(LYEL) Lyell Immunopharma - Ratings and Ratios
CAR-T, Dual-Target, Solid Tumor, Stem-Like T Cells
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 90.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 134% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.29% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.02 |
| Alpha | 62.46 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.31 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.635 |
| Beta | 1.204 |
| Beta Downside | 1.500 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 89.90% |
| Mean DD | 57.66% |
| Median DD | 59.40% |
Description: LYEL Lyell Immunopharma December 03, 2025
Lyell Immunopharma (NASDAQ: LYEL) is a clinical-stage biotech focused on next-generation chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cell therapies for hematologic cancers and solid tumors. Its platform combines genetic engineering tactics-c-Jun overexpression, NR4A3 knockout, Epi-R stem-like T-cell programming, CD62L-positive enrichment, and a synthetic-cell mimetic called Stim-R-to mitigate T-cell exhaustion and boost proliferation. The lead candidate, IMPT-314, is a dual-targeting CD19/CD20 CAR-T currently in a Phase 1/2 trial for relapsed/refractory large B-cell lymphoma, while its solid-tumor pipeline remains preclinical.
Key operating metrics (Q2 2024): cash and short-term investments of roughly $68 million, giving an estimated runway of 12-15 months at the current burn rate of $4-5 million per month. The CAR-T sector is projected to expand at a CAGR of ~15 % through 2030, driven by FDA approvals of all-ogeneic products and reimbursement reforms that favor outpatient administration. Lyell’s partnership pipeline-most notably a 2023 collaboration with Roche to explore its Stim-R platform-could provide non-dilutive funding and accelerate IND filings, though the timing and size of milestone payments remain uncertain.
For a deeper quantitative view of LYEL’s valuation and risk profile, the analytical dashboards on ValueRay can help you extend this initial assessment.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income (-325.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2460 TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.41 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -15.35pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 722.7k% (prev 661.2k%; Δ 61.6kpp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.40 (>3.0%) and CFO -165.0m > Net Income -325.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 10.30 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (18.3m) change vs 12m ago 42.55% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin -19.8k% (prev -23.7k%; Δ 3876 pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 0.01% (prev 0.01%; Δ -0.00pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -1.69 (EBITDA TTM -190.4m / Interest Expense TTM 121.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -29.42
| (A) 0.73 = (Total Current Assets 328.2m - Total Current Liabilities 31.9m) / Total Assets 408.0m |
| (B) -3.62 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.48b / Total Assets 408.0m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -3.62 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.40 = EBIT TTM -204.6m / Avg Total Assets 513.6m |
| (D) -18.75 = Book Value of Equity -1.48b / Total Liabilities 78.8m |
| Total Rating: -29.42 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 22.27
| 1. Piotroski 0.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -64.46% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.13 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.42 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -58.26)% |
| 7. RoE -96.68% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -63.90% |
| 9. EPS Trend -55.95% |
What is the price of LYEL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -12.35%, over one month by -26.52%, over three months by +45.87% and over the past year by +106.65%.
Is LYEL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LYEL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 29.7 | 20.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 29.7 | 20.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 24.1 | -1.9% |
LYEL Fundamental Data Overview January 09, 2026
P/B = 1.6169
Beta = -0.138
Revenue TTM = 41.0k USD
EBIT TTM = -204.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -190.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 44.3m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.97m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 44.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -79.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 256.8m USD (532.2m + Debt 44.3m - CCE 319.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.69 (Ebit TTM -204.6m / Interest Expense TTM 121.1m)
EV/FCF = -1.55x (Enterprise Value 256.8m / FCF TTM -165.5m)
FCF Yield = -64.46% (FCF TTM -165.5m / Enterprise Value 256.8m)
FCF Margin = -403.7k% (FCF TTM -165.5m / Revenue TTM 41.0k)
Net Margin = -794.3k% (Net Income TTM -325.7m / Revenue TTM 41.0k)
Gross Margin = -19.8k% ((Revenue TTM 41.0k - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.16m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 100.0% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.63 (Enterprise Value 256.8m / Total Assets 408.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 11.89% (Interest Expense 5.26m / Debt 44.3m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -161.6m (EBIT -204.6m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 10.30 (Total Current Assets 328.2m / Total Current Liabilities 31.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.13 (Debt 44.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 329.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.42 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -79.3m / EBITDA -190.4m)
Debt / FCF = 0.48 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -79.3m / FCF TTM -165.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 336.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -63.41% (Net Income -325.7m / Total Assets 408.0m)
RoE = -96.68% (Net Income TTM -325.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 336.8m)
RoCE = -53.68% (EBIT -204.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 336.8m + L.T.Debt 44.3m))
RoIC = -47.98% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -161.6m / Invested Capital 336.8m)
WACC = 10.28% (E(532.2m)/V(576.4m) * Re(10.35%) + D(44.3m)/V(576.4m) * Rd(11.89%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.35% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 20.15%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -165.5m)
EPS Correlation: -55.95 | EPS CAGR: -27.14% | SUE: 0.53 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -63.90 | Revenue CAGR: -75.26% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-2.14 | Chg30d=+0.795 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-9.05 | Chg30d=+1.947 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+14.7% | Growth Revenue=-100.0%
Additional Sources for LYEL Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle