LLYVK Stock Analysis: Liberty Live Holdings | NASDAQ

Entertainment | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 9.636m USD | 12M Return: 17% | US5309093087 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Live Events, Talent Management, Venue Operations, Ticket Sales
Total Rating 22
Safety 22
Buy Signal -0.52
Entertainment
Industry Rotation: -0.1
Market Cap: 9.64B
Avg Turnover: 24.3M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility27.3%
VaR 5th Pctl4.60%
VaR vs Median2.02%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.53
Rel. Str. IBD74.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group51.7 pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.597
Beta Downside0.625
Hurst Exponent0.512
Choppyness60.2%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD24.12%
CAGR/Max DD1.86
CAGR/Mean DD6.29

Warnings

Negative Equity With Losses
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 3.1 years of data

Jan +0.6% 0
Feb +6.7% 0
Mar -8.6% 43
Apr +0.4% 0
May +1.7% 0
Jun +5.8% 40
Jul -3.4% 30
Aug +5.5% 40
Sep -3.1% 16
Oct -1.0% 0
Nov +1.7% 0
Dec -3.8% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: LLYVK Liberty Live Holdings

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: LLYVK) is a live entertainment company headquartered in Englewood, Colorado. It promotes live music events, manages artists and athletes, operates music venues, sells tickets for both its own events and third-party clients, offers advertising services, and builds sponsorship relationships. The company has traded on NASDAQ since its IPO on August 4, 2023, and is classified within the GICS Communication Services sector under the Movies & Entertainment sub-industry.

As a live entertainment operator, Liberty Lives business model combines several complementary revenue streams, including event promotion, ticketing, venue operations, talent management, and sponsorship/advertising. Its placement in the Movies & Entertainment sub-industry groups it with publicly listed film, television, and media peers that share content creation and audience distribution characteristics.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Live Nation concert revenue drives Liberty Live growth
  • Operating leverage improves margins as ticket sales scale
  • Consumer spending pressures live event attendance demand
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.0
Net Income: -457.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.34 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -296.9% < 20% (prev -5.86%; Δ -291.0% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.00 > 3% & CFO -7.33m > Net Income -457.5m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 0.25 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (92.0m) vs 12m ago 0.18% < -2%
Gross Margin: 18.66% > 18% (prev 95.73%; Δ -77.07% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 38.68% > 50% (prev 1.82k%; Δ -1.78k% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -16.63 > 6 (EBIT TTM -497.9m / Interest Expense TTM 29.9m)
Altman Z'' -10.18
A: -0.97 (Total Current Assets 652.5m - Total Current Liabilities 2.60b) / Total Assets 2.01b
B: -0.50 (Retained Earnings -999.9m / Total Assets 2.01b)
C: -0.29 (EBIT TTM -497.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.69b)
D: -0.24 (Book Value of Equity -625.7m / Total Liabilities 2.62b)
Altman-Z'' = -10.18 = D
Beneish M 1.00
DSRI: 3.0 (Receivables 48.6m/1.00m, Revenue 654.4m/24.9b)
GMI: 5.13 (GM 95.73% / 18.66%)
AQI: 4.58 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.02)
SGI: 0.03 (Revenue 654.4m / 24.9b)
TATA: -0.22 (NI -457.5m - CFO -7.33m) / TA 2.01b)
Beneish M = 3.76 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of LLYVK shares?

As of November 04, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 105.87 with a total of 303,256 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.57%, over one month by +7.08%, over three months by +2.94% and over the past year by +16.96%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 99.90 (which is 5.6% or 2.6 ATR below the current price).

Is LLYVK a buy, sell or hold?

Liberty Live Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy LLYVK.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LLYVK price?
Analysts Target Price 122 15.2%
Liberty Live Holdings (LLYVK) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 9.64b (9.64b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 129.8701
P/S = 23.6769
P/B = 0.3458
Revenue TTM = 654.4m USD
EBIT TTM = -497.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = -346.7m USD
 Long Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
 Short Term Debt = 2.13b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.13b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.60b USD (calculated: Debt 2.13b - CCE 523.3m)
Enterprise Value = 11.2b USD (9.64b + Debt 2.13b - CCE 523.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -16.63 (Ebit TTM -497.9m / Interest Expense TTM 29.9m)
EV/FCF = -1000.0x (Enterprise Value 11.2b / FCF TTM -7.33m)
FCF Yield = -0.07% (FCF TTM -7.33m / Enterprise Value 11.2b)
FCF Margin = -1.12% (FCF TTM -7.33m / Revenue TTM 654.4m)
Net Margin = -69.92% (Net Income TTM -457.5m / Revenue TTM 654.4m)
Gross Margin = 18.66% ((Revenue TTM 654.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 532.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.58% (prev 8.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.58 (Enterprise Value 11.2b / Total Assets 2.01b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.41% (Interest Expense 29.9m / Debt 2.13b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -393.3m (EBIT -497.9m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.25 (Total Current Assets 652.5m / Total Current Liabilities 2.60b)
 Debt / Equity = -3.40 (negative equity) (Debt 2.13b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -625.7m)
 Debt / EBITDA = -4.62 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 1.60b / EBITDA -346.7m)
 Debt / FCF = -218.6 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 1.60b / FCF TTM -7.33m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = -350.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -27.04% (Net Income -457.5m / Total Assets 2.01b)
 RoE = 130.6% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -457.5m / Total Stockholder Equity -350.4m)
 RoCE = 142.1% (negative capital employed) (EBIT -497.9m / Capital Employed (Equity -350.4m + L.T.Debt 0.0))
 RoIC = -26.03% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -393.3m / Invested Capital 1.51b)
 WACC = 6.47% (E(9.64b)/V(11.8b) * Re(7.65%) + D(2.13b)/V(11.8b) * Rd(1.41%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 13.92 | Cagr: 0.00%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -7.33m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -2.11 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.06 | Chg30d=-5.36% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-7.69 | Chg30d=-133.03% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+11.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-3.38 | Chg30d=-18.18% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+56.0% | GrowthRev=+7.2%