(LZMH) LZ Technology Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Smart Community, Advertising, SaaS, Local Life, Travel
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 33.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 46.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.79% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.66 |
| Alpha | -36.04 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.421 |
| Beta | -0.638 |
| Beta Downside | -1.685 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 90.93% |
| Mean DD | 60.22% |
| Median DD | 76.57% |
Description: LZMH LZ Technology Holdings November 14, 2025
LZ Technology Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:LZMH) is a China-based information-technology and advertising firm that delivers “smart community” solutions-such as access-control hardware and SaaS safety-management platforms-as well as out-of-home (OOH) advertising services, local-life e-commerce promotion, and ancillary digital-media production. The company, incorporated in 2022 and headquartered in Huzhou, operates as a subsidiary of LZ Digital Technology Holdings.
Key market signals that could affect LZMH’s outlook include: (1) China’s OOH advertising spend is projected to grow ~7% YoY in 2024, driven by urbanization and increased municipal digital signage deployments; (2) the nation’s smart-city IoT market is expanding at a compound annual growth rate of roughly 15% (2021-2026), creating demand for the access-control and safety-management hardware LZMH sells; and (3) LZMH reported a 38% year-over-year increase in total revenue for the most recent quarter (Q2 2024), though margins remain thin (~5%) as the firm scales its SaaS platform.
If you want a data-rich, unbiased view of LZMH’s valuation metrics and risk profile, a deeper dive on ValueRay’s research platform may be worthwhile.
LZMH Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,086m |
| Sub-Industry | Advertising |
| IPO / Inception | 2025-02-27 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -44.0% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
LZMH Dividends
Currently no dividends paidLZMH Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -46.71% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.51 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.78 |
| Current Volume | 84.2k |
| Average Volume | 235.5k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (5.54m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 49.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 8.88pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 5.29% (prev -0.65%; Δ 5.94pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.67m <= Net Income 5.54m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (31.1m) to EBITDA (14.3m) ratio: 2.18 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.19 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (NaN) change vs 12m ago NaN% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 4.19% (prev 5.49%; Δ -1.31pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 308.8% (prev 250.3%; Δ 58.51pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 7.29 (EBITDA TTM 14.3m / Interest Expense TTM 764.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.27
| (A) 0.14 = (Total Current Assets 278.2m - Total Current Liabilities 234.7m) / Total Assets 305.6m |
| (B) -0.51 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -155.2m / Total Assets 305.6m |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 5.57m / Avg Total Assets 266.4m |
| (D) -0.65 = Book Value of Equity -155.2m / Total Liabilities 238.2m |
| Total Rating: -1.27 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.12
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.06% |
| 3. FCF Margin 0.53% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.54 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.18 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.36)% |
| 7. RoE 8.99% |
| 8. Revenue Trend data missing |
| 9. EPS Trend 100.0% |
What is the price of LZMH shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.00%, over one month by -1.56%, over three months by -7.08% and over the past year by -37.00%.
Is LZMH a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the LZMH price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 2.8 | -9.8% |
LZMH Fundamental Data Overview November 20, 2025
P/S = 1.3196
P/B = 131.9932
Beta = None
Revenue TTM = 822.8m CNY
EBIT TTM = 5.57m CNY
EBITDA TTM = 14.3m CNY
Long Term Debt = 667.0k CNY (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 32.3m CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 35.2m CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 31.1m CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.75b CNY (7.72b + Debt 35.2m - CCE 4.15m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.29 (Ebit TTM 5.57m / Interest Expense TTM 764.0k)
FCF Yield = 0.06% (FCF TTM 4.32m / Enterprise Value 7.75b)
FCF Margin = 0.53% (FCF TTM 4.32m / Revenue TTM 822.8m)
Net Margin = 0.67% (Net Income TTM 5.54m / Revenue TTM 822.8m)
Gross Margin = 4.19% ((Revenue TTM 822.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 788.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 25.37 (Enterprise Value 7.75b / Total Assets 305.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.17% (Interest Expense 764.0k / Debt 35.2m)
Taxrate = -20.23% (negative due to tax credits) (-972.0k / 4.80m)
NOPAT = 6.69m (EBIT 5.57m * (1 - -20.23%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.19 (Total Current Assets 278.2m / Total Current Liabilities 234.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.54 (Debt 35.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 65.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.18 (Net Debt 31.1m / EBITDA 14.3m)
Debt / FCF = 7.18 (Net Debt 31.1m / FCF TTM 4.32m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 61.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.81% (Net Income 5.54m / Total Assets 305.6m)
RoE = 8.99% (Net Income TTM 5.54m / Total Stockholder Equity 61.7m)
RoCE = 8.93% (EBIT 5.57m / Capital Employed (Equity 61.7m + L.T.Debt 667.0k))
RoIC = 7.02% (NOPAT 6.69m / Invested Capital 95.3m)
WACC = 3.67% (E(7.72b)/V(7.76b) * Re(3.67%) + D(35.2m)/V(7.76b) * Rd(2.17%) * (1-Tc(-0.20)))
Discount Rate = 3.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.36% ; FCFE base≈4.32m ; Y1≈4.34m ; Y5≈4.65m
Fair Price DCF = 0.63 (DCF Value 82.3m / Shares Outstanding 129.6m; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 100.0 | EPS CAGR: 8000 % | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for LZMH Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle