(LXRX) Lexicon Pharmaceuticals - Ratings and Ratios
Sotagliflozin, LX9211, LX9851
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 77.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 108% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.33% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.02 |
| Alpha | 34.37 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.20 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.495 |
| Beta | 0.861 |
| Beta Downside | 1.015 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 91.83% |
| Mean DD | 53.41% |
| Median DD | 56.98% |
Description: LXRX Lexicon Pharmaceuticals December 29, 2025
Lexicon Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:LXRX) is a U.S.-based biotech that develops oral small-molecule therapies. Its lead asset, sotagliflozin, is an SGLT-1/2 inhibitor approved for reducing cardiovascular death, heart-failure hospitalizations, and urgent visits in patients with heart failure, type 2 diabetes, or chronic kidney disease. The pipeline includes sotagliflozin in Phase 3 for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and type 1 diabetes, LX9211 (Phase II completed for neuropathic pain), and LX9851 (obesity and cardiometabolic risk). The company partners with Viatris and Bristol-Myers Squibb for commercialization and co-development.
Key metrics (as of the latest 10-Q): market capitalization ≈ $1.2 B, cash and equivalents ≈ $350 M, giving ~12-month runway at current burn (~$30 M/quarter). The SGLT-inhibitor class is projected to grow > 10 % CAGR through 2028, driven by expanding indications beyond diabetes. Lexicon’s upcoming catalysts are the Phase 3 readout for HCM (Q3 2025) and potential FDA action on its obesity candidate LX9851, which could tap the $70 B global obesity-treatment market.
For a data-driven assessment of how Lexicon’s valuation stacks up against sector peers, you might find ValueRay’s analyst tools useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| Net Income (-68.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 4.25m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.35 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 29.65pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 142.3% (prev 4448 %; Δ -4305 pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.35 (>3.0%) and CFO -72.1m <= Net Income -68.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 5.64 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (363.4m) change vs 12m ago 0.53% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 63.05% (prev -191.5%; Δ 254.6pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 26.89% (prev 1.63%; Δ 25.26pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -4.81 (EBITDA TTM -48.3m / Interest Expense TTM 10.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -54.24
| (A) 0.49 = (Total Current Assets 122.5m - Total Current Liabilities 21.7m) / Total Assets 205.9m |
| (B) -9.72 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.00b / Total Assets 205.9m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -9.72 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.19 = EBIT TTM -48.9m / Avg Total Assets 263.5m |
| (D) -23.34 = Book Value of Equity -2.00b / Total Liabilities 85.8m |
| Total Rating: -54.24 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 36.30
| 1. Piotroski 1.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -18.65% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.48 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.18 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -79.83)% |
| 7. RoE -52.90% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 93.42% |
| 9. EPS Trend 68.11% |
What is the price of LXRX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.50%, over one month by -15.44%, over three months by -18.44% and over the past year by +47.99%.
Is LXRX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LXRX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 2.9 | 150.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 2.9 | 150.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1.1 | -2.6% |
LXRX Fundamental Data Overview December 28, 2025
P/S = 6.3076
P/B = 3.7199
P/EG = -0.14
Beta = 0.97
Revenue TTM = 70.9m USD
EBIT TTM = -48.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = -48.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 56.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.64m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 58.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.49m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 389.2m USD (447.0m + Debt 58.1m - CCE 116.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.81 (Ebit TTM -48.9m / Interest Expense TTM 10.2m)
FCF Yield = -18.65% (FCF TTM -72.6m / Enterprise Value 389.2m)
FCF Margin = -102.4% (FCF TTM -72.6m / Revenue TTM 70.9m)
Net Margin = -96.77% (Net Income TTM -68.6m / Revenue TTM 70.9m)
Gross Margin = 63.05% ((Revenue TTM 70.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 26.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 99.93% (prev 99.28%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.89 (Enterprise Value 389.2m / Total Assets 205.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.71% (Interest Expense 2.15m / Debt 58.1m)
Taxrate = 100.0% (out of range, set to none) (-200.4m / -200.4m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 5.64 (Total Current Assets 122.5m / Total Current Liabilities 21.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 58.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 120.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.18 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 8.49m / EBITDA -48.3m)
Debt / FCF = -0.12 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 8.49m / FCF TTM -72.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 129.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -33.30% (Net Income -68.6m / Total Assets 205.9m)
RoE = -52.90% (Net Income TTM -68.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 129.6m)
RoCE = -26.29% (EBIT -48.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 129.6m + L.T.Debt 56.5m))
RoIC = -71.70% (negative operating profit) (EBIT -48.9m / (Assets 205.9m - Curr.Liab 21.7m - Cash 116.0m))
WACC = 8.13% (E(447.0m)/V(505.1m) * Re(9.19%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 38.84%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -72.6m)
EPS Correlation: 68.11 | EPS CAGR: 35.28% | SUE: 1.93 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 93.42 | Revenue CAGR: 533.1% | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.07 | Chg30d=+0.035 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.26 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=-55.5% | Growth Revenue=-68.5%
Additional Sources for LXRX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle