈362.8m
Fair Price DCF = 156.7 (DCF Value 4.01b / Shares Outstanding 25.6m; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -50.12 | EPS CAGR: -12.01% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 78.35 | Revenue CAGR: 29.83% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for LLYVA Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle