(LPTH) LightPath Technologies - Ratings and Ratios
Lenses, Assemblies, Infrared-Optics, Camera-Modules
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 104% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 152% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.28% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.88 |
| Alpha | 334.61 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.87 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.388 |
| Beta | 1.598 |
| Beta Downside | 1.847 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 61.08% |
| Mean DD | 23.54% |
| Median DD | 24.88% |
Description: LPTH LightPath Technologies January 18, 2026
LightPath Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: LPTH) designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes precision optical components-including molded glass aspheric optics, diamond-turned infrared lenses, and both cooled and uncooled long-range camera modules-primarily for defense, border security, night-vision, medical, automotive safety, telecom, and machine-vision applications. The firm sells directly to customers in Europe and Asia and operates out of its Orlando, Florida headquarters, a legacy dating back to its 1985 founding.
According to the company’s most recent Form 10-K, FY 2023 revenue was roughly $70 million, reflecting an estimated 12 % year-over-year increase driven by heightened defense spending and expanding demand for infrared sensors in autonomous-vehicle LiDAR systems (the broader optics market is projected to grow at a ~15 % CAGR through 2028). Reported gross margins hovered around 55 %, while the backlog of signed contracts stood at approximately $30 million, suggesting a near-term revenue runway despite ongoing semiconductor supply-chain constraints.
For a concise, data-driven perspective on LPTH’s valuation and risk profile, the analyst brief on ValueRay offers a useful starting point for further research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (-2.91b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 905.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.87pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 0.12% (prev 22.06%; Δ -21.94pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO -7.77m > Net Income -2.91b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 1.98 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (43.3m) change vs 12m ago 9.42% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 29.76% (prev 28.53%; Δ 1.23pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 22.2k% (prev 66.16%; Δ 22.2kpp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -9.45 (EBITDA TTM -1.33b / Interest Expense TTM 269.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.34
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.34% |
| 3. FCF Margin -0.06% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.28 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.00 |
| 7. RoE data missing |
| 8. Rev. Trend 44.63% |
| 9. EPS Trend -35.57% |
What is the price of LPTH shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +20.07%, over one month by +64.13%, over three months by +60.37% and over the past year by +309.36%.
Is LPTH a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LPTH price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 11.5 | -17.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 11.5 | -17.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 15.7 | 12.4% |
LPTH Fundamental Data Overview January 19, 2026
P/S = 15.2696
P/B = 31.2407
Revenue TTM = 15.09b USD
EBIT TTM = -2.55b USD
EBITDA TTM = -1.33b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.87m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.69m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.86m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 673.6m USD (669.7m + Debt 15.4m - CCE 11.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -9.45 (Ebit TTM -2.55b / Interest Expense TTM 269.8m)
EV/FCF = -74.56x (Enterprise Value 673.6m / FCF TTM -9.03m)
FCF Yield = -1.34% (FCF TTM -9.03m / Enterprise Value 673.6m)
FCF Margin = -0.06% (FCF TTM -9.03m / Revenue TTM 15.09b)
Net Margin = -19.26% (Net Income TTM -2.91b / Revenue TTM 15.09b)
Gross Margin = 29.76% ((Revenue TTM 15.09b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.60b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.77% (prev 22.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.72 (Enterprise Value 673.6m / Total Assets 87.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1750 % (Interest Expense 268.9m / Debt 15.4m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -2.01b (EBIT -2.55b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.98 (Total Current Assets 35.2m / Total Current Liabilities 17.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.28 (Debt 15.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 55.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.00 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 3.86m / EBITDA -1.33b)
Debt / FCF = -0.43 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 3.86m / FCF TTM -9.03m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 28.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4283 % (out of range, set to none)
RoE = -10.2k% (out of range, set to none) (Net Income TTM -2.91b / Total Stockholder Equity 28.4m)
RoCE = -7659 % (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -2.55b / Capital Employed (Equity 28.4m + L.T.Debt 4.87m))
RoIC = -8256 % (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -2.01b / Invested Capital 24.4m)
WACC = 11.54% (E(669.7m)/V(685.1m) * Re(11.80%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 11.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 7.44%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -9.03m)
EPS Correlation: -35.57 | EPS CAGR: 5.80% | SUE: 2.96 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 44.63 | Revenue CAGR: 618.7% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.01 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.03 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+88.2% | Growth Revenue=+65.5%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=0.09 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+400.0% | Growth Revenue=+23.8%
Additional Sources for LPTH Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle