LYTS Stock Analysis: LSI Industries | NASDAQ
Electronic Components | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 757m USD | 12M Return: -12.4% | US50216C1080 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 6.52M
EPS Trend: 56.9%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 93.6%
Qual. Beats: 5
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
LSI Industries Inc. (LYTS) is a Cincinnati-based manufacturer of non-residential lighting and retail display solutions, operating in the United States through two segments: Lighting, which offers indoor and outdoor fixtures alongside controls such as sensors, photocontrols, dimming, and motion detection, and Display Solutions, which produces exterior and interior graphics, digital signage, menu board systems, refrigerated displays, and custom merchandising fixtures. The company serves vertical markets including refueling and convenience stores, parking facilities, quick-service restaurants, retail, grocery and pharmacy, automotive dealerships, sports venues, and warehouses, often bundling its products with project management services such as installation oversight, site surveys, permitting, and content management.
Within the broader electrical components and equipment space, the lighting industry has been transitioning from legacy sources to LED and connected control systems, while visual merchandising and digital signage have become an increasing share of capital spending in fuel retail and quick-service restaurant locations, both of which align directly with LSIs product mix and core end markets.
- Refueling and convenience store vertical fuels display segment revenue
- Lighting margins pressured by raw material and component costs
- LED efficiency regulations drive commercial lighting demand
| Net Income: 18.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.64 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 13.97% < 20% (prev 16.89%; Δ -2.91% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 42.1m > Net Income 18.3m |
| Net Debt (295.6m) to EBITDA (39.5m): 7.48 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.99 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (33.7m) vs 12m ago 8.84% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 25.15% > 18% (prev 24.73%; Δ 0.42% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 113.0% > 50% (prev 144.7%; Δ -31.64% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.75 > 6 (EBIT TTM 39.4m / Interest Expense TTM 5.83m) |
| A: 0.12 (Total Current Assets 194.2m - Total Current Liabilities 97.3m) / Total Assets 829.9m |
| B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 66.2m / Total Assets 829.9m) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 39.4m / Avg Total Assets 613.1m) |
| D: 1.39 (Book Value of Equity 230.7m / Total Liabilities 165.6m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.92 = A |
As of August 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 19.59 with a total of 843,708 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -20.85%, over one month by -15.67%, over three months by -18.85% and over the past year by -12.43%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 17.40 (which is 11.2% or 2 ATR below the current price).
LSI Industries has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67. Therefore, it is recommended to buy LYTS.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 30.3 | 54.8% |
P/E Trailing = 32.7302
P/E Forward = 17.6367
P/S = 1.2413
P/B = 2.5057
P/EG = 0.4012
Revenue TTM = 692.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 39.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 39.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 45.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 9.61m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 299.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 53.2m
Net Debt = 295.6m USD (calculated: Debt 299.1m - CCE 3.46m)
Enterprise Value = 1.05b USD (757.0m + Debt 299.1m - CCE 3.46m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.75 (Ebit TTM 39.4m / Interest Expense TTM 5.83m)
EV/FCF = 27.86x (Enterprise Value 1.05b / FCF TTM 37.8m)
FCF Yield = 3.59% (FCF TTM 37.8m / Enterprise Value 1.05b)
FCF Margin = 5.45% (FCF TTM 37.8m / Revenue TTM 692.9m)
Net Margin = 2.64% (Net Income TTM 18.3m / Revenue TTM 692.9m)
Gross Margin = 25.15% ((Revenue TTM 692.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 518.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.70% (prev 24.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.27 (Enterprise Value 1.05b / Total Assets 829.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.95% (Interest Expense 5.83m / Debt 299.1m)
Taxrate = 30.70% (8.12m / 26.4m)
NOPAT = 27.3m (EBIT 39.4m * (1 - 30.70%))
Current Ratio = 1.99 (Total Current Assets 194.2m / Total Current Liabilities 97.3m)
Debt / Equity = 1.30 (Debt 299.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last fiscal year 230.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.48 (Net Debt 295.6m / EBITDA 39.5m)
Debt / FCF = 7.82 (Net Debt 295.6m / FCF TTM 37.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 294.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.99% (Net Income 18.3m / Total Assets 829.9m)
RoE = 6.22% (Net Income TTM 18.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 294.4m)
RoCE = 11.60% (EBIT 39.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 294.4m + L.T.Debt 45.0m))
RoIC = 3.69% (NOPAT 27.3m / Invested Capital 738.7m)
WACC = 7.67% (E(757.0m)/V(1.06b) * Re(10.17%) + D(299.1m)/V(1.06b) * Rd(1.95%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 10.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 93.74 | Cagr: 5.12%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.92% ; FCFF base≈37.2m ; Y1≈38.5m ; Y5≈43.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 10.20 (EV 670.3m - Net Debt 295.6m = Equity 374.6m / Shares 36.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 3.69% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 56.90 | EPS CAGR: 4.88% | SUE: -3.16 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 93.58 | Revenue CAGR: 14.24% | SUE: 2.01 | # QB: 5
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.34 | Chg30d=-4.17% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=0.32 | Chg30d=+3.23% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2027-06-30): EPS=1.40 | Chg30d=+0.36% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+11.6% | GrowthRev=+28.5%
EPS next Year (2028-06-30): EPS=1.73 | Chg30d=+1.76% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+24.0% | GrowthRev=+7.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -57% (up=0, down=4)