(LULU) Lululemon Athletica - Ratings and Ratios
Apparel, Footwear, Accessories
LULU EPS (Earnings per Share)
LULU Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 59.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 76.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -21.79% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.10 |
| Alpha | -62.23 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.562 |
| Beta | 1.151 |
| Beta Downside | 0.841 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 68.73% |
| Mean DD | 27.83% |
| Median DD | 24.94% |
Description: LULU Lululemon Athletica October 16, 2025
Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ:LULU) designs, distributes, and retails technical athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories for men and women under the Lululemon brand across North America, Greater China, and other international markets. Its product mix includes pants, shorts, tops, jackets, and fitness-inspired accessories, sold through company-operated stores, seasonal pop-ups, university campus retailers, yoga studios, outlet locations, a “Like New” re-commerce program, and its e-commerce platform.
Key recent metrics: FY2023 revenue reached approximately $8.6 billion, reflecting a 19% YoY increase driven largely by a 25% rise in comparable store sales in North America and a 30% jump in e-commerce contribution (now roughly 30% of total sales). Inventory turnover accelerated to 3.2×, indicating tighter supply-chain management, while the company’s gross margin held near 55%, supported by premium pricing and a shift toward higher-margin “core” product lines. Macro drivers include sustained consumer spending on health-and-wellness apparel, a resilient discretionary sector despite higher interest rates, and favorable demographics in the U.S. and China that prioritize active-lifestyle brands.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of Lululemon’s valuation and risk profile, consider exploring the analytical tools and dashboards available on ValueRay.
LULU Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 19,701m |
| Sub-Industry | Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods |
| IPO / Inception | 2007-07-27 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -54.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.83 of 5 |
LULU Dividends
Currently no dividends paidLULU Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | -21.30% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.31 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.77 |
| Current Volume | 1947.2k |
| Average Volume | 3023.1k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income (1.79b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 654.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.16 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -9.67pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 18.08% (prev 21.05%; Δ -2.97pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.25 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.91b > Net Income 1.79b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (606.9m) to EBITDA (2.99b) ratio: 0.20 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.27 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (119.7m) change vs 12m ago -4.15% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 59.10% (prev 58.54%; Δ 0.56pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 152.9% (prev 148.1%; Δ 4.73pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -61.26 (EBITDA TTM 2.99b / Interest Expense TTM -40.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 7.11
| (A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 3.53b - Total Current Liabilities 1.56b) / Total Assets 7.52b |
| (B) 0.54 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.09b / Total Assets 7.52b |
| (C) 0.35 = EBIT TTM 2.51b / Avg Total Assets 7.13b |
| (D) 1.20 = Book Value of Equity 3.75b / Total Liabilities 3.14b |
| Total Rating: 7.11 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 82.97
| 1. Piotroski 8.0pt = 3.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.75% = 2.88 |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.71% = 2.68 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.40 = 2.42 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.20 = 2.47 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 31.56)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 42.05% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 42.51% = 3.19 |
| 9. EPS Trend 26.71% = 1.34 |
What is the price of LULU shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.74%, over one month by +0.92%, over three months by -12.56% and over the past year by -48.32%.
Is Lululemon Athletica a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of LULU is around 130.07 USD . This means that LULU is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -23.79%.
Is LULU a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 16
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the LULU price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 194.4 | 13.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 194.4 | 13.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 146.3 | -14.3% |
LULU Fundamental Data Overview November 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 11.3399
P/E Forward = 13.1406
P/S = 1.8068
P/B = 4.8166
P/EG = 0.9017
Beta = 1.021
Revenue TTM = 10.90b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.51b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.99b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.76b USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 297.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.76b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 606.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 20.31b USD (19.70b + Debt 1.76b - CCE 1.16b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -61.26 (Ebit TTM 2.51b / Interest Expense TTM -40.9m)
FCF Yield = 5.75% (FCF TTM 1.17b / Enterprise Value 20.31b)
FCF Margin = 10.71% (FCF TTM 1.17b / Revenue TTM 10.90b)
Net Margin = 16.38% (Net Income TTM 1.79b / Revenue TTM 10.90b)
Gross Margin = 59.10% ((Revenue TTM 10.90b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.46b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.50% (prev 58.34%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.70 (Enterprise Value 20.31b / Total Assets 7.52b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.46% (Interest Expense 8.03m / Debt 1.76b)
Taxrate = 30.48% (162.6m / 533.6m)
NOPAT = 1.74b (EBIT 2.51b * (1 - 30.48%))
Current Ratio = 2.27 (Total Current Assets 3.53b / Total Current Liabilities 1.56b)
Debt / Equity = 0.40 (Debt 1.76b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.39b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.20 (Net Debt 606.9m / EBITDA 2.99b)
Debt / FCF = 0.52 (Net Debt 606.9m / FCF TTM 1.17b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.25b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 23.74% (Net Income 1.79b / Total Assets 7.52b)
RoE = 42.05% (Net Income TTM 1.79b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.25b)
RoCE = 41.68% (EBIT 2.51b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.25b + L.T.Debt 1.76b))
RoIC = 41.01% (NOPAT 1.74b / Invested Capital 4.25b)
WACC = 9.44% (E(19.70b)/V(21.46b) * Re(10.26%) + D(1.76b)/V(21.46b) * Rd(0.46%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 10.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.84%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.10% ; FCFE base≈1.38b ; Y1≈1.66b ; Y5≈2.65b
Fair Price DCF = 274.6 (DCF Value 31.16b / Shares Outstanding 113.5m; 5y FCF grow 21.34% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 26.71 | EPS CAGR: 17.28% | SUE: 2.32 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 42.51 | Revenue CAGR: 11.83% | SUE: -0.63 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for LULU Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle