MBUU Stock Analysis: Malibu Boats | NASDAQ
Recreational Vehicles | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 406m USD | 12M Return: -20.3% | US56117J1007 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 6.49M
EPS Trend: -46.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -58.9%
Qual. Beats: 4
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.9 years of data, until 10/2026
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.
Malibu Boats, Inc. (NASDAQ: MBUU) is a Tennessee-based recreational powerboat manufacturer founded in 1982 and headquartered in Loudon. The company operates through four reporting segments-Malibu, Saltwater Fishing, Cobalt, and Saxdor-and markets a portfolio of brands including Malibu, Axis, Pursuit, Maverick, Cobia, Pathfinder, Hewes, Saxdor, and Cobalt, covering performance sport boats, sterndrive and outboard models, and adventure dayboats. Its products serve water sports such as wakeboarding, water skiing, and wake surfing, as well as general recreational boating and fishing, and are sold exclusively through a network of independent dealers.
As a small-cap stock in the Consumer Discretionary sector (GICS Sub Industry: Leisure Products), Malibu Boats operates in a consumer-driven, cyclical industry where demand is closely tied to discretionary spending, consumer confidence, and broader macroeconomic conditions. Its multi-brand, multi-segment strategy is a common approach in the recreational marine industry, allowing manufacturers to address distinct price points and use cases-from tow-sports enthusiasts to offshore anglers-while leveraging shared dealer relationships and operational efficiencies.
- Interest rate hikes cool demand for big-ticket powerboats
- Saltwater Fishing and Cobalt segments drive margin expansion
- Dealer inventory destocking pressures wholesale shipment volumes
| Net Income: 1.65m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.41 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 10.18% < 20% (prev 10.56%; Δ -0.38% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 67.5m > Net Income 1.65m |
| Net Debt (95.5m) to EBITDA (50.0m): 1.91 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.43 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (19.8m) vs 12m ago 2.11% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.65% > 18% (prev 17.84%; Δ -2.20% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 105.7% > 50% (prev 109.9%; Δ -4.25% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.69 > 6 (EBIT TTM 6.01m / Interest Expense TTM 3.56m) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 308.5m - Total Current Liabilities 215.4m) / Total Assets 996.2m |
| B: 0.49 (Retained Earnings 486.3m / Total Assets 996.2m) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 6.01m / Avg Total Assets 865.4m) |
| D: 1.12 (Book Value of Equity 524.4m / Total Liabilities 467.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.43 = A |
| DSRI: 1.19 (Receivables 45.2m/33.4m, Revenue 914.6m/807.6m) |
| GMI: 1.14 (GM 17.84% / 15.65%) |
| AQI: 1.16 (AQ_t 0.44 / AQ_t-1 0.38) |
| SGI: 1.13 (Revenue 914.6m / 807.6m) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 1.65m - CFO 67.5m) / TA 996.2m) |
| Beneish M = -2.56 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of November 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 20.55 with a total of 481,068 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -14.77%, over one month by -4.77%, over three months by -29.02% and over the past year by -20.26%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 19.00 (which is 7.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Malibu Boats has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MBUU.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 34.1 | 66.1% |
P/E Trailing = 49.1429
P/E Forward = 10.7643
P/S = 0.4441
P/B = 0.9286
P/EG = 0.075
Revenue TTM = 914.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 6.01m USD
EBITDA TTM = 50.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 165.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.90m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 169.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 4.90m
Net Debt = 95.5m USD (calculated: Debt 169.9m - CCE 74.4m)
Enterprise Value = 501.6m USD (406.2m + Debt 169.9m - CCE 74.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.69 (Ebit TTM 6.01m / Interest Expense TTM 3.56m)
EV/FCF = 11.71x (Enterprise Value 501.6m / FCF TTM 42.8m)
FCF Yield = 8.54% (FCF TTM 42.8m / Enterprise Value 501.6m)
FCF Margin = 4.68% (FCF TTM 42.8m / Revenue TTM 914.6m)
Net Margin = 0.18% (Net Income TTM 1.65m / Revenue TTM 914.6m)
Gross Margin = 15.65% ((Revenue TTM 914.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 771.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.66% (prev 17.51%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.50 (Enterprise Value 501.6m / Total Assets 996.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.09% (Interest Expense 3.56m / Debt 169.9m)
Taxrate = 30.24% (740k / 2.45m)
NOPAT = 4.19m (EBIT 6.01m * (1 - 30.24%))
Current Ratio = 1.43 (Total Current Assets 308.5m / Total Current Liabilities 215.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.32 (Debt 169.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 524.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.91 (Net Debt 95.5m / EBITDA 50.0m)
Debt / FCF = 2.23 (Net Debt 95.5m / FCF TTM 42.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 513.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.19% (Net Income 1.65m / Total Assets 996.2m)
RoE = 0.32% (Net Income TTM 1.65m / Total Stockholder Equity 513.4m)
RoCE = 0.89% (EBIT 6.01m / Capital Employed (Equity 513.4m + L.T.Debt 165.0m))
RoIC = 0.57% (NOPAT 4.19m / Invested Capital 739.9m)
WACC = 8.01% (E(406.2m)/V(576.0m) * Re(10.75%) + D(169.9m)/V(576.0m) * Rd(2.09%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 10.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -80.25 | Cagr: -1.41%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈37.1m ; Y1≈42.6m ; Y5≈62.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 43.07 (EV 943.0m - Net Debt 95.5m = Equity 847.5m / Shares 19.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -46.90 | EPS CAGR: -31.49% | SUE: -0.65 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -58.86 | Revenue CAGR: -11.94% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 4
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=0.24 | Chg30d=-2.68% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=9
EPS next Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=0.93 | Chg30d=+1.84% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2027-06-30): EPS=2.48 | Chg30d=+0.28% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+63.5% | GrowthRev=+21.5%
EPS next Year (2028-06-30): EPS=3.09 | Chg30d=-2.04% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+24.3% | GrowthRev=+7.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -31% (up=3, down=7)