(LULU) Lululemon Athletica - Ratings and Ratios
Apparel, Footwear, Accessories, Yoga, Running
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 48.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 71.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.02% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.07 |
| Alpha | -63.60 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.20 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.549 |
| Beta | 1.118 |
| Beta Downside | 0.736 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 68.73% |
| Mean DD | 28.85% |
| Median DD | 29.69% |
Description: LULU Lululemon Athletica December 19, 2025
Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ:LULU) designs, distributes, and retails technical athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories for men and women under the Lululemon brand across North America, Greater China, and other international markets. Its product mix includes yoga-centric pants, shorts, tops, jackets, and fitness-inspired accessories, sold through company-operated stores, seasonal pop-ups, university campus locations, yoga studios, outlet channels, the “Like New” resale program, and a direct-to-consumer e-commerce platform.
Key operating metrics from FY 2023 show revenue of **$8.6 billion**, a **13% same-store sales growth** in North America, and **digital sales accounting for roughly 30% of total revenue**, reflecting the brand’s strong omnichannel execution. Gross margin remained near **55%**, while inventory turnover accelerated to **4.2 x**, indicating efficient stock management amid ongoing supply-chain tightening. Primary economic drivers include discretionary consumer spending trends tied to health-and-wellness sentiment, inflation-adjusted pricing power, and exposure to the high-growth Greater China market, which historically contributes ~15% of total sales.
For a deeper, data-driven look at LULU’s valuation and risk profile, check out the analyst toolkit on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (1.74b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 664.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -8.33pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 18.80% (prev 17.70%; Δ 1.10pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.86b > Net Income 1.74b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (726.9m) to EBITDA (2.95b) ratio: 0.25 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.13 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (118.6m) change vs 12m ago -3.46% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 58.41% (prev 58.85%; Δ -0.44pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 147.3% (prev 143.7%; Δ 3.53pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -90.48 (EBITDA TTM 2.95b / Interest Expense TTM -27.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 6.81
| (A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 3.92b - Total Current Liabilities 1.84b) / Total Assets 7.96b |
| (B) 0.53 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.20b / Total Assets 7.96b |
| (C) 0.33 = EBIT TTM 2.46b / Avg Total Assets 7.52b |
| (D) 1.12 = Book Value of Equity 3.86b / Total Liabilities 3.45b |
| Total Rating: 6.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 82.19
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.42% |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.19% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.39 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.25 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 29.50)% |
| 7. RoE 39.78% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 60.76% |
| 9. EPS Trend 39.81% |
What is the price of LULU shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.23%, over one month by +13.92%, over three months by +16.79% and over the past year by -45.66%.
Is LULU a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 16
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the LULU price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 207.1 | -0.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 207.1 | -0.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 202.7 | -2.5% |
LULU Fundamental Data Overview December 28, 2025
P/E Trailing = 14.532
P/E Forward = 16.2866
P/S = 2.238
P/B = 5.4822
P/EG = 1.155
Beta = 1.012
Revenue TTM = 11.07b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.46b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.95b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.76b USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 317.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.76b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 726.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 25.51b USD (24.78b + Debt 1.76b - CCE 1.04b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -90.48 (Ebit TTM 2.46b / Interest Expense TTM -27.1m)
FCF Yield = 4.42% (FCF TTM 1.13b / Enterprise Value 25.51b)
FCF Margin = 10.19% (FCF TTM 1.13b / Revenue TTM 11.07b)
Net Margin = 15.72% (Net Income TTM 1.74b / Revenue TTM 11.07b)
Gross Margin = 58.41% ((Revenue TTM 11.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.61b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.57% (prev 58.50%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.21 (Enterprise Value 25.51b / Total Assets 7.96b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.46% (Interest Expense 8.03m / Debt 1.76b)
Taxrate = 30.54% (134.9m / 441.7m)
NOPAT = 1.71b (EBIT 2.46b * (1 - 30.54%))
Current Ratio = 2.13 (Total Current Assets 3.92b / Total Current Liabilities 1.84b)
Debt / Equity = 0.39 (Debt 1.76b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.50b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.25 (Net Debt 726.9m / EBITDA 2.95b)
Debt / FCF = 0.64 (Net Debt 726.9m / FCF TTM 1.13b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.38b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 21.88% (Net Income 1.74b / Total Assets 7.96b)
RoE = 39.78% (Net Income TTM 1.74b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.38b)
RoCE = 40.01% (EBIT 2.46b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.38b + L.T.Debt 1.76b))
RoIC = 38.99% (NOPAT 1.71b / Invested Capital 4.38b)
WACC = 9.49% (E(24.78b)/V(26.54b) * Re(10.14%) + D(1.76b)/V(26.54b) * Rd(0.46%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 10.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.30%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.46% ; FCFE base≈1.31b ; Y1≈1.58b ; Y5≈2.53b
Fair Price DCF = 269.1 (DCF Value 30.19b / Shares Outstanding 112.2m; 5y FCF grow 21.34% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 39.81 | EPS CAGR: -6.78% | SUE: -3.74 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 60.76 | Revenue CAGR: 5.10% | SUE: 3.85 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=2.10 | Chg30d=-0.128 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=13
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=12.63 | Chg30d=-0.556 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=-3.0% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%
Additional Sources for LULU Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle