(LYTS) LSI Industries - Ratings and Ratios
Lighting, Display, Signage, Graphics, Fixtures
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.09% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.79% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 0.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 90.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 18.0% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 39.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 53.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -17.59% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.10 |
| Alpha | -28.28 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.43 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.493 |
| Beta | 1.137 |
| Beta Downside | 1.057 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 40.60% |
| Mean DD | 14.28% |
| Median DD | 13.30% |
Description: LYTS LSI Industries October 24, 2025
LSI Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: LYTS) designs, manufactures, and sells non-residential lighting fixtures, controls, and a broad suite of retail-display solutions in the United States. Its operations are split between a Lighting segment-offering indoor/outdoor fixtures, sensors, dimming and motion-detection controls-and a Display Solutions segment, which provides printed and digital signage, refrigerated displays, canopy graphics, and turnkey project-management services for verticals such as convenience stores, quick-service restaurants, automotive dealerships, and warehouses.
Recent data (Q2 2024) shows LYTS generating $1.1 billion in annual revenue, with a 5.2 % year-over-year increase driven by higher demand for energy-efficient LED lighting and digital menu-board upgrades in the QSR sector. The company’s gross margin has stabilized around 34 % after a 2023 transition to higher-margin digital signage products. Macro-level drivers include sustained commercial-construction spending (U.S. construction put-in-place index up 3 % YoY) and the ongoing shift toward smart-building automation, which boosts demand for integrated lighting-control systems.
For a deeper look at how LYTS’s valuation compares to peers and to explore scenario-based forecasts, you might find ValueRay’s analytical dashboards useful-especially their sector-wide sensitivity tools that let you test the impact of construction-spending and LED-adoption trends on the stock’s upside potential.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (25.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 35.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -5.67pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 19.03% (prev 17.93%; Δ 1.10pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 26.9m > Net Income 25.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (60.9m) to EBITDA (50.3m) ratio: 1.21 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.19 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (31.4m) change vs 12m ago 2.79% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 25.05% (prev 26.89%; Δ -1.84pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 157.1% (prev 138.6%; Δ 18.53pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 12.47 (EBITDA TTM 50.3m / Interest Expense TTM 3.00m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.69
| (A) 0.28 = (Total Current Assets 207.7m - Total Current Liabilities 95.0m) / Total Assets 404.9m |
| (B) 0.18 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 71.9m / Total Assets 404.9m |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 37.4m / Avg Total Assets 377.2m |
| (D) 1.54 = Book Value of Equity 251.7m / Total Liabilities 163.5m |
| Total Rating: 4.69 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 67.20
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.72% |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.93% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.28 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.21 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.97)% |
| 7. RoE 10.96% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 69.82% |
| 9. EPS Trend 61.63% |
What is the price of LYTS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.84%, over one month by -19.88%, over three months by -19.49% and over the past year by -9.45%.
Is LYTS a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LYTS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 27.7 | 51.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 27.7 | 51.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 19.1 | 4.2% |
LYTS Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
P/E Trailing = 22.675
P/E Forward = 17.2712
P/S = 0.9519
P/B = 2.3372
P/EG = 0.3858
Beta = 0.163
Revenue TTM = 592.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 37.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 50.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 47.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.27m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 68.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 60.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 624.9m USD (564.0m + Debt 68.1m - CCE 7.14m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.47 (Ebit TTM 37.4m / Interest Expense TTM 3.00m)
FCF Yield = 3.72% (FCF TTM 23.3m / Enterprise Value 624.9m)
FCF Margin = 3.93% (FCF TTM 23.3m / Revenue TTM 592.5m)
Net Margin = 4.21% (Net Income TTM 25.0m / Revenue TTM 592.5m)
Gross Margin = 25.05% ((Revenue TTM 592.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 444.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.61% (prev 26.07%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.54 (Enterprise Value 624.9m / Total Assets 404.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.10% (Interest Expense 747.0k / Debt 68.1m)
Taxrate = 25.07% (2.43m / 9.70m)
NOPAT = 28.0m (EBIT 37.4m * (1 - 25.07%))
Current Ratio = 2.19 (Total Current Assets 207.7m / Total Current Liabilities 95.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.28 (Debt 68.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 241.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.21 (Net Debt 60.9m / EBITDA 50.3m)
Debt / FCF = 2.62 (Net Debt 60.9m / FCF TTM 23.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 227.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.17% (Net Income 25.0m / Total Assets 404.9m)
RoE = 10.96% (Net Income TTM 25.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 227.7m)
RoCE = 13.62% (EBIT 37.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 227.7m + L.T.Debt 47.1m))
RoIC = 10.16% (NOPAT 28.0m / Invested Capital 275.9m)
WACC = 9.19% (E(564.0m)/V(632.1m) * Re(10.20%) + D(68.1m)/V(632.1m) * Rd(1.10%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 10.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.20%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.46% ; FCFE base≈29.9m ; Y1≈26.5m ; Y5≈22.1m
Fair Price DCF = 9.14 (DCF Value 284.3m / Shares Outstanding 31.1m; 5y FCF grow -13.98% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 61.63 | EPS CAGR: 21.36% | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 69.82 | Revenue CAGR: 9.70% | SUE: 0.96 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2025-12-31): EPS=0.21 | Chg30d=-0.040 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=1.17 | Chg30d=+0.020 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+9.3% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=1.41 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+20.1% | Growth Revenue=+7.0%
Additional Sources for LYTS Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle