(MBLY) Mobileye Global Common Stock - Ratings and Ratios
ADAS, Autonomous, EyeQ, SuperVision, Chauffeur
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 58.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 90.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.93% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.38 |
| Alpha | -57.34 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.36 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.412 |
| Beta | 1.816 |
| Beta Downside | 1.892 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 77.52% |
| Mean DD | 43.18% |
| Median DD | 43.75% |
Description: MBLY Mobileye Global Common Stock October 30, 2025
Mobileye Global Inc. (NASDAQ: MBLY) designs, manufactures, and sells advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous-driving solutions worldwide, operating primarily through its “Mobileye” and “Other” segments. The company is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Intel and is headquartered in Jerusalem, Israel.
Its product suite spans three tiers of ADAS: Base ADAS (front-camera safety features), Cloud-Enhanced ADAS (crowdsourced mapping for higher-precision localization), and Surround ADAS (hands-off highway functions such as automatic lane-change, traffic-jam assist, and Highway Pilot). Higher-level offerings include SuperVision (eyes-on/hands-off for autonomous vehicles), Mobileye Chauffeur (fully hands-off for consumer cars), and Mobileye Drive (fleet-focused robotaxi and goods-delivery platform). Core hardware components include the EyeQ system-on-chip (SoC) and the True Redundancy AI architecture, while Road Experience Management services provide map-data updates.
Key quantitative signals (as of FY 2023) show Mobileye generated roughly **$1.6 billion in revenue**, up about **25 % YoY**, driven largely by OEM contracts with firms such as BMW, Volkswagen, and General Motors. The global ADAS market is projected to grow at a **CAGR of ~10 % through 2030**, propelled by tightening safety regulations (e.g., EU mandatory Level-2+ systems) and consumer demand for semi-autonomous features. Mobileye’s market share in Level-2+ ADAS is estimated at **≈15 %**, but its exposure to Level-3/4 deployments remains uncertain due to pending regulatory approvals and the high capital intensity of full-stack autonomous solutions.
Given the blend of strong top-line growth, a sizable addressable market, and the strategic advantage of Intel’s computing resources, Mobileye presents a high-expected-value opportunity, albeit with execution risk around scaling Level-3+ technology and navigating heterogeneous global regulations. **For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find ValueRay’s data platform useful for tracking MBLY’s valuation metrics and peer comparisons.**
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (-336.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 116.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.33pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 105.4% (prev 96.45%; Δ 8.92pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 693.0m > Net Income -336.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-1.75b) to EBITDA (176.0m) ratio: -9.94 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 6.46 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (800.0m) change vs 12m ago -1.36% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 48.66% (prev 46.86%; Δ 1.80pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 15.45% (prev 14.29%; Δ 1.16pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -18.78 (EBITDA TTM 176.0m / Interest Expense TTM -18.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -6.34
| (A) 0.16 = (Total Current Assets 2.42b - Total Current Liabilities 374.0m) / Total Assets 12.48b |
| (B) -0.27 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -3.33b / Total Assets 12.48b |
| (C) -0.03 = EBIT TTM -338.0m / Avg Total Assets 12.54b |
| (D) -6.06 = Book Value of Equity -3.31b / Total Liabilities 545.0m |
| Total Rating: -6.34 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 52.44
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.42% |
| 3. FCF Margin 32.40% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.00 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -9.94 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -15.66)% |
| 7. RoE -2.79% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 18.26% |
| 9. EPS Trend -43.61% |
What is the price of MBLY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.55%, over one month by -8.63%, over three months by -12.70% and over the past year by -31.81%.
Is MBLY a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 12
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MBLY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 19.1 | 59.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 19.1 | 59.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 10.1 | -16% |
MBLY Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Forward = 24.1546
P/S = 4.7239
P/B = 0.765
P/EG = 0.4022
Beta = 0.498
Revenue TTM = 1.94b USD
EBIT TTM = -338.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 176.0m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = 13.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 50.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -1.75b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.46b USD (9.15b + Debt 50.0m - CCE 1.75b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -18.78 (Ebit TTM -338.0m / Interest Expense TTM -18.0m)
FCF Yield = 8.42% (FCF TTM 628.0m / Enterprise Value 7.46b)
FCF Margin = 32.40% (FCF TTM 628.0m / Revenue TTM 1.94b)
Net Margin = -17.34% (Net Income TTM -336.0m / Revenue TTM 1.94b)
Gross Margin = 48.66% ((Revenue TTM 1.94b - Cost of Revenue TTM 995.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.21% (prev 49.80%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.60 (Enterprise Value 7.46b / Total Assets 12.48b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 16.0% (Interest Expense 8.00m / Debt 50.0m)
Taxrate = -4.35% (negative due to tax credits) (4.00m / -92.0m)
NOPAT = -352.7m (EBIT -338.0m * (1 - -4.35%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 6.46 (Total Current Assets 2.42b / Total Current Liabilities 374.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 50.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.94b)
Debt / EBITDA = -9.94 (Net Debt -1.75b / EBITDA 176.0m)
Debt / FCF = -2.79 (Net Debt -1.75b / FCF TTM 628.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.69% (Net Income -336.0m / Total Assets 12.48b)
RoE = -2.79% (Net Income TTM -336.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 12.03b)
RoCE = -2.79% (EBIT -338.0m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 12.48b - Current Liab 374.0m))
RoIC = -2.93% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -352.7m / Invested Capital 12.03b)
WACC = 12.73% (E(9.15b)/V(9.20b) * Re(12.71%) + D(50.0m)/V(9.20b) * Rd(16.0%) * (1-Tc(-0.04)))
Discount Rate = 12.71% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 62.63% ; FCFE base≈462.4m ; Y1≈451.9m ; Y5≈457.8m
Fair Price DCF = 19.74 (DCF Value 4.26b / Shares Outstanding 216.0m; 5y FCF grow -3.30% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -43.61 | EPS CAGR: -15.66% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 18.26 | Revenue CAGR: 9.71% | SUE: 0.64 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.07 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=10
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.41 | Chg30d=-0.007 | Revisions Net=-12 | Growth EPS=+16.1% | Growth Revenue=+8.1%
Additional Sources for MBLY Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle