MBLY Stock Analysis: Mobileye Global Common Stock | NASDAQ
Auto Parts | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 6.317m USD | 12M Return: -50.2% | US60741F1049 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 47.2M
EPS Trend: -71.0%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 9.0%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 3.9 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Mobileye Global Inc. (NASDAQ: MBLY) is an Israel-based company that develops advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies, operating through two segments: its core Mobileye ADAS business and Moovit, a mobility-as-a-service platform. Headquartered in Jerusalem and founded in 1999, Mobileye is a subsidiary of Intel Corporation and serves customers in the U.S., Europe, China, and other international markets. The company went public in October 2022 and is classified within the Consumer Discretionary sector, specifically in the Automotive Parts & Equipment industry.
The company offers a tiered portfolio of driving solutions spanning from basic to fully autonomous capabilities. Its offerings include Base ADAS (a front-camera safety system), Cloud-Enhanced ADAS (which uses crowdsourced mapping data), and Mobileye Surround ADAS for hands-off highway driving. Higher up the stack are Mobileye SuperVision (hands-off driver assist), Mobileye Chauffeur (eyes-off/hands-off for consumer vehicles), and Mobileye Drive (a fully autonomous system targeted at robotaxis, ride-pooling, public transit, and goods delivery fleets). Mobileyes competitive edge is anchored by its proprietary EyeQ system-on-chip (SoC) family, which performs the real-time computer vision processing that underpins these products, along with its True Redundancy AI sensing architecture and Road Experience Management mapping platform.
Mobileye sells primarily to automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) through Tier 1 automotive suppliers, and also serves fleet owners and operators directly. The ADAS market in which Mobileye operates is largely driven by tightening global vehicle safety regulations and rising consumer demand for advanced safety features, making regulatory adoption rates a key sector-level tailwind. The companys business model combines automotive-grade chip design with software and mapping intellectual property, allowing it to capture value across both hardware (EyeQ SoCs) and recurring software-enabled features.
- EyeQ chip volumes rise with global ADAS adoption
- China EV slowdown pressures Mobileye revenue forecasts
- SuperVision design wins expand with premium automaker adoption
| Net Income: -4.06b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.23 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 80.80% < 20% (prev 106.8%; Δ -25.97% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 497.2m > Net Income -4.06b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 4.60 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (818.0m) vs 12m ago 0.74% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 47.37% > 18% (prev 48.80%; Δ -1.43% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 18.83% > 50% (prev 15.26%; Δ 3.56% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.18 (Total Current Assets 2.08b - Total Current Liabilities 452.0m) / Total Assets 8.84b |
| B: -0.82 (Retained Earnings -7.29b / Total Assets 8.84b) |
| C: -0.39 (EBIT TTM -4.13b / Avg Total Assets 10.7b) |
| D: 13.07 (Book Value of Equity 8.21b / Total Liabilities 628.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 9.66 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.91 (Receivables 208.0m/217.0m, Revenue 2.02b/1.92b) |
| GMI: 1.03 (GM 48.80% / 47.37%) |
| AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.71 / AQ_t-1 0.77) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 2.02b / 1.92b) |
| TATA: -0.52 (NI -4.06b - CFO 497.2m) / TA 8.84b) |
| Beneish M = -3.14 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 7.22 with a total of 7,709,313 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.69%, over one month by -7.67%, over three months by -19.51% and over the past year by -50.21%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 6.70 (which is 7.2% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Mobileye Global Common Stock has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.70. Therefore, it is recommended to hold MBLY.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 11.3 | 56.1% |
P/E Forward = 13.8313
P/S = 3.1334
P/B = 0.7881
P/EG = 0.2306
Revenue TTM = 2.02b USD
EBIT TTM = -4.13b USD
EBITDA TTM = -3.60b USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 67.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -1.38b USD (calculated: Debt 67.0m - CCE 1.44b)
Enterprise Value = 4.94b USD (6.32b + Debt 67.0m - CCE 1.44b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM -4.13b / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 12.57x (Enterprise Value 4.94b / FCF TTM 393.2m)
FCF Yield = 7.96% (FCF TTM 393.2m / Enterprise Value 4.94b)
FCF Margin = 19.50% (FCF TTM 393.2m / Revenue TTM 2.02b)
Net Margin = -201.5% (Net Income TTM -4.06b / Revenue TTM 2.02b)
Gross Margin = 47.37% ((Revenue TTM 2.02b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.06b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.26% (prev 49.28%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.56 (Enterprise Value 4.94b / Total Assets 8.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 67.0m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -3.26b (EBIT -4.13b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 4.60 (Total Current Assets 2.08b / Total Current Liabilities 452.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 67.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.21b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.38 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -1.38b / EBITDA -3.60b)
Debt / FCF = -3.50 (Net Debt -1.38b / FCF TTM 393.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 10.0b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -37.93% (Net Income -4.06b / Total Assets 8.84b)
RoE = -40.43% (Net Income TTM -4.06b / Total Stockholder Equity 10.0b)
RoCE = -49.24% (EBIT -4.13b / Capital Employed (Total Assets 8.84b - Current Liab 452.0m))
RoIC = -39.37% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -3.26b / Invested Capital 8.29b)
WACC = 13.16% (E(6.32b)/V(6.38b) * Re(13.30%) + D(67.0m)/V(6.38b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 13.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 58.12 | Cagr: 0.66%
[DCF] Terminal Value 57.42% ; FCFF base≈471.5m ; Y1≈413.5m ; Y5≈334.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 17.39 (EV 3.01b - Net Debt -1.38b = Equity 4.39b / Shares 252.4m; r=13.16% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -70.96 | EPS CAGR: -23.56% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 8.95 | Revenue CAGR: 0.62% | SUE: 2.51 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.10 | Chg30d=+0.40% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.50 | Chg30d=+0.06% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+42.2% | GrowthRev=+5.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.49 | Chg30d=+0.35% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=-2.7% | GrowthRev=+9.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -38% (up=1, down=4)