(LULU) Lululemon Athletica - Ratings and Ratios
Apparel, Footwear, Accessories, Yoga, Running
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 49.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 72.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.53% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.24 |
| Alpha | -66.98 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.22 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.658 |
| Beta | 1.175 |
| Beta Downside | 0.822 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 68.73% |
| Mean DD | 29.86% |
| Median DD | 31.61% |
Description: LULU Lululemon Athletica December 19, 2025
Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ:LULU) designs, distributes, and retails technical athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories for men and women under the Lululemon brand across North America, Greater China, and other international markets. Its product mix includes yoga-centric pants, shorts, tops, jackets, and fitness-inspired accessories, sold through company-operated stores, seasonal pop-ups, university campus locations, yoga studios, outlet channels, the “Like New” resale program, and a direct-to-consumer e-commerce platform.
Key operating metrics from FY 2023 show revenue of **$8.6 billion**, a **13% same-store sales growth** in North America, and **digital sales accounting for roughly 30% of total revenue**, reflecting the brand’s strong omnichannel execution. Gross margin remained near **55%**, while inventory turnover accelerated to **4.2 x**, indicating efficient stock management amid ongoing supply-chain tightening. Primary economic drivers include discretionary consumer spending trends tied to health-and-wellness sentiment, inflation-adjusted pricing power, and exposure to the high-growth Greater China market, which historically contributes ~15% of total sales.
For a deeper, data-driven look at LULU’s valuation and risk profile, check out the analyst toolkit on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 1.74b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -8.33 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 18.80% < 20% (prev 17.70%; Δ 1.10% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 > 3% & CFO 1.86b > Net Income 1.74b |
| Net Debt (726.9m) to EBITDA (2.95b): 0.25 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.13 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (118.6m) vs 12m ago -3.46% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 58.41% > 18% (prev 0.59%; Δ 5782 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 147.3% > 50% (prev 143.7%; Δ 3.53% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -90.48 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.95b / Interest Expense TTM -27.1m) |
Altman Z'' 6.81
| A: 0.26 (Total Current Assets 3.92b - Total Current Liabilities 1.84b) / Total Assets 7.96b |
| B: 0.53 (Retained Earnings 4.20b / Total Assets 7.96b) |
| C: 0.33 (EBIT TTM 2.46b / Avg Total Assets 7.52b) |
| D: 1.12 (Book Value of Equity 3.86b / Total Liabilities 3.45b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 6.81 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.31
| DSRI: 0.57 (Receivables 250.3m/400.8m, Revenue 11.07b/10.18b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 58.41% / 58.85%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 11.07b / 10.18b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 1.74b - CFO 1.86b) / TA 7.96b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.31 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 83.26
| 1. Piotroski: 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 4.57% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 10.19% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 0.39 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 0.25 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 29.43% |
| 7. RoE: 39.78% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 60.76% |
| 9. EPS Trend: 39.81% |
What is the price of LULU shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.22%, over one month by -8.57%, over three months by +5.34% and over the past year by -52.58%.
Is LULU a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 16
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the LULU price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 209.4 | 9.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 209.4 | 9.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 174.3 | -8.8% |
LULU Fundamental Data Overview January 19, 2026
P/E Forward = 15.5763
P/S = 2.1619
P/B = 5.26
P/EG = 1.8957
Revenue TTM = 11.07b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.46b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.95b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.76b USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 317.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.76b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 726.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 24.67b USD (23.94b + Debt 1.76b - CCE 1.04b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -90.48 (Ebit TTM 2.46b / Interest Expense TTM -27.1m)
EV/FCF = 21.86x (Enterprise Value 24.67b / FCF TTM 1.13b)
FCF Yield = 4.57% (FCF TTM 1.13b / Enterprise Value 24.67b)
FCF Margin = 10.19% (FCF TTM 1.13b / Revenue TTM 11.07b)
Net Margin = 15.72% (Net Income TTM 1.74b / Revenue TTM 11.07b)
Gross Margin = 58.41% ((Revenue TTM 11.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.61b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.57% (prev 58.50%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.10 (Enterprise Value 24.67b / Total Assets 7.96b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.46% (Interest Expense 8.03m / Debt 1.76b)
Taxrate = 30.54% (134.9m / 441.7m)
NOPAT = 1.71b (EBIT 2.46b * (1 - 30.54%))
Current Ratio = 2.13 (Total Current Assets 3.92b / Total Current Liabilities 1.84b)
Debt / Equity = 0.39 (Debt 1.76b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.50b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.25 (Net Debt 726.9m / EBITDA 2.95b)
Debt / FCF = 0.64 (Net Debt 726.9m / FCF TTM 1.13b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.38b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 23.15% (Net Income 1.74b / Total Assets 7.96b)
RoE = 39.78% (Net Income TTM 1.74b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.38b)
RoCE = 40.01% (EBIT 2.46b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.38b + L.T.Debt 1.76b))
RoIC = 38.99% (NOPAT 1.71b / Invested Capital 4.38b)
WACC = 9.56% (E(23.94b)/V(25.70b) * Re(10.24%) + D(1.76b)/V(25.70b) * Rd(0.46%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 10.24% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.30%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.91% ; FCFF base≈1.31b ; Y1≈1.58b ; Y5≈2.52b
Fair Price DCF = 283.3 (EV 32.51b - Net Debt 726.9m = Equity 31.78b / Shares 112.2m; r=9.56% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 21.34% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 39.81 | EPS CAGR: -6.78% | SUE: -3.74 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 60.76 | Revenue CAGR: 5.10% | SUE: 3.85 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=2.10 | Chg30d=+0.004 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=15
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=12.67 | Chg30d=+0.032 | Revisions Net=-5 | Growth EPS=-2.9% | Growth Revenue=+4.3%
Additional Sources for LULU Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle