MBLY Stock Analysis: Mobileye Global Common Stock | NASDAQ

Auto Parts | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 7.698m USD | 12M Return: -42.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

ADAS Systems, Autonomous Driving
Total Rating 43
Safety 82
Buy Signal -0.43
Auto Parts
Industry Rotation: -13.0
Market Cap: 7.70B
Avg Turnover: 54.7M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility61.5%
VaR 5th Pctl10.2%
VaR vs Median0.50%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.86
Rel. Str. IBD18.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group29.7
Character TTM
Beta2.261
Beta Downside2.935
Hurst Exponent0.475
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD85.21%
CAGR/Max DD-0.46
CAGR/Mean DD-0.72
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of MBLY over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": null, "2021-09": null, "2021-12": null, "2022-03": null, "2022-06": null, "2022-09": 0.15, "2022-12": 0.27, "2023-03": 0.14, "2023-06": 0.17, "2023-09": 0.22, "2023-12": 0.28, "2024-03": -0.07, "2024-06": 0.09, "2024-09": 0.1, "2024-12": 0.13, "2025-03": 0.08, "2025-06": 0.13, "2025-09": -0.12, "2025-12": 0.06, "2026-03": 0.12,
EPS CAGR: -44.27%
EPS Trend: -91.2%
Last SUE: 2.81
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of MBLY over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 327, 2021-09: 326, 2021-12: 356, 2022-03: 394, 2022-06: 460, 2022-09: 450, 2022-12: 565, 2023-03: 458, 2023-06: 454, 2023-09: 530, 2023-12: 637, 2024-03: 239, 2024-06: 439, 2024-09: 486, 2024-12: 490, 2025-03: 438, 2025-06: 506, 2025-09: 504, 2025-12: 446, 2026-03: 558,
Rev. CAGR: -0.61%
Rev. Trend: -9.3%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 3.7 years of data

Jan -14.7% 42
Feb -0.3% 11
Mar -3.1% 12
Apr +5.8% 12
May +14.2% 14
Jun +10.7% 17
Jul -20.4% 41
Aug -15.9% 29
Sep +1.1% 24
Oct -6.5% 13
Nov +8.7% 13
Dec +1.5% 11

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: MBLY Mobileye Global Common Stock

Mobileye Global Inc. (NASDAQ: MBLY) is a Jerusalem-based technology company that designs advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving solutions, operating through two segments: Mobileye and Moovit. Its product portfolio spans entry-level front-camera safety systems (Base ADAS and Cloud-Enhanced ADAS), higher-end Surround ADAS and SuperVision systems offering hands-off highway and consumer driving capabilities, and the fully autonomous Mobileye Drive platform targeted at robotaxis, public transit, and goods delivery fleets. The company sells its EyeQ system-on-chip (SoC) and supporting software stack to automakers through automotive suppliers, embedding its technology into the vehicles of major OEMs worldwide.

Mobileye was founded in 1999 and remains a subsidiary of Intel Corporation following its 2022 IPO. As a chip-plus-software supplier within the Automotive Parts & Equipment sub-industry (GICS Consumer Discretionary), its business model centers on design wins with OEMs, where adoption of ADAS is increasingly driven by regulatory mandates such as automatic emergency braking requirements in the U.S. and EU, supporting a long-term secular shift toward software-defined and increasingly autonomous vehicles.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • China OEM order weakness pressures quarterly revenue outlook
  • SuperVision and Chauffeur design wins expand higher-margin pipeline
  • NVIDIA and Qualcomm competition intensifies in autonomous driving SoCs
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: -4.11b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.35 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 78.15% < 20% (prev 103.9%; Δ -25.73% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 579.2m > Net Income -4.11b
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 4.76 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (817.0m) vs 12m ago 0.62% < -2%
Gross Margin: 48.26% > 18% (prev 48.25%; Δ 0.02% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 18.97% > 50% (prev 14.83%; Δ 4.14% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 10.00
A: 0.18 (Total Current Assets 1.99b - Total Current Liabilities 419.0m) / Total Assets 8.73b
B: -0.83 (Retained Earnings -7.27b / Total Assets 8.73b)
C: -0.39 (EBIT TTM -4.16b / Avg Total Assets 10.6b)
D: 14.30 (Book Value of Equity 8.16b / Total Liabilities 571.0m)
Altman-Z'' = 10.85 = AAA
Beneish M -3.11
DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 226.0m/217.0m, Revenue 2.01b/1.85b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 48.25% / 48.26%)
AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.72 / AQ_t-1 0.79)
SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 2.01b / 1.85b)
TATA: -0.54 (NI -4.11b - CFO 579.2m) / TA 8.73b)
Beneish M = -3.11 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of MBLY shares?

As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 9.55 with a total of 8,990,450 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.21%, over one month by +4.49%, over three months by +31.91% and over the past year by -42.71%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 8.80 (which is 7.9% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is MBLY a buy, sell or hold?

Mobileye Global Common Stock has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.89. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MBLY.

  • StrongBuy: 12
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 13
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MBLY price?
Analysts Target Price 13.1 36.6%
Mobileye Global Common Stock (MBLY) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 7.70b (7.70b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 36.7647
P/S = 3.822
P/B = 0.9872
P/EG = 0.6135
Revenue TTM = 2.01b USD
EBIT TTM = -4.16b USD
EBITDA TTM = -3.64b USD
 Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Debt = 67.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -1.28b USD (calculated: Debt 67.0m - CCE 1.34b)
Enterprise Value = 6.42b USD (7.70b + Debt 67.0m - CCE 1.34b)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM -4.16b / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = 13.32x (Enterprise Value 6.42b / FCF TTM 482.2m)
FCF Yield = 7.51% (FCF TTM 482.2m / Enterprise Value 6.42b)
FCF Margin = 23.94% (FCF TTM 482.2m / Revenue TTM 2.01b)
 Net Margin = -204.0% (Net Income TTM -4.11b / Revenue TTM 2.01b)
 Gross Margin = 48.26% ((Revenue TTM 2.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.28% (prev 45.29%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.74 (Enterprise Value 6.42b / Total Assets 8.73b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 67.0m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -3.29b (EBIT -4.16b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 4.76 (Total Current Assets 1.99b / Total Current Liabilities 419.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 67.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.16b)
 Debt / EBITDA = 0.35 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -1.28b / EBITDA -3.64b)
 Debt / FCF = -2.65 (Net Debt -1.28b / FCF TTM 482.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.0b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -38.69% (Net Income -4.11b / Total Assets 8.73b)
RoE = -37.31% (Net Income TTM -4.11b / Total Stockholder Equity 11.0b)
RoCE = -50.02% (EBIT -4.16b / Capital Employed (Total Assets 8.73b - Current Liab 419.0m))
 RoIC = -40.00% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -3.29b / Invested Capital 8.22b)
 WACC = 13.82% (E(7.70b)/V(7.76b) * Re(13.94%) + D(67.0m)/V(7.76b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 13.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 52.29 | Cagr: 0.60%
[DCF] Terminal Value 62.35% ; FCFF base≈447.7m ; Y1≈513.2m ; Y5≈755.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 28.72 (EV 5.74b - Net Debt -1.28b = Equity 7.02b / Shares 244.4m; r=13.82% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -91.15 | EPS CAGR: -44.27% | SUE: 2.81 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -9.31 | Revenue CAGR: -0.61% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=-0.35% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=22
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.05 | Chg30d=+0.20% | Revisions=-82% | Analysts=22
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.28 | Chg30d=-0.04% | Revisions=+80% | GrowthEPS=-21.0% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.36 | Chg30d=-1.11% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+28.0% | GrowthRev=+12.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +10% (up=27, down=22)