LLYVA Stock Analysis: Liberty Live Holdings | NASDAQ
Entertainment | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 8.647m USD | 12M Return: -2.1% | US5309091008 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 10.7M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 3 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: LLYVA) is a U.S.-based live entertainment company headquartered in Englewood, Colorado. Its operations span the full live events value chain, including the promotion of live music events, talent management for artists and athletes, and the operation of music venues. The company also generates revenue through ticket sales for both its own events and third-party clients, as well as through advertising services and sponsorship partnerships.
Structured as a tracking stock within the Liberty Media family, LLYVA offers public market exposure to the broader live entertainment ecosystem. The company sits within the Communication Services sector under the Movies & Entertainment sub-industry, a segment that also includes recorded music, filmed entertainment, and concert promotion peers. Its integrated model across promotion, venue ownership, ticketing, and sponsorship provides multiple touchpoints for monetizing live event audiences.
- Live Nation concert revenue grows on strong tour attendance
- Sponsorship and advertising demand expands across major venues
- Antitrust scrutiny over ticketing practices pressures margins
| Net Income: -95.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.25 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 33.26 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -78.82% < 20% (prev -5.86%; Δ -72.96% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.42 > 3% & CFO 845.4m > Net Income -95.1m |
| Net Debt (-1.39b) to EBITDA (438.9m): -3.17 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.25 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (92.0m) vs 12m ago 0.12% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.98% > 18% (prev 95.73%; Δ -60.75% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 145.7% > 50% (prev 1.82k%; Δ -1.67k% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.38 > 6 (EBIT TTM 64.3m / Interest Expense TTM 169.1m) |
| A: -0.97 (Total Current Assets 652.5m - Total Current Liabilities 2.60b) / Total Assets 2.01b |
| B: -0.50 (Retained Earnings -999.9m / Total Assets 2.01b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 64.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.69b) |
| D: -0.24 (Book Value of Equity -625.7m / Total Liabilities 2.62b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -7.95 = D |
| DSRI: 3.0 (Receivables 36.3m/1.00m, Revenue 2.46b/24.9b) |
| GMI: 2.74 (GM 95.73% / 34.98%) |
| AQI: 4.58 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 0.10 (Revenue 2.46b / 24.9b) |
| TATA: -0.47 (NI -95.1m - CFO 845.4m) / TA 2.01b) |
| Beneish M = 1.62 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of September 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 93.01 with a total of 185,302 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.03%, over one month by -6.99%, over three months by -2.03% and over the past year by -2.14%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 89.60 (which is 3.7% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Liberty Live Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy LLYVA.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 106 | 14% |
P/E Forward = 126.5823
P/S = 21.2465
P/B = 0.3351
Revenue TTM = 2.46b USD
EBIT TTM = 64.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 438.9m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
Short Term Debt = 72.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 72.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.39b USD (calculated: Debt 72.0m - CCE 1.47b)
Enterprise Value = 7.25b USD (8.65b + Debt 72.0m - CCE 1.47b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.38 (Ebit TTM 64.3m / Interest Expense TTM 169.1m)
EV/FCF = 14.58x (Enterprise Value 7.25b / FCF TTM 497.6m)
FCF Yield = 6.86% (FCF TTM 497.6m / Enterprise Value 7.25b)
FCF Margin = 20.19% (FCF TTM 497.6m / Revenue TTM 2.46b)
Net Margin = -3.86% (Net Income TTM -95.1m / Revenue TTM 2.46b)
Gross Margin = 34.98% ((Revenue TTM 2.46b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.60b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.22% (prev 8.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.60 (Enterprise Value 7.25b / Total Assets 2.01b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 234.8% (Interest Expense 169.1m / Debt 72.0m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 50.8m (EBIT 64.3m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.25 (Total Current Assets 652.5m / Total Current Liabilities 2.61b)
Debt / Equity = -0.12 (negative equity) (Debt 72.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -625.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.17 (Net Debt -1.39b / EBITDA 438.9m)
Debt / FCF = -2.80 (Net Debt -1.39b / FCF TTM 497.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.61b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -5.62% (Net Income -95.1m / Total Assets 2.01b)
RoE = -2.64% (Net Income TTM -95.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.61b)
RoCE = 1.78% (EBIT 64.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.61b + L.T.Debt 0.0))
RoIC = -8.01% (NOPAT 50.8m / Invested Capital -633.8m)
WACC = 8.15% (E(8.65b)/V(8.72b) * Re(8.22%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 8.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 2.05 | Cagr: -0.02%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈497.6m ; Y1≈499.6m ; Y5≈529.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 376.3 (EV 8.23b - Net Debt -1.39b = Equity 9.62b / Shares 25.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -2.18 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.99 | Chg30d=+21.34% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+309.5% | GrowthRev=+11.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+7.2%