(MAR) Marriott International - Ratings and Ratios
Hotels, Residences, Timeshares, Franchises, Licenses
MAR EPS (Earnings per Share)
MAR Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 36.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.86% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.02 |
| Alpha | -13.71 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.371 |
| Beta | 1.065 |
| Beta Downside | 1.022 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 30.50% |
| Mean DD | 6.66% |
| Median DD | 5.67% |
Description: MAR Marriott International September 26, 2025
Marriott International (NASDAQ: MAR) is a globally diversified hospitality company that owns, franchises, and licenses a wide array of lodging assets-including hotels, residential apartments, timeshares, and even yachts-across more than 130 countries.
The portfolio spans 30 distinct brands, from ultra-luxury properties such as JW Marriott, The Ritz-Carlton, and St. Regis to mid-scale and select-service brands like Courtyard, Fairfield, and Moxy, as well as specialty concepts such as Design Hotels and the Marriott Bonvoy-branded Sonder and Apartments lines.
Key performance indicators from FY 2023 show a 7.2% year-over-year increase in RevPAR (Revenue per Available Room) and a 5.1% rise in system-wide occupancy, driven by a 15% surge in international travel demand post-pandemic. The Marriott Bonvoy loyalty program now exceeds 150 million members, contributing roughly 30% of total room nights booked.
Sector dynamics that materially affect Marriott’s outlook include: (1) macro-level travel demand linked to global GDP growth and consumer confidence; (2) discretionary spending trends, especially in the luxury segment, which are sensitive to inflation and interest-rate cycles; and (3) the expanding “bleisure” market, where business travelers extend stays for leisure, boosting average length of stay and ancillary spend.
For a deeper, data-driven view of Marriott’s valuation and risk profile, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst toolkit can help you surface the most material assumptions and scenario analyses.
MAR Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 78,133m |
| Sub-Industry | Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines |
| IPO / Inception | 1993-07-16 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -10.8% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.59 of 5 |
MAR Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.91% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.17% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 49.69% |
| Payout Consistency | 50.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 26.7% |
MAR Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 22.35% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.73 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 3.35 |
| Current Volume | 1363.3k |
| Average Volume | 1528.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (2.61b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.56b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.11pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -18.08% (prev -19.97%; Δ 1.89pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.70b > Net Income 2.61b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (16.21b) to EBITDA (4.71b) ratio: 3.44 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.47 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (272.7m) change vs 12m ago -3.14% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 21.68% (prev 20.47%; Δ 1.21pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 95.94% (prev 94.49%; Δ 1.45pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.37 (EBITDA TTM 4.71b / Interest Expense TTM 781.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.66
| (A) -0.17 = (Total Current Assets 4.11b - Total Current Liabilities 8.80b) / Total Assets 27.83b |
| (B) 0.65 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 18.15b / Total Assets 27.83b |
| (C) 0.16 = EBIT TTM 4.19b / Avg Total Assets 27.02b |
| (D) 0.56 = Book Value of Equity 17.48b / Total Liabilities 30.95b |
| Total Rating: 2.66 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.75
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.35% = 1.17 |
| 3. FCF Margin 8.55% = 2.14 |
| 4. Debt/Equity -5.41 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.44 = -2.26 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 17.22)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE -85.31% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 85.70% = 6.43 |
| 9. EPS Trend 35.55% = 1.78 |
What is the price of MAR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.87%, over one month by +6.62%, over three months by +7.47% and over the past year by +2.29%.
Is Marriott International a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MAR is around 302.60 USD . This means that MAR is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 5.91%.
Is MAR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the MAR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 287.6 | 0.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 287.6 | 0.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 336.9 | 17.9% |
MAR Fundamental Data Overview November 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 30.6807
P/E Forward = 22.8311
P/S = 11.3665
P/B = 47.4452
P/EG = 1.3658
Beta = 1.171
Revenue TTM = 25.93b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.19b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.71b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.14b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.56b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16.89b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 16.21b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 94.34b USD (78.13b + Debt 16.89b - CCE 678.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.37 (Ebit TTM 4.19b / Interest Expense TTM 781.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.35% (FCF TTM 2.22b / Enterprise Value 94.34b)
FCF Margin = 8.55% (FCF TTM 2.22b / Revenue TTM 25.93b)
Net Margin = 10.07% (Net Income TTM 2.61b / Revenue TTM 25.93b)
Gross Margin = 21.68% ((Revenue TTM 25.93b - Cost of Revenue TTM 20.30b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.94% (prev 26.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.39 (Enterprise Value 94.34b / Total Assets 27.83b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.22% (Interest Expense 206.0m / Debt 16.89b)
Taxrate = 26.76% (266.0m / 994.0m)
NOPAT = 3.07b (EBIT 4.19b * (1 - 26.76%))
Current Ratio = 0.47 (Total Current Assets 4.11b / Total Current Liabilities 8.80b)
Debt / Equity = -5.41 (negative equity) (Debt 16.89b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -3.12b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.44 (Net Debt 16.21b / EBITDA 4.71b)
Debt / FCF = 7.31 (Net Debt 16.21b / FCF TTM 2.22b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -3.06b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.38% (Net Income 2.61b / Total Assets 27.83b)
RoE = -85.31% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 2.61b / Total Stockholder Equity -3.06b)
RoCE = 41.59% (EBIT 4.19b / Capital Employed (Equity -3.06b + L.T.Debt 13.14b))
RoIC = 25.55% (NOPAT 3.07b / Invested Capital 12.01b)
WACC = 8.33% (E(78.13b)/V(95.02b) * Re(9.94%) + D(16.89b)/V(95.02b) * Rd(1.22%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 9.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.96%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFE base≈2.39b ; Y1≈2.60b ; Y5≈3.26b
Fair Price DCF = 153.5 (DCF Value 41.18b / Shares Outstanding 268.4m; 5y FCF grow 9.96% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 35.55 | EPS CAGR: 8.77% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 85.70 | Revenue CAGR: 3.37% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for MAR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle