(LYFT) LYFT - Overview
Sector: Technology | Industry: Software - Application | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 4.924m USD | Total Return: -22.6% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +14.4
Avg Turnover: 197M
EPS Trend: 30.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 94.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Interest Coverage Ratio -4.8 is critical
Altman Z'' -5.52 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Lyft, Inc. manages a multimodal transportation platform primarily serving the United States and Canada. The company facilitates peer-to-peer ridesharing, connecting independent drivers with riders through its proprietary mobile application. Beyond standard vehicle transport, the business model includes a car rental program for drivers (Express Drive), a network of shared bikes and scooters for urban transit, and a growing advertising services segment.
The ridesharing industry operates within a duopoly structure in North America, characterized by high barriers to entry due to the network effects required to maintain low wait times for passengers. Lyft generates revenue through service fees and commissions on each transaction, while maintaining a light asset base by utilizing independent contractors rather than owning its vehicle fleet. For a deeper look at the company’s competitive positioning, consider exploring the data available on ValueRay.
Founded in 2007 as Zimride, Inc., the firm rebranded in 2013 and is currently headquartered in San Francisco. Its diversified revenue streams now include licensing agreements, data access, and the sale of bike-related hardware and software, reflecting an expansion from pure ridesharing into broader urban mobility solutions.
- Rideshare market share gains against Uber drive top-line revenue growth
- Insurance cost inflation pressures quarterly adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow
- Regulatory rulings on driver employment status impact long-term operational margins
- Expansion of high-margin advertising business diversifies revenue beyond core ridesharing
- Consumer discretionary spending trends dictate total gross bookings and platform engagement
| Net Income: 2.86b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.23 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -29.82% < 20% (prev -15.93%; Δ -13.90% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.22b > Net Income 2.86b |
| Net Debt (-464.6m) to EBITDA (51.8m): -8.98 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.58 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (402.5m) vs 12m ago -5.08% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 43.24% > 18% (prev 0.42%; Δ 4.28k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 89.53% > 50% (prev 105.1%; Δ -15.61% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -4.75 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 51.8m / Interest Expense TTM 9.38m) |
| A: -0.22 (Total Current Assets 2.72b - Total Current Liabilities 4.67b) / Total Assets 8.89b |
| B: -0.83 (Retained Earnings -7.40b / Total Assets 8.89b) |
| C: -0.01 (EBIT TTM -44.6m / Avg Total Assets 7.28b) |
| D: -1.26 (Book Value of Equity -7.41b / Total Liabilities 5.86b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -5.52 = D |
| DSRI: 0.78 (Receivables 291.3m/341.7m, Revenue 6.52b/5.96b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 43.24% / 42.18%) |
| AQI: 1.79 (AQ_t 0.63 / AQ_t-1 0.35) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 6.52b / 5.96b) |
| TATA: 0.18 (NI 2.86b - CFO 1.22b) / TA 8.89b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.50 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.62%, over one month by -13.24%, over three months by -2.48% and over the past year by -22.61%.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 29
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 19.1 | 47.3% |
P/E Forward = 11.5207
P/S = 0.7557
P/B = 1.8122
P/EG = 0.148
Revenue TTM = 6.52b USD
EBIT TTM = -44.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 51.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 986.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 117.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.26b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -464.6m USD (recalculated: Debt 1.26b - CCE 1.72b)
Enterprise Value = 4.46b USD (4.92b + Debt 1.26b - CCE 1.72b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.75 (Ebit TTM -44.6m / Interest Expense TTM 9.38m)
EV/FCF = 3.86x (Enterprise Value 4.46b / FCF TTM 1.16b)
FCF Yield = 25.91% (FCF TTM 1.16b / Enterprise Value 4.46b)
FCF Margin = 17.73% (FCF TTM 1.16b / Revenue TTM 6.52b)
Net Margin = 43.82% (Net Income TTM 2.86b / Revenue TTM 6.52b)
Gross Margin = 43.24% ((Revenue TTM 6.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.70b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.64% (prev 38.98%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.50 (Enterprise Value 4.46b / Total Assets 8.89b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.75% (Interest Expense 9.38m / Debt 1.26b)
Taxrate = 27.92% (5.52m / 19.8m)
NOPAT = -32.1m (EBIT -44.6m * (1 - 27.92%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.58 (Total Current Assets 2.72b / Total Current Liabilities 4.67b)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 1.26b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.03b)
Debt / EBITDA = -8.98 (Net Debt -464.6m / EBITDA 51.8m)
Debt / FCF = -0.40 (Net Debt -464.6m / FCF TTM 1.16b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.90b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 39.23% (Net Income 2.86b / Total Assets 8.89b)
RoE = 150.2% (Net Income TTM 2.86b / Total Stockholder Equity 1.90b)
RoCE = -1.54% (EBIT -44.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.90b + L.T.Debt 986.6m))
RoIC = -1.13% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -32.1m / Invested Capital 2.83b)
WACC = 11.26% (E(4.92b)/V(6.18b) * Re(13.99%) + D(1.26b)/V(6.18b) * Rd(0.75%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 13.99% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 42.22 | Cagr: 1.49%
[DCF] Terminal Value 64.58% ; FCFF base≈1.06b ; Y1≈925.5m ; Y5≈746.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 23.52 (EV 8.46b - Net Debt -464.6m = Equity 8.93b / Shares 379.7m; r=11.26% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.64% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 30.86 | EPS CAGR: -26.97% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.00 | Revenue CAGR: 14.58% | SUE: 0.21 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.15 | Chg30d=-4.38% | Revisions=-12% | Analysts=29
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.21 | Chg30d=-5.03% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=28
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.58 | Chg30d=-7.10% | Revisions=-24% | GrowthEPS=-91.4% | GrowthRev=+15.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.94 | Chg30d=-0.85% | Revisions=+10% | GrowthEPS=+60.8% | GrowthRev=+12.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25%