LLYVK Stock Analysis: Liberty Live Holdings | NASDAQ

Entertainment | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 9.740m USD | 12M Return: 28.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Live Events, Artist Management, Venue Operations, Ticketing
Total Rating 32
Safety 53
Buy Signal -0.23
Entertainment
Industry Rotation: +1.5
Market Cap: 9.74B
Avg Turnover: 48.4M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility31.1%
VaR 5th Pctl5.20%
VaR vs Median1.75%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.97
Rel. Str. IBD64.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group46.8
Character TTM
Beta0.898
Beta Downside0.859
Hurst Exponent0.499
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD24.12%
CAGR/Max DD1.75
CAGR/Mean DD5.35

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Fakeout

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 2.9 years of data

Jan +0.6% 0
Feb +6.7% 0
Mar -8.6% 41
Apr +0.4% 0
May +1.7% 0
Jun +4.2% 32
Jul -0.6% -
Aug +4.9% 31
Sep +8.7% 0
Oct -1.0% 0
Nov +1.7% 0
Dec -3.8% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: LLYVK Liberty Live Holdings

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: LLLVK) is a live entertainment company headquartered in Englewood, Colorado, that operates across multiple segments of the live events value chain. Its activities include promoting live music events, managing artists and athletes, operating music venues, and selling tickets for both its own events and third-party clients. The company also generates revenue through advertising services and by building and maintaining relationships with sponsors.

As a mid-cap stock in the Communication Services sector, Liberty Live Holdings began trading in August 2023 following its spinoff, and its business model spans concert promotion, talent management, venue operations, ticketing, and sponsorship/advertising. This diversified approach allows the company to capture revenue from multiple touchpoints in the live entertainment ecosystem rather than relying on a single source of income. Its position within the Movies & Entertainment sub-industry places it alongside other publicly traded live event and media companies that benefit from continued consumer demand for in-person entertainment experiences.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Live Nation ticket sales and pricing power drive revenue growth
  • Sponsorship and advertising revenue scales with global event attendance
  • Consumer discretionary spending on live concerts and festivals remains resilient
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.5
Net Income: -278.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.70 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 17.55% < 20% (prev -4.79%; Δ 22.34% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 647.0m > Net Income -278.1m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.35 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (92.0m) vs 12m ago 0.12% < -2%
Gross Margin: 38.14% > 18% (prev 98.79%; Δ -60.65% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 33.54% > 50% (prev 1.92k%; Δ -1.88k% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -2.34 > 6 (EBIT TTM -255.7m / Interest Expense TTM 109.1m)
Altman Z'' 2.70
A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 1.96b - Total Current Liabilities 1.45b) / Total Assets 15.9b
B: 0.49 (Retained Earnings 7.84b / Total Assets 15.9b)
C: -0.03 (EBIT TTM -255.7m / Avg Total Assets 8.56b)
D: 1.03 (Book Value of Equity 7.73b / Total Liabilities 7.49b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.70 = A
What is the price of LLYVK shares?

As of July 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 105.00 with a total of 247,379 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.17%, over one month by +4.34%, over three months by +4.59% and over the past year by +28.44%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 99.30 (which is 5.4% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).

Is LLYVK a buy, sell or hold?

Liberty Live Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy LLYVK.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LLYVK price?
Analysts Target Price 115 9.5%
Liberty Live Holdings (LLYVK) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 9.74b (9.74b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 129.8701
P/S = 24.4399
P/B = 0.3458
Revenue TTM = 2.87b USD
EBIT TTM = -255.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -98.1m USD
 Long Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
 Short Term Debt = 53.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 53.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.28b USD (calculated: Debt 53.0m - CCE 1.33b)
Enterprise Value = 8.46b USD (9.74b + Debt 53.0m - CCE 1.33b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.34 (Ebit TTM -255.7m / Interest Expense TTM 109.1m)
EV/FCF = 13.08x (Enterprise Value 8.46b / FCF TTM 647.0m)
FCF Yield = 7.65% (FCF TTM 647.0m / Enterprise Value 8.46b)
FCF Margin = 22.53% (FCF TTM 647.0m / Revenue TTM 2.87b)
Net Margin = -9.68% (Net Income TTM -278.1m / Revenue TTM 2.87b)
Gross Margin = 38.14% ((Revenue TTM 2.87b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.78b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 8.87% (prev 19.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.53 (Enterprise Value 8.46b / Total Assets 15.9b)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 205.8% (Interest Expense 109.1m / Debt 53.0m)
 Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -202.0m (EBIT -255.7m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.35 (Total Current Assets 1.96b / Total Current Liabilities 1.45b)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 53.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.73b)
 Debt / EBITDA = 13.04 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -1.28b / EBITDA -98.1m)
 Debt / FCF = -1.98 (Net Debt -1.28b / FCF TTM 647.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.64b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.25% (Net Income -278.1m / Total Assets 15.9b)
RoE = -7.65% (Net Income TTM -278.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.64b)
RoCE = -7.03% (EBIT -255.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.64b + L.T.Debt 0.0))
 RoIC = -1.41% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -202.0m / Invested Capital 14.3b)
 WACC = 9.09% (E(9.74b)/V(9.79b) * Re(9.14%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 5.33 | Cagr: 0.09%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.61% ; FCFF base≈431.4m ; Y1≈494.5m ; Y5≈727.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 171.7 (EV 9.69b - Net Debt -1.28b = Equity 11.0b / Shares 63.9m; r=9.09% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -2.46 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.42 | Chg30d=-20.75% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.12 | Chg30d=-5.08% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-3.30 | Chg30d=-540.00% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+4.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-2.86 | Chg30d=-323.44% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+13.3% | GrowthRev=+7.0%