(MCTR) CTRL Ordinary Shares - Ratings and Ratios
Digital Advertising, Influencer Marketing, Event Marketing
MCTR EPS (Earnings per Share)
MCTR Revenue
Description: MCTR CTRL Ordinary Shares
Ctrl Group Limited is a Hong Kong-based marketing and advertising services provider, primarily catering to mobile game developers through its subsidiary, Ctrl Media Limited. The company leverages a multi-channel approach, utilizing digital media platforms, such as social media, websites, and search engines, to broadcast advertising campaigns. Additionally, it partners with influencers, including YouTubers, Key Opinion Leaders (KOLs), and local celebrities, to promote gaming content through their personal blogs and social media channels.
The companys diversified marketing strategy also encompasses physical media, including podium platforms at transportation terminals and public venues, as well as assisting clients in planning and preparing their exhibition booths at offline marketing events, such as animation-comic-game events. With its foundation in 2014, Ctrl Group Limited has established itself as a significant player in the Hong Kong advertising industry.
Analyzing the provided data, Ctrl Group Limiteds stock (MCTR) is currently priced at $7.13. The stocks short-term trend appears stable, with the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $7.22 and the 50-day SMA at $7.11, indicating a potential consolidation phase. The long-term trend, however, is bullish, as the 200-day SMA stands at $6.28, suggesting an overall upward trajectory. The Average True Range (ATR) of 0.81 represents an 11.30% volatility, indicating moderate price fluctuations.
Considering the fundamental data, Ctrl Group Limiteds Market Capitalization stands at $70.53 million, with a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 230.50, suggesting a relatively high valuation. The Return on Equity (RoE) of 69.83% indicates strong profitability. Given the high P/E ratio and the absence of a forward P/E, it is likely that the market expects significant growth from the company.
Forecasting the stocks performance, we can expect a potential breakout or continued consolidation in the short term, given the stocks current price relative to its SMAs. If the company can maintain its RoE and continue to grow its earnings, the stock may be poised for further growth, potentially targeting the 52-week high of $8.25. However, a decline below the 200-day SMA at $6.28 could indicate a reversal in the long-term trend. As such, a close monitoring of the stocks price action and fundamental performance is warranted to adjust investment strategies accordingly.
MCTR Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 71m |
Sub-Industry | Advertising |
IPO / Inception | 2025-01-22 |
MCTR Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | -79.9% |
Fundamental | 24.7% |
Dividend Rating | - |
Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -68.7% |
Analyst Rating | - |
MCTR Dividends
Currently no dividends paidMCTR Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | -96.8% |
Growth Correlation 12m | -61.8% |
Growth Correlation 5y | -61.8% |
CAGR 5y | -66.51% |
CAGR/Max DD 5y | -0.69 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.46 |
Alpha | -109.31 |
Beta | 3.020 |
Volatility | 157.95% |
Current Volume | 86.1k |
Average Volume 20d | 100.8k |
Stop Loss | 1.3 (-10.3%) |
Signal | -2.10 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
Net Income (18.9k TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 266.0k TTM) |
FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -90.99pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 640.7% (prev 43.24%; Δ 597.5pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO 413.7k > Net Income 18.9k (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Current Ratio 7.08 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (15.0m) change vs 12m ago 15.38% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 18.31% (prev 32.70%; Δ -14.39pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 20.30% (prev 145.2%; Δ -124.9pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio 0.42 (EBITDA TTM 132.8k / Interest Expense TTM 294.6k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.24
(A) 0.68 = (Total Current Assets 33.1m - Total Current Liabilities 4.68m) / Total Assets 41.6m |
(B) -0.58 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -24.2m / Total Assets 41.6m |
(C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 123.8k / Avg Total Assets 21.8m |
(D) 2.49 = Book Value of Equity 29.7m / Total Liabilities 11.9m |
Total Rating: 5.24 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 24.71
1. Piotroski 0.0pt = -5.0 |
2. FCF Yield 0.08% = 0.04 |
3. FCF Margin 9.33% = 2.33 |
4. Debt/Equity 0.28 = 2.46 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 62.25 = -2.50 |
6. ROIC - WACC -16.54% = -12.50 |
7. RoE 0.23% = 0.02 |
8. Rev. Trend -76.97% = -3.85 |
9. Rev. CAGR -20.55% = -2.50 |
10. EPS Trend -51.85% = -1.30 |
11. EPS CAGR -60.09% = -2.50 |
What is the price of MCTR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.36%, over one month by -38.56%, over three months by -75.34% and over the past year by -66.51%.
Is CTRL Ordinary Shares a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MCTR is around 1.06 USD . This means that MCTR is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -26.9%.
Is MCTR a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the MCTR price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
Analysts Target Price | - | - |
ValueRay Target Price | 1.3 | -12.4% |
Last update: 2025-08-27 04:43
MCTR Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 23.9m HKD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 230.5
P/S = 1.7349
P/B = 212.9602
Beta = None
Revenue TTM = 4.43m HKD
EBIT TTM = 123.8k HKD
EBITDA TTM = 132.8k HKD
Long Term Debt = 7.22m HKD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.05m HKD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.27m HKD (Calculated: Short Term 1.05m + Long Term 7.22m)
Net Debt = -15.6m HKD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 533.8m HKD (549.4m + Debt 8.27m - CCE 23.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.42 (Ebit TTM 123.8k / Interest Expense TTM 294.6k)
FCF Yield = 0.08% (FCF TTM 413.7k / Enterprise Value 533.8m)
FCF Margin = 9.33% (FCF TTM 413.7k / Revenue TTM 4.43m)
Net Margin = 0.43% (Net Income TTM 18.9k / Revenue TTM 4.43m)
Gross Margin = 18.31% ((Revenue TTM 4.43m - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.62m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 17.98 (Enterprise Value 533.8m / Book Value Of Equity 29.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.56% (Interest Expense 294.6k / Debt 8.27m)
Taxrate = 37.90% (from quarterly Income Tax Expense: 31.6k / 83.4k)
NOPAT = 76.9k (EBIT 123.8k * (1 - 37.90%))
Current Ratio = 7.08 (Total Current Assets 33.1m / Total Current Liabilities 4.68m)
Debt / Equity = 0.28 (Debt 8.27m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 29.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 62.25 (Net Debt -15.6m / EBITDA 132.8k)
Debt / FCF = 19.98 (Debt 8.27m / FCF TTM 413.7k)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.33m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 0.05% (Net Income 18.9k, Total Assets 41.6m )
RoE = 0.23% (Net Income TTM 18.9k / Total Stockholder Equity 8.33m)
RoCE = 0.80% (Ebit 123.8k / (Equity 8.33m + L.T.Debt 7.22m))
RoIC = 0.37% (NOPAT 76.9k / Invested Capital 20.5m)
WACC = 16.92% (E(549.4m)/V(557.7m) * Re(17.14%)) + (D(8.27m)/V(557.7m) * Rd(3.56%) * (1-Tc(0.38)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 86.60 | Cagr: 7.42%
Discount Rate = 17.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 40.77% ; FCFE base≈1.01m ; Y1≈665.5k ; Y5≈304.3k
Fair Price DCF = 0.16 (DCF Value 2.47m / Shares Outstanding 15.3m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -76.97 | Revenue CAGR: -20.55%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 1.52
EPS Correlation: -51.85 | EPS CAGR: -60.09%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 1.13
Additional Sources for MCTR Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle