LLYVA Stock Analysis: Liberty Live Holdings | NASDAQ
Entertainment | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 9.166m USD | 12M Return: 25.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 30.9M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 2.9 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: LLYVA) is a U.S.-based live entertainment company headquartered in Englewood, Colorado. Its operations span the full live events value chain, including the promotion of live music events, talent management for artists and athletes, and the operation of music venues. The company also generates revenue through ticket sales for both its own events and third-party clients, as well as through advertising services and sponsorship partnerships.
Structured as a tracking stock within the Liberty Media family, LLYVA offers public market exposure to the broader live entertainment ecosystem. The company sits within the Communication Services sector under the Movies & Entertainment sub-industry, a segment that also includes recorded music, filmed entertainment, and concert promotion peers. Its integrated model across promotion, venue ownership, ticketing, and sponsorship provides multiple touchpoints for monetizing live event audiences.
- Live Nation concert revenue grows on strong tour attendance
- Sponsorship and advertising demand expands across major venues
- Antitrust scrutiny over ticketing practices pressures margins
| Net Income: -278.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.70 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 17.55% < 20% (prev -4.79%; Δ 22.34% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 647.0m > Net Income -278.1m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.35 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (92.0m) vs 12m ago 0.12% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.14% > 18% (prev 98.79%; Δ -60.65% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 33.54% > 50% (prev 1.92k%; Δ -1.88k% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -2.34 > 6 (EBIT TTM -255.7m / Interest Expense TTM 109.1m) |
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 1.96b - Total Current Liabilities 1.45b) / Total Assets 15.9b |
| B: 0.49 (Retained Earnings 7.84b / Total Assets 15.9b) |
| C: -0.03 (EBIT TTM -255.7m / Avg Total Assets 8.56b) |
| D: 1.03 (Book Value of Equity 7.73b / Total Liabilities 7.49b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.70 = A |
As of July 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 101.09 with a total of 136,253 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.33%, over one month by +4.38%, over three months by +3.24% and over the past year by +25.81%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 96.00 (which is 5% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).
Liberty Live Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy LLYVA.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 106 | 4.9% |
P/E Forward = 126.5823
P/S = 23.0016
P/B = 0.3351
Revenue TTM = 2.87b USD
EBIT TTM = -255.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -98.1m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
Short Term Debt = 53.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 53.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.28b USD (calculated: Debt 53.0m - CCE 1.33b)
Enterprise Value = 7.89b USD (9.17b + Debt 53.0m - CCE 1.33b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.34 (Ebit TTM -255.7m / Interest Expense TTM 109.1m)
EV/FCF = 12.19x (Enterprise Value 7.89b / FCF TTM 647.0m)
FCF Yield = 8.20% (FCF TTM 647.0m / Enterprise Value 7.89b)
FCF Margin = 22.53% (FCF TTM 647.0m / Revenue TTM 2.87b)
Net Margin = -9.68% (Net Income TTM -278.1m / Revenue TTM 2.87b)
Gross Margin = 38.14% ((Revenue TTM 2.87b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.78b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 8.87% (prev 19.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.50 (Enterprise Value 7.89b / Total Assets 15.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 205.8% (Interest Expense 109.1m / Debt 53.0m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -202.0m (EBIT -255.7m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.35 (Total Current Assets 1.96b / Total Current Liabilities 1.45b)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 53.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.73b)
Debt / EBITDA = 13.04 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -1.28b / EBITDA -98.1m)
Debt / FCF = -1.98 (Net Debt -1.28b / FCF TTM 647.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.64b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.25% (Net Income -278.1m / Total Assets 15.9b)
RoE = -7.65% (Net Income TTM -278.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.64b)
RoCE = -7.03% (EBIT -255.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.64b + L.T.Debt 0.0))
RoIC = -1.41% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -202.0m / Invested Capital 14.3b)
WACC = 9.02% (E(9.17b)/V(9.22b) * Re(9.07%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 5.33 | Cagr: 0.09%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.84% ; FCFF base≈431.4m ; Y1≈494.5m ; Y5≈727.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 433.3 (EV 9.80b - Net Debt -1.28b = Equity 11.1b / Shares 25.6m; r=9.02% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -2.79 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.80 | Chg30d=+11.11% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.46 | Chg30d=+15.87% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.99 | Chg30d=+21.34% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+309.5% | GrowthRev=+4.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+7.0%