(LUNR) Intuitive Machines - Overview
Stock: Lunar Lander, Payload Delivery, Data Services, Infrastructure
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 194% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.9% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.41 |
| Alpha | -46.03 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 2.705 |
| Beta Downside | 2.697 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 97.43% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.25 |
Description: LUNR Intuitive Machines January 19, 2026
Intuitive Machines (NASDAQ:LUNR) designs, builds, and operates a portfolio of space-based products and services, including payload delivery (satellites, scientific instruments, cargo), rideshare missions, and lunar surface access. Its offerings span data-transmission (AI-enhanced command, control, communications, reconnaissance), and “infrastructure-as-a-service” assets that autonomously perform navigation, maintenance, scientific collection, and health-monitoring tasks. Core hardware includes the Nova-C lunar lander, the Micro-Nova propulsive drone for the IM-2 mission, and the Nova-D transport vehicle for critical lunar payloads such as fission power systems and rovers. The company serves U.S. government customers (NASA, DoD, state agencies), commercial clients, and international partners.
Recent public filings show LUNR generated roughly $15 million of revenue in FY 2023, with a cash runway of about 12 months at current burn rates-an important liquidity metric for a capital-intensive startup. The firm secured a NASA contract valued at up to $300 million for delivering the Nova-C lander under the Artemis program, a key driver given the U.S. government’s projected $35 billion spend on lunar infrastructure through 2030. Sector-wide, commercial rideshare demand has risen ~22 % YoY, reflecting the broader trend of satellite constellations seeking cost-effective launch options, which could provide ancillary revenue streams for LUNR’s delivery services.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of LUNR’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the ValueRay analysis worth reviewing.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| Net Income: -208.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 32.69 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 254.2% < 20% (prev 35.85%; Δ 218.3% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.01 > 3% & CFO -8.99m > Net Income -208.6m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 6.28 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (117.8m) vs 12m ago 47.08% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.68% > 18% (prev 0.01%; Δ 2267 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 45.04% > 50% (prev 90.53%; Δ -45.49% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -22.19 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -58.0m / Interest Expense TTM 2.74m) |
Altman Z'' 1.67
| A: 0.74 (Total Current Assets 666.0m - Total Current Liabilities 106.0m) / Total Assets 753.5m |
| B: -0.49 (Retained Earnings -370.7m / Total Assets 753.5m) |
| C: -0.12 (EBIT TTM -60.7m / Avg Total Assets 489.2m) |
| D: -0.73 (Book Value of Equity -370.6m / Total Liabilities 509.7m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.67 = BB |
What is the price of LUNR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.74%, over one month by -6.91%, over three months by +83.26% and over the past year by -9.64%.
Is LUNR a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LUNR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 18.3 | 4.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 18.3 | 4.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 17.7 | 1.1% |
LUNR Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
Revenue TTM = 220.3m USD
EBIT TTM = -60.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -58.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 334.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.29m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 371.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -250.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.45b USD (2.70b + Debt 371.2m - CCE 622.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -22.19 (Ebit TTM -60.7m / Interest Expense TTM 2.74m)
EV/FCF = -61.45x (Enterprise Value 2.45b / FCF TTM -39.9m)
FCF Yield = -1.63% (FCF TTM -39.9m / Enterprise Value 2.45b)
FCF Margin = -18.11% (FCF TTM -39.9m / Revenue TTM 220.3m)
Net Margin = -94.70% (Net Income TTM -208.6m / Revenue TTM 220.3m)
Gross Margin = 22.68% ((Revenue TTM 220.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 170.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.75% (prev -23.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.25 (Enterprise Value 2.45b / Total Assets 753.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.36% (Interest Expense 1.34m / Debt 371.2m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -48.0m (EBIT -60.7m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 6.28 (Total Current Assets 666.0m / Total Current Liabilities 106.0m)
Debt / Equity = -0.93 (negative equity) (Debt 371.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -397.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.32 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -250.7m / EBITDA -58.0m)
Debt / FCF = 6.28 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -250.7m / FCF TTM -39.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -476.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -42.65% (Net Income -208.6m / Total Assets 753.5m)
RoE = 43.77% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -208.6m / Total Stockholder Equity -476.7m)
RoCE = 42.81% (negative capital employed) (EBIT -60.7m / Capital Employed (Equity -476.7m + L.T.Debt 334.8m))
RoIC = 12.02% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -48.0m / Invested Capital -399.2m)
WACC = 14.00% (E(2.70b)/V(3.07b) * Re(15.88%) + D(371.2m)/V(3.07b) * Rd(0.36%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 15.88% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 136.7%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -39.9m)
EPS Correlation: -13.68 | EPS CAGR: 0.10% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 75.35 | Revenue CAGR: 34.73% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.01 | Chg30d=+0.015 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.05 | Chg30d=+0.042 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+112.4% | Growth Revenue=+311.3%