MAR Stock Analysis: Marriott International | NASDAQ
Lodging | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 101.884m USD | 12M Return: 49.8% | US5719032022 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 489M
EPS Trend: 52.2%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 99.9%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Marriott International, Inc. (NASDAQ: MAR) is a global lodging company that operates, franchises, and licenses hotel, residential, timeshare, and other lodging properties across the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Greater China, Asia-Pacific, and other international markets. The company runs an extensive portfolio of more than 30 brands, spanning luxury tiers (e.g., The Ritz-Carlton, JW Marriott, St. Regis, Bvlgari, W Hotels) through premium and select-service segments (e.g., Marriott Hotels, Sheraton, Westin, Courtyard, Fairfield, Residence Inn, SpringHill Suites), and also operates Marriott Bonvoy, its branded loyalty program. In addition to hotels, Marriott operates branded residences, timeshares, and yachts. The company was founded in 1927, is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, and has been listed on NASDAQ since 1993. It sits within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines) and follows the asset-light hotel industry model, generating the majority of its earnings from franchise fees, management agreements, and licensing rather than direct real estate ownership.
- Global RevPAR growth accelerates on leisure and group travel rebound
- Greater China demand recovery remains key swing factor for revenue
- Aggressive share buybacks boost earnings per share growth
| Net Income: 2.59b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.00 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -13.67% < 20% (prev -17.69%; Δ 4.02% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 3.73b > Net Income 2.59b |
| Net Debt (18.2b) to EBITDA (5.03b): 3.61 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.53 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (269.4m) vs 12m ago -1.84% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.16% > 18% (prev 21.29%; Δ -1.13% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 97.08% > 50% (prev 93.96%; Δ 3.12% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.10 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4.33b / Interest Expense TTM 849.0m) |
| A: -0.13 (Total Current Assets 4.23b - Total Current Liabilities 7.90b) / Total Assets 28.1b |
| B: 0.69 (Retained Earnings 19.5b / Total Assets 28.1b) |
| C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 4.33b / Avg Total Assets 27.7b) |
| D: -0.14 (Book Value of Equity -4.53b / Total Liabilities 32.6b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.30 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 3.34b/2.98b, Revenue 26.9b/25.7b) |
| GMI: 1.06 (GM 21.29% / 20.16%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.75 / AQ_t-1 0.76) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 26.9b / 25.7b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 2.59b - CFO 3.73b) / TA 28.1b) |
| Beneish M = -2.90 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 394.40 with a total of 1,143,425 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.38%, over one month by +9.99%, over three months by +3.05% and over the past year by +49.81%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 376.70 (which is 4.5% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
Marriott International has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.79. Therefore, it is recommended to hold MAR.
- StrongBuy: 13
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 386.8 | -1.9% |
P/E Trailing = 40.4462
P/E Forward = 33.4448
P/S = 13.7961
P/B = 443.6338
P/EG = 2.2916
Revenue TTM = 26.9b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.33b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.03b USD
Long Term Debt = 16.5b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 460.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 18.6b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 859.0m
Net Debt = 18.2b USD (calculated: Debt 18.6b - CCE 462.0m)
Enterprise Value = 120b USD (102b + Debt 18.6b - CCE 462.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.10 (Ebit TTM 4.33b / Interest Expense TTM 849.0m)
EV/FCF = 38.33x (Enterprise Value 120b / FCF TTM 3.13b)
FCF Yield = 2.61% (FCF TTM 3.13b / Enterprise Value 120b)
FCF Margin = 11.64% (FCF TTM 3.13b / Revenue TTM 26.9b)
Net Margin = 9.62% (Net Income TTM 2.59b / Revenue TTM 26.9b)
Gross Margin = 20.16% ((Revenue TTM 26.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 21.5b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.98% (prev 20.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.27 (Enterprise Value 120b / Total Assets 28.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.56% (Interest Expense 849.0m / Debt 18.6b)
Taxrate = 9.63% (335.0m / 3.48b)
NOPAT = 3.91b (EBIT 4.33b * (1 - 9.63%))
Current Ratio = 0.53 (Total Current Assets 4.23b / Total Current Liabilities 7.90b)
Debt / Equity = -4.12 (negative equity) (Debt 18.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -4.53b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.61 (Net Debt 18.2b / EBITDA 5.03b)
Debt / FCF = 5.80 (Net Debt 18.2b / FCF TTM 3.13b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -3.88b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.33% (Net Income 2.59b / Total Assets 28.1b)
RoE = -66.73% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 2.59b / Total Stockholder Equity -3.88b)
RoCE = 34.40% (EBIT 4.33b / Capital Employed (Equity -3.88b + L.T.Debt 16.5b))
RoIC = 19.38% (NOPAT 3.91b / Invested Capital 20.2b)
WACC = 7.38% (E(102b)/V(121b) * Re(7.98%) + D(18.6b)/V(121b) * Rd(4.56%) * (1-Tc(0.10)))
Discount Rate = 7.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.83 | Cagr: -3.46%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.55b ; Y1≈2.93b ; Y5≈4.31b
[DCF] Fair Price = 178.8 (EV 64.8b - Net Debt 18.2b = Equity 46.6b / Shares 260.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 52.24 | EPS CAGR: 3.98% | SUE: 1.83 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 99.85 | Revenue CAGR: 5.02% | SUE: -2.37 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.85 | Chg30d=+0.67% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=24
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.75 | Chg30d=+0.20% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+17.2% | GrowthRev=+6.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.16 | Chg30d=+0.03% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+12.0% | GrowthRev=+5.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +42% (up=7, down=2)