(LOPE) Grand Canyon Education - Overview

Sector: Consumer Defensive | Industry: Education & Training Services | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 4.657m USD | Total Return: -4.8% in 12m

Education, Technology, Support, Marketing, Finance

Total Rating 47

Safety 82

Buy Signal -0.36

Education & Training Services
Industry Rotation: -11.9

Market Cap: 4.66B
Avg Turnover: 36.9M USD

ATR: 2.95%
Peers RS (IBD): 32.4

Risk 5d forecast

Volatility26.1%

Rel. Tail Risk-7.18%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-0.07

Alpha-20.53

Character TTM

Beta0.517

Beta Downside1.350

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD31.62%

CAGR/Max DD0.37

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -38.56%
EPS Trend: 4.6%

Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 6.40%
Rev. Trend: 62.9%

Last SUE: 0.02
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: LOPE Grand Canyon Education

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) is a Phoenix-based education services provider that supports post-secondary institutions through a comprehensive suite of operational and academic technologies. The company operates as an Educational Service Provider (ESP), a model that allows universities to outsource non-academic functions such as marketing, financial aid processing, and data analytics while maintaining institutional control over degree programs.

The company’s service portfolio includes learning management systems, faculty training, and clinical simulation lab sites for specialized programs. LOPE currently maintains partnerships with 20 university partners, providing the infrastructure necessary for these institutions to scale online and hybrid learning environments. This asset-light business model shifts the capital intensive nature of campus management toward a recurring service-based revenue stream.

Investors may find additional data points on ValueRay useful for evaluating the companys long-term growth trajectory.

Founded in 1949 and formerly known as Significant Education, Inc., the firm has evolved from a traditional campus operator into a technology-driven service entity. Within the Education Services sub-industry, such providers are increasingly critical as traditional colleges seek to lower administrative overhead and expand their digital footprint to reach non-traditional students.

Headlines to Watch Out For

University partner growth drives service revenue expansion
Regulatory changes impact higher education enrollment
Technology service demand from universities increases
Marketing efficiency affects student acquisition costs

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 7.0

Net Income: 216.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.24 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.75 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 26.26% < 20% (prev 29.91%; Δ -3.66% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.28 > 3% & CFO 273.5m > Net Income 216.2m
Net Debt (-100.0m) to EBITDA (316.1m): -0.32 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.65 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (27.6m) vs 12m ago -4.38% < -2%
Gross Margin: 52.81% > 18% (prev 0.53%; Δ 5.23k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 110.0% > 50% (prev 101.4%; Δ 8.59% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBITDA TTM and Interest Expense TTM)

Altman Z'' 10.00

A: 0.29 (Total Current Assets 400.2m - Total Current Liabilities 109.8m) / Total Assets 992.3m
B: 2.71 (Retained Earnings 2.69b / Total Assets 992.3m)
C: 0.27 (EBIT TTM 276.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.01b)
D: 10.96 (Book Value of Equity 2.69b / Total Liabilities 245.4m)
Altman-Z'' Score: 24.10 = AAA

Beneish M -3.06

DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 86.7m/83.4m, Revenue 1.11b/1.03b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 52.81% / 52.70%)
AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.32 / AQ_t-1 0.32)
SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 1.11b / 1.03b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 216.2m - CFO 273.5m) / TA 992.3m)
Beneish M-Score: -3.06 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

What is the price of LOPE shares? As of April 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 165.76 with a total of 241,631 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.01%, over one month by +1.09%, over three months by -4.93% and over the past year by -4.80%.

Is LOPE a buy, sell or hold? Grand Canyon Education has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy LOPE.

StrongBuy: 1
Buy: 2
Hold: 0
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LOPE price?

Analysts Target Price	213	28.5%

Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 14 April 2026

P/E Trailing = 21.5979
P/E Forward = 16.4745
P/S = 4.2107
P/B = 6.0513
P/EG = 1.0991
Revenue TTM = 1.11b USD
EBIT TTM = 276.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 316.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 107.3m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 14.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 200.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -100.0m USD (recalculated: Debt 200.1m - CCE 300.1m)
Enterprise Value = 4.56b USD (4.66b + Debt 200.1m - CCE 300.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 276.2m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 19.10x (Enterprise Value 4.56b / FCF TTM 238.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.24% (FCF TTM 238.6m / Enterprise Value 4.56b)
FCF Margin = 21.58% (FCF TTM 238.6m / Revenue TTM 1.11b)
Net Margin = 19.54% (Net Income TTM 216.2m / Revenue TTM 1.11b)
Gross Margin = 52.81% ((Revenue TTM 1.11b - Cost of Revenue TTM 521.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.91% (prev 49.68%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.59 (Enterprise Value 4.56b / Total Assets 992.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 200.1m)
Taxrate = 22.41% (25.0m / 111.8m)
NOPAT = 214.3m (EBIT 276.2m * (1 - 22.41%))
Current Ratio = 3.65 (Total Current Assets 400.2m / Total Current Liabilities 109.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.27 (Debt 200.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 746.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.32 (Net Debt -100.0m / EBITDA 316.1m)
Debt / FCF = -0.42 (Net Debt -100.0m / FCF TTM 238.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 765.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 21.50% (Net Income 216.2m / Total Assets 992.3m)
RoE = 28.22% (Net Income TTM 216.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 765.9m)
RoCE = 31.62% (EBIT 276.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 765.9m + L.T.Debt 107.3m))
RoIC = 27.98% (NOPAT 214.3m / Invested Capital 765.9m)
WACC = 7.48% (E(4.66b)/V(4.86b) * Re(7.80%) + D(200.1m)/V(4.86b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.69%
[DCF] Terminal Value 81.25% ; FCFF base≈244.2m ; Y1≈260.0m ; Y5≈312.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 230.9 (EV 6.17b - Net Debt -100.0m = Equity 6.27b / Shares 27.1m; r=7.48% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 7.16% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 4.57 | EPS CAGR: -38.56% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 62.88 | Revenue CAGR: 6.40% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.69 | Chg7d=-0.030 | Chg30d=-0.030 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.09 | Chg7d=+0.157 | Chg30d=+0.157 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+11.1% | Growth Revenue=+6.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=11.23 | Chg7d=+11.230 | Chg30d=+11.230 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+11.3% | Growth Revenue=+6.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 3.3% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 4.6%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +2.8% (Analyst 6.1% - Implied 3.3%)

External Resources

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