(MBLY) Mobileye Global Common Stock - Ratings and Ratios
ADAS, Autonomous, EyeQ, SuperVision, Chauffeur
MBLY EPS (Earnings per Share)
MBLY Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 58.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 90.1% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.21 |
| Alpha Jensen | -34.06 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.407 |
| Beta | 0.506 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 77.52% |
| Mean DD | 41.81% |
Description: MBLY Mobileye Global Common Stock October 30, 2025
Mobileye Global Inc. (NASDAQ: MBLY) designs, manufactures, and sells advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous-driving solutions worldwide, operating primarily through its “Mobileye” and “Other” segments. The company is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Intel and is headquartered in Jerusalem, Israel.
Its product suite spans three tiers of ADAS: Base ADAS (front-camera safety features), Cloud-Enhanced ADAS (crowdsourced mapping for higher-precision localization), and Surround ADAS (hands-off highway functions such as automatic lane-change, traffic-jam assist, and Highway Pilot). Higher-level offerings include SuperVision (eyes-on/hands-off for autonomous vehicles), Mobileye Chauffeur (fully hands-off for consumer cars), and Mobileye Drive (fleet-focused robotaxi and goods-delivery platform). Core hardware components include the EyeQ system-on-chip (SoC) and the True Redundancy AI architecture, while Road Experience Management services provide map-data updates.
Key quantitative signals (as of FY 2023) show Mobileye generated roughly **$1.6 billion in revenue**, up about **25 % YoY**, driven largely by OEM contracts with firms such as BMW, Volkswagen, and General Motors. The global ADAS market is projected to grow at a **CAGR of ~10 % through 2030**, propelled by tightening safety regulations (e.g., EU mandatory Level-2+ systems) and consumer demand for semi-autonomous features. Mobileye’s market share in Level-2+ ADAS is estimated at **≈15 %**, but its exposure to Level-3/4 deployments remains uncertain due to pending regulatory approvals and the high capital intensity of full-stack autonomous solutions.
Given the blend of strong top-line growth, a sizable addressable market, and the strategic advantage of Intel’s computing resources, Mobileye presents a high-expected-value opportunity, albeit with execution risk around scaling Level-3+ technology and navigating heterogeneous global regulations. **For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find ValueRay’s data platform useful for tracking MBLY’s valuation metrics and peer comparisons.**
MBLY Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 10,457m |
| Sub-Industry | Automotive Parts & Equipment |
| IPO / Inception | 2022-10-26 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -36.3% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.89 of 5 |
MBLY Dividends
Currently no dividends paidMBLY Growth Ratios
| CAGR | -24.51% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.32 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.59 |
| Current Volume | 2579.5k |
| Average Volume | 3992.7k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (-336.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 116.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.33pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 105.4% (prev 96.45%; Δ 8.92pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 693.0m > Net Income -336.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-1.75b) to EBITDA (176.0m) ratio: -9.94 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 6.46 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (800.0m) change vs 12m ago -1.36% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 48.66% (prev 46.86%; Δ 1.80pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 15.45% (prev 14.29%; Δ 1.16pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -18.78 (EBITDA TTM 176.0m / Interest Expense TTM -18.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -6.34
| (A) 0.16 = (Total Current Assets 2.42b - Total Current Liabilities 374.0m) / Total Assets 12.48b |
| (B) -0.27 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -3.33b / Total Assets 12.48b |
| (C) -0.03 = EBIT TTM -338.0m / Avg Total Assets 12.54b |
| (D) -6.06 = Book Value of Equity -3.31b / Total Liabilities 545.0m |
| Total Rating: -6.34 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.80
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.17% = 3.59 |
| 3. FCF Margin 32.40% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.00 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -9.94 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -10.84)% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE -2.79% = -0.47 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -6.40% = -0.48 |
| 9. EPS Trend -46.90% = -2.34 |
What is the price of MBLY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.10%, over one month by -17.83%, over three months by -10.47% and over the past year by -26.23%.
Is Mobileye Global Common Stock a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MBLY is around 9.78 USD . This means that MBLY is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -21.7%.
Is MBLY a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 12
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MBLY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 19.4 | 54.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 19.4 | 54.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 10.9 | -13.1% |
MBLY Fundamental Data Overview November 02, 2025
P/E Forward = 35.9712
P/S = 5.3958
P/B = 0.9847
P/EG = 0.5993
Beta = 0.506
Revenue TTM = 1.94b USD
EBIT TTM = -338.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 176.0m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = 13.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 50.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -1.75b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.76b USD (10.46b + Debt 50.0m - CCE 1.75b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -18.78 (Ebit TTM -338.0m / Interest Expense TTM -18.0m)
FCF Yield = 7.17% (FCF TTM 628.0m / Enterprise Value 8.76b)
FCF Margin = 32.40% (FCF TTM 628.0m / Revenue TTM 1.94b)
Net Margin = -17.34% (Net Income TTM -336.0m / Revenue TTM 1.94b)
Gross Margin = 48.66% ((Revenue TTM 1.94b - Cost of Revenue TTM 995.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.21% (prev 49.80%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.70 (Enterprise Value 8.76b / Total Assets 12.48b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 16.0% (Interest Expense 8.00m / Debt 50.0m)
Taxrate = -4.35% (negative due to tax credits) (4.00m / -92.0m)
NOPAT = -352.7m (EBIT -338.0m * (1 - -4.35%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 6.46 (Total Current Assets 2.42b / Total Current Liabilities 374.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 50.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.94b)
Debt / EBITDA = -9.94 (Net Debt -1.75b / EBITDA 176.0m)
Debt / FCF = -2.79 (Net Debt -1.75b / FCF TTM 628.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.69% (Net Income -336.0m / Total Assets 12.48b)
RoE = -2.79% (Net Income TTM -336.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 12.03b)
RoCE = -2.79% (EBIT -338.0m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 12.48b - Current Liab 374.0m))
RoIC = -2.92% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -352.7m / Invested Capital 12.07b)
WACC = 7.92% (E(10.46b)/V(10.51b) * Re(7.88%) + D(50.0m)/V(10.51b) * Rd(16.0%) * (1-Tc(-0.04)))
Discount Rate = 7.88% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.24%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.95% ; FCFE base≈462.4m ; Y1≈451.9m ; Y5≈457.8m
Fair Price DCF = 37.66 (DCF Value 8.13b / Shares Outstanding 216.0m; 5y FCF grow -3.30% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -46.90 | EPS CAGR: -32.93% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -6.40 | Revenue CAGR: -4.07% | SUE: 0.64 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for MBLY Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle